Prof. Dr. Elmar Kriegler

Artikel in Fachzeitschriften (peer reviewed)

2022

• Riahi, K., R. Schaeffer, J. Arango, K. Calvin, C. Guivarch, T. Hasegawa, K. Jiang, E. Kriegler, R. Matthews, G.P. Peters, A. Rao, S. Robertson, A.M. Sebbit, J. Steinberger, M. Tavoni, D.P. van Vuuren, 2022: Mitigation pathways compatible with long-term goals. In IPCC, 2022: Climate Change 2022: Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [P.R. Shukla, J. Skea, R. Slade, A. Al Khourdajie, R. van Diemen, D. McCollum, M. Pathak, S. Some, P. Vyas, R. Fradera, M. Belkacemi, A. Hasija, G. Lisboa, S. Luz, J. Malley, (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA. doi: 10.1017/9781009157926.005
• IPCC, 2022: Annex III: Scenarios and modelling methods [Guivarch, C., E. Kriegler, J. Portugal-Pereira, V. Bosetti, J. Edmonds, M. Fischedick, P. Havlík, P. Jaramillo, V. Krey, F. Lecocq, A. Lucena, M. Meinshausen, S. Mirasgedis, B. O’Neill, G.P. Peters, J. Rogelj, S. Rose, Y. Saheb, G. Strbac, A. Hammer Strømman, D.P. van Vuuren, N. Zhou (eds)]. In IPCC, 2022: Climate Change 2022: Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [P.R. Shukla, J. Skea, R. Slade, A. Al Khourdajie, R. van Diemen, D. McCollum, M. Pathak, S. Some, P. Vyas, R. Fradera, M. Belkacemi, A. Hasija, G. Lisboa, S. Luz, J. Malley, (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA. doi: 10.1017/9781009157926.022
• Kikstra, J. S., Nicholls, Z. R. J., Smith, C. J., Lewis, J., Lamboll, R. D., Byers, E., Sandstad, M., Meinshausen, M., Gidden, M. J., Rogelj, J., Kriegler, E., Peters, G. P., Fuglestvedt, J. S., Skeie, R. B., Samset, B. H., Wienpahl, L., van Vuuren, D. P., van der Wijst, K.-I., Al Khourdajie, A., Forster, P. M., Reisinger, A., Schaeffer, R., Riahi, K. (2022): The IPCC Sixth Assessment Report WGIII climate assessment of mitigation pathways: from emissions to global temperatures. - Geoscientific Model Development, 15, 24, 9075-9109. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-9075-2022
• Boirard, A., Gayle, D., Löber, T., Parisi, L., Payerols, C., Schets, E., Spaggiari, M., Bavandi, A., Bertram, C., Paries, M. D., Dees, S., Edmonds, J., Galle, Q., Hurst, I., Kriegler, E., Liadze, I., Mahul, O., Moles, P., Piontek, F., Richters, O., Schleypen, J., van Ruijven, B., Zimmer, A. (2022): NGFS Scenarios for central banks and supervisors, 48 p. https://www.ngfs.net/en/ngfs-climate-scenarios-central-banks-and-supervisors-september-2022 (Publisher version)
• Guivarch, C., Le Gallic, T., Bauer, N., Fragkos, P., Huppmann, D., Jaxa-Rozen, M., Keppo, I., Kriegler, E. et al. (2022) Using large ensembles of climate change mitigation scenarios for robust insights. Nat. Clim. Chang. 12, 428–435. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-022-01349-x
• Wilson, C., Guivarch, C., Kriegler, E., van Ruijven, B., van Vuuren, D. P., Krey, V., Schwanitz, V. J., Thompson, E. L. (2021): Evaluating process-based integrated assessment models of climate change mitigation. - Climatic Change, 166, 1-2, 3. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-021-03099-9
• Hickmann, T., Bertram, C., Biermann, F., Brutschin, E., Kriegler, E., Livingston, J. E., Pianta, S., Riahi, K., van Ruijven, B., van Vuuren, D. (2022): Exploring Global Climate Policy Futures and Their Representation in Integrated Assessment Models. - Politics and Governance, 10, 3, 171-185. https://doi.org/10.17645/pag.v10i3.5328 
• van Vuuren, D.P., Zimm, C., Busch, S., Kriegler, E. (2022) Defining a sustainable development target space for 2030 and 2050, One Earth, Volume 5, Issue 2, 142-156, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2022.01.003.
• Luderer, G., Madeddu, S., Merfort, L., Ueckerdt, F., Pehl, M., Pietzcker, R. C., Rottoli, M., Schreyer, F., Bauer, N., Baumstark, L., Bertram, C., Dirnaichner, A., Humpenöder, F., Levesque, A., Popp, A., Rodrigues, R., Strefler, J., Kriegler, E. (2022) Impact of declining renewable energy costs on electrification in low-emission scenarios. Nat Energy 7, 32–42. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-021-00937-z

2021

• Riahi, K., Bertram, C., Huppmann, D., Rogelj, J., Bosetti, V., Cabardos, A.-M., Deppermann, A., Drouet, L., Frank, S., Fricko, O., Fujimori, S., Harmsen, M., Hasegawa, T., Krey, V., Luderer, G., Paroussos, L., Schaeffer, R., Weitzel, M., van der Zwaan, B., Vrontisi, Z., Dalla Longa, F., Després, J., Fosse, F., Fragkiadakis, K., Gusti, M., Humpenöder, F., Keramidas, K., Kishimoto, P., Kriegler, E. et al. (2021) Cost and attainability of meeting stringent climate targets without overshoot. Nat. Clim. Chang. 11, 1063–1069. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01215-2
• Malik, A., Bertram, C., Kriegler, E., Luderer, G. (2021) Climate policy accelerates structural changes in energy employment, Energy Policy, Vol. 159, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2021.112642
• van Soest, H. L., Aleluia Reis, L., Baptista, L. B., Bertram, C., Després, J., Drouet, L., den Elzen, M., Fragkos, P., Fricko, O., Fujimori, S., Grant, N., Harmsen, M., Iyer, G., Keramidas, K., Köberle, A. C., Kriegler, E. et al. (2021) Global roll-out of comprehensive policy measures may aid in bridging emissions gap. Nat Commun 12, 6419. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-26595-z
• Baumstark, L., Bauer, N., Benke, F., Bertram, C., Bi, S., Gong, C. C., Dietrich, J. P., Dirnaichner, A., Giannousakis, A., Hilaire, J., Klein, D., Koch, J., Leimbach, M., Levesque, A., Madeddu, S., Malik, A., Merfort, A., Merfort, L., Odenweller, A., Pehl, M., Pietzcker, R. C., Piontek, F., Rauner, S., Rodrigues, R., Rottoli, M., Schreyer, F., Schultes, A., Sörgel, B., Sörgel, D., Strefler, J., Ueckerdt, F., Kriegler, E., Luderer, G. (2021) REMIND2.1: transformation and innovation dynamics of the energy-economic system within climate and sustainability limits, Geosci. Model Dev., 14, 6571–6603, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-6571-2021
• Schultes, A., Piontek, F., Sörgel, B., Rogelj, J., Baumstark, L., Kriegler, E., Edenhofer, O., Luderer, G. (2021) Economic damages from on-going climate change imply deeper near-term emission cuts, Environ. Res. Lett. 16 104053, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac27ce
• Auer, C., Kriegler, E., Carlsen, H., (2021) Climate change scenario services: From science to facilitating action, One Earth, Volume 4, Issue 8, 1074-1082, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2021.07.015.
• Soergel, B., Kriegler, E., Weindl, I. et al. (2021) A sustainable development pathway for climate action within the UN 2030 Agenda. Nat. Clim. Chang. 11, 656–664. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01098-3
• Strefler, J., Bauer, N., Humpenöder, F., Klein, D., Popp, A., Kriegler, E. (2021) Carbon dioxide removal technologies are not born equal, Environ. Res. Lett. 16 074021, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac0a11
• Bertram, C., Riahi, K., Hilaire, J., Bosetti, V., Drouet, L., Fricko, O., Malik, A., Pupo Nogueira, L., van der Zwaan, B., van Ruijven, B., van Vuuren, D. P., Weitzel, M., Dalla Longa, F., de Boer, H.-S., Emmerling, J., Fosse, F., Fragkiadakis, K., Harmsen, M., Keramidas, K., Kishimoto, P. N., Kriegler, E., Krey, V., Paroussos, L., Saygin, D., Vrontisi, Z., Luderer, G. (2021): Energy system developments and investments in the decisive decade for the Paris Agreement goals. - Environmental Research Letters, 16, 7, 074020. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac09ae
• Warszawski, L., Kriegler, E., Lenton, T.M. et al (2021) All options, not silver bullets, needed to limit global warming to 1.5 °C: a scenario appraisal, Environ. Res. Lett. 16 064037, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abfeec
• Harmsen, M., Kriegler, E., van Vurren, D.P. et al (2021) Integrated assessment model diagnostics: key indicators and model evolution, Environ. Res. Lett. 16 054046, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abf964
• Wilson, C., Guivarch, C., Kriegler, E. et al. (2021) Evaluating process-based integrated assessment models of climate change mitigation. Climatic Change 166, 3. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-021-03099-9
• Soergel, B., Kriegler, E., Bodirsky, B.L. et al. (2021) Combining ambitious climate policies with efforts to eradicate poverty. Nat Commun 12, 2342. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-22315-9
• Strefler, J., Kriegler, E., Bauer, N. et al. (2021) Alternative carbon price trajectories can avoid excessive carbon removal. Nat Commun 12, 2264. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-22211-2
• Duan, H., Zhou, S., Jiang, K., Bertram, C., Harmsen, M., Kriegler, E., van Vuuren, D. P., Wang, S., Fujimori, S., Tavoni, M., Ming, X., Keramidas, K., Iyer, G., Edmonds, J. (2021): Assessing China’s efforts to pursue the 1.5°C warming limit. - Science, 372, 6540, 378-385. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aba8767
• A.Giannousakis, J. Hilaire, G.F. Nemet, G. Luderer, R.C. Pietzcker, R. Dias Bleasby Rodrigues, L. Baumstark & E. Kriegler (2021) How uncertainty in technology costs and carbon dioxide removal availability affect climate mitigation pathways. Energy, 216: 119253. doi:10.1016/j.energy.2020.119253.
• C. Tebaldi, K. Debeire, V. Eyring, E. Fischer, J. Fyfe, P. Friedlingstein, R. Knutti, J. Lowe, B. O'Neill, B. Sanderson, D. van Vuuren, K. Riahi, M. Meinshausen, Z. Nicholls, G. Hurtt, E. Kriegler, J.-F. Lamarque, G. Meehl, R. Moss, S.E. Bauer, O. Boucher, V. Brovkin, J.-C. Golaz, S. Gualdi, H. Guo, J.G. John, S. Kharin, T. Koshiro, L. Ma, D. Olivié, S. Panickal, F. Qiao, N. Rosenbloom, M. Schupfner, R. Seferian, Z. Song, C. Steger, A. Sellar, N. Swart, K. Tachiiri, H. Tatebe, A. Voldoire, E. Volodin, K. Wyser, X. Xin, R. Xinyao, S. Yang, Y. Yu, and T. Ziehn (2021) Climate model projections from the Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) of CMIP6, Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss.

2020

• N. Bauer, D. Klein, F. Humpenöder, E. Kriegler, G. Luderer, A. Popp & J. Strefler (2020) Bio-energy and CO2 emission reductions: an integrated land-use and energy sector perspective. Climatic Change, 163(3), 1675-1693. doi:10.1007/s10584-020-02895-z.
• N. Bauer, C. Bertram, A. Schultes, D. Klein, G. Luderer, E. Kriegler, A. Popp & O. Edenhofer (2020) Quantification of an efficiency–sovereignty trade-off in climate policy. Nature, 588(7837), 261-266. doi:10.1038/s41586-020-2982-5.
• B.C. O’Neill, T.R. Carter, K. Ebi, P.A. Harrison, E. Kemp-Benedict, K. Kok, E. Kriegler, B.L. Preston, K. Riahi, J. Sillmann, B.J. van Ruijven, D.P. van Vuuren, D. Carlisle, C. Conde, J.S. Fuglestvedt, C. Green, T. Hasegawa, J. Leininger, S. Monteith & R. Pichs-Madruga (2020) Achievements and needs for the climate change scenario framework. Nature Climate Change, 10(12), 1074-1084. doi:10.1038/s41558-020-00952-0.
• Z.R.J. Nicholls, M. Meinshausen, J. Lewis, R. Gieseke, D. Dommenget, K. Dorheim, C.-S. Fan, J.S. Fuglestvedt, T. Gasser, U. Golüke, P. Goodwin, C. Hartin, A.P. Hope, E. Kriegler, N.J. Leach, D. Marchegiani, L.A. McBride, Y. Quilcaille, J. Rogelj R.J. Salawitch, B.H. Samset, M. Sandstad, A.N. Shiklomanov, R.B. Skeie, C.J. Smith, S. Smith, K. Tanaka, J. Tsutsui & Z. Xie (2020) Reduced Complexity Model Intercomparison Project Phase 1: introduction and evaluation of global-mean temperature response. Geoscientific Model Development, 13(11), 5175-5190. doi:10.5194/gmd-13-5175-2020.
• R. Schaeffer, A. Köberle, H.L. van Soest, C. Bertram, G. Luderer, K. Riahi, V. Krey, D.P. van Vuuren, E. Kriegler, S. Fujimori, W. Chen, C. He, Z. Vrontisi, S. Vishwanathan, A. Garg, R. Mathur, S. Shekhar, K. Oshiro, F. Ueckerdt, G. Safonov, G. Iyer, K. Gi & V. Potashnikov (2020) Comparing transformation pathways across major economies. Climatic Change, 162(4), 1787-1803. doi:10.1007/s10584-020-02837-9.
• A. Giannousakis, L. Baumstark & E. Kriegler (2020) En route to China's mid-century climate goal: comparison of emissions intensity versus absolute targets. Climate Policy, 20(10), 1274-1289. doi:10.1080/14693062.2020.1798734.
• A. Malik, C. Bertram, J. Després, J. Emmerling, S. Fujimori, A. Garg, E. Kriegler, G. Luderer, R. Mathur, M. Roelfsema, S. Shekhar, S. Vishwanathan & Z. Vrontisi (2020) Reducing stranded assets through early action in the Indian power sector. Environmental Research Letters, 15(9): 094091. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab8033.
• H. Wang, W. Chen, C. Bertram, A. Malik, E. Kriegler, G. Luderer, J. Després, K. Jiang & V. Krey (2020) Early transformation of the Chinese power sector to avoid additional coal lock-in. Environmental Research Letters, 15(2): 024007. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab5d99.
• M. Roelfsema, H.L. van Soest, M. Harmsen, D.P. van Vuuren, C. Bertram, M. den Elzen, N. Höhne, G. Iacobuta, V. Krey, E. Kriegler, G. Luderer, K. Riahi, F. Ueckerdt, J. Després, L. Drouet, J. Emmerling, S. Frank, O. Fricko, M. Gidden, F. Humpenöder, D. Huppmann, S. Fujimori, K. Fragkiadakis, K. Gi, K. Keramidas, A.C. Köberle, L. Aleluia Reis, P. Rochedo, R. Schaeffer, K. Oshiro, Z. Vrontisi, W. Chen, G.C. Iyer, J. Edmonds, M. Kannavou, K. Jiang, R. Mathur, G. Safonov & S.S. Vishwanathan (2020) Taking stock of national climate policies to evaluate implementation of the Paris Agreement. Nature Communications, 11: 2096. doi:10.1038/s41467-020-15414-6.

2019

• M. Hofmann, S. Mathesius, E. Kriegler, D.P. van Vuuren, H.J. Schellnhuber (2019) Strong time dependence of ocean acidification mitigation by atmospheric carbon dioxide removal. Nature Communications, in press. doi: 10.1038/s41467-019-13586-4
• J. Rogelj, P.M. Forster, E. Kriegler, C.J. Smith, R. Séférian, (2019) Estimating and tracking the remaining carbon budget for stringent climate targets. Nature, 571, 7765, 335-342 p. doi: 10.1038/s41586-019-1368-z
• M. J. Gidden, K. Riahi, S. Smith, S. Fujimori, G. Luderer, E. Kriegler, D.P. van Vuuren,M. van den Berg, L. Feng, D. Klein, D.K. Calvin, J.C. Doelman, S. Frank, O. Fricko, M. Harmsen, T. Hasegawa, P. Havlik, J. Hilaire, R. Hoesly, J. Horing, A. Popp, E. Stehfest, K.Takahashi (2019) Global emissions pathways under different socioeconomic scenarios for use in CMIP6: a dataset of harmonized emissions trajectories through the end of the century. Geoscientific Model Development, 12(4): 1443-1475. doi: 10.5194/gmd-12-1443-2019
• V. Krey, F. Guo,P. Kolp, W. Zhou, R. Schaeffer, A. Awasthy, C. Bertram, H. Sytze de Boer, P. Fragkos, S. Fujimori, C. He,  G. Iyer, K. Keramidas, A.C. Köberle, K. Oshiro, L.A. Reis, B. Shoai-Tehrani, S. Vishwanathan, P. Capros, L. Drouet,  J. E. Edmonds, A. Garg, D.E.H.J. Gernaat, K. Jiang, M. Kannavou, A. Kitous, E. Kriegler, G. Luderer, R. Mathur, M. Muratori, F. Sano, D.P. van Vuuren (2019) Looking under the hood: A comparison of techno-economic assumptions across national and global integrated assessment models. Energy 172: 1254-1267. doi: 10.1016/j.energy.2018.12.131
• F. Piontek, M. Kalkuhl, E. Kriegler, A. Schultes, M. Leimbach, O. Edenhofer, N. Bauer (2019), Economic growth effects of alternative climate change impact channels in economic modelling. Environmental and Resource Economics 73(4). doi: 10.1007/s10640-018-00306-

2018

• J. Rogelj, A. Popp, K. V. Calvin, G. Luderer, J. Emmerling, D. Gernaat, S. Fujimori, J. Strefler, T. Hasegawa, G. Marangoni, V. Krey, E. Kriegler, K. Riahi, D. P. van Vuuren, J. Doelman, L. Drouet, J. Edmonds, O. Fricko, M. Harmsen, P. Havlík, F. Humpenöder, E. Stehfest and M. Tavoni (2018) Scenarios towards limiting global mean temperature increase below 1.5 °C. Nature Climate Change 8: 325–332. doi: 10.1038/s41558-018-0091-3. [highly cited: 87 citations in WoS]
• D. Huppmann, J. Rogelj, E. Kriegler, V. Krey, K. Riahi (2018) A new scenario resource for integrated 1.5 °C research. Nature Climate Change 8: 1027-1030. doi: 10.1038/s41558-018-0317-4
• J. Strefler, N. Bauer, E. Kriegler, A. Popp, A. Giannousakis, O. Edenhofer (2018) Between Scylla and Charybdis: Delayed mitigation narrows the passage between large-scale CDR and high costs. Environmental Research Letters 13: 044015. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aab2ba
• D.L. McCollum, W. Zhou, C. Bertram, H.-S. de Boer, V. Bosetti, S. Busch, J. Deprés, L. Drouet, J. Emmerling, M. Fay, O. Fricko, S. Fujimori, M. Gidden, M. Harmsen, D. Huppmann, G. Iyer, V. Krey, E. Kriegler, C. Nicolas, S. Pachauri, S. Parkinson, M. Poblete-Cazenave, P. Rafaj, N. Rao, J. Rozenberg A. Schmitz, W. Schoepp, D.P. van Vuuren, K. Riahi (OA February 2019) Energy investment needs for fulfilling the Paris Agreement and achieving the Sustainable Development Goals. Nature Energy 3, 7: 589-599. doi: 10.1038/s41560-018-0179-z
• Z. Vrontisi, G. Luderer, B. Saveyn, K. Keramidas, A. Reis Lara, L. Baumstark, C. Bertram, H. Sytze de Boer, L. Drouet, K. Fragkiadakis, O. Fricko, S. Fujimori, C. Guivarch, A. Kitous, V. Krey, E. Kriegler, E. Ó Broin, L. Paroussos, D. P. van Vuuren (2018) Enhancing global climate policy ambition towards a 1.5 °C stabilization: a short-term multi-model assessment. Environmental Research Letters 13: 044039. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aab53e
• J. Fuglestvedt, J. Rogelj, R. J. Millar, M. Allen, O. Boucher, M. Cain, P.M. Forster, E. Kriegler, D. Shindell (2018) Implications of possible interpretations of ‘greenhouse gas balance’ in the Paris Agreement. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A - Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences: 376. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2016.0445
• C. Weber, D.L. McCollum, J. Edmonds, P. Faria, A. Pyanet, J. Rogelj, M. Tavoni, J. Thoma, E. Kriegler (2018) Mitigation scenarios must cater to new users [Comment]. Nature Climate Change 8, 10: 845-848. doi: 10.1038/s41558-018-0293-8
• A. Schultes, M. Leimbach, G. Luderer, R.C. Pietzker, L. Baumstark, N. Bauer, E. Kriegler, O. Edenhofer (OA Januar 2019) Optimal international technology cooperation for the low-carbon transformation. Climate Policy 18, 9: 1165-1176. doi: 10.1080/14693062.2017.1409190
• E. Kriegler, G. Luderer, N. Bauer, L. Baumstark, S. Fujimori, A. Popp, J. Rogelj, J. Strefler, D.P. van Vuuren (2018) Pathways limiting warming to 1.5°C: a tale of turning around in no time? Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A - Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences: 376. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2016.0457
• J. Strefler, T. Amann, N. Bauer, E. Kriegler, J. Hartmann (2018) Potential and costs of carbon dioxide removal by enhanced weathering of rocks. Environmental Research Letters 13: 034010. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aaa9c4
• G. Luderer, Z. Vrontisi, C. Bertram, O.Y. Edelenbosch, R. C. Pietzcker, J. Rogelj, H. Sytze De Boer, L. Drouet, J. Emmerling, O. Fricko, S. Fujimori, P. Havlik, G. Iyer, K. Keramidas, A. Kitous, M. Pehl, V. Krey, K. Riahi, B. Saveyn, M. Tavoni, D.P. van Vuuren, E. Kriegler (2018) Residual fossil CO2 emissions in 1.5-2 °C pathways. Nature Climate Change 8, 7: 626-633. doi: 10.1038/s41558-018-0198-6
• E. Kriegler, C. Bertram, T. Kuramochi, M. Jakob, M. Pehl, M.  Stevanovic, N. Höhne, G. Luderer, J.C. Minx, H. Fekete, J. Hilaire, L. Luna, A. Popp, J.C. Steckel, S. Sterl, A. Yalew, J.P. Dietrich, O. Edenhofer (2018) Short term policies to keep the door open for Paris climate goals. Environmental Research Letters 13: 074022. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aac4f1
• C. Bertram, G. Luderer, A. Popp, J.C. Minx, W.F. Lamb, M. Stevanovic, F. Humpenöder, A. Giannousakis, E. Kriegler (2018) Targeted policies can compensate most of the increased sustainability risks in 1.5 °C mitigation scenarios. Environmental Research Letters 13: 064038. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aac3ec

2017

• D.P. van Vuuren, K. Riahi, K. Calvin, R. Dellink, J. Emmerling, S. Fujimori, S. KC, E. Kriegler, B. O’Neill (2017) The Shared Socio-economic Pathways: Trajectories for human development and global environmental change. Global Environmental Change 42: 148-152. doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.10.009
• K. Riahi, D.P. van Vuuren, E. Kriegler, J. Edmonds, B. O’Neill, S. Fujimori, N. Bauer, K. Calvin, R. Dellink, O. Fricko, W. Lutz, A. Popp, J. Crespo Cuaresma, S. KC, M. Leimbach, L. Jiang, T. Kram, S. Rao, J. Emmerling, K. Ebi, T. Hasegawa, P. Havlik, F. Humpenöder, L. Aleluia Da Silva, S. Smith, E. Stehfest, V. Bosetti, J. Eom, D. Gernaat, T. Masui, J. Rogelj, J. Strefler, L. Drouet, V. Krey, G. Luderer, M. Harmsen, K. Takahashi, L. Baumstark, J. Doelman, M. Kainuma, Z. Klimont, G. Marangoni, H. Lotze-Campen, M. Obersteiner, A. Tabeau, M. Tavoni (2017) The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their Energy, Land Use, and Greenhouse Gas Emissions Implications: An Overview. Global Environmental Change 42: 153-168. doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.009. [highly cited; 321 citations in WoS]
• E. Kriegler, N. Bauer, A. Popp, F. Humpenöder, M. Leimbach, J. Strefler, L. Baumstark, B. Bodirsky, J. Hilaire, D. Klein, I. Mouratiadou, I. Weindl, C. Bertram, J.-P. Dietrich, G. Luderer, M. Pehl, R. Pietzcker, F. Piontek, H. Lotze-Campen, A. Biewald, M. Bonsch, A. Giannousakis, U. Kreidenweis, C. Müller, S. Rolinski, A. Schultes, J. Schwanitz, M. Stevanovic, K. Calvin, J. Emmerling, S. Fujimori, O. Edenhofer (2017) Fossil-fueled development (SSP5): an energy and resource intensive scenario for the 21st century. Global Environmental Change 42: 297-315. doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.015. [highly cited; 72 citations in WoS]
• N. Bauer, K. Calvin, J. Emmerling, O. Fricko, S. Fujimori, J. Hilaire, J. Eom, V. Krey, E. Kriegler, I. Mouratiadou, H.S. de Boer, M. van den Berg, S. Carrara, V. Daigolou, L. Drouet, J. Edmonds, D. Gernaat, P. Havlik, N. Johnson, D. Klein, P. Kyle, G. Marangoni, T. Masui, R.C. Pietzcker, M. Strubegger, M. Wise, K. Riahi, D.P. van Vuuren (2017) Shared socio-economic pathways of the energy sector - quantifying the narratives. Global Environmental Change 42: 316-330. doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.07.006. [highly cited; 51 citations in WoS]
• A. Popp, K. Calvin, S. Fujimori, P. Havlik, F. Humpenöder, E. Stehfest, B.L. Bodirsky, J.P. Dietrich, J.C. Doelmann, M. Gusti, T. Hasegawa, P. Kyle, M. Obersteiner, A. Tabeau, K. Takahashi, H. Valin, S. Waldhoff, I. Weindl, M. Wise, E. Kriegler, H. Lotze-Campen, O. Fricko, K. Riahi, D.P. van Vuuren (2017) Land-use futures in the shared socio-economic pathways. Global Environmental Change 42: 331-345. doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.10.002. [highly cited; 130 citations in WoS]
• B.C. O’Neill, E. Kriegler, K.L. Ebi, E. Kemp-Benedict, K. Riahi, D.S. Rothman, B.J. van Ruijven, D.P. van Vuuren, J. Birkmann, K. Kok, M. Levy, W. Solecki (2017) The roads ahead: Narratives for shared socioeconomic pathways describing world futures in the 21st century. Global Environmental Change 42: 169-180. doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.01.004. [highly cited; 138 citations in WoS]
• M. Leimbach, E. Kriegler, N. Roming, J. Schwanitz (2017) Future growth patterns of world regions – A GDP scenario approach. Global Environmental Change 42: 215-225. doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.02.005

2016

• E. Kriegler, I. Mouratiadou, G. Luderer, J. Edmonds, O. Edenhofer (2016) Introduction to the RoSE special issue on the impact of economic growth and fossil fuel availability on climate protection. Climatic Change 136: 1–6. doi: 10.1007/s10584-016-1667-4
• E. Kriegler, I. Mouratiadou, G. Luderer, N. Bauer, R.J. Brecha, K. Calvin, E.D. Cian, J. Edmonds, K. Jiang, M. Tavoni, O. Edenhofer (2016) Will economic growth and fossil fuel scarcity help or hinder climate stabilization? Climatic Change 136: 7–22. doi: 10.1007/s10584-016-1668-3
• I. Mouratiadou, G. Luderer, N. Bauer, E. Kriegler (2016) Emissions and their drivers: sensitivity to economic growth and fossil fuel availability across world regions. Climatic Change 136: 23–37. doi: 10.1007/s10584-015-1368-4
• N. Bauer, I. Mouratiadou, G. Luderer, L. Baumstark, RJ. Brecha, O. Edenhofer, E. Kriegler (2016) Global fossil energy markets and climate change mitigation – an analysis with REMIND. Climatic Change 136: 69–82. doi: 10.1007/s10584-013-0901-6
• G. Luderer, C. Bertram, K. Calvin, E.D. Cian, E. Kriegler (2016) Implications of weak near-term climate policies on long-term mitigation pathways. Climatic Change 136: 127–140. doi: 10.1007/s10584-013-0899-9
• N. Bauer, J. Hilaire, R.J. Brecha, J. Edmonds, K. Jiang, E. Kriegler, H-H. Rogner, F. Sferra (2016) Assessing global fossil fuel availability in a scenario framework. Energy 111: 580-592. doi: 10.1016/j.energy.2016.05.088
• I. Mouratiadou, A. Biewald, M. Pehl, M. Bonsch, L. Baumstark, D. Klein, A. Popp, G. Luderer, E. Kriegler (2016) The impact of climate change mitigation on water demand for energy and food: An integrated analysis based on the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. Environmental Science and Policy 64: 48-58. doi: 10.1016/j.envsci.2016.06.007
• U. Kreidenweis, F. Humpenöder, M. Stevanovic, B.L. Bodirsky, E. Kriegler, H. Lotze-Campen, A. Popp (2016) Afforestation to mitigate climate change: impacts on food prices under consideration of albedo effects. Environmental Research Letters 11: 085001. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/11/8/085001
• C.D. Jones, P. Ciais, S.J. Davis, P. Friedlingstein, T. Gasser, G.P. Peters, J. Rogelj, D.P. van Vuuren, J.G. Canadell, A. Cowie, R.B. Jackson, M. Jonas, E. Kriegler, E. Littleton, J.A. Lowe, J. Milne, G. Shrestha, P. Smith, A. Torvanger, A. Wiltshire (2016) Simulating the Earth system response to negative emissions. Environmental Research Letters 11: 095012. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/11/9/095012
• D.P. van Vuuren, H. van Soest, K. Riahi, L. Clarke, V. Krey, E. Kriegler, J. Rogelj, M. Schaeffer, M. Tavoni (2016) Carbon budgets and energy transition pathways. Environmental Research Letters 11: 075002. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/11/7/075002
• B.C. O'Neill, C. Tebaldi, D.P. van Vuuren, V. Eyring, P. Friedlingstein, G. Hurtt, R. Knutti, E. Kriegler, J.-F. Lamarque, J. Lowe, G.A. Meehl, R. Moss, K. Riahi, B.M Sanderson (2016) The Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) for CMIP6. Geoscientific Model Development 9: 3461-3482. doi: 10.5194/gmd-9-3461-2016. [highly cited: 51 citations in WoS]
• P. Smith, S.J. Davis, F. Creutzig, S. Fuss, J. Minx, B. Gabrielle, E. Kato, R.B. Jackson, A. Cowie, E. Kriegler, D.P. van Vuuren, J. Rogelj, P. Ciais, J. Milne, J.G. Canadell, D. McCollum, G. Peters, R. Andrew, V. Krey, G. Shrestha, P. Friedlingstein, T. Gasser, A. Grübler, W.K. Heidug, M. Jonas, C.D. Jones, F. Kraxner, E. Littleton, J. Lowe, J.R. Moreira, N. Nakicenovic, M. Obersteiner, A. Patwardhan, M. Rogner, E. Rubin, A. Sharifi, A. Torvanger, Y. Yamagata, J. Edmonds, C. Yongsung (2016) Biophysical and economic limits to negative CO2 emissions. Nature Climate Change 6(1): 42-50. doi: 10.1038/nclimate2870. [highly cited: 320 citations in WoS]

2015

• J. Rogelj, G. Luderer, R.C. Pietzcker, E. Kriegler, M. Schaeffer, V. Krey, K. Riahi (2015) Energy system transformations for limiting end-of-century warming to below 1.5 °C. Nature Climate Change 5: 519–527. doi: 10.1038/nclimate2572. [highly cited; 304 citations in WoS]
• S.J. Smith, L.E. Clarke, J.A. Edmonds, J. Kejun, E. Kriegler, T. Masui, K. Riahi, P.R. Shukla, M. Tavoni, D.P. van Vuuren, J.P. Weyant (2015) Long history of IAM comparisons. Nature Climate Change 5: 391–391. doi: 10.1038/nclimate2576
• C. Stechow von, D. McCollum, K. Riahi, J.C. Minx, E. Kriegler, D.P. Vuuren van, J. Jewell, C. Robledo-Abad, E. Hertwich, M. Tavoni, S. Mirasgedis, O. Lah, J. Roy, Y. Mulugetta, N.K. Dubash, J. Bollen, D. Ürge-Vorsatz, O. Edenhofer (2015) Integrating Global Climate Change Mitigation Goals with Other Sustainability Objectives: A Synthesis. Annual Review of Environment and Resources 40: 363–394. doi: 10.1146/annurev-environ-021113-095626
• C. Bertram, G. Luderer, R.C. Pietzcker, E. Schmid, E. Kriegler, O. Edenhofer (2015) Complementing carbon prices with technology policies to keep climate targets within reach. Nature Clim Change 5(3): 235-239. doi: 10.1038/nclimate2514
• M. Tavoni, E. Kriegler, K. Riahi, et al. (2015) Post-2020 climate agreements in the major economies assessed in the light of global models. Nature Climate Change 5(2): 119–126. doi: 10.1038/nclimate2475. [highly cited: 78 citations in WoS]
• E. Kriegler, K. Riahi , V. Bosetti, P. Capros, N. Petermann, D.P. van Vuuren, J.P. Weyant, O. Edenhofer (2015) Introduction to the AMPERE model intercomparison  studies on the economics of climate stabilization. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, Part A: 1–7. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2014.10.012
• E. Kriegler, N. Petermann, V. Krey, V.J. Schwanitz, G. Luderer, S. Ashina, V. Bosetti, J. Eom, A. Kitous, A. Méjean, L. Paroussos, F. Sano, H. Turton, C. Wilson, D.P. van Vuuren (2015) Diagnostic indicators for integrated assessment models of climate policy. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, Part A: 45–61. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.020. [highly cited: 52 citations in WoS]
• E. Kriegler, K. Riahi, N. Bauer, V.J. Schwanitz, N. Petermann, V. Bosettc, A. Marcucci, S. Otto, L. Paroussos, S. Rao, T. Arroyo Currása, S. Ashinah, J. Bolleni, J. Eom, M. Hamdi-Cherif,T. Longden, A. Kitous, A. Méjean, F. Sano, M. Schaeffer, K. Wada, P. Capros, D.P. van Vuuren, O. Edenhofer (2015) Making or breaking climate targets: The AMPERE study on staged accession scenarios for climate policy. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, Part A: 24–44. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.021. [highly cited; 84 citations in WoS]
• K. Riahi, E. Kriegler, N. Johnson, C. Bertram, M. den Elzen, J. Eom, M. Schaeffer, J. Edmonds, M. Isaac, V. Krey, T. Longden, G. Luderer, A. Méjean, D.L. McCollum, S. Mima, H. Turton, D.P. van Vuuren, K. Wada, V. Bosetti, P. Capros, Pantelis, P. Criqui, M. Hamdi-Cherif, M. Kainuma, O. Edenhofer (2015) Locked into Copenhagen pledges — Implications of short-term emission targets for the cost and feasibility of long-term climate goals. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, Part A: 8–23. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.016. [highly cited: 147 citations in WoS]
• M. Schaeffer, L. Gohar, E. Kriegler, J. Lowe, K. Riahi, D.P. van Vuuren (2015) Mid- and long-term climate projections for fragmented and delayed-action scenarios, Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, Part A: 257-268. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.013
• T. Arroyo-Currás, N. Bauer, E. Kriegler, V.J. Schwanitz, G. Luderer, T. Aboumahboub, A. Giannousakis, J. Hilaire (2015) Carbon leakage in a fragmented climate regime: The dynamic response of global energy markets. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90, Part A: 192–203. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2013.10.002
• E. Kriegler, K. Riahi, N. Bauer, V.J. Schwanitz, N. Petermann, V. Bosetti, A. Marcucci, S. Otto, L. Paroussos, S. Rao-Skirbekk, T.A. Currás, S. Ashina, J. Bollen, J. Eom, M. Hamdi-Cherif, T. Longden, A. Kitous, A. Méjean, F. Sano, M. Schaeffer, K. Wada, P. Capros, D.P. van Vuuren, O. Edenhofer, C. Bertram, R. Bibas, J. Edmonds, N. Johnson, V. Krey, G. Luderer, D. McCollum, K. Jiang (2015) A short note on integrated assessment modeling approaches: Rejoinder to the review of “Making or breaking climate targets — The AMPERE study on staged accession scenarios for climate policy.” Technological Forecasting and Social Change 99:273–276. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2015.07.011

2014

• J. Weyant, E. Kriegler (2014) Preface and introduction to EMF 27. Climatic Change 123: 345–352. doi: 10.1007/s10584-014-1102-7
• E. Kriegler, J.P. Weyant, G.J. Blanford, et al. (2014) The role of technology for achieving climate policy objectives: overview of the EMF 27 study on global technology and climate policy strategies. Climatic Change 123: 353–367. doi: 10.1007/s10584-013-0953-7. [highly cited; 187 citations in WoS]
• V. Krey, G. Luderer, L. Clark, E. Kriegler (2014) Getting from here to there - energy technology transformation pathways in the EMF27 scenarios, Climatic Change 123: 369-382. doi: 10.1007/s10584-013-0947-5. [highly cited; 84 citations in WoS]
• G.J. Blanford, E. Kriegler, M. Tavoni (2014) Harmonization vs. fragmentation: overview of climate policy scenarios in EMF27. Climatic Change 123:383–396. doi: 10.1007/s10584-013-0951-9
• K.L. Ebi, S. Hallegatte, T. Kram, N.W. Arnell, T.R. Carter, J. Edmonds, E. Kriegler, R. Mathur, B.C. O'Neill, K. Riahi, H. Winkler, D.P. van Vuuren, T. Zwickel (2014) A new scenario framework for climate change research: background, process, and future directions, Climate Change, 122(3): 373-386. doi: 10.1007/s10584-013-0912-3. [highly cited: 73 citations in WoS]
• D.P. van Vuuren, E. Kriegler, B.C. O'Neill, K.L. Ebi, K. Riahi, T.R. Carter, J. Edmonds, S. Hallegatte, T. Kram, R. Mathur, H. Winkler (2014) A new scenario framework for Climate Change Research: scenario matrix architecture, Climatic Change, 122(3): 373-386. doi: 10.1007/s10584-013-0906-1. [highly cited: 250 citations in WoS]
• B.C. O'Neill, E. Kriegler, K. Riahi, K.L. Ebi, S. Hallegatte, T.R. Carter, R. Mathur, D.P. van Vuuren (2014) A new scenario framework for climate change research: the concept of shared socioeconomic pathways, Climatic Change, 122(3): 387-400. doi: 10.1007/s10584-013-0905-2. [highly cited; 509 citations in WoS]
• E. Kriegler, J. Edmonds, S. Hallegatte, K.L. Ebi, T. Kram, K. Riahi, H. Winkler, D.P. van Vuuren (2014) A new scenario framework for climate change research: the concept of shared climate policy assumptions, Climatic Change, 122(3): 401-414. doi: 10.1007/s10584-013-0971-5. [highly cited; 64 citations in WoS]
• K.L. Ebi, T. Kram, D.P. van Vuuren, B.C. O’Neill, E. Kriegler (2014) A new toolkit for developing scenarios for climate change research and policy analysis, Environment, 56(2): 6-16. doi:10.1080/00139157.2014.881692
• R.C. Pietzcker, T. Longden, W. Chen, S. Fu, E. Kriegler, P. Kyle, G. Luderer (2014) Long-term transport energy demand and climate policy: Alternative visions on transport decarbonization in energy-economy models, Energy, 64. doi: 10.1016/j.energy.2013.08.059. [highly cited: 67 citations in WoS]
• J. Strefler, G. Luderer, E. Kriegler, M. Meinshausen (2014) Can air pollutant controls change global warming? Environmental Science & Policy 41:33–43. doi: 10.1016/j.envsci.2014.04.009
• J. Strefler, G. Luderer, T. Aboumahboub, E. Kriegler (2014) Economic impacts of alternative greenhouse gas emission metrics: a model-based assessment. Climatic Change 125:319–331. doi: 10.1007/s10584-014-1188-y
• S. Zhang, N. Bauer, G. Luderer, E. Kriegler (2014) Role of technologies in energy-related CO2 mitigation in China within a climate-protection world: A scenarios analysis using REMIND. Applied Energy, 115: 445-455. doi: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2013.10.039
• T. Aboumahboub, G. Luderer, E. Kriegler, et al. (2014) On the regional distribution of climate mitigation costs: the impact of delayed cooperative action. Clim Change Econ 05: 1440002. doi: 10.1142/S2010007814400028
• S.K. Rose, E. Kriegler, R. Bibas, et al. (2014) Bioenergy in energy transformation and climate management. Climatic Change 123: 477–493. doi: 10.1007/s10584-013-0965-3. [highly cited: 84 citations in WoS]
• A. Popp, S.K. Rose, K. Calvin, D.P. van Vuuren, J.P. Dietrich, M. Wise, E. Stehfest, F. Humpenöder, P. Kyle, J. van Vliet, N. Bauer, H. Lotze-Campen, D. Klein, E. Kriegler (2014) Land-use transition for bioenergy and climate stabilization: model comparison of drivers, impacts and interactions with other land use based mitigation options, Climatic Change 123: 495-509. doi: 10.1007/s10584-013-0926-x. [highly cited: 83 citations in WoS]

2013

• E. Kriegler, M. Tavoni, K. Riahi, D.P. Van Vuuren (2013) Introducing the LIMITS special issue. Clim Change Econ 04:1302002. doi: 10.1142/S2010007813020028
• E. Kriegler, M. Tavoni, T. Aboumahboub, et al. (2013) What does the 2°c target imply for a global climate agreement in 2020? the limits study on durban platform scenarios. Clim Change Econ 04:1340008. doi: 10.1142/S2010007813400083. [highly cited: 60 citations in WoS]
• D. Klein, G. Luderer, E. Kriegler, J. Strefler, N. Bauer, M. Leimbach, A. Popp, J.P. Dietrich, F. Humpenöder, H. Lotze-Campen, O. Edenhofer (2013) The value of bioenergy in low stabilization scenarios: an assessment using REMIND-MAgPIE. Climatic Change 123: 705-718. doi: 10.1007/s10584-013-0940-zM.
• M. Tavoni, E. Kriegler, T. Aboumahboub, et al. (2013) The distribution of the major economies’ effort in the Durban platform scenarios. Clim Change Econ 04: 1340009. doi: 10.1142/S2010007813400095
• G. Luderer, R.C. Pietzcker, C. Bertram, E. Kriegler, M. Meinshausen, O. Edenhofer (2013) Economic mitigation challenges: how further delay closes the door for achieving climate targets. Environmental Research Letters, 8(3) 034033. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/8/3/034033. [highly cited; 107 citations in WoS]
• E. Kriegler, O. Edenhofer, L. Reuster, G. Luderer, D. Klein (2013) Is atmospheric carbon dioxide removal a game changer for climate change mitigation? Climatic Change, 118(1): 45-57. doi: 10.1007/s10584-012-0681-4. [highly cited; 61 citations in WoS]
• M.G.W. Schmidt, H. Held, E. Kriegler, A. Lorenz (2013) Climate policy under uncertain and heterogeneous climate damages. Environmental and Resource Economics, 54(1): 79-99. doi: 10.1007/s10640-012-9582-2
• M. Tavoni, E. Kriegler, T. Aboumahboub, K. Calvin, G. De Maere, M. Wise, D. Klein, J. Jewell, Kober, P. Lucas, G. Luderer,  D. McCollum, G. Marangoni, K. Riahi, D.P. van Vuuren (2013) The distribution of the major economies’ effort in the Durban platform scenarios. Climate Change Economics, 04. doi: 10.1142/S2010007813400095

2012 and earlier

• K. Calvin, L. Clarke, V. Krey, G. Blanford, K. Jiang, M. Kainuma, E. Kriegler, G. Luderer, P.R. Shukla (2012) The role of Asia in mitigating climate change: Results from the Asia modeling exercise. Energy Economics, 34(3): S251-S260. doi: 10.1016/j.eneco.2012.09.003. [highly cited; 92 citations in WoS]
• G. Luderer, R. Pietzcker, E. Kriegler, M. Haller, N. Bauer (2012) Asia’s role in mitigating climate change: A technology and sector specific analysis with ReMIND-R. Energy Economics, 34(3): S378-S390. doi: 10.1016/j.eneco.2012.07.022
• E. Kriegler, B. C. O’Neill, S. Hallegatte, T. Kram, R. J. Lempert, R.H. Moss, T. Wilbanks (2012) The need for and use of socio-economic scenarios for climate change analysis: a new approach based on shared socio-economic pathways. Global Environmental Change, 22: 807-822. doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2012.05.005. [highly cited: 169 citations in WoS]
• A. Lorenz, E. Kriegler, H. Held, M.G.W. Schmidt (2012) How to measure the importance of climate risk for determining optimal global abatement policies? Climate Change Economics, 3(1): 1250004-2-1250004-28. doi: 10.1142/S2010007812500042
• A. Lorenz, M.G.W. Schmidt, E. Kriegler, H. Held, (2012) Anticipating Climate Threshold Damages. Environmental Modeling and Assessment, 17 (1-2): 163-175. doi: 10.1007/s10666-011-9282-2
• V.J. Schweizer, E. Kriegler (2012) Improving environmental change research with systematic techniques for qualitative scenarios. Environmental Research Letters, 7(4). doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/7/4/044011
• E. Kriegler, M. Conestabile (2012) Building consistency (interview). Nature Climate Change, 2: 702. doi: 10.1038/nclimate1671
• E. Kriegler (2011) Comment on “The status and prospects of renewable energy for combating global warming”. Energy Economics, 33(4): 594-596. doi: 10.1016/j.eneco.2010.11.017
• M.G.W. Schmidt, A. Lorenz, H. Held, E. Kriegler (2011) Climate targets under uncertainty: Challenges and remedies. Climatic Change, 104(3-4): 783-791. doi: 10.1007/s10584-010-9985-4
• H. Held, E. Kriegler, K. Lessmann, O. Edenhofer (2009) Efficient climate policies under technology and climate uncertainty. Energy Economics, 31(1): S50-S61. doi: 10.1016/j.eneco.2008.12.012
• E. Kriegler (2009) Updating under unknown unknowns: An extension of Bayes' rule. International Journal of Approximate Reasoning, 50(4): 583-596. doi: 10.1016/j.ijar.2008.09.005
• E. Kriegler, J. Hall, H. Held, R. Dawson, H. J. Schellnhuber (2009) Imprecise probability assessment of tipping points in the climate system. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS), 106(13): 5041-5046. doi: 10.1073/pnas.0809117106. [highly cited: 146 citations in WoS]
• D. Patino-Echeverri, P. Fischbeck, E. Kriegler (2009) Economic and environmental costs of regulatory uncertainty for coal-fired power plants. Environmental Science & Technology, 43(3): 578-584. doi: 10.1021/es800094h
• H. Held, T. Augustin, E. Kriegler (2008) Bayesian learning for a class of priors with prescribed marginals. International Journal of Approximate Reasoning, 49(1): 212-233. doi: 10.1016/j.ijar.2008.03.018
• T. Lenton, H. Held, E. Kriegler, J. Hall, W. Lucht, S. Rahmstorf, H. J. Schellnhuber (2008) Tipping Elements in the Earth’s climate system. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS), 105(6): 1786-1793. doi: 10.1073/pnas.0705414105. [highly cited: 1294 citations in WoS]
• E. Kriegler (2007) On the verge of dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system? Environmental Research Letters, 2: 011001. doi: www.iop.org/EJ/abstract/1748-9326/2/1/011001
• O. Edenhofer, N. Bauer, E. Kriegler (2005) The impact of technological change on climate protection and welfare - Insights from the model MIND. Ecological Economics, 54: 277-292. doi:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2004.12.030 [highly cited: 66 citations in WoS]
• E. Kriegler, H. Held (2005) Utilizing belief functions for the estimation of future climate change. International Journal of Approximate Reasoning, 39: 185-209. doi: 10.1016/j.ijar.2004.10.005 [highly cited: 75 citations in WoS]
• E. Kriegler, T. Bruckner (2004) Sensitivity analysis of emissions corridors for the 21st century. Climatic Change, 66: 345-387. doi: 10.1023/B:CLIM.0000044615.75251.02

IPCC Berichte

• M. Allen, H. de Coninck, O.P. Dube, O. Hoegh-Guldberg, D. Jacob, K. Jiang, J. A. Revi, Rogelj, J. Roy, P. Tschakert, D. Shindell, W. Solecki, M. Taylor, H. Waisman,S. Abdul Halim, P. Antwi-Agyei, F. Aragón–Durand, M. Babiker, P. Bertoldi, M. Bindi, M. Buckeridge, S. Brown, I. Camilloni, A. Cartwright, W. Cramer, P. Dasgupta, A. Diedhiou, R. Djalante, W. Dong, K. Ebi, F. Engelbrecht, S. Fifita, J. Ford, P. Forster, S. Fuss, V. Ginzburg, J. Guiot, C. Handa, B. Hayward,Y. Hijioka,  J C. Hourcade, S. Humphreys, M. Kainuma, J. Kala, M. Kanninen, H. Kheshgi, S. Kobayashi, E. Kriegler, D. Ley, D. Liverman, N. Mahowald, R. Mechler, S. Mehrotra, L. Mundaca, Y. Mulugetta, P. Newman, C. Okereke, A. Payne, R. Perez, P.F. Pinho, A. Revokatova, K. Riahi, S. Schultz, R. Séférian, S.I. Seneviratne, L. Steg, A.G. Suarez Rodriguez, T. Sugiyama, A. Thomas, M.V. Vilariño, M. Wairiu, R. Warren, G. Zhou, K. Zickfeld (2018) Technical Summary. In: Global warming of 1.5°C. An IPCC Special Report on the impacts of global warming of 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways, in the context of strengthening the global response to the threat of climate change, sustainable development, and efforts to eradicate poverty [V. Masson-Delmotte, P. Zhai, H. O. Pörtner, D. Roberts, J. Skea, P.R. Shukla, A. Pirani, W. Moufouma-Okia, C. Péan, R. Pidcock, S. Connors, J. B. R. Matthews, Y. Chen, X. Zhou, M. I. Gomis, E. Lonnoy,T. Maycock, M. Tignor, T. Waterfield (eds.)]. In Press
• J. Rogelj, D. Shindell, K. Jiang, S. Fifita, P. Forster, V. Ginzburg, C. Handa, H. Kheshgi, S. Kobayashi, E. Kriegler, L. Mundaca, R. Séférian, M.V. Vilariño (2018) Mitigation pathways compatible with 1.5°C in the context of sustainable development. In: Global warming of 1.5°C. An IPCC Special Report on the impacts of global warming of 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways, in the context of strengthening the global response to the threat of climate change, sustainable development, and efforts to eradicate poverty [V. Masson-Delmotte, P. Zhai, H. O. Pörtner, D. Roberts, J. Skea, P.R. Shukla, A. Pirani, W. Moufouma-Okia, C. Péan, R. Pidcock, S. Connors, J. B. R. Matthews, Y. Chen, X. Zhou, M. I. Gomis, E. Lonnoy, T. Maycock, M. Tignor, T. Waterfield (eds.)]. In Press.
• P. Forster, D. Huppmann, E. Kriegler, L. Mundaca, C. Smith, J. Rogelj, R. Séférian (2018) Mitigation pathways compatible with 1.5°C in the context of sustainable developmentsupplementary material. In: Global warming of 1.5°C. An IPCC Special Report on the impacts of global warming of 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways, in the context of strengthening the global response to the threat of climate change, sustainable development, and efforts to eradicate poverty [V. Masson-Delmotte, P. Zhai, H. O. Pörtner, D. Roberts, J. Skea, P.R. Shukla, A. Pirani, W. Moufouma-Okia, C. Péan, R. Pidcock, S. Connors, J. B. R. Matthews, Y. Chen, X. Zhou, M. I. Gomis, E. Lonnoy, T. Maycock, M. Tignor, T. Waterfield (eds.)]. In Press.
• L. Clarke, K. Jiang, K. Akimoto, M. Babiker, G. Blanford, K. Fisher-Vanden, J.-C. Hourcade, V. Krey, E. Kriegler, A. Löschel, D. McCollum, S. Paltsev, S. Rose, P.R. Shukla, M. Tavoni, B. van der Zwaan, and D.P. van Vuuren (2014) Assessing Transformation Pathways. In: Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. [highly cited; 358 citations in WoS]
• O. Edenhofer, R. Pichs-Madruga, Y. Sokona, S. Agrawala, I. A. Bashmakov, G. Blanco, J. Broome, T. Bruckner, S. Brunner, M. Bustamante, L. Clarke, F. Creutzig, S. Dhakal, N. K. Dubash, P. Eickemeier, E. Farahani, M. Fischedick, M. Fleurbaey, R. Gerlagh, L. Gomez-Echeverri, S. Gupta, J. Harnisch, K. Jiang, S. Kadner, S. Kartha, S. Klasen, C. Kolstad, V. Krey, H. Kunreuther, O. Lucon, O. Masera, J. Minx, Y. Mulugetta, A. Patt, N. H. Ravindranath, K. Riahi, J. Roy, R. Schaeffer, S. Schloemer, K. Seto, K. Seyboth, R. Sims, J. Skea, P. Smith, E. Somanathan, R. Stavins, C. von Stechow, T. Sterner, T. Sugiyama, S. Suh, K. C. Urama, D. Uerge-Vorsatz, D. G. Victor, D. Zhou, J. Zou, T. Zwickel, G. Baiocchi, H. Chum, J. Fuglestvedt, H. Haberl, E. Hertwich, E. Kriegler, J. Rogelj, H.-H. Rogner, M. Schaeffer, S. J. Smith, D.P. van Vuuren, R. Wiser (2014) Summary for Policy Makers. In: Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. [highly cited; 619 citations in WoS] 
• O. Edenhofer, R. Pichs-Madruga, Y. Sokona, S. Kadner, J. C. Minx, S. Brunner, S. Agrawala, G. Baiocchi, I. A. Bashmakov, G. Blanco, J. Broome, T. Bruckner, M. Bustamante, L. Clark, M. Conte Grand, F. Creutzig, X. Cruz-Nunez, S. Dhakal, N. K. Dubash, P. Eickemeier, E. Farahani, M. Fischedick, M. Fleurbaey, R. Gerlagh, L. Gomez-Echeverri, S. Gupta, J. Harnisch, K. Jiang, F. Jotzo, S. Kartha, S. Klasen, C. Kolstad, V. Krey, H. Kunreuther, O. Lucon, O. Masera, Y. Mulugetta, R. Norgaard, A. Patt, N. H. Ravindranath, K. Riahi, J. Roy, A. Sagar, R. Schaeffer, S. Schloemer, K. Seto, K. Seyboth, R. Sims, P. Smith, E. Somanathan, R. Stavins, C. von Stechow, T. Sterner, T. Sugiyama, S. Suh, K. Urama, D. Urge-Vorsatz, A. Venables, D. G. Victor, E. Weber, D. Zhou, J. Zou, T. Zwickel, A. Acquaye, K. Blok, G. Chan, J. Fuglestvedt, E. Hertwich, E. Kriegler, O. Lah, S. Mirasgedis, C. Robledo Abad, C. Sheinbaum, S. J. Smith, D.P. van Vuuren (2014) Technical Summary. In: Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. [highly cited; 61 citations in WoS]
• V. Krey, O. Masera, G. Blanford, T. Bruckner, R. Cooke, K. Fisher-Vanden, H. Haberl, E. Hertwich, E. Kriegler, D. Mueller, S. Paltsev, L. Price, S. Schlömer, D. Ürge-Vorsatz, D.P. van Vuuren, and T. Zwickel (2014) Annex II: Metrics & Methodology. In: Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.
• M.D. Mastrandrea, C.B. Field, T.F. Stocker, O. Edenhofer, K.L. Ebi, D. J. Frame, H. Held, E. Kriegler, K.J. Mach, P.R. Matschoss, G.-K. Plattner, G.W. Yohe, F.W. Zwiers (2010) Guidance note for lead authors of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report on Consistent Treatment of Uncertainties. IPCC Cross-Working Group Meeting on Consistent Treatment of Uncertainties. Jasper Ridge, CA, USA
• K. Riahi, J.C. Minx, V. Barros, M. Bustamente, T. Carter, O. Edenhofer, C. Field, E. Kriegler, J.-F. Lamarque, K. Mach, R. Mathur, B. O'Neill, R. Pichs-Madruga, G.-K. Plattner, D. Qin, Y. Sokona, T. Stocker, T. Zhou, J. Antle, N. Arnell, J. Edmonds, S. Emori, V. Eyring, P. Friedlingstein, J. Fuglestvedt, F. Joos, H. Lotze-Campen, X. Lu, M. Meinshausen, N. Nakicenovik, M. Prather, B. Preston, N. Rao, J. Rogelj, J. Rozenberg, P.R. Shukla, J. Skea, C. Tebaldi, D.P. van Vuuren (eds.) IPCC, 2016: Meeting Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Expert Meeting on Scenarios. IPCC Working Group III Technical Support Unit, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany, pp. 55

Andere Berichte

• D. Messner, N. Nakicenovic, C. Zimm, G. Clarke, J. Rockström, A. P. Aguiar. B. Boza-Kiss, L. Campagnolo, I. Chabay, D. Collste, L. Comolli, L. Gómez-Echeverri, A. Goujon, A. Grubler, R. Jung, M. Kamei, G. Kamiya, E. Kriegler, M. Kuhn, J. Leininger, C. Martin-Shields, B. Mayor-Rodriguez, J. Miller, A. Miola, K. Riahi, M. Schewenius, J. Schmidt, K. Skierka, O. Selomane, U. Svedin, P. Yillia (2018) The Digital Revolution and Sustainable Development: Opportunities and Challenges - Report prepared by The World in 2050 initiative, (Laxenburg, Austria: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)).
• H. van Soest, D. McCollum, C. Bertram, M. Harmsen, D.P. van Vuuren, E. Kriegler, M. Roelfsema, P. Fragkos, M. den Elzen, L. Aleluia Reis, K. Riahi, V. Krey, J. Kejun, R. Schaeffer, R. Mathur, S. Fujimori (2018) Opportunities for Enhanced Action to Keep Paris Goals in Reach Contribution to the Talanoa Dialogue by the COMMIT and CD-LINKS projects
• E. Kriegler, D. Messner, N. Nakicenovic, K. Riahi, J. Rockström, J. Sachs, S. van der Leeuw, D.P. van Vuuren (eds.) (2018) Transformations to Achieve the Sustainable Development Goals - Report prepared by The World in 2050 initiative, (Laxenburg, Austria: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)).
• C. Bertram, E. Kriegler, G. Luderer, F. Humpenöder, A. Popp, O. Edenhofer, M. den Elzen, D.P. van Vuuren, H. van Soest (2015) Building the Bridge from INDCs to 2 Degrees: Implications for the Paris Agreement. In: Beyond the Numbers: Understanding the Transformation Induced by INDCs. Ed.: T. Spencer, R. Pierfederici, H. Waisman, M. Colombier. Paris: Institut du développement durable et des relations internationales (IDDRI), www.iddri.org/sites/default/files/import/publications/miles-report.pdf
• G. Luderer, E. Kriegler, L. Delsa, O.Y. Edelenbosch, J. Emmerling, V. Krey, D.L. McCollum, S. Pachauri, K. Riahi, B. Saveyn, M. Tavoni, Z. Vrontisi, D.P. van Vuuren, D. Arent, A. Arvesen, S. Fujimori, G. Iyer, I. Keppo, K. Kermeli, S. Mima, E. Ó Broin, R.C. Pietzcker, F. Sano, Y. Scholz, B. van Ruijven, C. Wilson (2016) Deep Decarbonisation towards 1.5 °C - 2 °C Stabilisation. Policy Findings from the ADVANCE Project. 1^st edition, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, 42 p.
• E. Kriegler, K. Riahi, N. Petermann et al. (2014) Assessing Pathways toward Ambitious Climate Targets at the Global and European Levels. A synthesis of results from the AMPERE project, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, 30 p.
• M. Tavoni, E. Kriegler, K. Riahi, D.P. van Vuuren, N. Petermann et al. (2014) Limiting Global Warming to 2°C, Policy findings from Durban Platform scenario analyses, FEEM report.
• E. Kriegler, I. Mouratiadou, G. Luderer G et al. (2014) Roadmaps towards Sustainable Energy futures and climate protection: A synthesis of results from the RoSE project. Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam
• O. Edenhofer, E. Kriegler, N. Bauer (2002) Szenarien zum Umbau des Energiesystems (Scenarios for a transition of the energy system). External report to the German Advisory Council on Global Change (WBGU), in German, partly published in: Chapter 4.5.1, WBGU (2003) World in Transition - Towards Sustainable Energy Systems. London: Earthscan

Buchkapitel (peer reviewed)  

• O. Edenhofer, R. Pietzcker, M. Kalkuhl, E. Kriegler (2010) Price and quantity regulation for reducing greenhouse gas emissions. In: Global Sustainability - A Nobel Cause. Eds.: H. J. Schellnhuber, M. Molina, N. Stern, V. Huber, S. Kadner. Cambridge, UK and New York, USA: Cambridge University Press
• O. Edenhofer, R. Pietzcker, M. Kalkuhl, E. Kriegler (2010) Taxation instruments to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, and comparison with quantity instruments. In: The Economics of Climate Change in China. Eds.: G. Fan, N. Stern, O. Edenhofer, S. Xu, K. Eklund, F. Ackerman, L. Li, K. Hallding. London: Earthscan
• E. Kriegler, H. Held, T. Bruckner (2007) Climate protection strategies under ambiguity about catastrophic consequences. In: Advanced methods for decision-making and risk management in sustainability science. Eds.: J. Kropp, J. Scheffran, 3-42. New York: Nova Science Publishers

Konferenzbeiträge (peer reviewed)

• E. Kriegler (2007) Updating and Testing Beliefs: An Open Version of Bayes' Rule. Proceedings of the 5th International Symposium on Imprecise Probabilities and Their Applications, Prague, 16-19 July 2007, 271-280
• N. Bauer, O. Edenhofer, H. Held, E. Kriegler (2004) Uncertainty of the role of carbon capture and sequestration within climate change mitigation strategies. Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies. Volume 1: Peer-Reviewed Paper and Plenary Presentations. Cheltenham, UK: IEA Greenhouse Gas Programme 2005
• E. Kriegler, H. Held (2003) Climate Projections for the 21st Century Using Random Sets. Proceedings of the 3rd International Symposium on Imprecise Probabilities and Their Applications, 345-360
• E. Kriegler, T. Bruckner (2002) Global and Annex I emissions corridors for the 21st century. Integrated Assessment and Decision Support - Proceedings of the 1st Biennial Meeting of the International Environmental Modelling and Software Society (IEMSS 2002), Vol. 3, 151-156
• Other Papers and Reports (10)
• O’Neill, B.C., Conde, C., Ebi, K., Friedlingstein, P., Fuglestvedt, J., Hasegawa, T., Kok, K., Kriegler, E., Monteith, S., Pichs-Madruga, R., Preston, B., Sillman, J., van Ruijven, B., van Vuuren, D. 2019. Forum on Scenarios of Climate and Societal Futures: Meeting Report. Pardee Center Working Paper 2019.10.04, University of Denver, Denver, CO. 107 pp.
• C. Wilson, E. Kriegler, D.P. van Vuuren, C. Guivarch, D. Frame, V. Krey, T.J. Osborn, V.J., Schwanitz, E.L. Thompson (2017) Evaluating Process-Based Integrated Assessment Models of Climate Change Mitigation. IIASA Working Paper WP-17-007.
• H. Van Soest, L. Aleluia Reis, D.P van Vuuren, C. Bertram, L. Drouet, J. Jewell, E. Kriegler, G. Luderer, K. Riahi, J. Rogelj, M. Tavoni, M. Den Elzen, A. Awasthy, K. Calvin, P. Capros, L. Clarke, M. Colombier, F. Teng, A.K. Garg, F. Guedes, M. Imperio, M. Kainuma, K. Jiang, A. Koberle, P. Kolp, V. Krey, A. Kitous, L. Paroussos, A. Lucena, T. Masui, L. Nogueira, R. Pierfederici, B. Saveyn, R. Schaeffer, S. Fu, B. Shoai, T.A. Spencer, P.R. Shukla, A. Szklo, H. Waisman (2016) Regional Low-Emission Pathways from Global Models. FEEM Working Paper No. 110.2015. Available at SSRN: http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2718125
• H. Lotze-Campen, E. Kriegler, M. Visbek, J. Schmidt, J. Börner, I. Dombrowsky, I. Scholz (2016) Towards a Comprehensive Future Scenario Framework for Assessing Sustainable Development Strategies. In: 2nd German Future Earth Summit - Conference Summary Report. Ed.: B. Schmalzbauer, M. Visbek. Stuttgart : German Committee Future Earth, http://www.dkn-future-earth.org/data/mediapool/2.gfes_conference_summary_report_fd_010616_web.pdf
• G. Luderer, M. Leimbach, N. Bauer, E. Kriegler, et al. (2015) Description of the REMIND Model (Version 1.6). SSRN Working Paper 2697070. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=2697070
• B.C. O'Neill, T Carter, K.L. Ebi, J. Edmonds, S. Hallegatte, E. Kemp-Benedict, E. Kriegler, L. Mearns, R. Moss, K. Riahi, B. van Ruijven, D.P. van Vuuren (2012) Meeting report of the workshop on the nature and use of new socioeconomic pathways for climate change research. Boulder: National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR).
• N. Arnell, T. Kram, T. Carter, K. Ebi, J. Edmonds, S. Hallegatte, E. Kriegler, R. Mathur, B.C. O’Neill, K. Riahi, H. Winkler, D.P. van Vuuren, T. Zwickel (2011) A framework for a new generation of socioeconomic scenarios for climate change impact, adaptation, vulnerability, and mitigation research. Scenario Framework Paper. Boulder: National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR). 42 p.
• E. Kriegler, B.C. O’Neill, S. Hallegatte, T. Kram, R. Lempert, R.H. Moss, T.J. Wilbanks (2010) Socio-economic scenario development for climate change analysis. CIRED Working Paper DT/WP No. 2010-23
• K. Tanaka, E. Kriegler, T. Bruckner, G. Hooss, W. Knorr, T. Raddatz (2007) Aggregated carbon cycle, atmospheric chemistry, and climate model (ACC2). Hamburg: Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Reports on Earth System Science No. 40, 188 p.
• E. Kriegler (2005) Imprecise probability analysis for integrated assessment of climate change. Ph.D. thesis, University of Potsdam, 258 p.