Publications

Weather, Extremes & Atmosphere
Di Capua, Giorgia, Kretschmer, Marlene, Runge, J., Alessandri, A., Donner, Reik V., van den Hurk, B., Vellore, R., Krishnan, R., Coumou, Dim (2019): Long-lead statistical forecasts of the Indian Summer Monsoon rainfall based on causal precursors - Weather and Forecasting
Kundzewicz, Zbigniew W., Su, B., Wang, Y., Wang, G., Wang, G., Huang, J., Jiang, T. (2019): Flood risk in a range of spatial perspectives - from global to local scales - Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Kundzewicz, Zbigniew W., Hegger, D. L. T., Matczak, P., Driessen, P. P. J. (2018): Flood-risk reduction: Structural measures and diverse strategies [Opinion] - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS)
Fan, Jingfang, Meng, Jun, Ashkenazy, Y., Havlin, S., Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim (2018): Climate network percolation reveals the expansion and weakening of the tropical component under global warming - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS)
Su, B., Huang, J., Fischer, T., Wang, Y., Kundzewicz, Zbigniew W., Zhai, J., Sun, H., Wang, A., Zeng, X., Wang, G., Tao, H., Gemmer, M., Li, X., Jiang, T. (2018): Drought losses in China might double between the 1.5 °C and 2.0 °C warming - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS)
Kretschmer, Marlene, Cohen, J., Matthias, Vivien, Runge, J., Coumou, Dim (2018): The different stratospheric influence on cold-extremes in Eurasia and North America - npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
Mann, M. E., Rahmstorf, Stefan, Kornhuber, Kai, Steinman, B. A., Miller, S. K., Petri, Stefan, Coumou, Dim (2018): Projected changes in persistent extreme summer weather events: The role of quasi-resonant amplification - Science Advances
Kretschmer, Marlene, Coumou, Dim, Agel, L., Barlow, M., Tziperman, E., Cohen, J. (2018): More-persistent weak stratospheric polar vortex states linked to cold extremes - Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Petoukhov, Vladimir, Petri, Stefan, Kornhuber, Kai, Thonicke, Kirsten, Coumou, Dim, Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim (2018): Alberta wildfire 2016: Apt contribution from anomalous planetary wave dynamics - Scientific Reports
Risbey, J. A., Lewandowsky, S., Cowtan, K., Oreskes, N., Rahmstorf, Stefan, Jokimäki, A., Foster, G. (2018): A fluctuation in surface temperature in historical context: reassessment and retrospective on the evidence - Environmental Research Letters
Geiger, Tobias, Frieler, Katja, Bresch, D. N. (2018): A global historical data set of tropical cyclone exposure (TCE-DAT) - Earth System Science Data
Boaretto, B. R. R., Budzinski, R. C., Prado, T. L., Kurths, Jürgen, Lopes, Sergio Roberto (2018): Suppression of anomalous synchronization and nonstationary behavior of neural network under small-world topology - Physica A-Statistical Mechanics and its Applications
Weng, Wei, Lüdeke, Matthias K. B., Zemp, Delphine Clara, Lakes, Tobia, Kropp, Jürgen P. (2018): Aerial and surface rivers: downwind impacts on water availability from land use changes in Amazonia - Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
Jeffery, M. Louise, Gütschow, Johannes, Gieseke, Robert, Gebel, Ronja (2018): PRIMAP-crf: UNFCCC CRF data in IPCC 2006 categories - Earth System Science Data
Boaretto, B. R. R., Budzinski, R. C., Prado, T. L., Kurths, Jürgen, Lopes, Sergio Roberto (2018): Neuron dynamics variability and anomalous phase synchronization of neural networks - Chaos
Matczak, P., Lewandowski, J., Choryński, A., Szwed, M., Kundzewicz, Zbigniew W. (2018): Doing more while remaining the same? Flood risk governance in Poland - Journal of Flood Risk Management
Huang, Shaochun, Kumar, R., Rakovec, O., Aich, Valentin, Wang, X., Samaniego, L., Liersch, Stefan, Krysanova, Valentina (2018): Multimodel assessment of flood characteristics in four large river basins at global warming of 1.5, 2.0 and 3.0 K above the pre-industrial level - Environmental Research Letters
Lewandowsky, S., Cowtan, K., Risbey, J. S., Mann, M. E., Steinmann, B. A., Oreskes, N., Rahmstorf, Stefan (2018): The 'pause' in global warming in historical context: (II). Comparing models to observations - Environmental Research Letters
Gelbrecht, Maximilian, Boers, Niklas, Kurths, Jürgen (2018): Phase coherence between precipitation in South America and Rossby waves - Science Advances
Schultz, Paul, Hellmann, Frank, Webster, Kevin, Kurths, Jürgen (2018): Bounding the first exit from the basin: Independence times and finite-time basin stability - Chaos
Willner, Sven, Levermann, Anders, Zhao, Fang, Frieler, Katja (2018): Adaptation required to preserve future high-end river flood risk at present levels - Science Advances
Öztürk, Ugur, Marwan, Norbert, Korup, O., Saito, H., Agarwal, Ankit, Grossman, M. J., Zaiki, M., Kurths, Jürgen (2018): Complex networks for tracking extreme rainfall during typhoons - Chaos
Wyzga, B., Kundzewicz, Zbigniew W., Konieczny, R., Piniewski, Mikolaj, Zawiejska, J., Radecki-Pawlik, A. (2018): Comprehensive approach to the reduction of river flood risk: Case study of the Upper Vistula Basin - Science of the Total Environment