In Press
- J.P. Everall, J.F. Donges, I.M Otto,
The Pareto effect in tipping social networks: from minority to majority,
Earth System Dynamics, in press (2024),
DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2023-2241.
- E.K. Smith*/M. Wiedermann*, J.F. Donges, J. Heitzig, R. Winkelmann,
A global social activation model of enabling conditions for positive social tipping - the role of sea-level rise anticipation and climate change concern,
Earth System Dynamics (2023),
preprint EGUSphere, DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2023-1622,
* shared lead-authorship
- R. Creel, J. Austermann, R. Kopp, N. Khan, T. Albrecht, J. Kingslake,
Global mean sea level likely higher than present during the Holocene,
accepted for Nature Communications (2024).
2024
- J. Rockström, J.F. Donges, I. Fetzer, M.A. Martin, L. Wang-Erlandsson, K. Richardson,
The science on planetary boundaries as a guide to humanity's future on Earth,
Nature Reviews in Earth & Environment, in press (2024),
DOI: 10.1038/s43017-024-00597-z,
PIK Press Release.
- A.K. Klose, J.F. Donges, U. Feudel, R. Winkelmann,
Rate-induced tipping cascades arising from interactions between the Greenland Ice Sheet and the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation,Earth System Dynamics (2024),
DOI: 10.5194/esd-15-635-2024
preprint ESD Discussions: DOI: 10.5194/esd-2023-20.
- N. Fuchs, P. Anhaus, M. Hoppmann, T. Kagel, C. Katlein, R. Reese, L. Riemenschneider, R. Tao, R. Winkelmann, D. Notz,
In-ice light measurements during the MOSAiC expedition (2024),
Scientific Data,
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-024-03472-0.
- J. P. Rosser, R. Winkelmann, N. Wunderling,
Polar ice sheets are decisive contributors to uncertainty in climate tipping projections,
Communications Earth and Environment, 5, 702 (2024),
https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01799-5
- H. Seroussi, T. Pelle, W. H. Lipscomb, A. Abe-Ouchi, T. Albrecht, J. Alvarez-Solas, X. Asay-Davis, J.-B. Barre, C. J. Berends, J. Bernales, J. Blasco, J. Caillet, D. M. Chandler, V. Coulon, R. Cullather, C. Dumas, B. K. Galton-Fenzi, J. Garbe, F. Gillet-Chaulet, R. Gladstone, H. Goelzer, N. Golledge, R. Greve, G. H. Gudmundsson, H. Kyeore Han, T. R. Hillebrand, M. J. Hoffman, P. Huybrechts, N. C. Jourdain, A. K. Klose, P. M. Langebroek, G. R. Leguy, D. P. Lowry, P. Mathiot, M. Montoya, M. Morlighem, S. Nowicki, F. Pattyn, A. J. Payne, A. Quiquet, R. Reese, A. Robinson, L. Saraste, E. G. Simon, S. Sun, J. P. Twarog, L. D. Trusel, B. Urruty, J. Van Breedam, R. S. W. van de Wal, Y. Wang, C. Zhao, T. Zwinger,
Evolution of the Antarctic Ice Sheet Over the Next Three Centuries From an ISMIP6 Model Ensemble,
Earth's Future, 12, 9, e2024EF004561 (2024).
https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EF004561
PIK News
-
J. Feldmann, A. Levermann, R. Winkelmann,
Hysteresis of idealized, instability-prone outlet glaciers under variation of pinning-point buttressing,
The Cryosphere, 18, 9, 4011-4028 (2024),
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-4011-2024
- J. Gupta, X. Bai , D. M Liverman, J. Rockström, D. Qin, B. Stewart-Koster, J. C. Rocha, L. Jacobson, J. F. Abrams, L. S. Andersen, D. I. Armstrong McKay, G. Bala, S. E. Bunn, D. Ciobanu, F. DeClerck, K. L. Ebi, L. Gifford, C. Gordon, S. Hasan, N. Kanie, T. M. Lenton, S. Loriani, A. Mohamed, N. Nakicenovic, D. Obura, D. Ospina, K. Prodani, C. Rammelt, B. Sakschewski, J. Scholtens, T. Tharammal, D. van Vuuren, P. H. Verburg, R. Winkelmann, C. Zimm, E. Bennett, A. Bjørn, S. Bringezu, W. J. Broadgate, H. Bulkeley, B. Crona, P. A. Green, H. Hoff, L. Huang, M. Hurlbert, C. Y. A. Inoue, Ş. Kılkış, S. J. Lade, J. Liu, I. Nadeem, C. Ndehedehe, C. Okereke, I. M. Otto, S. Pedde, L. Pereira, L. Schulte-Uebbing, J. D. Tàbara, W. de Vries, G. Whiteman, C. Xiao, X. Xu, N. Zafra-Calvo, X. Zhang, P. Fezzigna, G. Gentile,
A just world on a safe planet: a Lancet Planetary Health–Earth Commission report on Earth-system boundaries, translations, and transformations,
The Lancet Planetary Health, 8, 10, e813-e873 (2024).
https://doi.org/10.1016/S2542-5196(24)00042-1
- S. Loriani, J. F. Donges, R. Winkelmann,
Wo durch den Klimawandel Lebensräume für die Menschen verschwinden,
Lozán, J. L., Graßl, H., Kasang, D., Quante, M., Sillmann, J. (Eds.), Warnsignal Klima: Herausforderung Wetterextreme, Hamburg: Wissenschaftliche Auswertungen, 154-159 (2024).
- V. Spaiser, S. Juhola, S. M. Constantino, W. Guo, T. Watson, J. Sillmann, A. Craparo, A. Basel, J. T. Bruun, K. Krishnamurthy, J. Scheffran, P. Pinho, U. T. Okpara, J. F. Donges, A. Bhowmik, T. Yasseri, R. S. de Campos, G. S. Cumming, H. Chenet, F. Krampe, J. F. Abrams, J. G. Dyke, S. Rynders, Y. Aksenov, B. M. Spears,
Negative social tipping dynamics resulting from and reinforcing Earth system destabilization,
Earth System Dynamics, 15, 5, 1179-1206 (2024).
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1179-2024
- T. Albrecht, M. Bagge, V. Klemann,
Feedback mechanisms controlling Antarctic glacial-cycle dynamics simulated with a coupled ice sheet–solid Earth model,
The Cryosphere, 18, 9, 4233-4255.
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-4233-2024
a) T. Albrecht, V. Klemann, M. Bagge,
PISM-VILMA glacial cycle simulations of the Antarctic Ice Sheet coupled to the solid Earth and global sea level [dataset] (2024).
https://doi.org/10.1594/PANGAEA.972528.
b) T. Albrecht,
PISM version as used in Albrecht et al. (TC, 2024) publication. [software].
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.12730724.
- V. Pedersen, N. Gomez, J. X. Mitrovica, G. Jungdal-Olesen, J. L. Andersen, J. Garbe, A. Aschwanden, R. Winkelmann,
Earth's hypsometry and what it tells us about global sea level,
Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 648, 119071 (2024 online).
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2024.119071
- A. Klein, K. Unverzagt, R. Alba, J.F. Donges, T. Hertz, T. Krüger, E. Lindkvist, R. Martin, J. Niewöhner, H. Prawitz, M. Schlüter, L. Schwarz, N. Wijermans,
Situated Modelling: An interdisciplinary framework for knowing a world in transformation,
Ecosystems & People 20, 2361706 (2024),
DOI: 10.1080/26395916.2024.2361706
- J. Rockström, L. Kotzé, S. Milutinovic, F. Biermann, V. Brovkin, J.F. Donges, J. Ebbesson, D. French, J. Gupta, R.E. Kim, T.M. Lenton, D. Lenzi, N. Nakicenovic, B. Neumann, F. Schuppert, R. Winkelmann, K. Bosselmann, C. Folke, W. Lucht, D. Schlosberg, K. Richardson, W. Steffen,
The planetary commons: a new paradigm for safeguarding Earth regulating systems in the Anthropocene,
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA (PNAS) 21, e2301531121 (2024),
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2301531121.
- N. Wunderling, A. von der Heydt, Y. Aksenov, S. Barker, R. Bastiaansen, V. Brovkin, M. Brunetti, V. Couplet, T. Kleinen, C.H. Lear, J. Lohmann, R.M. Roman-Cuesta, S. Sinet, D. Swingedouw, R. Winkelmann, P. Anand, J. Barichivich, S. Bathiany, M. Baudena, J.T. Bruun, C.M. Chiessi, H.K. Coxall, D. Docquier, J.F. Donges, S.K.J. Falkena, A.K. Klose, D. Obura, J. Rocha, S. Rynders, N.J. Steinert, M. Willeit,
Climate tipping points and interactions: A review,
Earth System Dynamics 15, 41–74 (2024),
DOI: 10.5194/esd-15-41-2024,
EGUsphere [preprint], DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2023-1576.
- V. Benson, J.F. Donges, N. Boers, M. Hirota, A. Morr, A. Staal, J. Vollmer, N. Wunderling,
Measuring tropical rainforest resilience under non-Gaussian disturbances,
Environmental Research Letters 19, 024029 (2024),
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad1e80,
preprint: arXiv:2310.16021 [physics.ao-ph].
- C. Struckmann, R. Corgier, S. Loriani, G. Kleinsteinberg, N. Gox, E. Giese, G. Métris, N. Gaaloul, P. Wolf,
Platform and environment requirements of a satellite quantum test of the weak equivalence principle at the 10−17 level,
Physical Review D (2024),
DOI: 10.1103/PhysRevD.109.064010.
- F. Schunck, M. Wiedermann, J. Heitzig, J.F. Donges,
A dynamic network model of societal complexity and resilience inspired by Tainter's theory of collapse,
Entropy 26, 98 (2024),
DOI: 10.3390/e26020098,
preprint arXiv.org/abs/2102.06698 [physics.soc-ph].
- M. Lawrence, T. Homer-Dixon, S. Janzwood, J. Rockström, O. Renn, J.F. Donges,
Global Polycrisis: The Causal Mechanisms of Crisis Entanglement,
Global Sustainability, online first (2024),
DOI: 10.1017/sus.2024.1. - M. Bustamante, J. Roy, D. Ospina, ... N. Wunderling, ... et al.,
Ten New Insights in Climate Science 2023/2024,
Global Sustainability, online first and in press (2023),
DOI: 10.1017/sus.2023.25.
- A. Staal, J. Theeuwen, L. Wang-Erlandsson, N. Wunderling, S. Dekker,
Targeted rainfall enhancement as an objective of reforestation,
Global Change Biology, online first (2024),
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.17096.
- T. M. Lenton, J. F. Abrams, A. Bartsch, S. Bathiany, C. A. Boulton, J. E. Buxton, A. Conversi, A. M. Cunliffe, S. Hebden, T. Lavergne, B. Poulter, A. Shepherd, T. Smith, D. Swingedouw, R. Winkelmann, N. Boers,
Remotely sensing potential climate change tipping points across scales,
Nature Communications 15, 343 (2024),
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-44609-w.
- V. Junquera, M. Schlüter, J. Rocha, S. Levin, D. Rubenstein, N. Wunderling, J.-C. Castella, P. Meyfroidt,
Crop booms as regime shifts,
Royal Society Open Science, 11, 6, 231571 (2024),
DOI: 10.1098/rsos.231571.
- T. Möller*, A. (Ernest) Högner*, C.-F. Schleussner, S. Bien, N.H. Kitzmann, R.D. Lamboll, J. Rogelj, J.F. Donges, J. Rockström, N. Wunderling,
Achieving net zero greenhouse gas emissions critical to limit climate tipping risks, Nature Communications, 15, 6192 (2024),
DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-3253269/v1. / DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-49863-0
*These authors share the first authorship.
2023
- H. Seroussi, V. Verjans, S. Nowicki, A. J. Payne, H. Goelzer, W. H. Lipscomb, A. Abe-Ouchi, C. Agosta, T. Albrecht, X. Asay-Davis, A. Barthel, R. Calov, R. Cullather, C. Dumas, B. K. Galton-Fenzi, R. Gladstone, N. R. Golledge, J. M. Gregory, R. Greve, T. Hatterman, M. J. Hoffman, A. Humbert, P. Huybrechts, N. C. Jourdain, T. Kleiner, E. Larour, G. R. Leguy, D. P. Lowry, C. M. Little, M. Morlighem, F. Pattyn, T. Pelle, S. F. Price, A. Quiquet, R. Reese, N.-J. Schlegel, A. Shepherd, E. Simon, R. S. Smith, F. Straneo, S. Sun, L. D. Trusel, J. Van Breedam, P. Van Katwyk, R.S. W. van de Wal, R. Winkelmann, C. Zhao, T. Zhang, and T. Zwinger,
Insights into the vulnerability of Antarctic glaciers from the ISMIP6 ice sheet model ensemble and associated uncertainty,
The Cryosphere, 17, 5197–5217 (2023),
DOI:10.5194/tc-17-5197-2023.
- T.M. Lenton, D. Armstrong McKay, S. Loriani, J.F. Abrams, S.J. Lade, J.F. Donges, M. Milkoreit, T. Powell, C. Zimm, S.R. Smith, J. Buxton, L. Laybourn, A. Ghadiali, J. Dyke (eds.), J.F. Donges, J. Garbe, A.K. Klose, S. Loriani, B. Sakschewski, R. Winkelmann, N. Wunderling (contributing ERAlab authors),
The Global Tipping Points Report 2023 (2023).
University of Exeter, Exeter, UK. - P.S. Jørgensen, R.E. V. Jansen, D.I. Avila Ortega, L. Wang Erlandsson, J.F. Donges, H. Österblom, P. Olsson, M. Nyström, S. Lade, T. Hahn, C. Folke, G.D. Peterson, A.-S. Crépin,
Evolution of the polycrisis: Anthropocene traps that challenge global sustainability,
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B 379, online first (2024),
DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2022.0261. - P. Schlosser, J. Rockström, C. Edwards, P. Mirazo, A. Heilemann, N.H. Kitzmann, S.L. Krobjinski,
Accelerating transformations for a just, sustainable future: 10 ‘Must Haves.’,
Global Sustainability 6, e17 ( 2023).
DOI: 10.1017/sus.2023.14. - L. Nicola,
Polarfuchs (Kolumne): Die Antarktis im Computer – wie funktionieren Computermodelle?,
Polarforschung (2023),
DOI: 10.5194/polf-91-105-2023.
- A. Johnson, A. Aschwanden, T. Albrecht and R. Hock,
Range of 21st century ice mass changes in the Filchner-Ronne region of Antarctica,
Journal of Glaciology, Vol. 69, No. 227, 1203-1213 (2023),
DOI:10.1017/jog.2023.10.
- B. Stewart-Koster, S.E. Bunn, P. Green, C. Ndehedehe, L.S. Andersen, D.I. Armstrong McKay, X. Bai, F. DeClerck, K.L. Ebi, C. Gordon, J. Gupta, S. Hasan, L. Jacobson, S.J. Lade, D. Liverman, S. Loriani, A. Mohamed, N. Nakicenovic, D. Obura, D. Qin, C. Rammelt, J.C. Rocha, J. Rockström, P.H. Verburg, C. Zimm,
Living within the safe and just Earth system boundaries for blue water,
Nature Sustainability (2023), online first,
DOI: 10.1038/s41893-023-01247-w. - E. A. Hill, B. Urruty, R. Reese, J. Garbe, O. Gagliardini, G. Durand, F. Gillet-Chaulet, G. H. Gudmundsson, R. Winkelmann, M. Chekki, D. Chandler, P. M. Langebroek,
The stability of present-day Antarctic grounding lines – Part 1: No indication of marine ice sheet instability in the current geometry,
The Cryosphere (2023),
DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-3739-2023
* The first three authors contributed equally to this work.
- R. Reese, J. Garbe, E. A. Hill, B. Urruty, K. A. Naughten, O. Gagliardini, G. Durand, F. Gillet-Chaulet, G. H. Gudmundsson, D. Chandler, P. M. Langebroek, R. Winkelmann,
The stability of present-day Antarctic grounding lines – Part 2: Onset of irreversible retreat of Amundsen Sea glaciers under current climate on centennial timescales cannot be excluded,
The Cryosphere (2023),
DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-3761-2023
- J. Garbe, M. Zeitz, U. Krebs-Kanzow, R. Winkelmann,
The evolution of future Antarctic surface melt using PISM-dEBM-simple,
The Cryosphere (2023),
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-4571-2023
- J. Beckmann, R. Winkelmann,
Effects of extreme melt events on ice flow and sea level rise of the Greenland Ice Sheet,
The Cryosphere (2023),
DOI: 10.5194/tc-17-3083-2023.
- J.F. Abrams, C. Huntingford, M.S. Williamson, D.I. Armstrong McKay, C.A. Boulton, J.E. Buxton, B. Sakschewski, S. Loriani, C. Zimm, R. Winkelmann, T.M. Lenton,
Committed global warming risks triggering multiple climate tipping points,
Earth's Future 11, e2022EF003250 (2023),
DOI: 10.1029/2022EF003250.
- J.M. Anderies, W. Barfuss, J.F. Donges, I. Fetzer, J. Heitzig, J. Rockström,
A modeling framework for World-Earth System resilience: exploring social inequality and Earth system tipping points,
Environmental Research Letters 18, 095001 (2023),
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ace91d,
preprint arXiv:2204.04471 [physics.soc-ph]. - K. Richardson, W. Steffen, W. Lucht, J. Bendtsen, S.E. Cornell, J.F. Donges, M. Drüke, I. Fetzer, W. von Bloh, D. Nogues Bravo, G. Feulner, S. Fiedler, D. Gerten, T. Gleeson, G. Bala, M. Hoffmann, W. Huiskamp, M. Kummu, C. Mohan, S. Petri, M. Porkka, S. Rahmstorf, S. Schaphoff, K. Thonicke, A. Tobian, V. Virkki, L. Wang-Erlandsson, L. Weber, J. Rockström,
Earth beyond six of nine planetary boundaries,
Science Advances 9,eadh2458(2023),
DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.adh2458,
PIK press release. - H. Mevenkamp, N. Wunderling, U. Batt, T. Carman, J.F. Donges, H. Gennet, S. Serbin, R. Winkelmann, E.S. Euskirchen,
Reducing uncertainty of high-latitude ecosystem models through identification of key parameters,
Environmental Research Letters 18, 084032 (2023),
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ace637. - S. Perri, S. Levin, L. Hedin, N. Wunderling, A. Porporato,
Socio-political feedback on the path to Net-Zero,
One Earth, 6, 725–737, 2023,
DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2023.05.011.
- D. O. Obura, F. DeClerck, P. H. Verburg, J. Gupta, J. F. Abrams, X. Bai, ..., J. Rockström, B. Sakschewski, ... R. Winkelmann, C. Zimm,
Achieving a nature-and people-positive future,
One Earth, 6(2), 105-117 (2023),
DOI: 10.1016/j.oneear.2022.11.013. - J. Breier, L. Schwarz, J.F. Donges, D. Gerten, J. Rockström,
Regenerative agriculture for food security and ecological resilience: illustrating global biophysical and social spreading potentials,
Earth4all deep-dive paper series, 13 (2023),
DOI: 10.48485/pik.2023.001. - S. Bien, P. Schultz, J. Heitzig, J.F. Donges,
Resilience basins of complex systems: an application to prosumer impacts on power grids,
Chaos 33, 063148 (2023),
DOI: 10.1063/5.0120891,
preprint arXiv:2108.09474 [physics.soc-ph]. - J. Rockström, J. Gupta, D. Qin, S.J. Lade, J.F.Abrams, L.S. Andersen, D.I. Armstrong McKay, X. Bai, G. Bala, S.E. Bunn, D. Ciobanu, F. DeClerck, K. Ebi, L. Gifford, C. Gordon, S. Hasan, N. Kanie, T.M.Lenton, S. Loriani, D.M. Liverman, A. Mohamed, N. Nakicenovic, D. Obura, D. Ospina, K. Prodani, C. Rammelt, B. Sakschewski, J. Scholtens, B. Stewart-Koster, T. Tharammal, D. van Vuuren, P.H. Verburg, R. Winkelmann, C. Zimm, E.M. Bennett, S. Bringezu, W. Broadgate, P. Green, L. Huang, L. Jacobson, C. Ndehedehe, S. Pedde, J. Rocha, M. Scheffer, L. Schulte-Uebbing, W. de Vries, C. Xiao, C. Xu, X. Xu, N. Zafra-Calvo, X. Zhang,
Safe and just Earth System Boundaries,
Nature, online first (2023),
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-023-06083-8,
PIK press release.
- N. Bauer, D. P. Keller, J. Garbe, K. Karstens, F. Piontek, W. von Bloh, W. Thiery, M. Zeitz, M. Mengel, J. Strefler, K. Thonicke, R. Winkelmann,
Exploring risks and benefits of overshooting a 1.5°C carbon budget over space and time,
Environmental Research Letters 18, 054015 (2023),
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/accd83.
a) N. Bauer, D. P. Keller, J. Garbe, K. Karstens, F. Piontek, W. von Bloh, W. Thiery, M. Zeitz, M. Mengel, J. Strefler, K. Thonicke, R. Winkelmann,
Corrigendum: Exploring risks and benefits of overshooting a 1.5 °C carbon budget over space and time (2023 Environ. Res. Lett.18 054015),
Environmental Research Letters,
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ace270.
- T.M. Lenton, C. Xu, J.F. Abrams, A. Ghadiali, S. Loriani, B. Sakschewski, C. Zimm, K.L. Ebi, R.R. Dunn, J.-C. Svenning, M. Scheffer,
Quantifying the human cost of global warming,
Nature Sustainability 6, 1237–1247 (2023),
DOI: 10.1038/s41893-023-01132-6,
preprint bioRXiv, DOI: 10.1101/2022.06.07.495131. - N. Wunderling, R. Winkelmann, J. Rockström, S. Loriani, D.I. Armstrong McKay, P.D.L. Ritchie, B. Sakschewski, J.F. Donges,
Global warming overshoots increase risks of climate tipping cascades in a network model,
Nature Climate Change 13, 75–82 (2023),
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-022-01545-9,
preprint ResearchSquare, DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-1418830/v1.
PIK press release.
- W. J. Foster, B. J. Allen, N. H. Kitzmann, J. Münchmeyer, T. Rettelbach, J. D. Witts, R. J. Whittle, E. Larina, M. E. Clapham, A. M. Dunhill,
How predictable are mass extinction events?,
Royal Society Open Science 10: 221507 (2023),
DOI: 10.1098/rsos.221507.
- J. F. Donges, J. Heitzig, (Eds.),
S0 copan reader: a curated collection of copan research papers:
World-Earth Dynamics in the Anthropocene: A Copan Reader 2013 - 2022,
2nd edition, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (2023),
DOI: 10.48485/pik.2021.004.
- F. Sylvester, F. G. Weichert, V. L. Lozano, K. J. Groh, M. Bálint, L. Baumann, C. Bässler, W. Brack, B. Brandl, J. Curtius, P. Dierkes, P. Döll, I. Ebersberger, S. Fragkostefanakis, E. J. N. Helfrich, T. Hickler, S. Johann, J. Jourdan, S. Klimpel, H. Kminek, F. Liquin, D. Möllendorf, T. Mueller, J. Oehlmann, R. Ottermanns, S. U. Pauls, M. Piepenbring, J. Pfefferle, G. J. Schenk, J. F. Scheepens, M. Scheringer, S. Schiwy, A. Schlottmann, F. Schneider, L. M. Schulte, M. Schulze-Sylvester, E. Stelzer, F. Strobl, A. Sundermann, K. Tockner, T. Tröger, A. Vilcinskas, C. Völker, R. Winkelmann, H.Hollert,
Better integration of chemical pollution research will further our understanding of biodiversity loss [Comment],
Nature Ecology & Evolution (2024),
DOI: 10.1038/s41559-023-02117-6.
- L. Nicola, D. Notz, R. Winkelmann,
Revisiting temperature sensitivity: how does Antarctic precipitation change with temperature?,
The Cryosphere (2023),
DOI: 10.5194/tc-17-2563-2023.
- J. Feldmann, A. Levermann,
Timescales of outlet-glacier flow with negligible basal friction: theory, observations and modelling,
The Cryosphere (2023),
DOI: 10.5194/tc-17-327-2023.
In review and discussion
- M. Bechthold, W. Barfuss, A. Butz, J. Breier, S.M. Constantino, J. Heitzig, L. Schwarz, S.N. Vardag, J.F. Donges,
Social norms and groups structure safe operating spaces in renewable resource use in a social-ecological multi-layer network model,
EGUSphere unter DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2024-2924(2024).
- B. Grudde,
The human climate: towards an Earth system-based understanding of human climate adaptation,
in review (2024).
- W.S. Oh, W. Barfuss, J.F. Donges, S. Levin, D. Rubenstein,
Independent or interdependent? Migration timing dynamics and their association with external stressors,
in review (2024).
- W. Barfuss, J.F. Donges, M. Bethge,
Ecologically-mediated collective action in commons with tipping elements,
in review (2024),
preprint OSF, DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/7pcnm.
- R. Winkelmann, J. Garbe, J. Donges, T. Albrecht,
Mapping tipping risks from Antarctic ice basins under Global Warming,
in review (2024).
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Constraining safe and unsafe overshoots in saddle-node bifurcations,
in review (2024),
arXiv preprint arXiv:2401.07712.
- J. Rosser, R. Winkelmann, N. Wunderling,
Cryosphere tipping elements decisive for tipping risks and cascading effects in the Earth system,
in review (2024),
preprint Research Square, DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-3787862/v1.
- S. Loriani, A. Bartsch, E. Calamita, J. F. Donges, S. Hebden, M. Hirota, A. Landolfi, T. Nagler, B. Sakschewski, A. Staal, J. Verbesselt, R. Winkelmann, R. Wood, N. Wunderling,
Monitoring the multiple stages of climate tipping systems from space: Do the GCOS Essential Climate Variables meet the needs?,
in review (2024).
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Resilience metrics need to better incorporate agency and diversity,
in review (2023).
- L. Nicola, R. Reese, M. Kreuzer, T. Albrecht and R. Winkelmann,
Oceanic gateways to Antarctic grounding lines – Impact of critical access depths on sub-shelf melt,
in review (2023),
DOI:10.5194/egusphere-2023-2583.
- M. Kreuzer, T. Albrecht, L. Nicola, R. Reese and R. Winkelmann,
Oceanic gateways in Antarctica – Impact of relative sea-level change on sub-shelf melt,
in review (2023),
DOI:10.5194/egusphere-2023-2737.
- S. Loriani, Y. Aksenov, D. Armstrong McKay, G. Bala, A. Born, C.M. Chiessi, H. Dijkstra, J.F. Donges, S. Drijfhout, M.H. England, A.V. Fedorov, L. Jackson, K. Kornhuber, G. Messori, F. Pausata, S. Rynders, J.-B. Salée, B. Sinha, S. Sherwood, D. Swingedouw, T. Tharammal,
Tipping points in ocean and atmosphere circulations,
EGUsphere [preprint], Earth System Dynamics, in review (2023),
DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2023-2589.
- N. Wunderling, S. Perri, J. Rockström, M. Oppenheimer, A. Porporato, J.F. Donges, S.A. Levin, W. Barfuss,
Concerted efforts of politics, society and science mitigate climate tipping risks in a coupled human-Earth system model,
in review (2023).
- E.K. Smith*, N. Kitzmann*, M. Milkoreit*, R. Winkelmann*, A.-S. Crépin, C. Eder, N. Harring, J. Heitzig, A. Katsanidou, T.M. Lenton, F. Mauelshagen, K. Minor, I.M. Otto, A. Rezai, J. Scheffran, I. Stadelmann-Steffen, R. van der Ploeg, N. Wunderling, J.F. Donges*,
Criticality and critical agency in societal tipping processes towards sustainability,
subm. (2023),
* shared lead-authorship
- C. Mauritzen, S. Cornell, S. Eker, C. Smith, B. Callegari, D. Collste, J.F. Donges, P.M. Forster, D. Gerten, A. Gjermundsen, B. Kopainsky, C. Li, S. Mashhadi, W. Schoenberg, J. Sillmann, L. Wang-Erlandsson,
Perspective: A research agenda towards building renewed trust in decision making tools for climate mitigation,
in review.