Matthias Mengel leitet die Forschungsgruppe "Datenzentrierte Modellierung von sektorübergreifenden Klimaauswirkungen" zusammen mit Inga Sauer. Er ist Mitglied des Cross-sectoral Science Team des Inter-sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP).
Als Teil des ISIMIP-Teams beschäftigt sich Matthias Mengel mit der Modellierung von Klimaauswirkungen. Vorher forschte er an der Dynamik des antarktischen Eisschildes und Veränderungen des Meeresspiegels. Mit diesen Themen beschäftigte er sich bereits während seiner Promotion an der Universität Potsdam im Jahr 2015 und während seines AXA Postdoc-Stipendiums 2016-2018.
In seiner aktuellen Forschung beschäftigt er sich mit datengetriebenen Ansätzen, um die Auswirkungen des Klimawandels auf unsere Gesellschaft besser einzugrenzen. Dies beinhaltet methodische Fortschritte bei der Attribution von beobachteten Auswirkungen des Klimawandels. Der Meeresspiegelanstieg und seine Auswirkungen sind nach wie vor ein Schwerpunkt seiner Forschung. Im Jahr 2013 nahm Matthias Mengel an der Polarstern-Expedition ANT-XXIX/3 ins antarktische Weddelmeer teil. Während seines Studiums verbrachte er ein Auslandsjahr an der University of Nairobi in Kenia.
Kontakt
14412 Potsdam
ORCID
Aktuell
Gruppenleiter: "Datenzentrierte Modellierung von cross-sektoralen Klimafolgen"
2018-2019
PostDoc, ISIMIP Gruppe, PIK Potsdam
2016-2018
AXA PostDoc bei Anders Levermann (PIK, Potsdam) und David Holland (New York University, USA)
2011-2015
PhD in Klimaphysik (Dr. rer. nat.) bei Anders Levermann am PIK Potsdam und der University Potsdam
Thema: "Forcing Earth's sea level: instabilities and linear responses"
2010
Diplom (M.Sc.), Thema: "Stability of the Subpolar Gyre in a Coarse Resolution Model"
2007-2009
Physikstudium, Freie Universität Berlin
2006/2007
Auslandsjahr an der University of Nairobi, Kenya
2004-2006
Physikstudium, Freie Universität Berlin
Stipendien
PostDoc-Stipendium des AXA research fund
PhD Stipendium der Deutschen Bundesstiftung Umwelt
Stipendium der Studienstiftung des deutschen Volkes
Stipendium des Deutschen Akademischen Austauschdienstes (DAAD) für ein Auslandsjahr
Peer Reviewed Articles
2024
Chantelle Burton, Seppe Lampe, Douglas I Kelley, Wim Thiery, Stijn Hantson, Nikos Christidis, Lukas Gudmundsson, Matthew Forrest, Eleanor Burke, Jinfeng Chang, Huilin Huang, Akihiko Ito, Sian Kou-Giesbrecht, Gitta Lasslop, Wei Li, Lars Nieradzik, Fang Li, Yang Chen, James Randerson, Christopher PO Reyer, Matthias Mengel (2024). Global burned area increasingly explained by climate change. Nature Climate Change. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-024-02140-w
Chae Yeon Park, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Shinichiro Fujimori, Thanapat Jansakoo, Chantelle Burton, Huilin Huang, Sian Kou-Giesbrecht, Christopher PO Reyer, Matthias Mengel, Eleanor Burke, Fang Li, Stijn Hantson, Junya Takakura, Dong Kun Lee, Tomoko Hasegawa (2024). Attributing human mortality from fire PM2.5 to climate change. Nature Climate Change. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-024-02149-1
Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich, Ganti, Gaurav, Lejeune, Quentin, Zhu, Biqing, Pfleiderer, Peter, Prütz, Ruben, Ciais, Philippe, Frölicher, Thomas L., Fuss, Sabine, Gasser, Thomas, Gidden, Matthew J., Kropf, Chahan M., Lacroix, Fabrice, Lamboll, Robin, Martyr, Rosanne, Maussion, Fabien, McCaughey, Jamie W., Meinshausen, Malte, Mengel, Matthias, Nicholls, Zebedee, Quilcaille, Yann, Sanderson, Benjamin, Seneviratne, Sonia I., Sillmann, Jana, Smith, Christopher J., Steinert, Norman J., Theokritoff, Emily, Warren, Rachel, Price, Jeff, Rogelj, Joeri (2024). Overconfidence in climate overshoot. Nature. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-024-08020-9
Vogt, Thomas, Treu, Simon, Mengel, Matthias, Frieler, Katja, Otto, Christian (2024). Modeling surge dynamics improves coastal flood estimates in a global set of tropical cyclones. Communications Earth and Environment. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01707-x
Dimitrova, Asya, Dimitrova, Anna, Mengel, Matthias, Gasparrini, Antonio, Lotze-Campen, Hermann, Gabrysch, Sabine (2024). Temperature-related neonatal deaths attributable to climate change in 29 low- and middle-income countries. Nature Communications. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-49890-x
Heinicke, Stefanie, Volkholz, Jan, Schewe, Jacob, Gosling, Simon N., Müller Schmied, Hannes, Zimmermann, Sandra, Mengel, Matthias, Sauer, Inga, Burek, Peter, Chang, Jinfeng, Kou-Giesbrecht, Sian, Grillakis, Manoli, Guillaumot, Luca, Hanasaki, Naota, Koutroulis, Aristeidis G., Otta, Kedar, Qi, Wei, Satoh, Yusuke, Stacke, Tobias, Yokohata, Tokuta, Frieler, Katja (2024). Global hydrological models continue to overestimate river discharge. Environmental Research Letters. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad52b0
Kiribou, Razak, Tehoda, Paul, Chukwu, Onyekachi, Bempah, Godfred, Kuehl, Hjalmar S. , Ferreira, Julie, SopID, Tenekwetche, Carvalho, Joana, Mengel, Matthias, Kulik, Lars, Mucyo, Jean Pierre Samedi, van der Hoek, Yntze, Heinicke, Stefanie (2024). Exposure of African ape sites to climate change impacts. PLOS Climate. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000345
Treu, Simon, Muis, Sanne, Dangendorf, Sönke, Wahl, Thomas, Oelsmann, Julius, Heinicke, Stefanie, Frieler, Katja, Mengel, Matthias (2024). Reconstruction of hourly coastal water levels and counterfactuals without sea level rise for impact attribution. Earth System Science Data. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-16-1121-2024
Erazo, Diana, Grant, Luke, Ghisbain, Guillaume, Marini, Giovanni, Colón-González, Felipe J., Wint, William, Rizzoli, Annapaola, Van Bortel, Wim, Vogels, Chantal B. F., Grubaugh, Nathan D., Mengel, Matthias, Frieler, Katja, Thiery, Wim, Dellicour, Simon (2024). Contribution of climate change to the spatial expansion of West Nile virus in Europe. Nature Communications. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-45290-3
Frieler, Katja, Volkholz, Jan, Lange, Stefan, Schewe, Jacob, Mengel, Matthias, Rivas López, María del Rocío, Otto, Christian, Reyer, Christopher P. O., Karger, Dirk Nikolaus, Malle, Johanna T., Treu, Simon, Menz, Christoph, Blanchard, Julia L., Harrison, Cheryl S., Petrik, Colleen M., Eddy, Tyler D., Ortega-Cisneros, Kelly, Novaglio, Camilla, Rousseau, Yannick, Watson, Reg A., Stock, Charles, Liu, Xiao, Heneghan, Ryan, Tittensor, Derek, Maury, Olivier, Büchner, Matthias, Vogt, Thomas, Wang, Tingting, Sun, Fubao, Sauer, Inga, Koch, Johannes, Vanderkelen, Inne, Jägermeyr, Jonas, Müller, Christoph, Rabin, Sam, Klar, Jochen, Vega del Valle, Iliusi, Lasslop, Gitta, Chadburn, Sarah, Burke, Eleanor, Gallego-Sala, Angela, Smith, Noah, Chang, Jinfeng, Hantson, Stijn, Burton, Chantelle, Gädeke, Anne, Li, Fang, Gosling, Simon N., Müller Schmied, Hannes, Hattermann, Fred Fokko, Wang, Jida, Yao, Fangfang, Hickler, Thomas, Marcé, Rafael, Pierson, Don, Thiery, Wim, Mercado-Bettín, Daniel, Ladwig, Robert, Ayala-Zamora, Ana Isabel, Forrest, Matthew, Bechtold, Michel (2024). Scenario setup and forcing data for impact model evaluation and impact attribution within the third round of the Inter-Sectoral Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP3a). Geoscientific Model Development. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-1-2024
2023
Muis, Sanne, Aerts, Jeroen C. J. H., Á. Antolínez, José A., Dullaart, Job C., Duong, Trang Minh, Erikson, Li, Haarsma, Rein J., Apecechea, Maialen Irazoqui, Mengel, Matthias, Le Bars, Dewi, O’Neill, Andrea, Ranasinghe, Roshanka, Roberts, Malcolm J., Verlaan, Martin, Ward, Philip J., Yan, Kun (2023). Global Projections of Storm Surges Using High‐Resolution CMIP6 Climate Models. Earth's Future. 11(9) -. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023EF003479
Bauer, Nicolas, Keller, David P., Garbe, Julius, Karstens, Kristine, Piontek, Franziska, von Bloh, Werner, Thiery, Wim, Zeitz, Maria, Mengel, Matthias, Strefler, Jessica, Thonicke, Kirsten, Winkelmann, Ricarda (2023). Corrigendum: Exploring risks and benefits of overshooting a 1.5 °C carbon budget over space and time (2023 Environ. Res. Lett.18 054015). Environmental Research Letters. 18(8) -. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ace270
Paprotny, Dominik, Mengel, Matthias (2023). Population, land use and economic exposure estimates for Europe at 100 m resolution from 1870 to 2020. Scientific Data. 10() -. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-023-02282-0
Bauer, Nicolas, Keller, David P., Garbe, Julius, Karstens, Kristine, Piontek, Franziska, von Bloh, Werner, Thiery, Wim, Zeitz, Maria, Mengel, Matthias, Strefler, Jessica, Thonicke, Kirsten, Winkelmann, Ricarda (2023). Exploring risks and benefits of overshooting a 1.5 °C carbon budget over space and time. Environmental Research Letters. 18() -. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/accd83
2022
Lincke, Daniel, Hinkel, Jochen, Mengel, Matthias, Nicholls, Robert J. (2022). Understanding the Drivers of Coastal Flood Exposure and Risk From 1860 to 2100. Earth's Future. 10(12) -. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EF002584
Golub, M., Thiery, W., Marcé, R., Pierson, D., Vanderkelen, I., Mercado, D., Woolway, R. I., Grant, L., Jennings, E., Schewe, Jacob, Zhao, Fang, Frieler, Katja, Mengel, Matthias, Bogomolov, V. Y., Bouffard, D., Couture, R.-M., Debolskiy, A. V., Droppers, B., Gal, G., Guo, M., Janssen, A. B. G., Kirillin, G., Ladwig, R., Magee, M., Moore, T., Perroud, M., Piccolroaz, S., Raaman Vinnaa, L., Schmid, M., Shatwell, T., Stepanenko, V. M., Tan, Z., Yao, H., Adrian, R., Allan, M., Anneville, O., Arvola, L., Atkins, K., Boegman, L., Carey, C., Christianson, K., de Eyto, E., DeGasperi, C., Grechushnikova, M., Hejzlar, J., Joehnk, K., Jones, I. D., Laas, A., Mackay, E. B., Mammarella, I., Markensten, H., McBride, C., Özkundakci, D., Potes, M., Rinke, K., Robertson, D., Rusak, J., Salgado, R., van den Linden, L., Verburg, P., Wain, D., Ward, N. K., Wollrab, S., Zdorovennova, G. (2022). A framework for ensemble modelling of climate change impacts on lakes worldwide: the ISIMIP Lake Sector. Geoscientific Model Development. 15(11) 4597-4623. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-4597-2022
Heinicke, Stefanie, Frieler, Katja, Jägermeyr, Jonas, Mengel, Matthias (2022). Global gridded crop models underestimate yield responses to droughts and heatwaves. Environmental Research Letters. 17(4) -. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac592e
2021
Thiery, By Wim, Lange, Stefan, Rogelj, Joeri, Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich, Gudmundsson, Lukas, Seneviratne, Sonia I., Andrijevic, Marina, Frieler, Katja, Emanuel, Kerry, Geiger, Tobias, Bresch, David N., Zhao, Fang, Willner, Sven, Büchner, Matthias, Volkholz, Jan, Bauer, Nicolas, Chang, Jinfeng, Ciais, Philippe, Dury, Marie, François, Louis, Grillakis, Manolis, Gosling, Simon N., Hanasaki, Naota, Hickler, Thomas, Huber, Veronika, Ito, Akihiko, Jägermeyr, Jonas, Khabarov, Nikolay, Koutroulis, Aristeidis, Liu, Wenfeng, Lutz, Wolfgang, Mengel, Matthias, Müller, Christoph, Ostberg, Sebastian, Reyer, Christopher P. O., Stacke, Tobias, Wada, Yoshihide (2021). Intergenerational inequities in exposure to climate extremes. Science. 374(6564) 158-160. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abi7339
Mengel, Matthias, Treu, Simon, Lange, Stefan, Frieler, Katja (2021). ATTRICI v1.1 - counterfactual climate for impact attribution. Geoscientific Model Development. 14(8) 5269-5284. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-5269-2021
Vicedo-Cabrera, A. M., Scovronick, N., Sera, F., Royé, D., Schneider, R., Tobias, A., Astrom, C., Guo, Y., Honda, Y., Hondula, D. M., Abrutzky, R., Tong, S., Coelho, M. de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio, Saldiva, P. H. Nascimento, Lavigne, E., Correa, P. Matus, Ortega, N. Valdes, Kan, H., Osorio, S., Kyselý, J., Urban, A., Orru, H., Indermitte, E., Jaakkola, J. J. K., Ryti, N., Pascal, M., Schneider, A., Katsouyanni, K., Samoli, E., Mayvaneh, F., Entezari, A., Goodman, P., Zeka, A., Michelozzi, P., de’Donato, F., Hashizume, M., Alahmad, B., Diaz, M. Hurtado, Valencia, C. De La Cruz, Overcenco, A., Houthuijs, D., Ameling, C., Rao, S., Di Ruscio, F., Carrasco-Escobar, G., Seposo, X., Silva, S., Madureira, J., Holobaca, I. H., Fratianni, S., Acquaotta, F., Kim, H., Lee, W., Iniguez, C., Forsberg, B., Ragettli, M. S., Guo, Y. L. L., Chen, B. Y., Li, S., Armstrong, B., Aleman, A., Zanobetti, A., Schwartz, J., Dang, T. N., Dung, D. V., Gillett, N., Haines, A., Mengel, Matthias, Huber, Veronika, Gasparrini, A. (2021). The burden of heat-related mortality attributable to recent human-induced climate change. Nature Climate Change. 11(6) 492-500. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01058-x
2019
Seroussi, H., Nowicki, S., Simon, E., Abe-Ouchi, A., Albrecht, T., Brondex, J., Cornford, S., Dumas, C., Gillet-Chaulet, F., Goelzer, H., Golledge, N. R., Gregory, J. M., Greve, R., Hoffman, M. J., Humbert, A., Huybrechts, P., Kleiner, T., Larour, E., Leguy, G., Lipscomb, W. H., Lowry, D., Mengel, Matthias, Morlighem, M., Pattyn, F., Payne, A. J., Pollard, D., Price, S. F., Quiquet, A., Reerink, T. J., Reese, R., Rodehacke, C. B., Schlegel, N.-J., Shepherd, A., Sun, S., Sutter, J., Van Breedam, J., Wal, R. S. W. van de, Winkelmann, Ricarda, Zhang, T. (2019). initMIP-Antarctica: an ice sheet model initialization experiment of ISMIP6. The Cryosphere. 13(5) 1441-1471. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-13-1441-2019
Nauels, A., Gütschow, Johannes, Mengel, Matthias, Meinshausen, Malte, Clark, P. U., Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich (2019). Attributing long-term sea-level rise to Paris Agreement emission pledges. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS). 116(47) 23487-23492. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1907461116
Feldmann, Johannes, Levermann, Anders, Mengel, Matthias (2019). Stabilizing the West Antarctic Ice Sheet by surface mass deposition. Science Advances. 5(7) -. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aaw4132
2018
Mengel, Matthias, Nauels, A., Rogelj, J., Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich (2018). Committed sea-level rise under the Paris Agreement and the legacy of delayed mitigation action. Nature Communications. 9() -. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-02985-8
Reese, Ronja, Albrecht, Torsten, Mengel, Matthias, Asay-Davis, Xylar S., Winkelmann, Ricarda (2018). Antarctic sub-shelf melt rates via PICO. The Cryosphere. 12(6) 1969-1985. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-12-1969-2018
Pfleiderer, Peter, Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich, Mengel, Matthias, Rogelj, J. (2018). Global mean temperature indicators linked to warming levels avoiding climate risks. Environmental Research Letters. 13(6) -. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aac319
Gieseke, R., Willner, S. N., Mengel, Matthias (2018). Pymagicc: A Python wrapper for the simple climate model MAGICC. The Journal of Open Source Software. 3(22)(516) -. https://doi.org/10.21105/joss.00516
2017
Reyer, Christopher P. O., Otto, Ilona M., Adams, S., Albrecht, Torsten, Baarsch, F., Cartsburg, M., Coumou, Dim, Eden, Alexander, Ludi, E., Marcus, R., Mengel, Matthias, Mosello, B., Robinson, Alexander, Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich, Serdeczny, O., Stagl, Judith C. (2017). Climate change impacts in Central Asia and their implications for development. Regional Environmental Change. 17(6) 1639-1650. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-015-0893-z
Frieler, Katja, Lange, Stefan, Piontek, Franziska, Reyer, Christopher P. O., Schewe, Jacob, Warszawski, Lila, Zhao, Fang, Chini, L., Denvil, S., Emanuel, K., Geiger, Tobias, Halladay, K., Hurtt, G., Mengel, Matthias, Murakami, D., Ostberg, Sebastian, Popp, Alexander, Riva, R., Stevanović, Miodrag, Suzuki, T., Volkholz, Jan, Burke, E., Ciais, P., Ebi, K., Eddy, T. D., Elliott, J., Galbraith, E., Gosling, S. N., Hattermann, Fred Fokko, Hickler, T., Hinkel, J., Hof, C., Huber, Veronika, Jägermeyr, Jonas, Krysanova, Valentina, Marcé, R., Müller Schmied, H., Mouratiadou, Ioanna, Pierson, D., Tittensor, D. P., Vautard, R., Vliet, M. van, Biber, M. F., Betts, R. A., Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon, Deryng, D., Frolking, S., Jones, C. D., Lotze, H. K., Lotze-Campen, Hermann, Sahajpal, R., Thonicke, Kirsten, Tian, H., Yamagata, Y. (2017). Assessing the impacts of 1.5 °C global warming - simulation protocol of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP2b). Geoscientific Model Development. 10(12) 4321-4345. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-4321-2017
Waha, Katharina, Krummenauer, Linda, Adams, S., Aich, Valentin, Baarsch, Florent, Coumou, Dim, Fader, M., Hoff, Holger, Jobbins, G., Marcus, R., Mengel, Matthias, Otto, Ilona M., Perrette, Mahé, Rocha, M., Robinson, Alexander, Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich (2017). Climate change impacts in the Middle East and Northern Africa (MENA) region and their implications for vulnerable population groups. Regional Environmental Change. 17(6) 1623-1638. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-017-1144-2
Nauels, A., Rogelj, J., Schleussner, C.-F., Meinshausen, M., Mengel, Matthias (2017). Linking sea level rise and socioeconomic indicators under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. Environmental Research Letters. 12(114002) -. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa92b6
Reyer, Christopher P. O., Adams, S., Albrecht, Torsten, Baarsch, F., Boit, Alice, Trujillo, N. C., Cartsburg, M., Coumou, Dim, Eden, Alexander, Fernandes, E., Langerwisch, Fanny, Marcus, R., Mengel, Matthias, Mira-Salama, D., Perette, Mahé, Pereznieto, P., Rammig, Anja, Reinhardt, Julia, Robinson, Alexander, Rocha, M., Sakschewski, Boris, Schaeffer, M., Schleussner, C.-F., Serdeczny, O., Thonicke, Kirsten (2017). Climate change impacts in Latin America and the Caribbean and their implications for development. Regional Environmental Change. 17(6) 1601-1621. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-015-0854-6
Nauels, A., Meinshausen, M., Mengel, Matthias, Lorbacher, K., Wigley, T. M. L. (2017). Synthesizing long-term sea level rise projections - the MAGICC sea level model v2.0. Geoscientific Model Development. 10(6) 2495-2524. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-2495-2017
2016
Mengel, Matthias, Levermann, Anders, Frieler, Katja, Robinson, Alexander, Marzeion, Ben, Winkelmann, Ricarda (2016). Future sea level rise constrained by observations and long-term commitment. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS). 113(10) 2597-2602. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1500515113
Schleussner, C.-F., Lissner, T. K., Fischer, E. M., Wohland, J., Perrette, M., Golly, A., Rogelj, J., Childers, K., Schewe, Jacob, Frieler, Katja, Mengel, Matthias, Hare, W., Schaeffer, M. (2016). Differential climate impacts for policy-relevant limits to global warming: the case of 1.5 °C and 2 °C. Earth System Dynamics. 7(2) 327-351. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-327-2016
Frieler, Katja, Mengel, Matthias, Levermann, Anders (2016). Delaying future sea-level rise by storing water in Antarctica. Earth System Dynamics. 7(1) 203-210. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-7-203-2016
Mengel, Matthias, Feldmann, Johannes, Levermann, Anders (2016). Linear sea-level response to abrupt ocean warming of major West Antarctic ice basin. Nature Climate Change. 6(1) 71-74. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2808
2014
Mengel, Matthias, Levermann, Anders (2014). Ice plug prevents irreversible discharge from East Antarctica. Nature Climate Change. 4(6) 451-455. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2226
Piontek, Franziska, Müller, C., Pugh, T. A. M., Clark, D. B., Deryng, D., Elliott, J., Jesus Colón-González, F. de, Flörke, M., Folbert, C., Franssen, W., Frieler, Katja, Friend, A. D., Gosling, S. N., Hemming, D., Khabarov, N., Kim, H., Lomas, M. R., Masaki, Y., Mengel, Matthias, Morse, A., Neumann, K., Nishina, K., Ostberg, S., Pavlick, R., Ruane, A. C., Schewe, Jacob, Schmid, E., Stacke, T., Tang, Q., Tessler, Z. D., Tompkins, A. M., Warszawski, L., Wisser, D., Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim (2014). Multisectoral climate impact hotspots in a warming world. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS). 111(9) 3233-3238. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1222471110
Levermann, Anders, Winkelmann, Ricarda, Nowicki, S., Fastook, J. L., Frieler, Katja, Greve, R., Hellmer, H. H., Martin, M. A., Meinshausen, M., Mengel, Matthias, Payne, A. J., Pollard, D., Sato, T., Timmermann, R., Lang, W. L., Bindschadler, R. A. (2014). Projecting Antarctic ice discharge using response functions from SeaRISE ice-sheet models. Earth System Dynamics. 5(2) 271-293. https://doi.org/10.5194/esdd-4-1117-2013
2013
Frieler, Katja, Meinshausen, M., Golly, A., Mengel, Matthias, Lebek, K., Donner, S. D., Hoegh-Guldberg, O. (2013). Limiting global warming to 2°C is unlikely to save most coral reefs. Nature Climate Change. 3(2) 165-170. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1674
2012
Frieler, Katja, Meinshausen, M., Mengel, Matthias, Braun, N., Hare, W. (2012). A scaling approach to probabilistic assessment of regional climate change. Journal of Climate. 25(9) 3117-3144. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00199.1
Mengel, Matthias, Levermann, Anders, Schleussner, C.-F., Born, A. (2012). Enhanced Atlantic subpolar gyre variability through baroclinic threshold in a coarse resolution model. Earth System Dynamics. 3(2) 189-197. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-3-189-2012
Software
2018
Gieseke, Robert, Willner, Sven, Mengel, Matthias (2018). openclimatedata/pymagicc: v1.0.2. CERN / Zenodo.https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1165153
Gieseke, Robert, Lewis, J., Willner, Sven, Nicholls, Z., Mengel, Matthias (2018). openclimatedata/pymagicc: v1.2.0. CERN / Zenodo.https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1299493
Reese, Ronja, Albrecht, Torsten, Mengel, Matthias, Winkelmann, Ricarda, & other PISM authors (2018). pism/pik/pico_dev: PISM+PICO version as used in Reese et al. The Cryosphere publication. CERN / Zenodo.https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1248799
Gieseke, Robert, Willner, Sven, Mengel, Matthias, Lewis, J. (2018). openclimatedata/pymagicc: v1.1.0. CERN / Zenodo.https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1254844
2019
Sea levels set to keep rising for centuries even if emissions targets met
The Guardian
Sea level will rise for centuries. We can control how much and how fast.
National Geographic
2018
The next five years will shape sea level rise for the next 300, study says
The Washington Post
Actions today will decide Antarctic ice sheet loss and sea level rise
The Guardian
Interview: "Der Meeresspiegel reagiert sensibel auf alle Emissionen"
Zeit Online
Interview: "Wir haben das Klima nie stärker beeinflusst"
heute.de
2016
Sea level rise is accelerating; how much it costs is up to us
The Guardian
Seas are now rising faster than they have in 2,800 years, scientists say
The Washington Post
Study Reveals Stunning Acceleration of Sea Level Rise
Climate Central
Study reveals greater climate impacts of 2C temperature rise
The Guardian
Ein halbes Grad mehr ist ein halbes Grad zu viel
Süddeutsche Zeitung
2014
East Antarctica significantly more at risk of melting than earlier thought
The Washington Post
Antarctic Ice Shelf On Brink Of Unstoppable Melt That Could Raise Sea Levels For 10,000 Years
The Huffington Post
Eiskollaps-Prognose: Forscher verwundern mit Korken-Orakel
Spiegel Online
Antarctic Ice May Be Held in Place By Small Plugs
National Geographic
