If the potential capacity of private actors is high,
you should consider whether the private actors are in fact
adapting -- are they taking adaptation action? This constitutes
an assessment of the second aspect of capacity to be considered,
namely, an actor’s actual capacity. Actual
capacity is defined by the adaptation undertaken by the actor. It
thus includes the capacity of the actor to go through the whole
adaptation learning cycle, that is the capacity to assess
vulnerability and impacts, the capacity to appraise decisions, as well
as the capacity to implement, monitor, evaluate and learn. Actual
capacity is thus different from the potential capacity in
the sense that actors might have potential capacity, in terms of
financial
resources and skills, but still do not act. For example, elderly people
threatened by heat waves in a developed country setting may
have the potential capacity to adapt through drinking more
water during heat waves or buying an air-condition (see Table 2.5).
The actual capacity of elderly people may be, however, much
lower because of cognitive barriers related to the perceived
risks, and perceived effectiveness of taking action.
Actual
capacity thus includes institutional and cognitive factors, which
enable and constrain potential capacity. These are called
barriers to adaptation in the literature (e.g. Moser and Ekstrom,
2010). At the individual level, these barriers relate to an
actor’s perceived ability to act effectively. They
may further involve institutional factors, such as social norms
influencing to the perceived acceptability of an action in
an actor’s peer group, as described in socialpsychological
theory.
Protection Motivation Theory is a prominent example of this approach
(Grothmann
and Patt, 2005). This literature suggests that it is not sufficient to
focus on the potential capacity of actors as this potential
is often not realized (Adger et al., 2007). It is therefore
desirable to understand barriers to adaptation action at the assessment
stage, even before implementation has begun, and hence to
focus on what is called here actual capacity. Even then, it
is still likely that further barriers will emerge during
implementation; these are discussed in the
Pathfinder's
section on Appraising adaptation options.
If
private actors are in fact adapting then the public actor does not need
to take influencing action and can directly consider
monitoring and evaluating adaptation (see the Pathfinder's
section on Monitoring
and evaluation).
Potential capacity? | Are actors adapting? | Conflict with private interest? | Indication on salient approach | Example |
---|---|---|---|---|
Low | N/a | N/a | Practice: econom ic incentives or regulation. | Public actor
wanting to influence smallholder farmers faced with increasing droughts needing increased farm inputs, including drought resistant crops. |
High | Yes | N/a | Monitor
and evaluate. | Public actor wanting to influence coastal dwellers to take flood protection measures and actors are already adapting |
High | No | Yes | Practice: economic incentives or regulation. | Public actor wanting to influence farmers to keep migration corridors open in order to allow species to migrate and thus maintain biodiversity. |
High | No | No | Behaviour analysis: what constrains individual action? | Public
actor wanting to influence elder to adapt to increasing frequency of urban heat waves. |
This section is based on the UNEP PROVIA guidance document |
1. | You want to identify adaptation measures. | |
2. | Your focus is on public actors and on individual actions. | |
3. | The actors' potential capacity is high. | |
4. | As a next step you are faced with the question whether assessing the private actors are adapting autonomously. |