COSMIC2 is a tool which provides researchers and policy analysts a way to generate country-specific climate change scenarios. As most researchers do not have access to the computing power required to run GCM models, COSMIC2 provides access to national-level climate and sea level estimates for a range of emissions scenarios, allowing for use of consistent and proven GCM runs.
This toolbox entry has been labelled with the following tags:
| Sector: | climate | |
| Spatial scale: | national | |
| Temporal focus: | future | |
| Onset: | slow | |
| Role in decision process: | diagnostic | |
| Level of skills required: | limited | |
| Data requirements: | limited | |
| Adaptation tasks: | Potential impact projection; Detection and attribution |
COSMIC2 provides national-level climate change projections for 158 countries; this data can be used as inputs to any further impact or adaptation analysis.
As stated above, COSMI2 outputs national level estimates for 158 countries; outputs include monthly estimates of average temperature and precipitation, as well as annual mean temperature, sea levels, and CO2 concentration. The tool only requires user inputs in terms of selecting a GCM and emissions scenario. COSMIC2 is free to use, and is provided on request by EPRI.
Send request to Larry J. Williams (ljwillia@epri.com)
Schlesinger, M.E. and S. Malyshev, 'Changes in near-surface temperatures and sea level for the Post-SRES CO2-stabiliztion scenarios', Integrated assessment, 2: 95-110.
Schlesinger, M.E., S. Malyshev, E.V. Rozanov, F. Yang, N.G. Andronova, B. de Vries, A.Grübler, K. Jiang, T. Masui, T. Morita, J. Penner, W. Pepper, A. Sankovski and Y. Zhang, '2000: Geographical distributions of temperature change for scenarios of greenhouse gas and sulfur dioxide emissions.', Tech. Forecast. Soc. Change, 65, 167-193.
Williams, Larry J., Shaw, Daigee, Mendelsohn, Robert: 1998,'Evaluating GCM Output with Impact Models', Climatic Change, 39: 111-133.
Yohe, Gary and Schlesinger, Michael E.: 1998,'Sea-Level Change: The Expected Economic Cost of Protection or Abandonment in the United States', Climatic Change, 38: 337-472.
