Between 1979 and 2020, the research found that the impact of dry soil on temperature rose by up to 67 percent, while the influence of atmospheric drivers on soil moisture increased by as much as 50 percent. The scientists used an advanced Causal Effect Network analysis to show the growing strength of causal links between compound hot and dry weather extremes and their underlying drivers.
Published in Nature Communications Earth & Environment, the findings highlight the non-linear dynamics of these extreme events, which could significantly complicate adaptation efforts in the future. As global temperatures continue to rise, understanding these interactions is crucial for developing more effective strategies to mitigate the impacts of compound hot and dry weather extremes.
Article:
Tian, Y., Giaquinto, D., Di Capua, G., Claassen, J., Ali, J., Li, H., De Michele, C. (2024): Historical changes in the Causal Effect Networks of compound hot and dry extremes in central Europe. - Communications Earth and Environment, 5, 764. DOI: 10.1038/s43247-024-01934-2
Weblink to the Article:
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