Dr. Christoph Bertram

Peer reviewed

• Pachauri, S., Pelz, S., Bertram, C., Kreibiehl, S., Rao, D., Sokona, Y., and Riahi, K. (2022): Fairness considerations in global mitigation investments. Science . 10.1126/science.adf0067.
• Hickmann, T., Bertram, C., Biermann, F., Brutschin, E., Kriegler, E., et a. (2022): Exploring Global Climate Policy Futures and Their Representation in Integrated Assessment Models. Politics and Governance . pag.v10i3.5328.
• Franz, S., Rottoli, M., Bertram, C. (2022): Wide range of possible aviation demand futures after the COVID-19 pandemic. Environmental Research Letters . 10.1088/1748-9326/ac65a4.
• Malik, A., Bertram, C. (2022): Solar energy as an early just transition opportunity for coal-bearing states in India Environmental Research Letters . 10.1088/1748-9326/ac5194.
• Luderer, G., Madeddu, S., Merfort, L., Ueckerdt, F., Pehl, M., Pietzcker, R. et al. (2022): Impact of declining renewable energy costs on electrification in low-emission scenarios. Nature Energy, 1-11 . 10.1038/s41558-021-01218-z.
• Riahi, K., Bertram, C., Huppmann, D., Rogelj, J., Bosetti, V., Cabardos, A.M. et al. (2021): Cost and attainability of meeting stringent climate targets without overshoot. Nature Climate Change, 1-7 . 10.1038/s41558-021-01215-2.
• Drouet, L., Bosetti, V., Padoan, S.A., Aleluia Reis, L., Bertram, C., Dalla Longa, F. et al. (2021): Net zero-emission pathways reduce the physical and economic risks of climate change. Nature Climate Change, 1-7 . 10.1038/s41558-021-01218-z.
• Malik, A., Bertram, C., Kriegler, E., Luderer, G. (2021) Climate policy accelerates structural changes in energy employment. Energy Policy 159, 112642 . 10.1016/j.enpol.2021.112642.
• Martin, M.A., Sendra, O.A., Bastos, A., Bauer, N., Bertram, C., Blenckner, T. et al. (2021): Ten new insights in climate science 2021–a horizon scan. Global Sustainability, 1-39 . 10.1017/sus.2021.25.
• van Soest, H.L., Aleluia Reis, L., Baptista, L.B., Bertram, C., Després, J., Drouet, L. et al. (2021) Global roll-out of comprehensive policy measures may aid in bridging emissions gap. Nature Communications 12 (1), 1-10 . 10.1038/s41467-021-26595-z.
• Hasegawa, T., Fujimori, S., Frank, S., Humpenöder, F., Bertram, C., et al. (2021). Land-based implications of early climate actions without global net-negative emissions. Nature Sustainability . 10.1038/s41893-021-00772-w.
• Baumstark, L., Bauer, N., Benke, F., Bertram, C., Bi, S., Gong, C., Dietrich, J.P., et al. (2021). REMIND2.1: Transformation and innovation dynamics of the energy-economic system within climate and sustainability limits. Geoscientific Model Development . 10.5194/gmd-14-6571-2021.
• Soergel, B., Kriegler, E., Weindl, I., Rauner, S., Dirnaichner, A., Ruhe, C., Hoffmann, M., Bauer, N., Bertram, C., et al. (2021). A sustainable development pathway for climate action within the UN 2030 Agenda. Nature Climate Change . 10.1038/s41558-021-01098-3.
• Bertram, C., Riahi, K., Hilaire, J., Bosetti, V., Drouet, L., Fricko, O., et al. (2021). Energy system developments and investments in the decisive decade for the Paris Agreement goals. Environmental Research Letters . 10.1088/1748-9326/ac09ae.
• Duan, H., Zhou, S., Jiang, K., Bertram, C., Harmsen, M., Kriegler, E., et al. (2021). Assessing China’s efforts to pursue the 1.5°C warming limit. Science 372, 378–385. 10.1126/science.aba8767.
• Bertram, C., Luderer, G., Creutzig, F., Bauer, N., Ueckerdt, F., Malik, A., Edenhofer, O. (2021): COVID-19-induced low power demand and market forces starkly reduce CO2 emissions. - Nature Climate Change, doi: 10.1038/s41558-021-00987-x.
• Rafaj, P., Kiesewetter, G., Krey, V., Bertram, C., Drouet, L., et al. (2021): Air quality and health implications of 1.5–2°C climate pathways under considerations of ageing population: A multi-model scenario analysis. - Environmental Research Letters, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/abdf0b.
• Bauer, N., Bertram, C., Luderer, G., Schultes, A., Klein, D., Kriegler, E., Popp, A., Edenhofer, O. (2020): Quantification of an efficiency–sovereignty trade-off in climate policy. - Nature 588, pages 261–266, doi: 10.1038/s41586-020-2982-5.
• Schaeffer, R., Köberle, A., van Soest, H., Bertram, C., Luderer, G., Riahi, K. et al. (2020): Comparing transformation pathways across major economies. - Climatic Change, 162, pages 1787–1803, doi: 10.1007/s10584-020-02837-9.
• Malik, A., Bertram, C., Després, J., Emmerling, J., Fujimori, S., Garg, A., Kriegler, E., Luderer, G., Mathur, R., Roelfsema, M., Shekhar, S., Vishwanathan, S., Vrontisi, Z. (2020): Reducing stranded assets through early action in the Indian power sector. - Environmental Research Letters, 15, 9, 094091, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab8033.
• Roelfsema, M., van Soest, H. L., Harmsen, M., van Vuuren, D. P., Bertram, C., den Elzen, M., Höhne, N., et al. (2020): Taking stock of national climate policies to evaluate implementation of the Paris Agreement. - Nature Communications, 11, 2096 doi: 10.1038/s41467-020-15414-6.
• Wang, H., Chen, W., Bertram, C., Malik, A., Kriegler, E., Luderer, G., Després, J., Jiang, K., Krey, V. (2020): Early transformation of the Chinese power sector to avoid additional coal lock-in. - Environmental Research Letters, 15, 2, 024007, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab5d99.
• Fujimori, S., Hasegawa, T., Krey, V., Riahi, K., Bertram, C., et al. (2019): A Multi-Model Assessment of Food Security Implications of Climate Change Mitigation. - Nature Sustainability, 2, 5, 386–96, doi: 10.1038/s41893-019-0286-2.
• Oshiro, K., Gi, K., Fujimori, S., van Soest, H. L., Bertram, C., et al. (2019): Mid-Century Emission Pathways in Japan Associated with the Global 2 °C Goal: National and Global Models’ Assessments Based on Carbon Budgets. - Climatic Change, 162, 1913–1927, doi: 10.1007/s10584-019-02490-x.
• Krey, V., Guo, F., Kolp, P., Zhou, W., Schaeffer, R., Awasthy, A., Bertram, C., et al. (2019): Looking under the hood: A comparison of techno-economic assumptions across national and global integrated assessment models. - Energy, 172, 1254-1267, doi: 10.1016/j.energy.2018.12.131.
• Bertram, C., Luderer, G., Popp, A., Minx, J. C., Lamb, W. F., Stevanović, M., Humpenöder, F., Giannousakis, A., Kriegler, E. (2018): Targeted policies can compensate most of the increased sustainability risks in 1.5 °C mitigation scenarios. - Environmental Research Letters, 13, 6, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aac3ec.
• Luderer, G., Vrontisi, Z., Bertram, C., et al. (2018): Residual fossil CO 2 emissions in 1.5–2 °C pathways. - Nature Climate Change, 8, 626-633, doi: 10.1038/s41558-018-0198-6.
• Vrontisi, Z., Luderer, G., Savyen, B., et al. (2018): Enhancing Global Climate Policy Ambition towards a 1.5 °C Stabilization: A Short-Term Multi-Model Assessment. - Environmental Research Letters, 13, 4, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aab53e.
• McCollum, D. L., Zhou, W., Bertram, C., et al. (2018): Energy investment needs for fulfilling the Paris Agreement and achieving the Sustainable Development Goals. - Nature Energy, 3, 589–599, doi: 10.1038/s41560-018-0179-z.
• Kriegler, E., Bertram, C., Kuramochi, T., et al. (2018): Short term policies to keep the door open for Paris climate goals. - Environmental Research Letters, 13, 7, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aac4f1.
• Jewell, J., McCollum, D., Emmerling, J., Bertram, C., et al. (2018): Limited emission reductions from fuel subsidy removal except in exporting regions. - Nature, 554, 229-233, doi: 10.1038/nature25467.
• Edenhofer, O., Steckel, J., Jakob, M., Bertram, C. (2018): Reports of coal’s terminal decline may be exaggerated. - Environmental Research Letters, 13, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aaa3a2.
• Kriegler, E., Bauer, N., Popp, A., et al. (2017): Fossil-fueled development (SSP5): An energy and resource intensive scenario for the 21st century, - Global Environmental Change, 42, 297-315, doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.015.
• Edelenbosch, O. Y., van Vuuren, D. P., Bertram, C., Carrara, S., Emmerling, J., Daly, H., Kitous, A., McCollum, D. L., Saadi Failali, N. (2017): Transport fuel demand responses to fuel price and income projections: Comparison of integrated assessment models. - Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 55.10.1016/j.trd.2017.03.005.
• McCollum, D., Wilson, C., Pettifor, H., Ramea, K., Krey, V., Riahi, K., Bertram, C., Lin, Z., Edelenbosch, O., Fujisawa, S. (2017): Improving the behavioral realism of global integrated assessment models: An application to consumers’ vehicle choices. - Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 55.10.1016/j.trd.2016.04.003.
• Edelenbosch, O., McCollum, D., van Vuuren, D. P., Bertram, C., Carrara, S., Daly, H., Fujimori, S., Kitous, A., et al. (2017): Decomposing passenger transport futures: Comparing results of global integrated assessment models. - Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 55.10.1016/j.trd.2016.07.003.
• von Stechow, C., Minx, J. C., Riahi, K., Jewell, J., McCollum, D. L., Callaghan, M. W., Bertram, C., Luderer G. (2016): 2°C and SDGs: United they stand, divided they fall? - Environmental Research Letters, 11, 3, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/034022.
• Bertram, C., Luderer, G., Pietzcker, R., Schmid, E., Kriegler, E., Edenhofer, O. (2015): Complementing carbon prices with technology policies to keep climate targets within reach. Nature Climate Change, 5, 3, doi: 10.1038/NCLIMATE2514.
• Riahi, K., Kriegler, E., Johnson, N., Bertram, C., et al. (2015): Locked into Copenhagen pledges - Implications of short-term emission targets for the cost and feasibility of long-term climate goals. - Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 90, Part A, 8-23, doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.016.
• Bertram, C., Johnson, N., Luderer, G., Riahi, K., Isaac, M., Eom, J. et al. (2015): Carbon lock-in through capital stock inertia associated with weak near-term climate policies - Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 90, Part A, 62-72, doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2013.10.001.
• Schwanitz, J., Piontek, F., Bertram, C., Luderer, G. (2014): Long-term climate policy implications of phasing out fossil fuel subsidies. - Energy Policy, 67, 882-894, doi: 10.1016/j.enpol.2013.12.015.
• Luderer, G., Bertram, C., Calvin, K., Cian, E. D., Kriegler, E. (2013): Implications of weak near-term climate policies on long-term mitigation pathways. - Climatic Change, 136, 1-14, doi: 10.1007/s10584-013-0899-9.
• Luderer, G., Pietzcker, R., Bertram, C., Kriegler, E., Meinshausen, M., Edenhofer, O. (2013): Economic mitigation challenges: how further delay closes the door for achieving climate targets. - Environmental Research Letters, 8, 3, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/8/3/034033.

Other:

• Richters, O., Bertram, C., Kriegler, E., Anz, J., Beck, T., Bresch, D., et al. (2022): NGFS Climate Scenarios Database - Technical Documentation V3. NGFS scenario portal
• Bertram, C., Edenhofer, O., Luderer., G.(2021): A Path to Zero. IMF F&D
• Bertram, C., Hilaire, J., Kriegler, E., Beck, T., Bresch, D., Clarke, L. et al. (2021): NGFS Climate Scenarios Database - Technical Documentation V2NGFS scenario portal
• Bertram, C., Hilaire, J., Kriegler, E., Beck, T., Bresch, D., Clarke, L. et al. (2020): NGFS Climate Scenarios Database - Technical Documentation. NGFS scenarios homepage
• Hilaire, J., Bertram, C. (2020): The REMIND-MAgPIE model and scenarios for transition risk analysis A report prepared by PIK for the UNEP-FI Banking Pilot project (Phase 2). 10.2312/PIK.2020.006
• Bertram, C. (2015): The effect of near-term climate policies on the achievability of ambitious long-term climate targets. - PhD Thesis, TU Berlin. pdf
• MILES consortium (2015): Beyond the numbers: Understanding the transformation induced by INDCs. pdf

Current projects

• ELEVATE (Horizon Europe)
• ENGAGE (H2020)
• NGFS climate scenarios

Completed projects

• COMMIT
• SENSES
• CD-Links
• UNEP-FI banking pilot phase I and phase II
• SENSES
• PEP1p5
• RECAM and CRAMs
• MILES
• UBA II
• ADVANCE
• UBA I
• AMPERE
• ROSE

• Study in Science on mitigation investments in Der Standard und beim ORF (both in German)
• On COP 27 on Deutschlandfunk, radioeins, NDR, SWR2, and Welt (paywall) (all in German)
• On COP 26 in stern (paywall, in German)
• On the IEA Net Zero 2050 report at Spiegel Online (in German)
• Interview with ZDF heute journal update on Climate Leaders Summit (in German)
• Interview with Deutschlandfunk on Climate Leaders Summit (in German)
• Study on power sector effects of COVID-19 was covered by inter alia the New York Times and Forbes
• Interview with DW on Biden's climate policy
• Interview with FAZ on COVID effects on working habits and environmental impacts (in German)
• First scenario set for NGFS covered by inter alia Bloomberg and boerse.de (in German)
• Interview with Focus on economic risks and opportunities of climate change mitigation for Germany (in German)