Technical Policy Briefing Notes - 9
Adaptation Turning Points
References
Policy Briefs
Adaptation Turning Points
References
Adger,
W. N., T. Quinn, I. Lorenzoni, C. Murphy
and J. Sweeney (2013) Changing social
contracts in climate-change adaptation. Nature
Clim. Change 3 (4), 330-333.
Bölscher, T., E. van Slobbe, M. T. H. van Vliet and
S. E. Werners (2013) Adaptation turning points in
river restoration? The Rhine salmon case.
Sustainability 5 (6), 2288-2304.
Brown, C. (2011) Decision-scaling for Robust
Planning and Policy under Climate Uncertainty.
World Resources Report. Washington DC, US.
Cash, D. W., J. C. Borck and A. G. Patt (2006)
Countering the Loading-Dock Approach to
Linking Science and Decision Making. Science,
Technology & Human Values 31 (4), 465-494.
Cash, D. W., W. C. Clark, F. Alcock, N. M.
Dickson, N. Eckley, D. H. Guston, J. Jäger and R.
B. Mitchell (2003) Knowledge systems for
sustainable development. Proceedings of the
National Academy of Sciences of the United
States of America 100 (14), 8086-8091.
Church, J. A., N. J. White, T. Aarup, W. S. Wilson,
P. L. Woodworth, C. M. Domingues, J. R. Hunter
and K. Lambeck (2008) Understanding global
sea levels: past, present and future.
Sustainability Science 3 (1), 9-22.
Cosens, B. A. and M. K. Williams (2012)
Resilience and Water Governance: Adaptive
Governance in the Columbia River Basin.
Ecology and Society 17 (4), 3.
Downing, T. E. (2012) Views of the frontiers in
climate change adaptation economics. WIREs:
Climate Change 3 (2), 161-170.
Haasnoot, M., J. H. Kwakkel, W. E. Walker and J.
t. Maat (2013) Dynamic Adaptive Policy
Pathways: A Method for Crafting Robust
Decisions for a Deeply Uncertain World. Global
Environmental Change 23 (2), 485–498.
Hallegatte, S. (2009) Strategies to adapt to an
uncertain climate change. Global Environmental
Change 19 (2), 240-247.
Hallegatte, S., A. Shah, R. Lempert, C. Brown
and S. Gill (2012) Investment Decision Making
Under Deep Uncertainty Application to Climate
Change. Policy Research Working Paper. The
World Bank.
Hanger, S., S. Pfenninger, M. Dreyfus and A. Patt
(2013) Knowledge and information needs of
adaptation policy-makers: a European study.
Regional Environmental Change 13 (1), 91-101.
ICPR (2001) Conference of Rhine Ministers 2001.
Rhine 2020. Program on the sustainable
development of the Rhine. International
Commission for the Protection of the Rhine
(ICPR), Koblenz, DE.
ICPR (2004) Rhine Salmon 2020. International
Commission for the Protection of the Rhine
(ICPR), Koblenz, DE.
IPCC (2001) Climate Change 2001: Impacts,
Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Contribution of
Working Group II to the Third Assessment Report
of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change. McCarthy, J. J., O. F. Canziani, N. A.
Leary, D. J. Dokken and K. S. White, Cambridge
University Press, Cambridge, UK.
Kwadijk, J. C. J., M. Haasnoot, J. P. M. Mulder,
M. M. C. Hoogvliet, A. B. M. Jeuken, R. A. A. van
der Krogt, N. G. C. van Oostrom, H. A.
Schelfhout, E. H. van Velzen, H. van Waveren
and M. J. M. de Wit (2010) Using adaptation
tipping points to prepare for climate change and
sea level rise: a case study in the Netherlands.
Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change
1 (5), 729-740.
Lavery, S. and B. Donovan (2005) Flood risk
management in the Thames Estuary looking
ahead 100 years. Philosophical Transactions of
the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and
Engineering Sciences 363 (1831), 1455-1474.
Lempert, R. (2013) Scenarios that illuminate
vulnerabilities and robust responses. Climatic
Change 117 (4), 627-646.
Moriondo, M., M. Bindi, C. Fagarazzi, R. Ferrise
and G. Trombi (2011) Framework for highresolution
climate change impact assessment on
grapevines at a regional scale. Regional
Environmental Change 11 (3), 553-567.
Offermans, A., M. Haasnoot and P. Valkering
(2011) A method to explore social response for
sustainable water management strategies under
changing conditions. Sustainable Development
19 (5), 312-324.
Parry, M., J. Lowe and C. Hanson (2009)
Overshoot, adapt and recover. Nature 458
(7242), 1102-1103.
Ravetz, J. R. (2006) Post-Normal Science and
the complexity of transitions towards
sustainability. Ecological Complexity 3 (4), 275-
284.
Reeder, T. and N. Ranger (2011) How do you
adapt in an uncertain world? Lessons from the
Thames Estuary 2100 project. World Resources
Report. Washington DC, US.
Smith, M. S., L. Horrocks, A. Harvey and C.
Hamilton (2011) Rethinking adaptation for a 4°C
world. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal
Society A: Mathematical, Physical and
Engineering Sciences 369 (1934), 196-216.
Termeer, C., A. Dewulf, H. van Rijswick, A. van
Buuren, D. Huitema, S. Meijerink, T. Rayner and
M. Wiering (2011) The regional governance of
climate adaptation: A framework for developing
legitimate, effective, and resilient governance
arrangements. Climate law 2 (2), 159-179.
Todd, C. D., K. D. Friedland, J. C. MacLean, N.
Hazon and A. J. Jensen (2010) Getting into Hot
Water? Atlantic Salmon Responses to Climate
Change in Freshwater and Marine Environments.
In Atlantic Salmon Ecology (eds Aas, Ø., S.
Einum, A. Klemetsen and J. Skurdal), pp. 409-
443. John Wiley & Sons, Inc., Hoboken, USA.
van Vliet, M. T. H., W. H. P. Franssen, J. R.
Yearsley, F. Ludwig, I. Haddeland, D. P.
Lettenmaier and P. Kabat (2013) Global river
discharge and water temperature under climate
change. Global Environmental Change 23 (2),
450-464.
Weaver, C. P., R. J. Lempert, C. Brown, J. A. Hall,
D. Revell and D. Sarewitz (2013) Improving the
contribution of climate model information to
decision making: the value and demands of
robust decision frameworks. Wiley
Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change 4 (1),
39-60.
Werners, S. E., M. Bindi, T. Bölscher, J. Hinkel,
M. Moriondo, A. Oost, A. Patt, S. Pfenninger, E.
van Slobbe and G. Trombi (2012) Adaptation
turning points: Identification of impact
thresholds, key risk factors and potential adaptive
responses. Deliverable D2.3. Technical Report.
MEDIATION Project, Wageningen, NL.
Werners, S. E., S. Pfenninger, R. Swart, E.
van Slobbe, M. Haasnoot and J. Kwakkel (2013a)
Thresholds, tipping and turning points for
sustainability under climate change. Journal
Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability 5
(Open Issue 2013), published online.
10.1016/j.cosust.2013.1006.1005.
Werners, S. E., R. Swart, A. Oost, E. van Slobbe,
T. Bölscher, S. Pfenninger, G. Trombi and M.
Moriondo (2013b) Turning points in climate
change adaptation. Ecology and Society
(submitted to Special Feature ‘The Governance
of Adaptation’).
and J. Sweeney (2013) Changing social
contracts in climate-change adaptation. Nature
Clim. Change 3 (4), 330-333.
Bölscher, T., E. van Slobbe, M. T. H. van Vliet and
S. E. Werners (2013) Adaptation turning points in
river restoration? The Rhine salmon case.
Sustainability 5 (6), 2288-2304.
Brown, C. (2011) Decision-scaling for Robust
Planning and Policy under Climate Uncertainty.
World Resources Report. Washington DC, US.
Cash, D. W., J. C. Borck and A. G. Patt (2006)
Countering the Loading-Dock Approach to
Linking Science and Decision Making. Science,
Technology & Human Values 31 (4), 465-494.
Cash, D. W., W. C. Clark, F. Alcock, N. M.
Dickson, N. Eckley, D. H. Guston, J. Jäger and R.
B. Mitchell (2003) Knowledge systems for
sustainable development. Proceedings of the
National Academy of Sciences of the United
States of America 100 (14), 8086-8091.
Church, J. A., N. J. White, T. Aarup, W. S. Wilson,
P. L. Woodworth, C. M. Domingues, J. R. Hunter
and K. Lambeck (2008) Understanding global
sea levels: past, present and future.
Sustainability Science 3 (1), 9-22.
Cosens, B. A. and M. K. Williams (2012)
Resilience and Water Governance: Adaptive
Governance in the Columbia River Basin.
Ecology and Society 17 (4), 3.
Downing, T. E. (2012) Views of the frontiers in
climate change adaptation economics. WIREs:
Climate Change 3 (2), 161-170.
Haasnoot, M., J. H. Kwakkel, W. E. Walker and J.
t. Maat (2013) Dynamic Adaptive Policy
Pathways: A Method for Crafting Robust
Decisions for a Deeply Uncertain World. Global
Environmental Change 23 (2), 485–498.
Hallegatte, S. (2009) Strategies to adapt to an
uncertain climate change. Global Environmental
Change 19 (2), 240-247.
Hallegatte, S., A. Shah, R. Lempert, C. Brown
and S. Gill (2012) Investment Decision Making
Under Deep Uncertainty Application to Climate
Change. Policy Research Working Paper. The
World Bank.
Hanger, S., S. Pfenninger, M. Dreyfus and A. Patt
(2013) Knowledge and information needs of
adaptation policy-makers: a European study.
Regional Environmental Change 13 (1), 91-101.
ICPR (2001) Conference of Rhine Ministers 2001.
Rhine 2020. Program on the sustainable
development of the Rhine. International
Commission for the Protection of the Rhine
(ICPR), Koblenz, DE.
ICPR (2004) Rhine Salmon 2020. International
Commission for the Protection of the Rhine
(ICPR), Koblenz, DE.
IPCC (2001) Climate Change 2001: Impacts,
Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Contribution of
Working Group II to the Third Assessment Report
of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change. McCarthy, J. J., O. F. Canziani, N. A.
Leary, D. J. Dokken and K. S. White, Cambridge
University Press, Cambridge, UK.
Kwadijk, J. C. J., M. Haasnoot, J. P. M. Mulder,
M. M. C. Hoogvliet, A. B. M. Jeuken, R. A. A. van
der Krogt, N. G. C. van Oostrom, H. A.
Schelfhout, E. H. van Velzen, H. van Waveren
and M. J. M. de Wit (2010) Using adaptation
tipping points to prepare for climate change and
sea level rise: a case study in the Netherlands.
Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change
1 (5), 729-740.
Lavery, S. and B. Donovan (2005) Flood risk
management in the Thames Estuary looking
ahead 100 years. Philosophical Transactions of
the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and
Engineering Sciences 363 (1831), 1455-1474.
Lempert, R. (2013) Scenarios that illuminate
vulnerabilities and robust responses. Climatic
Change 117 (4), 627-646.
Moriondo, M., M. Bindi, C. Fagarazzi, R. Ferrise
and G. Trombi (2011) Framework for highresolution
climate change impact assessment on
grapevines at a regional scale. Regional
Environmental Change 11 (3), 553-567.
Offermans, A., M. Haasnoot and P. Valkering
(2011) A method to explore social response for
sustainable water management strategies under
changing conditions. Sustainable Development
19 (5), 312-324.
Parry, M., J. Lowe and C. Hanson (2009)
Overshoot, adapt and recover. Nature 458
(7242), 1102-1103.
Ravetz, J. R. (2006) Post-Normal Science and
the complexity of transitions towards
sustainability. Ecological Complexity 3 (4), 275-
284.
Reeder, T. and N. Ranger (2011) How do you
adapt in an uncertain world? Lessons from the
Thames Estuary 2100 project. World Resources
Report. Washington DC, US.
Smith, M. S., L. Horrocks, A. Harvey and C.
Hamilton (2011) Rethinking adaptation for a 4°C
world. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal
Society A: Mathematical, Physical and
Engineering Sciences 369 (1934), 196-216.
Termeer, C., A. Dewulf, H. van Rijswick, A. van
Buuren, D. Huitema, S. Meijerink, T. Rayner and
M. Wiering (2011) The regional governance of
climate adaptation: A framework for developing
legitimate, effective, and resilient governance
arrangements. Climate law 2 (2), 159-179.
Todd, C. D., K. D. Friedland, J. C. MacLean, N.
Hazon and A. J. Jensen (2010) Getting into Hot
Water? Atlantic Salmon Responses to Climate
Change in Freshwater and Marine Environments.
In Atlantic Salmon Ecology (eds Aas, Ø., S.
Einum, A. Klemetsen and J. Skurdal), pp. 409-
443. John Wiley & Sons, Inc., Hoboken, USA.
van Vliet, M. T. H., W. H. P. Franssen, J. R.
Yearsley, F. Ludwig, I. Haddeland, D. P.
Lettenmaier and P. Kabat (2013) Global river
discharge and water temperature under climate
change. Global Environmental Change 23 (2),
450-464.
Weaver, C. P., R. J. Lempert, C. Brown, J. A. Hall,
D. Revell and D. Sarewitz (2013) Improving the
contribution of climate model information to
decision making: the value and demands of
robust decision frameworks. Wiley
Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change 4 (1),
39-60.
Werners, S. E., M. Bindi, T. Bölscher, J. Hinkel,
M. Moriondo, A. Oost, A. Patt, S. Pfenninger, E.
van Slobbe and G. Trombi (2012) Adaptation
turning points: Identification of impact
thresholds, key risk factors and potential adaptive
responses. Deliverable D2.3. Technical Report.
MEDIATION Project, Wageningen, NL.
Werners, S. E., S. Pfenninger, R. Swart, E.
van Slobbe, M. Haasnoot and J. Kwakkel (2013a)
Thresholds, tipping and turning points for
sustainability under climate change. Journal
Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability 5
(Open Issue 2013), published online.
10.1016/j.cosust.2013.1006.1005.
Werners, S. E., R. Swart, A. Oost, E. van Slobbe,
T. Bölscher, S. Pfenninger, G. Trombi and M.
Moriondo (2013b) Turning points in climate
change adaptation. Ecology and Society
(submitted to Special Feature ‘The Governance
of Adaptation’).
download this briefing note