Publications

Weather, Extremes & Atmosphere
Smirnov, D. A., Breitenbach, S. F. M., Feulner, Georg, Lechleitner, F. A., Prufer, K. M., Baldini, J. U. L., Marwan, Norbert, Kurths, Jürgen (2017): A regime shift in the Sun-Climate connection with the end of the Medieval Climate Anomaly - Scientific Reports
Kretschmer, Marlene, Runge, J., Coumou, Dim (2017): Early prediction of extreme stratospheric polar vortex states based on causal precursors - Geophysical Research Letters
Fan, J., Meng, J., Ashkenazy, Y., Havlin, S., Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim (2017): Network analysis reveals strongly localized impacts of El Niño - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS)
Rao, S., Klimont, Z., Smith, S. J., Dingenen, R. van, Dentener, F., Bouwman, L., Riahi, K., Amann, M., Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon, Vuuren, D. P. van, Reis, L. A., Calvin, K., Drouet, L., Fricko, O., Fujimori, S., Gernaat, D., Havlik, P., Harmsen, M., Hasegawa, T., Heyes, C., Hilaire, Jérôme, Luderer, Gunnar, Masui, T., Stehfest, E., Strefler, Jessica, Sluis, S. van der, Tavoni, M. (2017): Future air pollution in the Shared Socio-economic Pathways - Global Environmental Change
Vinke, Kira, Martin, Maria A., Adams, S., Baarsch, F., Bondeau, A., Coumou, Dim, Donner, Reik V., Menon, A., Perrette, Mahé, Rehfeld, K., Robinson, Alexander, Rocha, M., Schaeffer, M., Schwan, S., Serdeczny, O., Svirejeva-Hopkins, Anastasia (2017): Climatic risks and impacts in South Asia: extremes of water scarcity and excess - Regional Environmental Change
Rahmstorf, Stefan (2017): Rising hazard of storm-surge flooding [Commentary] - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS)
Nitzbon, Jan, Heitzig, Jobst, Parlitz, U. (2017): Sustainability, collapse and oscillations in a simple World-Earth model - Environmental Research Letters
Seidl, R., Thom, D., Kautz, M., Martin-Benito, D., Peltoniemi, M., Vacchiano, G., Wild, J., Ascoli, D., Petr, M., Honkaniemi, J., Lexer, M. J., Trotsiuk, V., Mairota, P., Svoboda, M., Fabrika, M., Nagel, T. A., Reyer, Christopher P. O. (2017): Forest disturbances under climate change - Nature Climate Change
Zhou, Bin, Rybski, Diego, Kropp, Jürgen P. (2017): The role of city size and urban form in the surface urban heat island - Scientific Reports
Meinshausen, Malte, Vogel, E., Nauels, A., Lorbacher, K., Meinshausen, N., Etheridge, D. M., Fraser, P. J., Montzka, S. A., Rayner, P. J., Trudinger, C. M., Krummel, P. B., Beyerle, U., Canadell, J. G., Daniel, J. S., Enting, I. G., Law, R. M., Lunder, C. R., O'Doherty, S., Prinn, R. G., Reimann, S., Rubino, M., Velders, G. J. M., Vollmer, M. K., Wang, R. H. J., Weiss, R. (2017): Historical greenhouse gas concentrations for climate modelling (CMIP6) - Geoscientific Model Development
Lechleitner, F. A., Breitenbach, S. F. M., Rehfeld, K., Ridley, H. E., Asmerom, Y., Prufer, K. M., Marwan, Norbert, Goswami, Bedartha, Kennett, D. J., Aquino, V. V., Polyak, V., Haug, G. H., Eglinton, T. I., Baldini, J. U. L. (2017): Tropical rainfall over the last two millennia: evidence for a low-latitude hydrologic seesaw - Scientific Reports
Biswas, D., Banerjee, T., Kurths, Jürgen (2017): Control of birhythmicity: A self-feedback approach - Chaos
Fujiwara, N., Kirchen, K., Donges, Jonathan Friedemann, Donner, Reik V. (2017): A perturbation-theoretic approach to Lagrangian flow networks - Chaos
Rosenzweig, C., Arnell, N. W., Ebi, K. L., Lotze-Campen, Hermann, Raes, F., Rapley, C., Stafford Smith, M., Cramer, W., Frieler, Katja, Reyer, Christopher P. O., Schewe, Jacob, Vuuren, D. van, Warszawski, Lila (2017): Assessing inter-sectoral climate change risks: the role of ISIMIP - Environmental Research Letters
Reyer, Christopher P. O., Bathgate, S., Blennow, K., Borges, J. G., Bugmann, H., Delzon, S., Faias, S. P., Garcia-Gonzalo, J., Gardiner, B., Gonzalez-Olabarria, J. R., Gracia, C., Guerra Hernández, J., Kellomäki, S., Kramer, K., Lexer, M. J., Lindner, M., Maaten, E. van der, Maroschek, M., Muys, B., Nicoll, B., Palahi, M., Palma, J. HN., Paulo, J. A., Peltola, H., Pukkala, T., Rammer, W., Ray, D., Sabaté, S., Schelhaas, M.-J., Seidl, R., Temperli, C., Tomé, M., Yousefpour, R., Zimmermann, N. E., Hanewinkel, M. (2017): Are forest disturbances amplifying or canceling out climate change-induced productivity changes in European forests? - Environmental Research Letters
Schauberger, Bernhard, Archontoulis, S., Arneth, A., Balkovič, J., Ciais, P., Deryng, D., Elliott, J., Folberth, C., Khabarov, N., Müller, Christoph, Pugh, T. A. M., Rolinski, Susanne, Schaphoff, Sibyll, Schmid, E., Wang, X., Schlenker, W., Frieler, Katja (2017): Consistent negative response of US crops to high temperatures in observations and crop models - Nature Communications
Gütschow, Johannes, Jeffery, M. Louise, Gieseke, Robert, Gebel, Ronja, Stevens, David, Krapp, M., Rocha, M. (2016): The PRIMAP-hist national historical emissions time series - Earth System Science Data
Geiger, Tobias, Frieler, Katja, Levermann, Anders (2016): High-income does not protect against hurricane losses - Environmental Research Letters
Hartmann, H., Snow, J., Stein, S., Su, B., Zhai, J., Jiang, T., Krysanova, Valentina, Kundzewicz, Zbigniew W. (2016): Predictors of precipitation for improved water resources management in the Tarim River basin: Creating a seasonal forecast model - Journal of Arid Environments
Boettle, Markus, Rybski, Diego, Kropp, Jürgen P. (2016): Quantifying the effect of sea level rise and flood defence - a point process perspective on coastal flood damage - Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Dieperink, C., Hegger, D. L. T., Bakker, M. H. N., Kundzewicz, Zbigniew W., Green, C., Driessen, P. P. J. (2016): Recurrent governance challenges in the implementation and alignment of flood risk management strategies: a review - Water Resources Management
Ruiz-Villanueva, V., Stoffel, M., Wyzga, B., Kundzewicz, Zbigniew W., Czajka, B., Niedzwiedz, T. (2016): Decadal variability of floods in the northern foreland of the Tatra Mountains - Regional Environmental Change
Petoukhov, Vladimir, Petri, Stefan, Rahmstorf, Stefan, Coumou, Dim, Kornhuber, Kai, Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim (2016): Role of quasiresonant planetary wave dynamics in recent boreal spring-to-autumn extreme events - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS)
Kretschmer, Marlene, Coumou, Dim, Donges, Jonathan Friedemann, Runge, Jakob (2016): Using causal effect networks to analyze different Arctic drivers of mid-latitude winter circulation - Journal of Climate
Zhou, Bin, Lauwaet, D., Hooyberghs, H., de Ridder, K., Kropp, Jürgen P., Rybski, Diego (2016): Assessing seasonality in the surface urban heat island of London - Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology
Donges, Jonathan Friedemann, Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich, Siegmund, Jonatan F., Donner, Reik V. (2016): Event coincidence analysis for quantifying statistical interrelationships between event time series - European Physical Journal - Special Topics
Eroglu, Deniz, McRobie, F. H., Ozken, Ibrahim, Stemler, T., Wyrwoll, K.-H., Breitenbach, S. F. M., Marwan, Norbert, Kurths, Jürgen (2016): See-saw relationship of the Holocene East Asian-Australian summer monsoon - Nature Communications