Carolin Grumbach

I received a Master's degree (2019) in Mathematics from Bielefeld University. Afterwards I studied the Masters program Environmental Systems and Ressources Management at Osnabrück University. As a research associate at the Institute of Environmental Physics in Bremen and the DLR Oberpfaffenhofen (2020-2021), I worked on ML-based parameterizations for the radiation component of the ICON climate model. My PhD studies (since Oct 2021) at the Institute of Environmental Systems Research at Osnabrück University are concerned with the mathematical modelling of population dynamics in fragmented habitats.

Since I joined PIK in January 2024, I do event-based modeling of global socio-economic impacts of climate change. My main focus is on attribution research of tropical cyclone hazards, including wind, storm surge and extreme rainfall, and including all affected world regions.

Tropical cyclone sub-hazards: wind, surge, rain, with a focus on models that run on a global and long-term scale and the comparison of factual and counterfactual data sets (attribution).

• Grumbach, Carolin , et al. "The effect of dispersal on asymptotic total population size in discrete-and continuous-time two-patch models." Journal of Mathematical Biology 87.4 (2023): 60