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Are scenario projections overly optimistic about future yield progress?
- Global Environmental Change
Jägermeyr, Jonas, Robock, A., Elliott, J., Müller, Christoph, Xia, L., Khabarov, N., Folberth, C., Schmid, E., Liu, W., Zabel, F., Rabin, S. S., Puma, M. J., Heslin, A., Franke, J., Foster, I., Asseng, S., Bardeen, C. G., Toon, O. B., Rosenzweig, C. (2020):
A regional nuclear conflict would compromise global food security
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS)
Gerten, Dieter, Heck, Vera, Jägermeyr, Jonas, Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon, Fetzer, I., Jalava, M., Kummu, M., Lucht, Wolfgang, Rockström, Johan, Schaphoff, Sibyll, Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim (2020):
Feeding ten billion people is possible within four terrestrial planetary boundaries
- Nature Sustainability
Chepkoech, W., Mungai, N. W., Bett, H. K., Stöber, S., Lotze-Campen, Hermann (2020):
Toward Climate-Resilient African Indigenous Vegetable Production in Kenya
- Handbook of Climate Change Resilience
Pan, Shufen, Yang, Jia, Tian, Hanqin, Shi, Hao, Chang, Jinfeng, Ciais, Philippe, Francois, Louis, Frieler, Katja, Fu, Bojie, Hickler, Thomas, Ito, Akihiko, Nishina, Kazuya, Ostberg, Sebastian, Reyer, Christopher P. O., Schaphoff, Sibyll, Steinkamp, Jörg, Zhao, Fang (2020):
Climate Extreme Versus Carbon Extreme: Responses of Terrestrial Carbon Fluxes to Temperature and Precipitation
- Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences
Van Oijen, Marcel, Barcza, Zoltán, Confalonieri, Roberto, Korhonen, Panu, Kröel-Dulay, György, Lellei-Kovács, Eszter, Louarn, Gaëtan, Louault, Frédérique, Martin, Raphaël, Moulin, Thibault, Movedi, Ermes, Picon-Cochard, Catherine, Rolinski, Susanne, Viovy, Nicolas, Wirth, Stephen Björn, Bellocchi, Gianni (2020):
Incorporating biodiversity into biogeochemistry models to improve prediction of ecosystem services in temperate grasslands: Review and roadmap
- Agronomy
Wang, Xiaoxi, Dietrich, Jan Philipp, Lotze-Campen, Hermann, Biewald, Anne, Stevanović, Miodrag, Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon, Brümmer, Bernhard, Popp, Alexander (2020):
Beyond land-use intensity: Assessing future global crop productivity growth under different socioeconomic pathways
- Technological Forecasting and Social Change
Herrero, Mario, Thornton, Philip K., Mason-D’Croz, Daniel, Palmer, Jeda, Benton, Tim G., Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon, Bogard, Jessica R., Hall, Andrew, Lee, Bernice, Nyborg, Karine, Pradhan, Prajal, Bonnett, Graham D., Bryan, Brett A., Campbell, Bruce M., Christensen, Svend, Clark, Michael, Cook, Mathew T., de Boer, Imke J. M., Downs, Chris, Dizyee, Kanar, Folberth, Christian, Godde, Cecile M., Gerber, James S., Grundy, Michael, Havlik, Petr, Jarvis, Andrew, King, Richard, Loboguerrero, Ana Maria, Lopes, Mauricio A., McIntyre, C. Lynne, Naylor, Rosamond, Navarro, Javier, Obersteiner, Michael, Parodi, Alejandro, Peoples, Mark B., Pikaar, Ilje, Popp, Alexander, Rockström, Johan, Robertson, Michael J., Smith, Pete, Stehfest, Elke, Swain, Steve M., Valin, Hugo, van Wijk, Mark, van Zanten, Hannah H. E., Vermeulen, Sonja, Vervoort, Joost, West, Paul C. (2020):
Innovation can accelerate the transition towards a sustainable food system
- Nature Food
Baarsch, Florent, Granadillos, Jessie R., Hare, William, Knaus, Maria, Krapp, Mario, Schaeffer, Michiel, Lotze-Campen, Hermann (2020):
The impact of climate change on incomes and convergence in Africa
- World Development
Müller, B., Hoffmann, F., Heckelei, T., Müller, Christoph, Hertel, T. W., Polhill, J. G., Wijk, M. van, Achterbosch, T., Alexander, P., Brown, C., Kreuer, D., Ewert, Frank, Ge, Jiaqi, Millington, J. D. A., Seppelt, R., Verburg, P. H., Webber, H. (2020):
Modelling food security: Bridging the gap between the micro and the macro scale
- Global Environmental Change
Leclère, D., Obersteiner, M., Barrett, M., Butchart, S. H. M., Chaudhary, A., De Palma, A., DeClerck, F. A. J., Di Marco, M., Doelman, J. C., Dürauer, M., Freeman, R., Harfoot, M., Hasegawa, T., Hellweg, S., Hilbers, J. P., Hill, S. L. L., Humpenöder, Florian, Jennings, N., Krisztin, T., Mace, G. M., Ohashi, H., Popp, Alexander, Purvis, A., Schipper, A. M., Tabeau, A., Valin, H., van Mejl, H., van Zeist, W.-J., Visconti, P., Alkemade, R., Almond, R., Bunting, G., Burgess, N. D., Cornell, S. E., Di Fulvio, F., Ferrier, S., Fritz, S., Fujimori, S., Grooten, M., Harwood, T., Havlík, P., Herrero, M., Hoskins, A. J., Jung, M., Kram, T., Lotze-Campen, Hermann, Matsui, T., Meyer, C., Nel, D., Newbold, T., Schmid-Traub, G., Stehfest, E., Strassburg, B. B. N., van Vuuren, D. P., Ware, C., Watson, J. E. M., Wu, W., Young, L. (2020):
Bending the curve of terrestrial biodiversity needs an integrated strategy
- Nature
Hasegawa, Tomoko, Fujimori, Shinichiro, Havlík, Petr, Valin, Hugo, Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon, Doelman, Jonathan C., Fellmann, Thomas, Kyle, Page, Koopman, Jason F. L., Lotze-Campen, Hermann, Mason-D’Croz, Daniel, Müller, Christoph, Ochi, Yuki, Pérez Domínguez, Ignacio, Stehfest, Elke, Sulser, Timothy B., Tabeau, Andrzej, Takahashi, Kiyoshi, Takakura, Jun’ya, van Meijl, Hans, van Zeist, Willem-Jan, Wiebe, Keith, Witzke, Peter (2020):
Reply to: An appeal to cost undermines food security risks of delayed mitigation
- Nature Climate Change
Jägermeyr, Jonas (2020):
Agriculture's historic twin-challenge towards sustainable water use and food supply for all
- Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems
Ito, A., Reyer, Christopher P. O., Gädeke, Anne, Ciais, P., Chang, J., Chen, M., Francois, L., Forrest, M., Hickler, T., Ostberg, Sebastian, Hao, S., Thiery, W., Tian, H. (2020):
Pronounced and unavoidable impacts of low-end global warming on northern high-latitude land ecosystems
- Environmental Research Letters
Lutz, Femke, Müller, Christoph, Heinke, Jens, Minoli, Sara, Rolinski, Susanne (2019):
LPJmL5.0-tillage: Original source code as used in Lutz et al., 2019: submitted to Geosci. Model Dev.
Lutz, Femke, Herzfeld, Tobias, Heinke, Jens, Rolinski, Susanne, Schaphoff, Sibyll, von Bloh, Werner, Stoorvogel, J. J., Müller, Christoph (2019):
Simulating the effect of tillage practices with the global ecosystem model LPJmL (version 5.0-tillage)
- Geoscientific Model Development
Liu, B., Martre, P., Ewert, F., Porter, J. R., Challinor, A. J., Müller, Christoph, Ruane, A. C., Waha, K., Thorburn, P. J., Aggarwal, P. K., Ahmed, M., Balkovič, J., Basso, B., Biernath, C., Bindi, M., Cammarano, D., De Sanctis, G., Dumont, B., Espadafor, M., Rezaei, E. E., Ferrise, R., Garcia-Vila, M., Gayler, S., Gao, Y., Horan, H., Hoogenboom, G., Izaurralde, R. C., Jones, C. D., Kassie, B. T., Kersebaum, K. C., Klein, C., Koehler, A.-K., Maiorano, A., Minoli, Sara, Montesino San Martine, M., Kumar, S. N., Nendel, C., O'Leary, G. J., Palosuo, T., Priesack, E., Ripoche, D., Rötter, R. P., Semenov, M. A., Stöckle, C., Streck, T., Supit, I., Tao, F., Van der Velde, M., Wallach, D., Wang, E., Webber, H., Wolf, J., Xiao, L., Zhang, Z., Zhao, Z., Zhu, Y., Asseng, S. (2019):
Global wheat production with 1.5 and 2.0°C above pre-industrial warming
- Global Change Biology
Braakhekke, M. C., Doelman, J. C., Baas, P., Müller, Christoph, Schaphoff, Sibyll, Stehfest, E., Vuuren, D. P. van (2019):
Modeling forest plantations for carbon uptake with the LPJmL dynamic global vegetation model
- Earth System Dynamics
Müller, Christoph, Elliott, J., Kelly, D., Arneth, A., Balkovič, J., Ciais, P., Deryng, D., Folberth, C., Hoek, S., Izaurralde, R. C., Jones, C. D., Khabarov, N., Lawrence, P., Liu, W., Olin, S., Pugh, T. A. M., Reddy, A., Rosenzweig, C., Ruane, A. C., Sakurai, G., Schmid, E., Skalsky, R., Wang, X., Wit, A. de, Yang, H. (2019):
The Global Gridded Crop Model Intercomparison phase 1 simulation dataset
- Nature Scientific Data
Heinke, Jens, Müller, Christoph, Lannerstad, M., Gerten, Dieter, Lucht, Wolfgang (2019):
Freshwater resources under success and failure of the Paris climate agreement
- Earth System Dynamics
Luderer, Gunnar, Pehl, Michaja, Arvesen, A., Gibon, T., Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon, Sytze de Boer, H., Fricko, O., Hejazi, M., Humpenöder, Florian, Iyer, G., Mima, S., Mouratiadou, I., Pietzcker, Robert C., Popp, Alexander, Berg, M. van den, Vuuren, D. van, Hertwich, E. G. (2019):
Environmental co-benefits and adverse side-effects of alternative power sector decarbonization strategies
- Nature Communications
Mitter, H., Techen, A.-K., Sinabell, F., Helming, K., Kok, K., Priess, J. A., Schmid, E., Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon, Holman, I., Lehtonen, H., Leip, A., Le Mouël, C., Mathijs, E., Mehdi, B., Michetti, M., Mittenzwei, K., Mora, O., Øygarden, L., Reidsma, P., Schaldach, R., Schönhart, M. (2019):
A protocol to develop Shared Socio-economic Pathways for European agriculture
- Journal of Environmental Management
Liu, X., Liu, W., Yang, H., Tang, Q., Flörke, M., Masaki, Y., Müller Schmied, H., Ostberg, Sebastian, Pokhrel, Y., Satoh, Y., Wada, Y. (2019):
Multimodel assessments of human and climate impacts on mean annual streamflow in China
- Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
Dietrich, Jan Philipp, Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon, Humpenöder, Florian, Weindl, Isabelle, Stevanović, Miodrag, Karstens, Kristine, Kreidenweis, Ulrich, Wang, Xiaoxi, Mishra, Abhijeet, Klein, David, Ambrósio, Geanderson Eduardo, Araujo, Ewerton, Yalew, Amsalu Woldie, Baumstark, Lavinia, Wirth, Stephen Björn, Giannousakis, Anastasis, Beier, Felicitas, Chen, David Meng-Chuen, Lotze-Campen, Hermann, Popp, Alexander (2019):
MAgPIE 4 - a modular open-source framework for modeling global land systems
- Geoscientific Model Development
Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon, Pradhan, Prajal, Springmann, M. (2019):
Reducing ruminant numbers and consumption of animal source foods are aligned with environ-mental and public health demands
- Landbauforschung - Journal of Sustainable and Organic Agricultural Systems
Seufert, V., Granath, G., Müller, Christoph (2019):
A meta-analysis of crop response patterns to nitrogen limitation for improved model representation
- PloS ONE
Stehfest, E., Zeist, W.-J. van, Valin, H., Havlik, P., Popp, Alexander, Kyle, P., Tabeau, A., Mason-D'Croz, D., Hasegawa, T., Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon, Calvin, K., Doelman, J. C., Fujimori, S., Humpenöder, Florian, Lotze-Campen, Hermann, Meijl, H. van, Wiebe, K. (2019):
Key determinants of global land-use projections
- Nature Communications
Milford, A. B., Le Mouël, C., Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon, Rolinski, Susanne (2019):
Drivers of meat consumption
- Appetite
Hendriks, C. M. J., Stoorvogel, J. J., Lutz, Femke, Claessens, L. (2019):
When can legacy soil data be used, and when should new data be collected instead?
- Geoderma
Bras, T. A., Jägermeyr, Jonas, Seixas, J. (2019):
Exposure of the EU-28 food imports to extreme weather disasters in exporting countries
- Food Security
