There is increasing policy interest in the
appraisal of options, as adaptation moves from theory to practice. At
the same time, it is recognised that the appraisal of climate change
adaptation involves a number of major challenges, particularly the
consideration of uncertainty. In response, a number of existing and new
decision support tools are being considered for adaptation.
The
European Commission FP7 funded MEDIATION project (Methodology for
Effective Decision-making on Impacts and AdaptaTION) is looking at
adaptation decision support tools, in line with its objectives to
advance the analysis of impacts, vulnerability and adaptation, and to
promote knowledge sharing through an Adaptation Platform. To complement
the information on the Platform, a series of Policy Briefing Notes have
been produced on Decision Support Methods for Climate Change Adaptation.
An
overview of all the decision support tools reviewed is
provided in
Policy
Briefing Note 1:
Method Overview, which summarises each method, discusses the
potential relevance for adaptation and provides guidance on their
potential applicability. The methods considered include existing
appraisal tools (cost-benefit analysis, cost-effectiveness analysis and
multicriteria analysis), as well as techniques that more fully address
uncertainty (real options analysis, robust decision making, portfolio
analysis and iterative risk (adaptive) management). It also includes
complementary tools that can assist in adaptation assessment, including
analytic hierarchy process, social network analysis and adaptation
turning points. Additional information on each method is presented in a
series of
separate
Policy Briefing Notes.
This Policy
Brief (Note 7) provides a summary of the
Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP).
It provides a brief synthesis of the approach, its strengths and
weaknesses, the relevance for adaptation, how it considers uncertainty,
and presents case study examples. It is stressed that this note only
provides an overview: more detailed information is available in
MEDIATION deliverables, and sources and links on the Adaptation
Platform.