Publications

Planetary Boundaries, Tipping Elements & Global Commons
Morr, Andreas, Boers, Niklas, Ashwin, Peter (2024): Internal noise interference to warnings of tipping points in generic multi-dimensional dynamical systems - SIAM Journal on Applied Dynamical Systems
Akabane, T. K., Chiessi, C. M., Hirota, M., Bouimetarhan, I., Prange, M., Mulitza, S., Bertassoli Jr, D. J., Häggi, C., Staal, A., Lohmann, G., Boers, Niklas, Daniau, A. L., Oliveira, R. S., Campos, M. C., Shi, X., De Oliveira, P. E.: Weaker Atlantic overturning circulation increases the vulnerability of northern Amazon forests - Nature Geoscience
Li, Chaohui, Pradhan, Prajal, Wu, Xudong, Li, Zhi, Liu, Jingyu, Hubacek, Klaus, Chen, Guoqian (2024): Livestock sector can threaten planetary boundaries without regionally differentiated strategies - Journal of Environmental Management
Mazzucato, Mariana, Okonjo-Iweala, Ngozi, Rockström, Johan, Shanmugaratnam, Tharman (2024): The Economics of Water: Valuing the Hydrological Cycle as a Global Common Good
Wang, Yu, Cao, Jinde, Kurths, Jürgen, Yanchuk, Serhiy (2024): Universal bifurcation scenarios in delay-differential equations with one delay - Journal of Differential Equations
Nian, Da, Bathiany, Sebastian, Sakschewski, Boris, Drüke, Markus, Blaschke, Lana, Ben-Yami, Maya, von Bloh, Werner, Boers, Niklas (2024): Rainfall seasonality dominates critical precipitation threshold for the Amazon forest in the LPJmL vegetation model - Science of the Total Environment
Ripple, William J, Wolf, Christopher, Gregg, Jillian W, Rockström, Johan, Mann, Michael E, Oreskes, Naomi, Lenton, Timothy M, Rahmstorf, Stefan, Newsome, Thomas M, Xu, Chi, Svenning, Jens-Christian, Pereira, Cássio Cardoso, Law, Beverly E, Crowther, Thomas W: The 2024 state of the climate report: Perilous times on planet Earth - BioScience
Li, Qianze, He, Wenping, Xie, Xiaoqiang, Mei, Ying, Sun, Hui, Boers, Niklas (2024): Early warning signal of abrupt change in sea level pressure based on changing spectral exponent - Chaos, Solitons and Fractals
Spaiser, Viktoria, Juhola, Sirkku, Constantino, Sara M., Guo, Weisi, Watson, Tabitha, Sillmann, Jana, Craparo, Alessandro, Basel, Ashleigh, Bruun, John T., Krishnamurthy, Krishna, Scheffran, Jürgen, Pinho, Patricia, Okpara, Uche T., Donges, Jonathan Friedemann, Bhowmik, Avit, Yasseri, Taha, Safra de Campos, Ricardo, Cumming, Graeme S., Chenet, Hugues, Krampe, Florian, Abrams, Jesse F., Dyke, James G., Rynders, Stefanie, Aksenov, Yevgeny, Spears, Bryan M. (2024): Negative social tipping dynamics resulting from and reinforcing Earth system destabilization - Earth System Dynamics
Klose, Ann Kristin, Coulon, V., Pattyn, F., Winkelmann, Ricarda (2024): The long–term sea–level commitment from Antarctica - The Cryosphere
Cai, Fenying, Liu, Cai-hong, Yang, Song, Deng, Kai-qiang, Kurths, Jürgen (2024): Linkage Between European and East Asian Heatwaves on Synoptic Scales - Journal of Tropical Meteorology
Morr, Andreas, Riechers, Keno, Gorjão, Leonardo Rydin, Boers, Niklas (2024): Anticipating critical transitions in multidimensional systems driven by time- and state-dependent noise - Physical Review Research
Ben-Yami, Maya, Good, P., Jackson, L. C., Crucifix, M., Hu, A., Saenko, O., Swingedouw, D., Boers, Niklas (2024): Impacts of AMOC Collapse on Monsoon Rainfall: A Multi‐Model Comparison - Earth's Future
Dakos, Vasilis, Boulton, Chris A., Buxton, Joshua E., Abrams, Jesse F., Arellano-Nava, Beatriz, McKay, David I. Armstrong, Bathiany, Sebastian, Blaschke, Lana, Boers, Niklas, Dylewsky, Daniel, López-Martínez, Carlos, Parry, Isobel, Ritchie, Paul, van der Bolt, Bregje, van der Laan, Larissa, Weinans, Els, Kéfi, Sonia (2024): Tipping point detection and early warnings in climate, ecological, and human systems - Earth System Dynamics
Ben-Yami, Maya, Morr, Andreas, Bathiany, Sebastian, Boers, Niklas (2024): Uncertainties too large to predict tipping times of major Earth system components from historical data - Science Advances
Loriani, Sina, Donges, Jonathan Friedemann, Winkelmann, Ricarda (2024): Wo durch den Klimawandel Lebensräume für die Menschen verschwinden - Warnsignal Klima: Herausforderung Wetterextreme
Möller, Tessa, Högner, Annika Ernest, Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich, Bien, Samuel, Kitzmann, Niklas, Lamboll, Robin D. , Rogelj, Joeri, Donges, Jonathan Friedemann, Rockström, Johan, Wunderling, Nico (2024): Achieving net zero greenhouse gas emissions critical to limit climate tipping risks - Nature Communications
Caesar, Levke, Sakschewski, Boris, Andersen, Lauren, Beringer, Tim, Braun, Johanna, Donovan, Dennis, Gerten, Dieter, Heilemann, Adrian, Kaiser, Jonas, Kitzmann, Niklas, Loriani, Sina, Lucht, Wolfgang, Ludescher, Josef, Martin, Maria A., Mathesius, Sabine, Paolucci, Anja, te Wierik, Sofie, Rockström, Johan (2024): Planetary Health Check Report 2024
Blaschke, Lana, Nian, Da, Bathiany, Sebastian, Ben-Yami, Maya, Smith, Taylor, Boulton, Chris A., Boers, Niklas (2024): Spatial Correlation Increase in Single‐Sensor Satellite Data Reveals Loss of Amazon Rainforest Resilience - Earth's Future
Rockström, Johan, Warszawski, Lila, Schuster, Antonia (2024): A Stable Planet is a Prerequisite for Development: Sustainable or Otherwise - Horizons
Poltronieri, Anna, Bochow, Nils, Olson Aksamit, Nikolas, Boers, Niklas, Kristen Jakobsen, Per, Rypdal, Martin (2024): Arctic summer sea ice loss will accelerate in coming decades - Environmental Research Letters
Poltronieri, Anna, Bochow, Nils, Boers, Niklas, Rypdal, Martin (2024): Increasing fluctuations in the Arctic summer sea ice cover are expected with future global warming - Environmental Research: Climate
Klose, Ann Kristin, Donges, Jonathan Friedemann, Feudel, Ulrike, Winkelmann, Ricarda (2024): Rate-induced tipping cascades arising from interactions between the Greenland Ice Sheet and the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation - Earth System Dynamics
Tobian, Arne, Gerten, Dieter, Fetzer , Ingo, Schaphoff, Sibyll, Andersen, Lauren, Cornell , Sarah, Rockström, Johan (2024): Climate change critically affects the status of the land-system change planetary boundary - Environmental Research Letters
Bathiany, Sebastian, Bastiaansen, Robbin, Bastos, Ana, Blaschke, Lana, Lever, Jelle, Loriani, Sina, De Keersmaecker, Wanda, Dorigo, Wouter, Milenković, Milutin, Senf, Cornelius, Smith, Taylor, Verbesselt, Jan, Boers, Niklas: Ecosystem Resilience Monitoring and Early Warning Using Earth Observation Data: Challenges and Outlook - Surveys in Geophysics