Jens Heinke has a background in Hydrology, and water continues to be a major theme in his research. Other aspects include land use and land management, global biogeochemical cycles, and natural ecosystems. He contributes to the development of LPJmL and makes extensive use of the model in his work. He also coordinates and contributes to the efforts to intensify the interaction between LPJmL and MAgPIE.
Contact
14412 Potsdam
ORCID
| 2007–present | Researcher at Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research |
| 2015–2016 | Researcher at TUM (Freising, Germany) in Land Surface-Atmosphere Interactions group |
| 2014–2015 | Researcher at CSIRO (Brisbane, Australia) in Food Systems and Global Change team |
| 2011–2014 | Researcher at ILRI (Nairobi, Kenya) in Sustainable Livestock Systems program |
| 2007 | Diploma in Hydrology, Technische Universität Dresden |
2020
Heinke, J., Lannerstad, M., Gerten, D., Havlik, P., Herrero, M., Notenbaert, A., Hoff, H., Müller, C. (2020): Water use in global livestock production—Opportunities and constraints for increasing water productivity. - Water Resources Research, 56, e2019WR026995, https://doi.org/10.1029/2019WR026995
Pugh, T. A. M., Rademacher, T. T., Shafer, S. L., Steinkamp, J., Barichivich, J., Beckage, B., Haverd, V, Harper, A., Heinke, J., Nishina, K., Rammig, A., Sato, H., Arneth, A., Hantson, S., Hickler, T., Kautz, M., Quesada, B., Smith, B., Thonicke, K. (2020): Understanding the uncertainty in global forest carbon turnover. - Biogeosciences, 17, 3961–3989, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-17-3961-2020
Lutz, F., DelGrosso, S. J., Ogle, S., Williams, S., Minoli, S., Rolinski, S., Heinke, J., Stoorvogel, J. J., Müller, C. (2020): The importance of management information and soil moisture representation for simulating tillage effects on N2O emissions in LPJmL5.0-tillage, Geosci. Model Dev., 13, 3905–3923, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-3905-2020
2019
Lutz, F., Herzfeld, T., Heinke, J., Rolinski, S., Schaphoff, S., von Bloh, W., Stoorvogel, J. J., Müller, C. (2019): Simulating the effect of tillage practices with the global ecosystem model LPJmL (version 5.0-tillage). - Geosci. Model Dev., 12, 2419–2440, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-2419-2019
Porwollik, V., Rolinski, S., Heinke, J., and Müller, C. (2019): Generating a rule-based global gridded tillage dataset. - Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 11, 823–843, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-11-823-2019
Heinke, J., Müller, C., Lannerstad, M., Gerten, D., Lucht, W. (2019): Freshwater resources under success and failure of the Paris climate agreement. - Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 205–217, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-205-2019
Bugmann, H., Seidl, R., Hartig, F., Bohn, F., Brůna, J., Cailleret, M., François, L., Heinke, J., Henrot, A.-J., Hickler, T., Hülsmann, L., Huth, A., Jacquemin, I., Kollas, C., Lasch-Born, P., Lexer, M. J., Merganič, J., Merganičová, K., Mette, T., Miranda, B. R., Nadal-Sala, D., Rammer, W., Rammig, A., Reineking, B., Roedig, E., Sabaté, S., Steinkamp, J., Suckow, F., Vacchiano, G., Wild, J., Xu, C., Reyer, C. P. O. (2019): Tree mortality submodels drive simulated long‐term forest dynamics: assessing 15 models from the stand to global scale. - Ecosphere, 10, e02616, https://doi.org/10.1002/ecs2.2616
2018
Rammig, A., Heinke, J., Hofhansl, F., Verbeeck, H., Baker, T. R., Christoffersen, B., Ciais, P., De Deurwaerder, H., Fleischer, K., Galbraith, D., Guimberteau, M., Huth, A., Johnson, M., Krujit, B., Langerwisch, F., Meir, P., Papastefanou, P., Sampaio, G., Thonicke, K., von Randow, C., Zang, C., and Rödig, E. (2018):A generic pixel-to-point comparison for simulated large-scale ecosystem properties and ground-based observations: an example from the Amazon region. - Geosci. Model Dev., 11, 5203–5215, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-5203-2018
Jans, Y., Berndes, G., Heinke, J., Lucht, W., Gerten, D. (2018): Biomass production in plantations: Land constraints increase dependency on irrigation water. - GCB Bioenergy 10 (9), 628-644
Schaphoff, S., von Bloh, W., Rammig, A., Thonicke, K., Biemans, H., Forkel, M., Gerten, D., Heinke, J., Jägermeyr, J., Knauer, J., Langerwisch, F., Lucht, W., Müller, C., Rolinski, S., Waha, K. (2018): LPJmL4 – a dynamic global vegetation model with managed land – Part 1: Model description. - Geosci. Model Dev., 11, 1343-1375, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-1343-2018
Rolinski, S., Müller, C., Heinke, J., Weindl, I., Biewald, A., Bodirsky, B. L., Bondeau, A., Boons-Prins, E. R., Bouwman, A. F., Leffelaar, P. A., te Roller, J. A., Schaphoff, S., Thonicke, K. (2018): Modeling vegetation and carbon dynamics of managed grasslands at the global scale with LPJmL 3.6. - Geosci. Model Dev., 11, 429-451, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-429-2018
2017
Rödig, E., Cuntz, M., Heinke, J., Rammig, A., Huth, A. (2017): Spatial heterogeneity of biomass and forest structure of the Amazon rain forest: Linking remote sensing, forest modelling and field inventory. - Global Ecology and Biogeography 26 (11), 1292-1302
2016
Sakschewski, B., von Bloh, W., Boit, A., Poorter, L., Peña-Claros, M., Heinke, J., Joshi, J., Thonicke, K. (2016): Resilience of Amazon forests emerges from plant trait diversity. - Nature Climate Change 6 (11), 1032
Jägermeyr, J., Gerten, D., Schaphoff, S., Heinke, J., Lucht, W., Rockström, J. (2016): Integrated crop water management might sustainably halve the global food gap. - Environmental Research Letters 11 (2), 025002
2015
Jägermeyr, J., Gerten, D., Heinke, J., Schaphoff, S., Kummu, M., Lucht, W. (2015): Water savings potentials of irrigation systems: global simulation of processes and linkages. - Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 19, 3073–3091
Frieler, K., Levermann, A., Elliott, J., Heinke, J., Arneth, A., Bierkens, M. F. P., Ciais, P., Clark, D. B., Deryng, D., Döll, P., Falloon, P., Fekete, B., Folberth, C., Friend, A. D., Gellhorn, C., Gosling, S. N., Haddeland, I., Khabarov, N., Lomas, M., Masaki, Y., Nishina, K., Neumann, K., Oki, T., Pavlick, R., Ruane, A. C., Schmid, E., Schmitz, C., Stacke, T., Stehfest, E., Tang, Q., Wisser, D., Huber, V., Piontek, F., Warszawski, L., Schewe, J., Lotze-Campen, H., Schellnhuber, H. J. (2015): A framework for the cross-sectoral integration of multi-model impact projections: land use decisions under climate impacts uncertainties. - Earth Syst. Dynam., 6, 447-460, 2015
Elliott, J., Müller, C., Deryng, D., Chryssanthacopoulos, J., Boote, K. J., Büchner, M., Foster, I., Glotter, M., Heinke, J., Iizumi, T., Izaurralde, R. C., Mueller, N. D., Ray, D. K., Rosenzweig, C., Ruane, A. C., Sheffield, J. (2015): The Global Gridded Crop Model intercomparison: data and modeling protocols for Phase 1 (v1.0). - Geoscientific Model Development, 8, 261-277, doi:10.5194/gmd-8-261-2015
Steffen, W., Richardson, K., Rockström, J., Cornell, S., Fetzer, I., Bennett, E. M., Biggs, R., Carpenter, S. R., de Vries, W., de Wit, C. A., Folke, C., Gerten, D., Heinke, J., Mace, G. M., Persson, L. M., Ramanathan, V., Reyers, B., Sörlin, S. (2015): Planetary Boundaries: Guiding human development on a changing planet. - Science, 347, doi:10.1126/science.1259855
Bonsch, M., Popp, A., Biewald, A., Rolinski, S., Schmitz, C., Hoegner, K., Heinke, J., Ostberg, S., Dietrich, J. P., Bodirsky, B., Lotze-Campen, H., Stevanovic, M., Humpenöder, F., Weindl, I. (2015): Environmental flow provision: implications for agricultural water and land-use at the global scale. - Global Environmental Change, 30, 113–132, doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2014.10.015
2014
Zemp, D. C., Schleussner, C.-F., Barbosa, H. M. J., van der Ent, R. J., Donges, J. F., Heinke, J., Sampaio, G., Rammig, A. (2014): On the importance of cascading moisture recycling in South America. - Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 14, 13337-13359, doi:10.5194/acp-14-13337-2014
Esnault, L., Gleeson, T., Wada, Y., Flanary, E., Bierkens, M. F. P., van Beek, L. P. H., Heinke, J., Gerten, D. (2014): Linking groundwater use and stress to specific crops using the groundwater footprint in the Central Valley and High Plains aquifer systems, USA. - Water Resources Research, 50(6), 4953–4973, doi:10.1002/2013WR014792
Müller, C., Waha, K., Bondeau, A., Heinke, J. (2014): Hotspots of climate change impacts in sub-Saharan Africa and implications for adaptation and development. - Global Change Biology, 20(8), 2505–2517, doi:10.1111/gcb.12586
Schewe, J., Heinke, J., Gerten, D., Haddeland, I., Arnell, N. W., Clark, D., Dankers, R., Eisner, S., Fekete, B., Colón-González, F. J., Gosling, S., Kim, H., Liu, X., Masaki, Y., Portmann, F. T., Satoh, Y., Stacke, T., Tang, Q., Wada, Y., Wisser, D., Albrecht, T., Frieler, K., Piontek, F., Warszawski, L., Kabat, P. (2014): Multimodel assessment of water scarcity under climate change. - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS), 111 (9), 3245-3250, doi:10.1073/pnas.1222460110
Haddeland, I., Heinke, J., Biemans, H., Eisner, S., Flörke, M., Hanasaki, N., Konzmann, M., Ludwig, F., Masaki, Y., Schewe, J., Stacke, T., Tessler, Z., Wada, Y., Wisser D. (2014): Global water resources affected by human interventions and climate change - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS), 111 (9), 3251-3256, doi:10.1073/pnas.1222475110
Dankers, R., Arnell, N., Clark, D. B., Falloon, P. D., Fekete, B. M., Gosling, S. N., Heinke, J., Kim, H., Masaki, Y., Satoh, Y., Stacke, T., Wada, Y., Wisser, D. (2014): First look at changes in flood hazard in the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project ensemble. - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS), 111 (9), 3257-3261, doi:10.1073/pnas.1302078110
Rockström, J., Falkenmark, M., Folke, C., Lannerstad, M., Barron, J., Enfors, E., Gordon, L., Heinke, J., Hoff, H., Pahl-Wostl, C. (2014): Water resilience for human prosperity. - Cambridge : Cambridge University Press
Kummu, M., Gerten, D., Heinke, J., Konzmann, M., Varis, O. (2014): Climate-driven interannual variability of water scarcity in food production potential: a global analysis. - Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 18, 447-461, doi:10.5194/hess-18-447-2014
2013
Heinke, J., Ostberg, S., Schaphoff, S., Frieler, K., Müller, C., Gerten, D., Meinshausen, M., Lucht, W. (2013): A new climate dataset for systematic assessments of climate change impacts as a function of global warming. - Geoscientific Model Development, 6, 1689-1703, doi:10.5194/gmd-6-1689-2013
Gerten, D., Lucht, W., Ostberg, S., Heinke, J., Kowarsch, M., Kreft, H., Kundzewicz, Z. W., Rastgooy, J., Warren, R., Schellnhuber, H. J. (2013): Asynchronous exposure to global warming: freshwater resources and terrestrial ecosystems. - Environmental Research Letters, 8, 034032
Schaphoff, S., Ursula Heyder, U., Ostberg, S., Gerten, D., Heinke, J., Lucht, W. (2013): Contribution of permafrost soils to the global carbon budget. - Environmental Research Letters, 8, 014026
Ran, Y., Deutsch, L., Lannerstad, M., Heinke, J. (2013): Rapidly intensified beef production in Uruguay: Impacts on water-related ecosystem services. - Aquatic Procedia, 1, 77-87, doi:10.1016/j.aqpro.2013.07.00
Hagemann, S., Chen, C., Clark, D. B., Folwell, S., Gosling, S. N., Haddeland, I., Hanasaki, N., Heinke, J., Ludwig, F., Voß, F., Wiltshire, A. J. (2013): Climate change impact on available water resources obtained using multiple global climate and hydrology models. - Earth System Dynamics, 4, 129-144, 2013, doi:10.5194/esd-4-129-2013
2012
Waha, K., Müller, C., Bondeau, A., Dietrich, J. P., Kurukulasuriya, P., Heinke, J., Lotze-Campen, H. (2012): Adaptation to climate change through the choice of cropping system and sowing date in sub-Saharan Africa. - Global Environmental Change, doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2012.11.001
Konzmann, M., Gerten, D., Heinke, J. (2012): Climate impacts on global irrigation requirements under 19 GCMs, simulated with a vegetation and hydrology model. - Hydrological Sciences Journal - Journal des Sciences Hydrologiques
Füssel, H.-M., Heinke, J., Popp, A., Gerten, D. (2012): Climate Change and Water Supply. - In: Edenhofer, O., Wallacher, J., Lotze-Campen, H., Reder, M., Knopf, B., Müller, J. (Eds.), Climate Change, Justice and Sustainability. Dordrecht : Springer, 19-32
Gudmundsson, L., Tallaksen, L. M., Stahl, K., Clark, D. B., Dumont, E., Hagemann, S., Bertrand, N., Gerten, D., Heinke, J., Hanasaki, N., Voß, F., Koirala, S. (2012): Comparing large-scale hydrological model simulations to observed runoff percentiles in Europe. - Journal of Hydrometeorology, 13, 2, 604-620
Haddeland, I., Heinke, J., Voß, F., Eisner, S., Chen, C., Hagemann, S., Ludwig, F. (2012): Effects of climate model radiation, humidity and wind estimates on hydrological simulations. - Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 16, 2, 305-318
2011
Haddeland, I., Clark, D. B., Franssen, W., Ludwig, F., Voß, F., Arnell, N. W., Bertrand, N., Best, M., Folwell, S., Gerten, D., Gomes, S., Gosling, S. N., Hagemann, S., Hanasaki, N., Harding, R., Heinke, J., Kabat, P., Koirala, S., Oki, T., Polcher, J., Stacke, T., Viterbo, P., Weedon, G. P., Yeh, P. (2011): Multimodel estimate of the terrestrial global water balance: setup and first results. - Journal of Hydrometeorology, 12, 5, 869-884
Hagemann, S., Chen, C., Härter, J. O., Heinke, J., Gerten, D., Piani, C. (2011): Impact of a statistical bias correction on the projected hydrological changes obtained from three GCMs and two hydrology models. - Journal of Hydrometeorology, 12, 4, 556-578
Yeh, S., Berndes, G., Mishra, G. S., Wani, S. P., Neto, A. E., Suh, S., Karlberg, L., Heinke, J., Garg, K. K. (2011): Evaluation of water use for bioenergy at different scales. - Biofuels, Bioproducts and Biorefining, 5, 4, 361-374
Fader, M., Gerten, D., Thammer, M., Heinke, J., Lotze-Campen, H., Lucht, W., Cramer, W. (2011): Internal and external green-blue agricultural water footprints of nations, and related water and land savings through trade. - Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 15, 5, 1641-1660
Biemans, H., Haddeland, I., Kabat, P., Ludwig, F., Hutjes, R. W. A., Heinke, J., von Bloh, W., Gerten, D. (2011): Impact of reservoirs on river discharge and irrigation water supply during the 20th century. - Water Resources Research, 47, W03509
Gerten, D., Heinke, J., Hoff, H., Biemanns, H., Fader, M., Waha, K. (2011): Global water availability and requirements for future food production. - Journal of Hydrometeorology, 12, 885-899
2010
Rammig, A., Jupp, T., Thonicke, K., Tietjen, B., Heinke, J., Ostberg, S., Lucht, W., Cramer, W., Cox, P. (2010): Estimating the risk of Amazonian forest dieback. - New Phytologist, 184, 3, 694-706
Poulter, B., Aragão, L., Heyder, U., Gumpenberger, M., Heinke, J., Langerwisch, F., Rammig, A., Thonicke, K., Cramer, W. (2010): Net biome production of the Amazon basin in the 21st Century. - Global Change Biology, 16, 7, 2062-2075
Jung, M., Reichstein, M., Ciais, P., Seneviratne, S. I., Sheffield, J., Goulden, M. L., Bonan, G., Cescatti, A., Chen, J., de Jeu, R., Dolman, A. J., Eugster, W., Gerten, D., Gianelle, D., Gobron, N., Heinke, J., Kimball, J., Law, B. E., Montagnani, L., Mu, Q., Mueller, B., Oleson, K., Papale, D., Richardson, A. D., Roupsard, O., Running, S., Tomelleri, E., Viovy, N., Weber, U., Williams, C., Wood, E., Zaehle, S., Zhang, K. (2010): Recent decline in the global land evapotranspiration trend due to limited moisture supply. - Nature, 467, 7318, 951-954
Gerten, D., Heinke, J., Hoff, H. (2010): Estimating green-blue water availability and needs for global food production In: (Ed.) The Global Dimension of Change in River Basins, Bonn
Füssel, H.-M., Heinke, J., Popp, A. (2010): Klimawandel und Wasserversorgung. - In: Edenhofer, O., Wallacher, J., Reder, M., Lotze-Campen, H. (Eds.), Global aber gerecht. München : Beck, 30-38
2009
Gerten, D., Heinke, J. (2009): Geht uns das Wasser aus? Globale Wasservorräte und -knappheiten heute und in der Zukunft. - Universitas, 64, 757, 665-675
- Extreme climate impacts interacting across sectors (EXIMO), a project within Module C of the BMBF Research Network on Climate Change and Extremes (climXtreme)
- Global Commons Stewardship Project, a project with Tokyo University and World Resource Institute
- Earth System Models in the Future (ESM2025), a Horizon 2020 project
