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case: WE2 location: Wadden sea (Netherlands) sectors: Water resources; Marine and Fisheries

Question

Which question has been addressed in this step?

Appraise decisions: What are promising strategic options to adapt to climate change?

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Why has this question been chosen?

  • Recognition by the central staff that a new planning approach had to be developed and adopted, including a new framing the adaptation challenge, as the finiteness of the current water management system under climate change.
  • Due to the lead time necessary, due to the length of planning and policy cycles, for implementing options, none of the options can be considered shortterm.
  • There is a requirement in the Delta Programme to identify and appraise flexibility in adaptation options and pathways, e.g. possibilities for speeding-up/slowing down or step-wise implementation of an option depending on observed change and new information.

Which methods have been applied?

  • Adaptation pathway assessment. Adaptation measures were clustered to yield strategic options to be implemented progressively, depending on the speed of climate change and in particular sea level rise.

Why have these methods been selected?

  • For the Delta commission key aspects of a decision making framework must include the following:
    1. Linking short-term decisions with long-term planning around flood risk management and freshwater, taking into account uncertainties in climate and socio-economic scenarios;
    2. Working with adaptation pathways that consist of multiple strategies that can be alternated between, actively timing decisions and using windows of opportunity;
    3. Identify and appraise flexibility in adaptation options and pathways, e.g. possibilities for speedingup/ slowing down or step-wise implementation of an option depending on observed change and new information;
    4. Actively investigate and appraise opportunities to link investment agendas of public and private parties to capitalise on synergies and innovative investment schemes.

What results have been obtained?

  1. Continuing the current strategy. Sand replenishments and improving dykes and hydraulic structures;
  2. Prevention plus. Linking the current prevention strategy to ecological and other objectives and ambitions (e.g. by developing innovative dykes and using natural processes more);
  3. System interventions. Such as additional replenishments along the North Sea coast if the current or optimised prevention strategy of sand replenishments does not sufficiently counter the Wadden Sea 'drowning';
  4. Investments in spatial organisation and disaster management (multi-layer safety). Preventing casualties and damage in the case of a flood.

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