Publications

• My ORCID ID: orcid.org/0000-0001-5233-7703
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Selected publications

S0 copan reader: a curated collection of copan research papers:
Donges, J. F., Heitzig, J. (Eds.), World-Earth Dynamics in the Anthropocene: A Copan Reader 2013 - 2022 (2023), 2nd edition, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, DOI: 10.48485/pik.2021.004

S1 J.F. Donges, W. Lucht, S.E. Cornell, J. Heitzig, W. Barfuss, S.J. Lade, and M. Schlüter,
Taxonomies for structuring models for World-Earth system analysis of the Anthropocene: subsystems, their interactions and social-ecological feedback loops,
Earth System Dynamics 12, 1115–1137 (2021),
DOI: 10.5194/esd-12-1115-2021.

S2 J.F. Donges*/J. Heitzig*, W. Barfuss, M. Wiedermann, J.A. Kassel, T. Kittel, J.J. Kolb, T. Kolster, F. Müller-Hansen, I.M. Otto, K.B. Zimmerer, and W. Lucht,
Earth system modeling with endogenous and dynamic human societies: the copan:CORE open World-Earth modeling framework,
Earth System Dynamics 11, 395–413 (2020),
DOI: 10.5194/esd-11-395-2020,
* The first two authors share the lead authorship.

S3 J.F. Donges*/I.M. Otto*, R. Cremades, A. Bhowmik, R. Hewitt, W. Lucht, J. Rockström, F. Allerberger, S. Doe, A. Lenferna, M. McCaffrey, N. Morán, D.P. van Vuuren, H.J. Schellnhuber,
Social tipping dynamics for stabilizing Earth’s climate by 2050,
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA (PNAS) 117(5), 2354–2365 (2020),
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1900577117,
* The first two authors share the lead authorship,
PIK press release, SRC news, New York Times.

S4 W. Steffen, J. Rockström, K. Richardson, T.M. Lenton, C. Folke, D. Liverman, C.P. Summerhayes, A.D. Barnosky, S.E. Cornell, M. Crucifix, J.F. Donges, I. Fetzer, S.J. Lade, M. Scheffer, R. Winkelmann, and H.J. Schellnhuber,
Trajectories of the Earth system in the Anthropocene,
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA (PNAS) 115(33), 8252–8259 (2018),
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1810141115,
PIK press release, SRC press release.

S5 J.F. Donges*/R. Winkelmann*, W. Lucht, S.E. Cornell, J.G. Dyke, J. Rockström, J. Heitzig, and H.J. Schellnhuber,
Closing the loop: reconnecting human dynamics to Earth system science,
The Anthropocene Review 4(2), 151–157 (2017),
DOI: 10.1177/2053019617725537,
* The first two authors share the lead authorship,
News release (Stockholm Resilience Centre).

S6 J.F. Donges, J. Heitzig, B. Beronov, M. Wiedermann, J. Runge, Q.-Y. Feng, L. Tupikina, V. Stolbova, R.V. Donner, N. Marwan, H.A. Dijkstra, and J. Kurths,
Unified functional network and nonlinear time series analysis for complex systems science: The pyunicorn package,
Chaos 25, 113101 (2015),
DOI: 10.1063/1.4934554,
Preprint: arxiv.org:1507.01571 [physics.data-an],
Press release (American Institute of Physics),
News release (PIK, English and German),
News release (Stockholm Resilience Centre, English).

S7 J.F. Donges, R.V. Donner, M.H. Trauth, N. Marwan, H.J. Schellnhuber and J. Kurths,
Nonlinear detection of paleoclimate-variability transitions possibly related to human evolution,
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA (PNAS) 108, 20422-20427 (2011),
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1117052108,
Press release (PIK), FAZ article, Hamburger Abendblatt article.

In review and discussion

P143 N. Wunderling, S. Perri, J. Rockström, M. Oppenheimer, A. Porporato, J.F. Donges, S.A. Levin, W. Barfuss,
Concerted efforts of politics, society and science mitigate climate tipping risks in a coupled human-Earth system model,
in review (2024).

P142 M. Bechthold, W. Barfuss, A. Butz, J. Breier, S.M. Constantino, J. Heitzig, L. Schwarz, S.N. Vardag, J.F. Donges,
Social norms and groups structure safe operating spaces in renewable resource use in a social-ecological multi-layer network model,
in review (2024),
preprint EGUSphere (2024), DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2024-2924.

P141 R. Winkelmann, J. Garbe, J.F. Donges, T. Albrecht,
Mapping tipping risks from Antarctic ice basins under global warming,
in review (2024).

P140 W.S. Oh, W. Barfuss, J.F. Donges, S. Levin, D. Rubenstein,
Independent or interdependent? Migration timing dynamics and their association with external stressors,
in review (2024).

P139 W. Barfuss, J.F. Donges, M. Bethge,
Ecologically-mediated collective action in commons with tipping elements,
in review (2024),
preprint OSF, DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/7pcnm.

P138 ..., J.F. Donges, et al.,
Resilience metrics need to better incorporate agency and diversity,
in review (2023).

P137 S. Loriani, Y. Aksenov, D. Armstrong McKay, G. Bala, A. Born, C.M. Chiessi, H. Dijkstra, J.F. Donges, S. Drijfhout, M.H. England, A.V. Fedorov, L. Jackson, K. Kornhuber, G. Messori, F. Pausata, S. Rynders, J.-B. Salée, B. Sinha, S. Sherwood, D. Swingedouw, T. Tharammal,
Tipping points in ocean and atmosphere circulations,
EGUsphere [preprint], Earth System Dynamics, in review (2023),
DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2023-2589.

P136 E.K. Smith*/N. Kitzmann*/M. Milkoreit*/R. Winkelmann*, A.-S. Crépin, C. Eder, N. Harring, J. Heitzig, A. Katsanidou, T.M. Lenton, F. Mauelshagen, K. Minor, I.M. Otto, A. Rezai, J. Scheffran, I. Stadelmann-Steffen, R. van der Ploeg, N. Wunderling, J.F. Donges*,
Criticality and critical agency in societal tipping processes towards sustainability,
in review (2023),
* shared lead-authorship.

P135 E.K. Smith, C. Eder, J.F. Donges, J. Heitzig, A. Katsandiou, M. Wiedermann, R. Winkelmann,
Domino Effects in the Earth System - The role of wanted social tipping points,
in review (2022),
preprint OSF, DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/d8scb,
old preprint arXiv:1911.10063 [physics.soc-ph].

P134 A. van Kan, J. Jegminat, J.F. Donges,
Estimating nonlinear stability from time series data,
in review (2021),
preprint arXiv:2112.03260 [physics.data-an].

P133 J.F. Donges*/B. Ewers*, J. Heitzig, S. Peterson,
Divestment may burst the carbon bubble if investors' beliefs tip to anticipating strong future climate policy,
preprint arxiv: http://arxiv.org/abs/1902.07481,
* Shared lead-authorship.

P132 S.J. Lade, Ö. Bodin, J.F. Donges, E.E. Kautsky, D. Galafassi, P. Olsson, and M. Schlüter,
Modelling social-ecological transformations: an adaptive network proposal,
Preprint: arxiv:1704.06135 [nlin.AO].

In press

P131 J.P. Everall, J.F. Donges, I.M Otto,
The Pareto effect in tipping social networks: from minority to majority,
Earth System Dynamics, in press (2024),
preprint EGUSphere, DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2023-2241.

P130 E.K. Smith*/M. Wiedermann*, J.F. Donges, J. Heitzig, R. Winkelmann,
A global social activation model of enabling conditions for positive social tipping - the role of sea-level rise anticipation and climate change concern,
Earth System Dynamics, in press (2024),
preprint EGUSphere, DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2023-1622,
* shared lead-authorship.

P129 J. Rockström, J.F. Donges, I. Fetzer, M.A. Martin, L. Wang-Erlandsson, K. Richardson,
The science on planetary boundaries as a guide to humanity's future on Earth,
Nature Reviews in Earth & Environment, in press (2024).

P128 S. Loriani, A. Bartsch, E. Calamita, J. F. Donges, S. Hebden, M. Hirota, A. Landolfi, T. Nagler, B. Sakschewski, A. Staal, J. Verbesselt, R. Winkelmann, R. Wood, N. Wunderling,
Monitoring the multiple stages of climate tipping  systems from space: Do the GCOS Essential Climate Variables meet the needs?,
Surveys in Geophysics, in press (2024).

Peer-reviewed articles

2024

P127 V. Spaiser, S. Juhola, S.M. Constantino, W. Guo, T. Watson, J. Sillmann, A. Craparo, A. Basel, J.T. Bruun, K. Krishnamurthy, J. Scheffran, P. Pinho, U.T. Okpara, J.F. Donges, A. Bhowmik, T. Yasseri, R. Safra de Campos, G.S. Cumming, H. Chenet, F. Krampe, J.F. Abrams,
Negative social tipping dynamics resulting from and reinforcing Earth system destabilisation,
Earth System Dynamics 15, 1179–1206,  (2024),
DOI: 10.5194/esd-15-1179-2024,
EGUsphere [preprint], DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2023-1475.

P126 T. Möller, A.E. Högner, C.-F. Schleussner, S. Bien, N.H. Kitzmann, R.D. Lamboll, J. Rogelj, J.F. Donges, J. Rockström, N. Wunderling,
Achieving net zero greenhouse gas emissions critical to limit climate tipping risks,
Nature Communications 15, 6192 (2024),
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-49863-0,
PIK press release.

P125 A. Klein, K. Unverzagt, R. Alba, J.F. Donges, T. Hertz, T. Krüger, E. Lindkvist, R. Martin, J. Niewöhner, H. Prawitz, M. Schlüter,  L. Schwarz, N. Wijermans,
Situated Modelling: An interdisciplinary framework for knowing a world in transformation,
Ecosystems & People 20, 2361706 (2024),
DOI: 10.1080/26395916.2024.2361706.

P124 A.K. Klose, J.F. Donges, U. Feudel, R. Winkelmann,
Rate-induced tipping cascades arising from interactions between the Greenland Ice Sheet and the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation,
Earth System Dynamics 15, 635–652 (2024),
DOI: 10.5194/esd-15-635-2024,
preprint ESD Discussions: DOI: 10.5194/esd-2023-20.

P123 J. Rockström, L. Kotzé, S. Milutinovic, F. Biermann, V. Brovkin, J.F. Donges, J. Ebbesson, D. French, J. Gupta, R.E. Kim, T.M. Lenton, D. Lenzi, N. Nakicenovic, B. Neumann, F. Schuppert, R. Winkelmann, K. Bosselmann, C. Folke, W. Lucht, D. Schlosberg, K. Richardson, W. Steffen,
The planetary commons: a new paradigm for safeguarding Earth regulating systems in the Anthropocene,
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA (PNAS) 21, e2301531121 (2024),
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2301531121.

Climate tipping points and interactions: A review,
Earth System Dynamics 15, 41–74 (2024),
DOI: 10.5194/esd-15-41-2024,
EGUsphere [preprint], DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2023-1576.

P121 V. Benson, J.F. Donges, N. Boers, M. Hirota, A. Morr, A. Staal, J. Vollmer, N. Wunderling,
Measuring tropical rainforest resilience under non-Gaussian disturbances,
Environmental Research Letters 19, 024029 (2024),
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad1e80,
preprint: arXiv:2310.16021 [physics.ao-ph].

P120 F. Schunck, M. Wiedermann, J. Heitzig, J.F. Donges,
A dynamic network model of societal complexity and resilience inspired by Tainter's theory of collapse,
Entropy 26, 98 (2024),
DOI: 10.3390/e26020098,
preprint arXiv.org/abs/2102.06698 [physics.soc-ph].

P119 M. Lawrence, T. Homer-Dixon, S. Janzwood, J. Rockström, O. Renn, J.F. Donges,
Global Polycrisis: The Causal Mechanisms of Crisis Entanglement,
Global Sustainability, online first (2024),
DOI: 10.1017/sus.2024.1.

2023

P118 P.S. Jørgensen, R.E. V. Jansen, D.I. Avila Ortega, L. Wang Erlandsson, J.F. Donges, H. Österblom, P. Olsson, M. Nyström, S. Lade, T. Hahn, C. Folke, G.D. Peterson, A.-S. Crépin,
Evolution of the polycrisis: Anthropocene traps that challenge global sustainability,
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B 379, online first (2024),
DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2022.0261.

P117 J.M. Anderies, W. Barfuss, J.F. Donges, I. Fetzer, J. Heitzig, J. Rockström,
A modeling framework for World-Earth System resilience: exploring social inequality and Earth system tipping points,
Environmental Research Letters 18, 095001 (2023),
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ace91d,
preprint arXiv:2204.04471 [physics.soc-ph].

P116 K. Richardson, W. Steffen, W. Lucht, J. Bendtsen, S.E. Cornell, J.F. Donges, M. Drüke, I. Fetzer, W. von Bloh,  D. Nogues Bravo, G. Feulner, S. Fiedler, D. Gerten, T. Gleeson, G. Bala, M. Hoffmann, W. Huiskamp,  M. Kummu, C. Mohan, S. Petri, M. Porkka, S. Rahmstorf, S. Schaphoff, K. Thonicke, A. Tobian, V. Virkki, L. Wang-Erlandsson, L. Weber, J. Rockström,
Earth beyond six of nine planetary boundaries,
Science Advances 9,eadh2458(2023),
DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.adh2458,
PIK press release.

P115 H. Mevenkamp, N. Wunderling, U. Batt, T. Carman, J.F. Donges, H. Gennet, S. Serbin, R. Winkelmann, E.S. Euskirchen,
Reducing uncertainty of high-latitude ecosystem models through identification of key parameters,
Environmental Research Letters 18, 084032 (2023),
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ace637.

P114 S. Bien, P. Schultz, J. Heitzig, J.F. Donges,
Resilience basins of complex systems: an application to prosumer impacts on power grids,
Chaos 33, 063148 (2023),
DOI: 10.1063/5.0120891,
preprint arXiv:2108.09474 [physics.soc-ph].

P113 N. Wunderling, R. Winkelmann, J. Rockström, S. Loriani, D.I. Armstrong McKay, P.D.L. Ritchie, B. Sakschewski, J.F. Donges,
Global warming overshoots increase risks of climate tipping cascades in a network model,
Nature Climate Change 13, 75–82 (2023),
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-022-01545-9,
preprint ResearchSquare, DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-1418830/v1.

2022

P112 N. Wunderling, A. Staal, B. Sakschewski, M. Hirota, O.A. Tuinenburg, J.F. Donges, H.M.J. Barbosa, R. Winkelmann,
Recurrent droughts increase risk of cascading tipping events by outpacing adaptive capacities in the Amazon rainforest,
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA (PNAS) 119 (32), e2120777119 (2022),
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2120777119,
PIK press release.

P111 M. Zeitz, J.M. Haacker, J.F. Donges, T. Albrecht, R. Winkelmann,
Dynamic regimes of the Greenland Ice Sheet emerging from interacting melt-elevation and glacial isostatic adjustment feedbacks,
Earth System Dynamics 13, 1077–1096  (2022),
DOI: 10.5194/esd-13-1077-2022.

P110 L.A. Tamberg, J. Heitzig, J.F. Donges,
A modeler's guide to studying the resilience of social-technical-environmental systems,
Environmental Research Letters 17, 055005 (2022),
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac60d9
Preprint arXiv:2007.05769 [physics.soc-ph] (2020).

P109 N.H. Kitzmann, P. Romanczuk, N. Wunderling,  J.F. Donges,
Detecting contagious spreading of urban innovations on the global city network,
European Physical Journal Special Topics 231, 1609–1624 (2022),
DOI: 10.1140/epjs/s11734-022-00470-4,
preprint arXiv:2111.05709 [physics.soc-ph].

P108 J.F. Donges*/R. Winkelmann*/E.K. Smith*/M. Milkoreit*, C. Eder, J. Heitzig, A. Katsanidou, M. Wiedermann, N. Wunderling, T.M. Lenton,
Social tipping processes for climate action: a conceptual framework,
Ecological Economics 192, 107242 (2022),
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2021.107242,
preprint arXiv:2010.04488 [physics.soc-ph],
preprint SSRN:3708161,
* shared lead-authorship.

2021

P107 A.K. Klose, N.Wunderling, R. Winkelmann, J.F. Donges,
What do we mean, 'tipping cascade'?,
Environmental Research Letters 16, 125011 (2021),
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac3955,
preprint arXiv:2108.09550 [physics.geo-ph].

P106 O. Chu, J.F. Donges, G. Pop-Eleches, G.B. Robertson,
The microdynamics of spatial polarization: a model and an application to survey data from Ukraine,
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA (PNAS) 118(50), e2104194118 (2021),
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2104194118.

P105 J.F. Donges, W. Lucht, S.E. Cornell, J. Heitzig, W. Barfuss, S.J. Lade, and M. Schlüter,
Taxonomies for structuring models for World-Earth system analysis of the Anthropocene: subsystems, their interactions and social-ecological feedback loops,
Earth System Dynamics 12, 1115–1137 (2021),
DOI: 10.5194/esd-12-1115-2021.

P104 N. Marwan, J.F. Donges, R.V. Donner, D. Eroglu,
Nonlinear time series analysis of palaeoclimate proxy records,
Quaternary Science Reviews 274, 107245 (2021),
DOI: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2021.107245

P103 M.A. Martin, O. Alcaraz Sendra, A. Bastos, N. Bauer, C. Bertram , T. Blenckner , K. Bowen, P.M. Brando, T. Brodie Rudolph, M. Büchs, M. Bustamante, D. Chen, H. Cleugh, P. Dasgupta, F. Denton, J.F. Donges, F. Kwabena Donkor, H. Duan, C.M. Duarte, K.L. Ebi, C.M.  Edwards, A. Engel, E. Fisher, S. Fuss, J. Gaertner, A. Gettelman,  C.A.J. Girardin, N.R. Golledge, J.F. Green, M.R. Grose, M. Hashizume, S. Hebden, H. Hepach, M. Hirota, H.-H. Hsu, S. Kojima, S. Lele, S. Lorek, H.K. Lotze, H.D. Matthews, D. McCauley, D. Mebratu, N. Mengis, R.H. Nolan, E. Pihl, S. Rahmstorf,  A. Redman, C.E. Reid, J. Rockström, J. Rogelj, M. Saunois, L. Sayer, P. Schlosser, G.B. Sioen, J.H. Spangenberg, D. Stammer, T.N.S. Sterner, N. Stevens, K. Thonicke, H. Tian, R. Winkelmann, J. Woodcock,
Ten new insights in climate science 2021 – a horizon scan,
Global Sustainability 4, E25 (2021),
DOI: 10.1017/sus.2021.25

P102 J.F. Donges*/J. Lochner*, N. Kitzmann, J. Heitzig, S. Lehmann, M. Wiedermann, J. Vollmer,
Dose-response functions and surrogate data models for exploring social contagion in the Copenhagen Networks Study,
European Physical Journal Special Topics 230, 3311–3334 (2021),
DOI: 10.1140/epjs/s11734-021-00279-7,
preprint arxiv.org/abs/2103.09496 [physics.soc-ph],
* shared lead authorship.

P101 J. Kohler, N. Wunderling, J.F. Donges, J. Vollmer,
Complex networks of interacting stochastic tipping elements: cooperativity of phase separation in the large-system limit,
Physical Review E 104, 044301 (2021),
DOI: 10.1103/PhysRevE.104.044301,
preprint arXiv:2104.09299 [physics.soc-ph].

P100 V. Brovkin, E. Brook, J.H. Williams, S. Bathiany, T.M. Lenton, M. Barton,  R.M. DeConto, J.F. Donges, A. Ganopolski, J. McManus, S. Praetorius, A. de Vernal, A. Abe-­Ouchi, H. Cheng, M. Claussen, M. Crucifix, G. Gallopin, V. Iglesias, D.S. Kaufman, T. Kleinen, F. Lambert, S. van der Leeuw, H. Liddy, M.-­F. Loutre, D. McGee, K. Rehfeld, R. Rhodes, A. Seddon, M.H. Trauth, L. Vanderverken, Z. Yu,
Past abrupt changes, tipping points and cascading impacts in the Earth system,
Nature Geoscience 14, 550–558 (2021),
DOI: 10.1038/s41561-021-00790-5.

P99 J. Bak-Coleman, M. Alfano, W. Barfuss, C. Bergstrom, M.A. Centeno, I.D. Couzin, J.F. Donges, M. Galesic, A. Gersick, J. Jacquet, A. Kao, R.E. Moran, P. Romanczuk, D.I. Rubenstein, K. Tombak, J.J. Van Bavel, E.U. Weber,
Stewardship of global collective behavior,
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA (PNAS) 118, e2025764118 (2021),
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2025764118.

P98 N. Wunderling, J. Krönke, V. Wohlfarth, J. Kohler, J. Heitzig, A. Staal, S. Willner, R. Winkelmann, J.F. Donges,
Modelling nonlinear dynamics of interacting tipping elements on complex networks: the PyCascades package,
European Physical Journal Special Topics 230, 3163–3176 (2021),
DOI: 10.1140/epjs/s11734-021-00155-4,
preprint arXiv:2011.02031 [physics.soc-ph].

P97 N. Wunderling, J.F. Donges, J. Kurths, R. Winkelmann,
Interacting tipping elements increase risk of climate domino effects under global warming,
Earth System Dynamics 12, 601–619 (2021),
DOI: 10.5194/esd-12-601-2021,
Discussion paper: DOI: 10.5194/esd-2020-18.

P96 S.H.R. Rosier, R. Reese, J.F. Donges, J. De Rydt, G.H. Gudmundsson, R. Winkelmann,
The tipping points and early-warning indicators for Pine Island Glacier, West Antarctica,
The Cryosphere 15, 1501–1516 (2021),
DOI: 10.5194/tc-15-1501-2021.

P95 M. Wiedermann, J.F. Siegmund, J.F. Donges, and R.V. Donner,
Differential imprints of distinct ENSO flavors in global patterns of very low and high seasonal precipitation,
Frontiers in Climate 3, 618548 (2021),
DOI: 10.3389/fclim.2021.618548,
Preprint: arxiv:1702:00218 [physics.ao-ph].

2020

P94 N. Wunderling, M. Gelbrecht, R. Winkelmann, J. Kurths, J.F. Donges,
Basin stability and limit cycles in a conceptual model for climate tipping cascades,
New Journal of Physics 22, 123031 (2020),
DOI: 10.1088/1367-2630/abc98a,
Preprint arXiv:2009.09902 [physics.ao-ph] (2020).

P93 N. Wunderling, M. Willeit, J.F. Donges, and R. Winkelmann,
Global warming due to loss of large ice masses and Arctic summer sea ice,
Nature Communications 11, 5177 (2020),
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-020-18934-3,
PIK press release.

P92 J. Garbe, T. Albrecht, J.F. Donges, A. Levermann, and R. Winkelmann,
Hysteresis of the Antarctic ice sheet,
Nature 585, 538–544 (2020),
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-020-2727-5

P91 M. Wiedermann, E.K. Smith, J. Heitzig, J.F. Donges,
A network-based microfoundation of Granovetter's threshold model for social tipping,
Nature Scientific Reports 10, 11202 (2020),
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-67102-6,
preprint arXiv:1911.04126 [physics.soc-ph].

P90 A.K. Klose, V. Karle, R. Winkelmann, J.F. Donges,
Emergence of cascading dynamics in interacting tipping elements of ecology and climate,
Royal Society Open Science 7, 200599 (2020),
DOI: 10.1098/rsos.200599
preprint arXiv:1910.12042 [physics.geo-ph].

P89 J.-D. Mathias, M. Debeljak, G. Deffuant, A. Diemer, F. Dierickx, J.F. Donges, G. Gladkykh, J. Heitzig, G. Holtz, W. Obergassel, F. Pellaud, A. Sánchez, A. Trajanov, N. Videira,
Grounding social foundations for Integrated Assessment Models of climate change,
Earth's Future 8, e2020EF001573 (2020),
DOI: 10.1029/2020EF001573.

P88 W. Barfuss, J.F. Donges, V.V. Vasconcelos, J. Kurths, S.A. Levin,
Caring for the future can turn tragedy into comedy for long-term collective action under risk of collapse,
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA 117, 12915–12922 (2020),
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1916545117,
PIK news piece, SRC news piece.

P87 J.F. Donges*/J. Heitzig*, W. Barfuss, M. Wiedermann, J.A. Kassel, T. Kittel, J.J. Kolb, T. Kolster, F. Müller-Hansen, I.M. Otto, K.B. Zimmerer, and W. Lucht,
Earth system modeling with endogenous and dynamic human societies: the copan:CORE open World-Earth modeling framework,
Earth System Dynamics 11, 395–413 (2020),
DOI: 10.5194/esd-11-395-2020,
* The first two authors share the lead authorship.

P86 J. Krönke, N. Wunderling, R. Winkelmann, A. Staal, B. Stumpf, O.A. Tuinenburg, J.F. Donges,
Dynamics of tipping cascades on complex networks,
Physical Review E 101, 042311 (2020),
DOI: 10.1103/PhysRevE.101.042311,
preprint arXiv:1905.05476 [physics.soc-ph].

P85 N. Wunderling*/B. Stumpf*, J. Krönke, A. Staal, O.A. Tuinenburg, R. Winkelmann, J.F. Donges,
How motifs condition critical thresholds for tipping cascades in complex networks: linking micro- to macro-scales,
Chaos 30, 043129 (2020),
DOI: 10.1063/1.5142827,
preprint arXiv:2001.02169 [nlin.AO],
* The first two authors share the lead authorship,
AIP Scilight: Microscale rainforest interactions can result in vulnerabilities across large regions.

P84 T. Ide, C. Fröhlich, J.F. Donges,
The Economic, Political, and Social Implications of Environmental Crises,
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS) 101, E364–E367 (2020),
DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0257.1.

P83 T. Ide, M. Brzoska, J.F. Donges, C.-F. Schleussner,
Multi-method evidence for when and how climate-related disasters contribute to armed conflict risk,
Global Environmental Change 62, 102063 (2020),
DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2020.102063.

P82 M. Mahecha, F. Gans, G. Brandt, R. Christiansen, S.E. Cornell, N. Fomferra, G. Kraemer, J. Peters, G. Camps-Valls, J.F. Donges, W. Dorigo, L. Estupinan-Suarez, V. Gutierrez-Velez, M. Gutwin, M. Jung, M. Londono, D. Miralles, P. Papastefanou, M. Reichstein,
Earth system data cubes unravel global multivariate dynamics,
Earth System Dynamics 11, 201–234 (2020),
DOI: 10.5194/esd-11-201-2020.

P81 S.J. Lade, W. Steffen, W. de Vries, S.R. Carpenter, J.F. Donges, D. Gerten, H. Hoff, T. Newbold, K. Richardson, J. Rockström,
Human impacts on planetary boundaries amplified by Earth system interactions,
Nature Sustainability 3, 119–128 (2020),
DOI: 10.1038/s41893-019-0454-4,
PIK press release, SRC press release.

P80 I.M. Otto, J.F. Donges, W. Lucht, H.J. Schellnhuber,
Reply to Smith et al.: Social tipping dynamics in a world constrained by conflicting interests,
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA (PNAS) 117, 10631–10632 (2020),
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2002648117.

P79 J.F. Donges*/I.M. Otto*, R. Cremades, A. Bhowmik, R. Hewitt, W. Lucht, J. Rockström, F. Allerberger, S. Doe, A. Lenferna, M. McCaffrey, N. Morán, D.P. van Vuuren, H.J. Schellnhuber,
Social tipping dynamics for stabilizing Earth’s climate by 2050,
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA (PNAS) 117(5), 2354–2365 (2020),
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1900577117,
* The first two authors share the lead authorship,
PIK press release, SRC news, New York Times.

P78 P.D. Naidu, R. Ganeshram, M. Bolasina, C. Panmei, D. Nürnberg, M. Mohtadi, J.F. Donges,
Coherent response of the Indian Monsoon Rainfall to Atlantic Multi-decadal Variability over the last 2000 years,
Nature Scientific Reports 10, 1302 (2020),
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-58265-3.

P77 I.M. Otto, M. Wiedermann, R. Cremades, J.F. Donges, C. Auer, W. Lucht,
Human agency in the Anthropocene,
Ecological Economics 167, 106463 (2020),
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2019.106463.

P76 K. Kornhuber, D. Coumou, E. Vogel, C. Lesk, J.F. Donges, J. Lehmann, R. Horton,
Amplified Rossby waves enhance risk of concurrent heatwaves in major breadbasket regions,
Nature Climate Change 10, 48–53 (2020),
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-019-0637-z,
PIK press release.

2019

P75 F.M. Strnad, W. Barfuss, J.F. Donges, J. Heitzig,
Deep reinforcement learning in World-Earth system models to discover sustainable management strategies,
Chaos 29, 123122 (2019),
DOI: 10.1063/1.5124673,
preprint arXiv:1908.05567 [physics.soc-ph] [cs.LG],
PIK news item.

P74 S.J. Lade, J. Norberg, J.M. Anderies, C. Beer, S.E. Cornell, J.F. Donges, I. Fetzer, T. Gasser, K. Richardson, J. Rockström, W. Steffen,
Potential feedbacks between loss of biosphere integrity and climate change,
Global Sustainability 2, e21 (2019),
DOI: 10.1017/sus.2019.18.

P73 J. Randers, J. Rockström, P.-E. Stoknes, U. Goluke, D. Collste, S.E. Cornell, and J.F. Donges,
Achieving the 17 sustainable development goals within 9 planetary boundaries,
Global Sustainability 2, e24 (2019),
DOI: 10.1017/sus.2019.22,
Preprint: EarthArXiv:10.31223/osf.io/xwevb,
SRC news item and video.

P72 F. Geier, W. Barfuss, M. Wiedermann, J. Kurths, J.F. Donges,
The physics of governance networks: critical transitions in contagion dynamics on multilayer adaptive networks with application to the sustainable use of renewable resources,
European Physical Journal Special Topics 228, 2357–2369 (2019),
DOI: 10.1140/epjst/e2019-900120-4,
preprint arXiv: http://arxiv.org/abs/1906.08679 [physics.soc-ph].

P71 A.S. Downing, A. Bhowmik, D. Collste, S. Cornell, J.F. Donges, I. Fetzer, T. Häyhä, J. Hinton, S. Lade, W.M. Mooij,
Matching scope, purpose and uses of planetary boundaries science,
Environmental Research Letters 14, 073005 (2019),
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab22c9.

P70 W. Barfuss, J.F. Donges, and J. Kurths,
Deterministic limit of temporal difference reinforcement learning for stochastic games,
Physical Review E 99, 043305 (2019),
PRE Editor's choice,
PIK news release: New method to better understand much-employed self-learning Artificial Intelligence,
DOI: 10.1103/PhysRevE.99.043305,
Preprint: arXiv:1809.07225.

P69 F. Müller-Hansen, J. Heitzig, J.F. Donges, M. Cardoso, E. Dalla-Nora, P. Andrade, J. Kurths, and K. Thonicke,
Can intensification of cattle ranching reduce deforestation in the Amazon? Insights from an agent-based social-ecological model,
Ecological Economics 159, 198–211 (2019),
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2018.12.025,
Postprint OSF (Open Access): https://osf.io/preprints/socarxiv/x5q9j/, DOI: 10.31235/osf.io/x5q9j .

P68 Y. Zou, R.V. Donner, N. Marwan, J.F. Donges, and J. Kurths,
Review paper: Complex network approaches to nonlinear time series analysis,
Physics Reports 787, 1–97 (2019),
DOI: 10.1016/j.physrep.2018.10.005,
Chinese shortened version: Y. Zou, R.V. Donner, N. Marwan, J.F. Donges, and J. Kurths, 非线性时间序列的复杂网络分析 (engl.: Nonlinear time series analysis by means of complex networks), Scientia Sinica: Physica, Mechanica & Astronomica 50, 010509 (2020), DOI: 10.1360/SSPMA-2019-0136,
PIK news release: Time series networks: “Transforming messy big data into something comprehensible”.

2018

P67 W. Steffen, J. Rockström, K. Richardson, T.M. Lenton, C. Folke, D. Liverman, C.P. Summerhayes, A.D. Barnosky, S.E. Cornell, M. Crucifix, J.F. Donges, I. Fetzer, S.J. Lade, M. Scheffer, R. Winkelmann, and H.J. Schellnhuber,
Trajectories of the Earth system in the Anthropocene,
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA 115(33), 8252–8259 (2018),
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1810141115,
PIK press release,
SRC press release.

P66 R.V. Donner, V. Stolbova, G. Balasis, J.F. Donges, M. Georgiou, S. Potirakis, and J. Kurths,
Temporal organization of magnetospheric fluctuations unveiled by recurrence patterns in the Dst index,
Chaos 28, 085716 (2018),
DOI: 10.1063/1.5024792,
Preprint: arxiv:1802.01426 [physics.ao-ph nlin.CD].

P65 W. Barfuss, J.F. Donges, S.J. Lade, and J. Kurths,
When optimization for governing human-environment tipping elements is neither sustainable nor safe,
Nature Communications 9, 2354 (2018),
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-018-04738-z,
Official PIK press release: better safe than sorry,
Official SRC news release.

P64 J. Heitzig, W. Barfuss, J.F. Donges,
A thought experiment on sustainable management of the Earth system,
Sustainability 10(6), 1947 (2018),
DOI: 10.3390/su10061947.

P63 S.J. Lade, J.F. Donges, I. Fetzer, J. Anderies, C. Beer, S.E. Cornell, T. Gasser, J. Norberg, K. Richardson, J. Rockström, and W. Steffen,
Analytically tractable climate-carbon cycle feedbacks under 21st century anthropogenic forcing,
Earth System Dynamics 9, 507-523 (2018),
DOI: 10.5194/esd-9-507-2018,
Discussion paper: Earth System Dynamics Discussions (2017), DOI: 10.5194/esd-2017-78.

P62 M. Milkoreit, J. Hodbod, J. Baggio, K. Benessaiah, R. Calderon Contreras, J.F. Donges, J.-D. Mathias, J. Rocha, M. Schoon, and S. Werners,
Defining tipping points for social-ecological systems scholarship – an interdisciplinary literature review,
Environmental Research Letters 13, 033005 (2018),
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aaaa75.

2017

P61 P.P. Klamser, M. Wiedermann, J.F. Donges, and R.V. Donner,
Zealotry effects on opinion dynamics in the adaptive voter model,
Physical Review E 96, 052315 (2017),
DOI: 10.1103/PhysRevE.96.052315,
Preprint: arxiv:1612.06644 [physics.soc-ph].

P60 M. Wiedermann, J.F. Donges, R.V. Donner, and J. Kurths,
Mapping and discrimination of networks in the complexity-entropy plane,
Physical Review E 96, 042304 (2017),
DOI: 10.1103/PhysRevE.96.042304,
Preprint: arxiv:1704.07599 [physics.data-an].

P59 F. Müller-Hansen, M. Schlüter, M. Mäs, J.F. Donges, J.J. Kolb, K. Thonicke, and J. Heitzig,
Towards representing human behavior and decision making in Earth system models – an overview of techniques and approaches,
Earth System Dynamics 8, 977–1007 (2017),
DOI: 10.5194/esd-8-977-2017,
Discussion paper: Earth System Dynamics Discussions, 2017, DOI: 10.5194/esd-2017-18.

P58 J.F. Donges*/R. Winkelmann*, W. Lucht, S.E. Cornell, J.G. Dyke, J. Rockström, J. Heitzig, and H.J. Schellnhuber,
Closing the loop: reconnecting human dynamics to Earth system science,
The Anthropocene Review 4(2), 151–157 (2017),
DOI: 10.1177/2053019617725537,
* The first two authors share the lead authorship,
News release (Stockholm Resilience Centre).

P57 J.F. Donges and W. Barfuss,
From math to metaphors and back again. Social-ecological resilience from a multi-agent-environment perspective,
GAIA 26(S1), 182–190 (2017),
DOI: 10.14512/gaia.26.S1.5.

P56 M.D. Mahecha, F. Gans, S. Sippel, J.F. Donges, T. Kaminski, S. Metzger, M. Migliavacca, D. Papale, A. Rammig, and J. Zscheischler,
Detecting impacts of extreme events with ecological in-situ monitoring networks,
Biogeosciences 14, 4255-4277 (2017),
DOI: 10.5194/bg-14-4255-2017.

P55 W. Barfuss, J.F. Donges, M. Wiedermann, and W. Lucht,
Sustainable use of renewable resources in a stylized social-ecological network model under heterogeneous resource distribution,
Earth System Dynamics 8, 255-264 (2017),
DOI: 10.5194/esd-8-255-2017,
Discussion Paper: Earth System Dynamics Discussions (2016), DOI: 10.5194/esd-2016-15.

P54 J.F. Donges, W. Lucht, F. Müller-Hansen, and W. Steffen,
The Technosphere in Earth system analysis: a coevolutionary perspective,
The Anthropocene Review 4(1), 23-33 (2017),
DOI: 10.1177/2053019616676608,
Preprint: arxiv:1704.06476 [physics.soc-ph].

P53 N. Fujiwara, K. Kirchen, J.F. Donges, and R.V. Donner,
A perturbation-theoretic approach to Lagrangian flow networks,
Chaos 27, 035813 (2017),
DOI: 10.1063/1.4978549,
Preprint: arxiv:1611.06021 [physics.flu-dyn].

P52 F. Müller-Hansen, M.F. Cardoso, E.L. Dalla-Nora, J.F. Donges, J. Heitzig, J. Kurths, and K. Thonicke,
A matrix clustering method to explore patterns of land-cover transitions in satellite-derived maps of the Brazilian Amazon,
Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics 24, 113-123 (2017),
DOI: 10.5194/npg-24-113-2017,
Discussion Paper: Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics Discussions, 2016, DOI: 10.5194/npg-2016-53.

P51 N. Molkenthin, H. Kutza, L. Tupikina, N. Marwan, J.F. Donges, U. Feudel, J. Kurths, and R.V. Donner,
Edge anisotropy and a geometric perspective on flow networks,
Chaos 27(3), 035802 (2017),
DOI: 10.1063/1.4971785,
Preprint arxiv.org:1604.03100 [physics.flu-dyn] (2016).

P50 M. Wiedermann, J.F. Donges, R.V. Donner, D. Handorf, and J. Kurths,
Hierarchical structures in Northern Hemispheric extratropical winter ocean-atmosphere interactions,
International Journal of Climatology 37, 3821-3836 (2017),
DOI: 10.1002/joc.4956,
Preprint: arxiv.org:1506.06634 [physics.ao-ph] (2015).

2016

P49 V. Heck, J. F. Donges, and W. Lucht,
Collateral transgression of planetary boundaries due to climate engineering by terrestrial carbon dioxide removal,
Earth System Dynamics 7, 783-796 (2016),
DOI: 10.5194/esd-7-783-2016,
Discussion paper: Earth System Dynamics Discussions (2016), DOI: 10.5194/esd-2016-22.

P48 J.F. Siegmund, M. Wiedermann, J.F. Donges, and R.V. Donner,
Impact of temperature and precipitation extremes on the flowering dates of four German wildlife shrub species,
Biogeosciences 13, 5541-5555 (2016),
DOI: 10.5194/bg-13-5541-2016,
Discussion paper: Biogeosciences Discussions 12, 18389-18423 (2015), DOI: 10.5194/bgd-12-18389-2015.

P47 E. Scharwächter, E. Müller, J.F. Donges, M. Hassani, and T. Seidl,
Detecting change processes in dynamic networks by frequent graph evolution rule mining,
2016 IEEE 16th International Conference on Data Mining (ICDM), Barcelona, Spain, 2016, pp. 1191-1196
DOI: 10.1109/ICDM.2016.0158.

P46 J.F. Donges*/C.-F. Schleussner*/D.A. Engemann*, and A. Levermann,
Clustered marginalization of minorities during social transitions induced by co-evolution of behaviour and network structure,
Nature Scientific Reports 6, 30790 (2016),
DOI: 10.1038/srep30790,
Preprint: arxiv.org:1512.05013 [physics.soc-ph] (2015),
* The first three authors share the lead authorship.

P45 C.-F. Schleussner, J.F. Donges, R.V. Donner, and H.J. Schellnhuber,
Armed-conflict risks enhanced by climate-related disasters in ethnically fractionalized countries,
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA 113(33) (2016), 9216–9221,
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1601611113,
PIK press release,
Guardian article, Climate Central article, Süddeutsche Zeitung report,
JFD explaining "How Do Climate Change Related Natural Disasters Potentially Increase the Risk of Armed Conflicts?" (video thanks to Latest Thinking).

P44 M. Wiedermann, A. Radebach, J.F. Donges, J. Kurths, and R.V. Donner,
A climate network-based index to discriminate different types of El Niño and La Niña,
Geophysical Research Letters 43(13), 7176–7185 (2016),
Preprint arxiv.org:1604.04432 [physics.data-an] (2016),
DOI: 10.1002/2016GL069119.

P43 A. van Kan, J. Jegminat, J.F. Donges, and J. Kurths,
Constrained basin stability for studying transient dynamics in complex systems,
Physical Review E 93(4), 042205 (2016),
Preprint: arxiv.org:1601.02162 [nlin.CD],
DOI: 10.1103/PhysRevE.93.042205.

P42 M. Wiedermann, J.F. Donges, J. Kurths and R.V. Donner,
Spatial network surrogates for disentangling complex system structure from spatial embedding of nodes,
Physical Review E 93(4), 042308 (2016),
DOI: 10.1103/PhysRevE.93.042308,
Preprint: arxiv.org:1509.09293 [physics.soc-ph] (2015).

P41 J.F. Donges, C.-F. Schleussner, J.F. Siegmund, and R.V. Donner,
Event coincidence analysis for quantifying statistical interrelationships between event time series: on the role of flood events as triggers of epidemic outbreaks,
European Physical Journal Special Topics, 225(3), 471-487 (2016),
DOI: 10.1140/epjst/e2015-50233-y,
Preprint: arxiv.org:1508.03534 [physics.soc-ph],
PIK news release.

P40 M. Kretschmer, D. Coumou, J.F. Donges, J. Runge,
Using causal effect networks to analyze different Arctic drivers of mid-latitude winter circulation,
Journal of Climate 29, 4069-4081 (2016),
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0654.1.

P39 J. Heitzig, T. Kittel, J.F. Donges, and N. Molkenthin,
Topology of sustainable management of dynamical systems with desirable states: from defining planetary boundaries to safe operating spaces in the Earth System,
Earth System Dynamics 7, 21-50 (2016),
DOI: 10.5194/esd-7-21-2016,
Discussion paper: Earth System Dynamics Discussions 6, 435-488 (2015), DOI:10.5194/esdd-6-435-2015.

2015

P38 J.F. Donges, J. Heitzig, B. Beronov, M. Wiedermann, J. Runge, Q.-Y. Feng, L. Tupikina, V. Stolbova, R.V. Donner, N. Marwan, H.A. Dijkstra, and J. Kurths,
Unified functional network and nonlinear time series analysis for complex systems science: The pyunicorn package,
Chaos 25, 113101 (2015),
DOI: 10.1063/1.4934554,
Preprint: arxiv.org:1507.01571 [physics.data-an],
Press release (American Institute of Physics),
News release (PIK, English and German),
News release (Stockholm Resilience Centre, English).

P37 J. Runge, V. Petoukhov, J.F. Donges, J. Hlinka, N. Jajcay, M. Vejmelka, D. Hartman, N. Marwan, M. Palus, and J. Kurths,
Identifying causal gateways and mediators in complex spatio-temporal systems,
Nature Communications 6, 8502 (2015),
DOI: 10.1038/ncomms9502,
Press release (PIK).

P36 N. Subramaniyam, J.F. Donges, and J. Hyttinen,
Signatures of chaotic and stochastic dynamics uncovered with ε-recurrence networks,
Proceedings of the Royal Society A 471, 20150349 (2015),
DOI: 10.1098/rspa.2015.0349.

P35 T. Nocke, S. Buschmann, J. F. Donges, N. Marwan, H.-J. Schulz, and C. Tominski,
Review: Visual analytics of climate networks,
Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics 22, 545-570 (2015),
DOI: 10.5194/npg-22-545-2015.

P34 A.Y. Sun, J. Chen, and J.F. Donges,
Global terrestrial water storage connectivity revealed using complex climate network analyses,
Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics 22, 433-446 (2015),
DOI: 10.5194/npg-22-433-2015.

P33 M. Wiedermann, J.F. Donges, J. Heitzig, W. Lucht, and J. Kurths,
Macroscopic description of complex adaptive networks co-evolving with dynamic node states,
Physical Review E 91, 052801 (2015),
DOI: 10.1103/PhysRevE.91.052801,
Preprint: arxiv:1503.05914 [physics.soc-ph].

P32 C.F. Schleussner, D. Divine, J.F. Donges, A. Miettinen, and R.V. Donner,
Indications for a North Atlantic ocean circulation regime shift at the onset of the Little Ice Age,
Climate Dynamics 45, 3623-3633 (2015),
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-015-2561-x.

P31 J.F. Donges, R.V. Donner, N. Marwan, S.F.M. Breitenbach, K. Rehfeld, and J. Kurths,
Nonlinear regime shifts in Holocene Asian monsoon variability: Potential impacts on cultural change and migratory patterns,
Climate of the Past 11, 709-741 (2015),
DOI: 10.5194/cp-11-709-2015,
Mentioned in Stockholm Resilience Centre's top 25 papers list of resilience reading.

P30 J.F. Donges, I. Petrova, A. Loew, N. Marwan and J. Kurths,
How complex climate networks complement eigen techniques for the statistical analysis of climatological data,
Climate Dynamics 45(9), 2407-2424 (2015),
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-015-2479-3,
Preprint: arxiv:1305.6634 [physics.data-an].

P29 S. Lange, J.F. Donges, J. Volkholz, and J. Kurths,
Local difference measures on complex networks for dynamical system model evaluation,
PLoS ONE 10(4): e0118088 (2015),
DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0118088.

P28 A. Rammig, M. Wiedermann, J.F. Donges, F. Babst, W. von Bloh, D. Frank, K. Thonicke, and M.D. Mahecha,
Coincidences of climate extremes and anomalous vegetation responses: comparing tree ring patterns to simulated productivity,
Biogeosciences 12, 373-385 (2015),
DOI: 10.5194/bg-12-373-2015.

P27 J.H. Feldhoff, S. Lange, J. Volkholz, J.F. Donges, J. Kurths, and F.-W. Gerstengarbe,
Complex networks for climate model evaluation with application to statistical vs.
dynamical modeling of South American climate,
Climate Dynamics 44(5), 1567-1581 (2015),
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-014-2182-9.

2014

P26 D.C. Zemp, C.-F. Schleussner, H.M.J. Barbosa, R.J. Van der Ent, J.F. Donges, J. Heinke, G. Sampaio, and A. Rammig,
On the importance of cascading moisture recycling in South America,
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 14, 13337-13359 (2014),
DOI: 10.5194/acp-14-13337-2014.

P25 D.C. Zemp, M. Wiedermann, J. Kurths, A. Rammig, J.F. Donges,
Node-weighted measures for complex networks with directed and weighted edges for studying continental moisture recycling,
Europhysics Letters 107, 58005 (2014),
DOI: 10.1209/0295-5075/107/58005.

2013

P24 A. Radebach, R.V. Donner, J. Runge, J.F. Donges and J. Kurths,
Disentangling different types of El Niño episodes by evolving climate network analysis,
Physical Review E 88, 052807 (2013),
DOI: 10.1103/PhysRevE.88.052807,
Preprint: arxiv:1310.5494 [physics.data-an, physics.ao-ph].

P23 J.H. Feldhoff, R.V. Donner, J.F. Donges, N. Marwan and J. Kurths,
Geometric signature of complex synchronisation scenarios,
Europhysics Letters 102, 30007 (2013),
DOI: 10.1209/0295-5075/102/30007,
Preprint: arxiv:1301.0806 [nlin.CD].

P22 M. Wiedermann, J.F. Donges, J. Heitzig and J. Kurths,
Node-weighted interacting network measures improve the representation of real-world complex systems,
Europhysics Letters 102, 28007 (2013),
DOI: 10.1209/0295-5075/102/28007,
Preprint: arxiv:1301.0805 [physics.soc-ph].

P21 J.F. Donges, R.V. Donner and J. Kurths,
Testing time series irreversibility using complex network methods,
Europhysics Letters 102, 10004 (2013),
DOI: 10.1209/0295-5075/102/10004,
Preprint: arXiv:1211.1162 [physics.data-an].

2012

P20 J.H. Feldhoff, R.V. Donner, J.F. Donges, N. Marwan and J. Kurths,
Geometric detection of coupling directions by means of inter-system recurrence networks,
Physics Letters A 376, 3504-3513 (2012),
DOI: 10.1016/j.physleta.2012.10.008,
Preprint: arXiv:1301.0934 [physics.data-an].

P19 Y. Zou, J. Heitzig, R.V. Donner, J.F. Donges, J.D. Farmer, R. Meucci, S. Euzzor, N. Marwan and J. Kurths,
Power-laws in recurrence networks from dynamical systems,
Europhysics Letters 98, 48001 (2012),
DOI: 10.1209/0295-5075/98/48001,
Preprint: arXiv:1203.3345 [nlin.CD].

P18 R.V. Donner and J.F. Donges,
Visibility graph analysis of geophysical time series: Potentials and possible pitfalls,
Acta Geophysica 60, 589-623 (2012),
DOI: 10.2478/s11600-012-0032-x.

P17 J.F. Donges, J. Heitzig, R.V. Donner and J. Kurths,
Analytical framework for recurrence network analysis of time series,
Physical Review E 85, 046105 (2012),
DOI: 10.1103/PhysRevE.85.046105,
Preprint: arXiv:1203.4701 [physics.data-an].

P16 R.V. Donner, R. Ehrcke, S.M. Barbosa, J. Wagner, J.F. Donges and J. Kurths,
Spatial patterns of linear and nonparametric long-term trends in Baltic sea-level variability,
Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics 19, 95-111 (2012),
DOI: 10.5194/npg-19-95-2012.

P15 J. Heitzig, J.F. Donges, Y. Zou, N. Marwan and J. Kurths,
Node-weighted measures for complex networks with spatially embedded, sampled, or differently sized nodes,
European Physical Journal B 85, 38 (2012),
DOI: 10.1140/epjb/e2011-20678-7,
Preprint: arXiv:1101.4757 [physics.data-an].

2011

P14a J.F. Donges, R.V. Donner, M.H. Trauth, N. Marwan, H.J. Schellnhuber and J. Kurths,
Nonlinear detection of paleoclimate-variability transitions possibly related to human evolution,
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA 108, 20422-20427 (2011),
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1117052108,
Press release (PIK), FAZ article, Hamburger Abendblatt article.

P14b J.F. Donges, R.V. Donner, M.H. Trauth, N. Marwan, H.J. Schellnhuber and J. Kurths,
Supplementary Information:
Nonlinear detection of paleoclimate-variability transitions possibly related to human evolution
(introduces the method of coincidence analysis of event time series),
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA 108 (2011),
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1117052108.

P13 J.F. Donges, R.V. Donner, K. Rehfeld, N. Marwan, M.H. Trauth and J. Kurths,
Identification of dynamical transitions in marine palaeoclimate records by recurrence network analysis,
Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics 18, 545-562 (2011),
DOI: 10.5194/npg-18-545-2011.

P12 C. Tominski, J.F. Donges and T. Nocke,
Information visualization in climate research,
Proceedings of the International Conference Information Visualisation (IV), London, UK,
IEEE Computer Society, 298-305 (2011),
DOI: 10.1109/iv.2011.12.

P11 R.V. Donner, M. Small, J.F. Donges, N. Marwan, Y. Zou, R. Xiang and J. Kurths,
Recurrence-based time series analysis by means of complex network methods,
International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos 21(4), 1019-1046 (2011),
DOI: 10.1142/S0218127411029021,
Preprint: arXiv:1010.6032 [nlin.CD].

P10 J.F. Donges, H.C.H. Schultz, N. Marwan, Y. Zou and J. Kurths,
Investigating the topology of interacting networks - Theory and application to coupled climate subnetworks,
European Physical Journal B 84(4), 635-652 (2011),
DOI: 10.1140/epjb/e2011-10795-8,
Preprint: arXiv:1102.3067 [physics.data-an].

P9 R.V. Donner, J. Heitzig, J.F. Donges, Y. Zou, N. Marwan and J. Kurths,
The geometry of chaotic dynamics - A complex network perspective,
European Physical Journal B 84(4), 653-672 (2011),
DOI: 10.1140/epjb/e2011-10899-1,
Preprint: arXiv:1102.1853 [nlin.CD].

P8 Y. Zou, J.F. Donges and J. Kurths,
Recent advances in complex climate network analysis,
Complex Systems and Complexity Science 8(1), 27-38 (2011).

2010

P7 S.F.M. Breitenbach, J.F. Donges, B. Kharpran Daly, T. Kohn and T. Kohn,
Two sandstone caves on the southern edge of the Meghalaya Plateau, India,
Cave and Karst Science 37(2), 49-52 (2010).

P6 Y. Zou, R.V. Donner, J.F. Donges, N. Marwan and J. Kurths,
Identifying complex periodic windows in continuous-time dynamical systems using recurrence-based methods,
Chaos 20(1), 043130 (2010),
DOI: 10.1063/1.3523304,
Preprint: arXiv:1011.5172 [nlin.CD].

P5 R.V. Donner, Y. Zou, J.F. Donges, N. Marwan and J. Kurths,
Ambiguities in recurrence-based complex network representations of time series,
Physical Review E 81, 015101(R) (2010),
DOI: 10.1103/PhysRevE.81.015101,
Preprint: arXiv:1001.4620 [nlin.CD].

P4 R.V. Donner, Y. Zou, J.F. Donges, N. Marwan and J. Kurths,
Recurrence networks - A novel paradigm for nonlinear time series analysis,
New Journal of Physics 12, 033025 (2010),
DOI: 10.1088/1367-2630/12/3/033025,
Part of the best of 2010 collection by New Journal of Physics (More).

2009

P3 N. Marwan, J.F. Donges, Y. Zou, R.V. Donner and J. Kurths,
Complex network approach for recurrence analysis of time series,
Physics Letters A 373, 4246–4254 (2009),
DOI: 10.1016/j.physleta.2009.09.042,
Preprint: arXiv:0907.3368 [nlin.CD].

P2 J.F. Donges, Y. Zou, N. Marwan and J. Kurths,
The backbone of the climate network,
Europhysics Letters 87, 48007 (2009),
DOI: 10.1209/0295-5075/87/4800,
Preprint: arXiv:1002.2100 [physics.ao-ph].

P1 J.F. Donges, Y. Zou, N. Marwan and J. Kurths,
Complex networks in climate dynamics,
European Physical Journal Special Topics 174, 157-179 (2009),
DOI: 10.1140/epjst/e2009-01098-2,
Preprint: arXiv:0907.4359 [physics.data-an].

Book chapters

2024

B3 S. Loriani, J.F. Donges, R. Winkelmann,
Wo durch den Klimawandel Lebensräume für Menchen verloren gehen,
In: Warnsignal Klima: Herausforderung Wetterextreme, pp. 154–160,
Lozán, J.L., Graßl, H., Kasang, D., Quante, M., and Sillmann, J.,
Wissenschaftliche Auswertungen (2024),
ISBN: 978 | 39820067 | 72.

2017

B2 R.V. Donner, M. Wiedermann and J.F. Donges,
Complex network techniques for climatological data analysis,
In: Nonlinear and stochastic climate dynamics, pp. 159--183,
Franzke, Christian and O'Kane, Terence (Eds.),
Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (2017),
ISBN: 9781107118140.

2014

B1 R.V. Donner, J.F. Donges, Y. Zou, and J.H. Feldhoff,
Complex network analysis of recurrences,
In: Recurrence quantification analysis: Theory and best practices, pp. 101-163,
Webber, Jr., Charles L. and Marwan, Norbert (Eds.),
Springer, Berlin (2014),
DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-07155-8_4.

Reports, theses and further works

2023

O7 T.M. Lenton, D. Armstrong McKay, S. Loriani, J.F. Abrams, S.J. Lade, J.F. Donges,
M. Milkoreit, T. Powell, C. Zimm, S.R. Smith, J. Buxton, L. Laybourn, A. Ghadiali, J.
Dyke (eds),
The Global Tipping Points Report 2023 (2023).
University of Exeter, Exeter, UK.

O6 J. Breier, L. Schwarz, J.F. Donges, D. Gerten, J. Rockström,
Regenerative agriculture for food security and ecological resilience: illustrating global biophysical and social spreading potentials,
Earth4all deep-dive paper series, 13 (2023),
DOI: 10.48485/pik.2023.001.

O5 Donges, J. F., Heitzig, J. (Eds.),
World-Earth Dynamics in the Anthropocene: A Copan Reader 2013 - 2022,
2nd edition, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (2023),
DOI: 10.48485/pik.2021.004.

2019

O4 S. Rahmstorf, A. Levermann, R. Winkelmann, J.F. Donges, L. Caesar, B. Sakschewski, K. Thonicke,
Kipppunkte im Klimasystem: eine kurze Übersicht,
PIK Bericht für das Bundeskanzleramt (2019),
DOI: 10.48485/pik.2023.002.

2016

O3 S. Denizen and J.F. Donges,
Somewhere. Somehow. A co-evolution story,
Anthropocene Curriculum 2014 course website, contribution of the Technosphere - Coevolution working group, Haus der Kulturen der Welt and Max Planck Institute for the History of Science, Berlin, Germany.
Republished in Technosphere Magazine, Haus der Kulturen der Welt, 2017 (with illustrations).
Teaser: If dialectical distinctions between humans and bacteria were dissolved into an undifferentiated anthropocenic nexus, what new questions would emerge?

2012

O2 J.F. Donges,
Functional network macroscopes for probing past and present Earth system dynamics: Complex hierarchical interactions, tipping points, and beyond,
Dissertation in Theoretischer Physik, Humboldt Universität zu Berlin (2012),
Betreuer: Prof. Dr. Dr. h.c. Jürgen Kurths,
URN: urn:nbn:de:kobv:11-100207126.

2009

O1 J.F. Donges,
Complex networks in the climate system,
Diplomarbeit in Physik, Universität Potsdam (2009),
Betreuer: Prof. Dr. Dr. h.c. Jürgen Kurths,
URN: urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-49775.

Conference proceedings

2014

C6 R.V. Donner, J.H. Feldhoff, J.F. Donges, N. Marwan and J. Kurths,
Multivariate extensions of recurrence networks reveal geometric signatures of coupling between nonlinear systems,
Proceedings of the International Symposium on Nonlinear Theory and its Applications (NOLTA2014), Luzern, Switzerland. IEICE, Tokyo (2014), pp. 321-324.

2013

C5 R.V. Donner, J.H. Feldhoff, J.F. Donges, N. Marwan and J. Kurths,
Multivariate extensions of recurrence networks: Geometric signatures of coupled nonlinear systems,
Proceedings of the IEEE International Symposium on Circuits and Systems (ISCAS 2013), Beijing, China. IEEE Xplore (2013).

2012

C4 N. Marwan, J.H. Feldhoff, R.V. Donner, J.F. Donges and J. Kurths,
Detection of coupling directions with intersystem recurrence networks,
Proceedings of the International Symposium on Nonlinear Theory and its Applications (NOLTA2012), Palma de Majorca, Spain. IEICE, Tokyo (2012), pp. 231-234,
DOI: 10.15248/proc.1.231

C3 R.V. Donner and J.F. Donges,
Identifiying nonlinearities by time-reversal asymmetry of vertex properties in visibility graphs,
Proceedings of the International Symposium on Nonlinear Theory and its Applications (NOLTA2012), Palma de Majorca, Spain. IEICE, Tokyo (2012), pp. 435-438,
DOI: 10.15248/proc.1.435.

2010

C2 N. Marwan, J.F. Donges, A. Radebach, J.G.B. Runge and J. Kurths,
Evolving climate networks,
Proceedings of the International Symposium on Nonlinear Theory and its Applications (NOLTA2010), Krakow, Poland. IEICE, Tokyo (2010), pp. 3-6.

C1 R.V. Donner, J.F. Donges, Y. Zou, N. Marwan and J. Kurths,
Recurrence-based evolving networks for time series analysis of complex systems,
Proceedings of the International Symposium on Nonlinear Theory and its Applications (NOLTA2010), Krakow, Poland. IEICE, Tokyo (2010), pp. 87-90.