European Conference on Advances in Flood Research, Proceedings,
(Vol. 1 - Vol. 2)
A. Bronstert, Ch. Bismuth, L. Menzel (eds.) (November 2000)
In recent years rising water levels, floods, and landslides following heavy precipitation have occurred with increasing frequency in Germany, in other European countries, as well as in many countries in all other continents. In particular during the past 10 years, severe flooding has devastated several large river basins (e.g., the Mississippi, The Rhine and Meuse, the Oder/Odra, the Yangtze) and thousands of lives have been lost in many countries including Bangla Desh, Czech Republic, China, Ethiopia, Mozambique, Poland, Somalia, South Africa. Also localised flash floods occurred in many parts of the globe causing loss of life, large damage and despair. Whether these floods are triggered or worsened by human activities has been the subject of a great deal of debate. Possible anthropogenic activities leading to increased flood risk include river regulation measures, intensified land use and forestry, and emissions of greenhouse gases causing a change in the global climate.
Following concern expressed by several Member States in the 1990's, the EC directorate General of Research and Development (DG XII) has initiated and/or funded a variety of activities in order to improve the scientific basis and to intensify knowledge transfer into practice concerning flood forecasting, risk mitigation, and the impact analysis of environmental change effects. After more then half a decade of research in this field, this conference is aimed to present the results achieved and to highlight the scientific advances. Besides the presentations of the EUROTAS-project results, the contributions are grouped into the following sub-sessions: impact of land use and climate on flooding, flood management and assessment of flood risk, catchment modelling and management systems, and impact of river engineering on flooding conditions.
The conference organisers would like to thank the EC, DG XII for the opportunity given to host such a interesting conference, the German Science Foundation (DFG), the International Hydrological Programme of UNESCO (IHP), the International Association for Hydrological Sciences (IAHS), and the University of Potsdam for supporting the conference, and - last but not least - all participants for presenting their results from recent flood research projects all over the globe.
Schellnhuber, H.-J.: Managing the Flood Century (Foreword)
Samuels, P. G.: A New Tool for Sustainable Flood Defence Planning – An Overview of the EUROTAS Research Project
Werner, M., van Haselen, C., Daamen, K., Krahe, P., Muerlebach, M.: River Engineering Measures in an Integrated Modelling Environment – A Generic Method Used in the EUROTAS Project
Bürger, G.: Expanded Downscaling for Generating Precipitation Scenarios
Menzel, L., Blongewicz, M.: LADEMO - A User Supported Model for the Development of Land Use Scenarios
Marco, J. B., Vašková, I.: A Stochastic Flow Model for QDF Analysis
Blongewicz, M.: The Development of the Integrated Catchment Modelling System Using ArcView GIS
Werner, M., Ververs, M., van Haselen, C., Pakes, U., Daamen, K., Muerlebach, M.: A Comparison of Methods for Generating Cross Sections for Flood Modelling Using Detailed Floodplain Elevation Models
Counsell, C., el Gammal, E., Samuels, P. G.: Demonstration of a Decision Support System for Assessing the Impacts of Engineering Works and Environmental Change on Flood Risk - The Thames Catchment Study
Krahe, P., Busch, N., Daamen, K., van Haselen, C., Herpertz, D., Hils, M., Werner, M: Assessment of Flood Risk for the River Saar With Respect to Environmental Changes - Results of a Case Study Within the EUROTAS Project
Crooks, S., Davies, H., Goodsell, G.: Rainfall – Runoff Modelling and the Impact of Land Use Change in the Thames Catchment
Varanou, E., Baltas, E., Mimikou, M. A.: Regional Effects of Climate and Land Use Change on the Water Resources and the Risk Associated with Flooding
Menzel, L., Bronstert, A., Bürger, G., Krysanova, V.: Environmental Change Scenarios and Flood Responses in the Elbe Catchment (Germany)
Borga, M., Frank, E., Ostan, A.: Uncertainty in Flood Hazard Assessment in a Mediterranean Area
Bronstert, A.: The Possible Impacts of Environmental Changes on Flood Formation: Relevant Processes and Model Requirements
Smithers, J. C., Schulze, R. E., Pike, A., Jewitt, G. P. W.: A Hydrological Perspective of the February 2000 Floods: A Case Study in the Sabie River Catchment
Beven, K., Cameron, D.: Assessing Uncertain Change in Flood Frequency Due to Climate Scenarios by Continuous Simulation
Caspary, H. J.: Increased Risk of River Flooding in Southwest Germany Caused by Changes of the Atmospheric Circulation Across Europe
Muzik, I.: Sensitivity of Hydrologic Systems to Climate Change
Lahmer, W., Pfützner, B., Becker, A.: Influences of Environmental Changes on Regional Flood Events
Schädler, B., Petrascheck, A., Aschwanden, H.: Extraordinary Floods in Spring 1999 in Switzerland: The Relevant Hydrological Processes
Fritsch, U., Katzenmaier, D., Bronstert, A: Land-use and Land-cover Scenarios for Flood Risk Analysis and River Basin Management
Katzenmaier, D., Fritsch, U., Bronstert, A.: Influences of Land-use and Land-cover Changes on Storm-runoff Generation
Weiler, M., Scherrer, S., Thoma, C., Fackel, P., Naef, F.: The Potential to Influence Runoff Processes by Changes in Land Use
Lindström, G., Löfvenius, M. O.: Soil Frost and Runoff at Svartberget, Northern Sweden
Buchtele, J., Buchtelova, M., Herrmann, A.: Increase of Large Floods in Central Europe Due to Change in Vegetation Cover: Results of Rainfall-runoff Simulations
Vetere-Arellano, A. L., Samuels, P. G., Webster, P.: Runoff Processes in Permeable Catchments
Plate, E. J.: Flood Risk and Flood Management
Krasovskaia, I., Gottschalk, L., Sælthun, N. R., Berg, H.: Perception of Flood Risk Among Decision-makers and Riparian Population
Merz, B., Thieken, A., Gocht, M.: Probabilistic Risk Assessment as a Planning Tool for Flood Design
Borga, M., Creutin, J. D.: Recent Advances in Radar-based Flash Flood Monitoring and Forecasting
Pivot, J.-M., Josien, E., Testut, M., Martin, P., Gendreau, N.: Flood Hazard Change and Farmland Vulnerability
Jasper, K., Gurtz, J., Lang, H., Kaufmann, P., Binder, P.: Flood Forecast by Coupling Meteorological and Hydrological Models at Regional Scale
Høydal, Ø. A., Berg, H., Haddeland, I., Petterson, L. E., Voksø, A., Øydvin, E.: Procedures and Guidelines for Flood Inundation Maps in Norway
Calver, A., Lamb, R., Crewett, J.: Generalised Flood Frequency Estimation Using Continuous Simulation
Schumann, A. H., Pfützner, B.: A GIS- Based Methodology for Flood Risk Assessments by Regional Flood Frequency Analysis
Neumüller, J., Böhm, H. R.: Transnational Conception for River Flood Prevention Through Spatial Planning Oderregio
Schultz, G. A., Quirmbach, M.: Flood Management in an Urban Environment with Respect to Water Quantity and Water Quality
Butts, M. B.: Coupling of Catchment Modelling and Meteorological Information in Flow Forecasting
Todini, E.: A Holistic Approach to Flood Management
Langsholt, E.: Quantifying Uncertainty in Runoff Forecasts: Application to an Hbv-model Based Forecasting and Flood Warning Routine
Bárdossy, A.: Fuzzy Rule Based Flood Forecasting
Stüber, M., Gemmar, P., Greving, M.: Machine Supported Development of Fuzzy - Flood Forecast Systems
Hankin, B. G., Beven, K. J.: A Fuzzy-weighted Finite-volume Flow Model of Flooding on the River Thames in a Fuzzy Possiblistic Framework
de Roo, A., Odijk, M., Schmuck, G., Price, D., Somma, F., van der Knijff, J., Stam, M., Bates. P.: Using the Lisflood Model to Simulate Floods in the Oder and the Meuse Catchment
Angioni, S., Cinus, S., Rinaldi, F. M., Calvo, R. W.: A Decision Support System for Interventions Planning Aimed at Flood Damages Prevention
Gerlinger, K., Demuth, N.: Operational Flood Forecasting for the Moselle River Basin
Collins, D. N.: Rainfall-induced Floods in Alpine Glacierised Basins in Warm Summers
Blazkova, S., Beven, K.: Prediction Limits of Flood Frequency Curves on Catchments within the Elbe River Basin
Galloway, jr., G. E.: Transboundary Flood Management: The Case of the Red River of the North United States and Canada
Kundzewicz, Z. W.: The Odra Flood of Summer 1997 in Perspective
Lammersen, R., van de Langemheen, H., Buiteveld, H.: Impact of River Training and Retention Measures on Flood Conditions in the Rhine Basin
Felgentreff, C.: Impact of the 1997 Odra Flood on Flood Protection in Brandenburg (Frg): The Dyke Broke, but the Local People’s Trust in Technical Solutions Remained Unbroken
Naef, F., Kull, D., Thoma, C.: How Do Floodplains Influence the Discharge of Extreme Floods?
Høydal, Ø. A., Haddeland, I., Engen, I.K.: The Effects of Flood Protection Works on Discharge and Water Stage
Oberle, P., Theobald, S., Evdakov, O., Nestmann, F.: GIS-supported Flood Modelling by the Example of the River Neckar
Disse, M., Henneboel, S.: Assessment of Flooding Risk on the Lower Saar River by Using 2-dimensional Hydrodynamic Calculations
Lindström, G., Bergström, S.: Floods in Regulated Rivers and Physical Planning - Analysis of Recent Events in Sweden
Helms, M., Ihringer, J., Merkel, U., Büchele, B.: Assessment of the Impact of Diking Measures on the Flow Situation Along the Elbe River
