Publikationen

In Press 

  • E.K. Smith*/M. Wiedermann*, J.F. Donges, J. Heitzig, R. Winkelmann,
    A global social activation model of enabling conditions for positive social tipping - the role of sea-level rise anticipation and climate change concern,
    Earth System Dynamics (2023),
    preprint EGUSphere, DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2023-1622,
    * shared lead-authorship
  • R. Creel, J. Austermann, R. Kopp, N. Khan, T. Albrecht, J. Kingslake,
    Global mean sea level likely higher than present during the Holocene,
    accepted for Nature Communications (2024).

2024

  • H. Seroussi, T. Pelle, W. H. Lipscomb, A. Abe-Ouchi, T. Albrecht, J. Alvarez-Solas, X. Asay-Davis, J.-B. Barre, C. J. Berends, J. Bernales, J. Blasco, J. Caillet, D. M. Chandler, V. Coulon, R. Cullather, C. Dumas, B. K. Galton-Fenzi, J. Garbe, F. Gillet-Chaulet, R. Gladstone, H. Goelzer, N. Golledge, R. Greve, G. H. Gudmundsson, H. Kyeore Han, T. R. Hillebrand, M. J. Hoffman, P. Huybrechts, N. C. Jourdain, A. K. Klose, P. M. Langebroek, G. R. Leguy, D. P. Lowry, P. Mathiot, M. Montoya, M. Morlighem, S. Nowicki, F. Pattyn, A. J. Payne, A. Quiquet, R. Reese, A. Robinson, L. Saraste, E. G. Simon, S. Sun, J. P. Twarog, L. D. Trusel, B. Urruty, J. Van Breedam, R. S. W. van de Wal, Y. Wang, C. Zhao, T. Zwinger,
    Evolution of the Antarctic Ice Sheet Over the Next Three Centuries From an ISMIP6 Model Ensemble,
    Earth's Future, 12, 9, e2024EF004561 (2024).
    https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EF004561

    PIK News
  • J. Gupta, X. Bai , D. M Liverman, J. Rockström, D. Qin, B. Stewart-Koster, J. C. Rocha, L. Jacobson, J. F. Abrams, L. S. Andersen, D. I. Armstrong McKay, G. Bala, S. E. Bunn, D. Ciobanu, F. DeClerck, K. L. Ebi, L. Gifford, C. Gordon, S. Hasan, N. Kanie, T. M. Lenton, S. Loriani, A. Mohamed, N. Nakicenovic, D. Obura, D. Ospina, K. Prodani, C. Rammelt, B. Sakschewski, J. Scholtens, T. Tharammal, D. van Vuuren, P. H. Verburg, R. Winkelmann, C. Zimm, E. Bennett, A. Bjørn, S. Bringezu, W. J. Broadgate, H. Bulkeley, B. Crona, P. A. Green, H. Hoff, L. Huang, M. Hurlbert, C. Y. A. Inoue, Ş. Kılkış, S. J. Lade, J. Liu, I. Nadeem, C. Ndehedehe, C. Okereke, I. M. Otto, S. Pedde, L. Pereira, L. Schulte-Uebbing, J. D. Tàbara, W. de Vries, G. Whiteman, C. Xiao, X. Xu, N. Zafra-Calvo, X. Zhang, P. Fezzigna, G. Gentile,
    A just world on a safe planet: a Lancet Planetary Health–Earth Commission report on Earth-system boundaries, translations, and transformations,
    The Lancet Planetary Health, 8, 10, e813-e873 (2024).

    https://doi.org/10.1016/S2542-5196(24)00042-1

a) T. Albrecht, V. Klemann, M. Bagge,
PISM-VILMA glacial cycle simulations of the Antarctic Ice Sheet coupled to the solid Earth and global sea level [dataset]
(2024).
https://doi.org/10.1594/PANGAEA.972528
.

b) T. Albrecht,
PISM version as used in Albrecht et al. (TC, 2024) publication. [software].
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.12730724
.

  • A. Klein, K. Unverzagt, R. Alba, J.F. Donges, T. Hertz, T. Krüger, E. Lindkvist, R. Martin, J. Niewöhner, H. Prawitz, M. Schlüter,  L. Schwarz, N. Wijermans,
    Situated Modelling: An interdisciplinary framework for knowing a world in transformation
    ,
    Ecosystems & People 20, 2361706 (2024),
    DOI: 10.1080/26395916.2024.2361706 
  • N. Wunderling, A. von der Heydt, Y. Aksenov, S. Barker, R. Bastiaansen, V. Brovkin, M. Brunetti, V. Couplet, T. Kleinen, C.H. Lear, J. Lohmann, R.M. Roman-Cuesta, S. Sinet, D. Swingedouw, R. Winkelmann, P. Anand, J. Barichivich, S. Bathiany, M. Baudena, J.T. Bruun, C.M. Chiessi, H.K. Coxall, D. Docquier, J.F. Donges, S.K.J. Falkena, A.K. Klose, D. Obura, J. Rocha, S. Rynders, N.J. Steinert, M. Willeit,
    Climate tipping points and interactions: A review,
    Earth System Dynamics 15, 41–74 (2024),
    DOI: 10.5194/esd-15-41-2024,
    EGUsphere [preprint], DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2023-1576.

2023

  • H. Seroussi, V. Verjans, S. Nowicki, A. J. Payne, H. Goelzer, W. H. Lipscomb, A. Abe-Ouchi, C. Agosta, T. Albrecht, X. Asay-Davis, A. Barthel, R. Calov, R. Cullather, C. Dumas, B. K. Galton-Fenzi, R. Gladstone, N. R. Golledge, J. M. Gregory, R. Greve, T. Hatterman, M. J. Hoffman, A. Humbert, P. Huybrechts, N. C. Jourdain, T. Kleiner, E. Larour, G. R. Leguy, D. P. Lowry, C. M. Little, M. Morlighem, F. Pattyn, T. Pelle, S. F. Price, A. Quiquet, R. Reese, N.-J. Schlegel, A. Shepherd, E. Simon, R. S. Smith, F. Straneo, S. Sun, L. D. Trusel, J. Van Breedam, P. Van Katwyk, R.S. W. van de Wal, R. Winkelmann, C. Zhao, T. Zhang, and T. Zwinger,
    Insights into the vulnerability of Antarctic glaciers from the ISMIP6 ice sheet model ensemble and associated uncertainty,
    The Cryosphere, 17, 5197–5217 (2023),
    DOI:10.5194/tc-17-5197-2023.

a) N. Bauer, D. P. Keller, J. Garbe, K. Karstens, F. Piontek, W. von Bloh, W. Thiery, M. Zeitz, M. Mengel, J. Strefler, K. Thonicke, R. Winkelmann
Corrigendum: Exploring risks and benefits of overshooting a 1.5 °C carbon budget over space and time (2023 Environ. Res. Lett.18 054015),
Environmental Research Letters,
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ace270.

  • J. F. Donges, J. Heitzig, (Eds.),
    S0 copan reader: a curated collection of copan research papers:
    World-Earth Dynamics in the Anthropocene: A Copan Reader 2013 - 2022
    ,
    2nd edition, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (2023),
    DOI: 10.48485/pik.2021.004.
  • F. Sylvester, F. G. Weichert, V. L. Lozano, K. J. Groh, M. Bálint, L. Baumann, C. Bässler, W. Brack, B. Brandl, J. Curtius, P. Dierkes, P. Döll, I. Ebersberger, S. Fragkostefanakis, E. J. N. Helfrich, T. Hickler, S. Johann, J. Jourdan, S. Klimpel, H. Kminek, F. Liquin, D. Möllendorf, T. Mueller, J. Oehlmann, R. Ottermanns, S. U. Pauls, M. Piepenbring, J. Pfefferle, G. J. Schenk, J. F. Scheepens, M. Scheringer, S. Schiwy, A. Schlottmann, F. Schneider, L. M. Schulte, M. Schulze-Sylvester, E. Stelzer, F. Strobl, A. Sundermann, K. Tockner, T. Tröger, A. Vilcinskas, C. Völker, R. Winkelmann, H.Hollert,
    Better integration of chemical pollution research will further our understanding of biodiversity loss [Comment],
    Nature Ecology & Evolution (2024),
    DOI: 10.1038/s41559-023-02117-6.

In review and discussion

  • M. Bechthold, W. Barfuss, A. Butz, J. Breier, S.M. Constantino, J. Heitzig, L. Schwarz, S.N. Vardag, J.F. Donges,
    Social norms and groups structure safe operating spaces in renewable resource use in a social-ecological multi-layer network model,
    EGUSphere unter DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2024-2924 (2024).
  • B. Grudde,
    The human climate: towards an Earth system-based understanding of human climate adaptation,
    in review (2024).
  • W.S. Oh, W. Barfuss, J.F. Donges, S. Levin, D. Rubenstein,
    Independent or interdependent? Migration timing dynamics and their association with external stressors,
    in review (2024).
  • W. Barfuss, J.F. Donges, M. Bethge,
    Ecologically-mediated collective action in commons with tipping elements,
    in review (2024),
    preprint OSF, DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/7pcnm.

  • R. Winkelmann, J. Garbe, J. Donges, T. Albrecht,
    Mapping tipping risks from Antarctic ice basins under Global Warming,
    in review (2024).
  • E. Enache, O. Kozak, N. Wunderling, J. Vollmer (2024),
    Constraining safe and unsafe overshoots in saddle-node bifurcations,
    in review (2024),
    arXiv preprint arXiv:2401.07712.
  • J. Rosser, R. Winkelmann, N. Wunderling,
    Cryosphere tipping elements decisive for tipping risks and cascading effects in the Earth system,
    in review (2024),
    preprint Research Square, DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-3787862/v1.
  • S. Loriani, A. Bartsch, E. Calamita, J. F. Donges, S. Hebden, M. Hirota, A. Landolfi, T. Nagler, B. Sakschewski, A. Staal, J. Verbesselt, R. Winkelmann, R. Wood, N. Wunderling,
    Monitoring the multiple stages of climate tipping systems from space: Do the GCOS Essential Climate Variables meet the needs?
    ,
    in review (2024).
  • ..., J.F. Donges, et al.,
    Resilience metrics need to better incorporate agency and diversity,
    in review (2023).
  • L. Nicola, R. Reese, M. Kreuzer, T. Albrecht and R. Winkelmann,
    Oceanic gateways to Antarctic grounding lines – Impact of critical access depths on sub-shelf melt,
    in review (2023),
    DOI:10.5194/egusphere-2023-2583.
  • M. Kreuzer, T. Albrecht, L. Nicola, R. Reese and R. Winkelmann,
    Oceanic gateways in Antarctica – Impact of relative sea-level change on sub-shelf melt,
    in review (2023),
    DOI:10.5194/egusphere-2023-2737.
  • S. Loriani, Y. Aksenov, D. Armstrong McKay, G. Bala, A. Born, C.M. Chiessi, H. Dijkstra, J.F. Donges, S. Drijfhout, M.H. England, A.V. Fedorov, L. Jackson, K. Kornhuber, G. Messori, F. Pausata, S. Rynders, J.-B. Salée, B. Sinha, S. Sherwood, D. Swingedouw, T. Tharammal,
    Tipping points in ocean and atmosphere circulations,
    EGUsphere [preprint], Earth System Dynamics, in review (2023),
    DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2023-2589.
  • N. Wunderling, S. Perri, J. Rockström, M. Oppenheimer, A. Porporato, J.F. Donges, S.A. Levin, W. Barfuss,
    Concerted efforts of politics, society and science mitigate climate tipping risks in a coupled human-Earth system model,
    in review (2023).
  • E.K. Smith*, N. Kitzmann*, M. Milkoreit*, R. Winkelmann*, A.-S. Crépin, C. Eder, N. Harring, J. Heitzig, A. Katsanidou, T.M. Lenton, F. Mauelshagen, K. Minor, I.M. Otto, A. Rezai, J. Scheffran, I. Stadelmann-Steffen, R. van der Ploeg, N. Wunderling, J.F. Donges*,
    Criticality and critical agency in societal tipping processes towards sustainability,
    subm. (2023),
    * shared lead-authorship
  • C. Mauritzen, S. Cornell, S. Eker, C. Smith, B. Callegari, D. Collste, J.F. Donges, P.M. Forster, D. Gerten, A. Gjermundsen, B. Kopainsky, C. Li, S. Mashhadi, W. Schoenberg, J. Sillmann, L. Wang-Erlandsson,
    Perspective: A research agenda towards building renewed trust in decision making tools for climate mitigation,
    in review.