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Are private actors adapting autonomously?


If the potential capacity of private actors is high, you should consider whether they are in fact adapting. This constitutes an assessment of an actor's actual capacity, which is defined by the adaptation undertaken by the actor. Actual capacity is different from the potential capacity in the sense that actors might have potential capacity, in terms of financial resources and skills, but still do not act. Actual capacity includes institutional and cognitive factors, which enable and constrain potential capacity. If private actors are in fact adapting then you do not need to take influencing action and can directly consider monitoring and evaluating adaptation.



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If the potential capacity of private actors is high, you should consider whether the private actors are in fact adapting -- are they taking adaptation action? This constitutes an assessment of the second aspect of capacity to be considered, namely, an actor’s actual capacity. Actual capacity is defined by the adaptation undertaken by the actor. It thus includes the capacity of the actor to go through the whole adaptation learning cycle, that is the capacity to assess vulnerability and impacts, the capacity to appraise decisions, as well as the capacity to implement, monitor, evaluate and learn. Actual capacity is thus different from the potential capacity in the sense that actors might have potential capacity, in terms of financial resources and skills, but still do not act. For example, elderly people threatened by heat waves in a developed country setting may have the potential capacity to adapt through drinking more water during heat waves or buying an air-condition (see Table 2.5). The actual capacity of elderly people may be, however, much lower because of cognitive barriers related to the perceived risks, and perceived effectiveness of taking action.

Actual capacity thus includes institutional and cognitive factors, which enable and constrain potential capacity. These are called barriers to adaptation in the literature (e.g. Moser and Ekstrom, 2010). At the individual level, these barriers relate to an actor’s perceived ability to act effectively. They may further involve institutional factors, such as social norms influencing to the perceived acceptability of an action in an actor’s peer group, as described in socialpsychological theory. Protection Motivation Theory is a prominent example of this approach (Grothmann and Patt, 2005). This literature suggests that it is not sufficient to focus on the potential capacity of actors as this potential is often not realized (Adger et al., 2007). It is therefore desirable to understand barriers to adaptation action at the assessment stage, even before implementation has begun, and hence to focus on what is called here actual capacity. Even then, it is still likely that further barriers will emerge during implementation; these are discussed in the Pathfinder's section on Appraising adaptation options.

If private actors are in fact adapting then the public actor does not need to take influencing action and can directly consider monitoring and evaluating adaptation (see the Pathfinder's section on Monitoring and evaluation).


.
Potential
capacity?
Are actors
adapting?
Conflict
with private
interest?
Indication
on salient
approach
Example
LowN/aN/aPractice:
econom
ic incentives or
regulation.
Public actor wanting to
influence smallholder farmers
faced with increasing
droughts needing increased
farm inputs, including drought
resistant crops.
HighYesN/aMonitor and
evaluate.
Public actor wanting to
influence coastal dwellers to
take flood protection
measures and actors are
already adapting
HighNoYesPractice:
economic
incentives or
regulation.
Public actor wanting to
influence farmers to keep
migration corridors open in
order to allow species to
migrate and thus maintain
biodiversity.
HighNoNoBehaviour
analysis: what
constrains
individual
action?
Public actor wanting to
influence elder to adapt to
increasing frequency of urban
heat waves.

Table 2.5: Salient approaches for identifying public adaptation measures for influencing

individual action. ”N/a” means that this criteria is not relevant for the choice of the approach.



This section is based on the UNEP PROVIA guidance document


Criteria checklist

1. You want to identify adaptation measures.
2. Your focus is on public actors and on individual actions.
3. The actors' potential capacity is high.
4. As a next step you are faced with the question whether assessing the private actors are adapting autonomously.