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Results and discussion

Eq. 10 was solved for the GSM and the GDM scheme. Fig. 4 shows the evolution of the global temperature under increasing insolation (Eq. 2). Up to 1 Ga into the future, the temperature varies only within an interval of tex2html_wrap_inline366 C to tex2html_wrap_inline368 C. This stabilization of the surface temperature is a result of the carbonate-silicate self-regulation within the Earth system. In contrast to the GSM approach, the GDM scheme shows a temperature stabilization at a higher level in the past and a lower one in the future.

   figure105
Figure 4: Surface temperature for the GSM and GDM scheme.

The terrestrial life corridor TLC can be defined in the following way:

  equation110

Then we get the following picture of the Earth system evolution (see Fig. 5).

   figure116
Figure 5: Terrestrial life corridor for GSM and GDM.

Besides calculating the TLC, i.e., the evolution of atmospheric carbon regimes supporting photosynthetis-based life in time, we calculated the behaviour of our virtual Earth system at various distances from the Sun, using different insolations.

If R denotes the distance from the Sun insolation S is rescaled to

  equation121

The habitable zone (HZ) can be defined by the interval , where the biologic productivity is greater than zero, i.e., the planet is within the TLC. Fig. 6 shows the HZ for the GDM and the GSM model.

   figure127
Figure 6: Habitable zones for GSM and GDM.

For the geostatic case (GSM) the width of the HZ slightly increases and shifts outward over time. In about 1 Ga the inner boundary reaches the Earth distance from the Sun (R = 1 AU) and the biosphere ceases to exist. The GDM shows both a shift and a narrowing of the HZ: the inner boundary reaches the Earth distance in about 600 Ma from now, while the outer boundary decreases in a strong nonlinear way. An optimum distance from the Sun can be identified ( tex2html_wrap_inline376 AU), where the life span would be extended to tex2html_wrap_inline378 Ga.



next up previous
Next: References Up: Self-regulation in the Earth Previous: Model description



W. von Bloh
Thu Aug 26 10:56:00 NFT 1999