Book of abstracts and presentations

The book of abstracts can be downloaded here

Parallel sessions including presentations

Theme 1: Methodological approaches to understand cross-border climate impacts

• Session 1: Conceptual frameworks of cross-border and cascading climate impacts/risks
  • "A framework for understanding and responding to cross-border climate change impacts" (Timothy Carter)
  • "Identifying, Assessing, and Governing Systemic Risks: Towards an Integrative Framework" (Pia-Johanna Schweizer)
  • "A framework and typologies for responding to cross-border climate change impacts" (Sara Talebian/ Magnus Benzie)
  • "The transnational climate impacts index 2.0: a new, flow-based quantification" (Johanna Hedlund, virtual)
• Session 2.1: Scenarios and Storylines to capture cross-border climate impacts.
  • "Characterising future international connectivity in the SSPs to assess cross-border climate risks" (Stefan Fronzek)
  • "A multi-scale scenario approach to understand and respond to cascading climate risks to global food security" (Sara Talebian/Katy Harris)
  • "The storyline approach as a scientific methodology for risk assessment of remote climate impacts on Europe" (Suraje Dessai)
  • "Synthesis of storylines through common policy directions: a causal network approach" (Taro Kunimitsu, virtual)
• Session 2.2: Scenarios and Storylines to capture cross-border climate impacts.
  • "Integrated climate, environmental and socio-economic storylines to support adaptation in the Tigris-Euphrates Basin" (Elena Saggioro)
  • "A Framework for Multi- and Systemic-Risk Analysis: Focusing on Indirect Risks Based on Dependencies" (Stefan Hochrainer-Stigler)
  • "Storylines of future changes in precipitation regimes across the RECEIPT hotspots of remote agricultural risk affecting Europe" (Rohit Ghosh)
  • "How resolving ocean eddies can strengthen storylines of a warmer future climate." (Gerrit Versteeg, virtual)
  • "Building storylines of high impact storms under global warming and sea level rise" (Henrique M. D. Goulart, virtual)
• Session 3: Policy analysis methods for studying cross-border impacts and adaptation
  • "Comprehensive security against climate change: Preparing for cascading and transition impacts" (Emma Hakala)
  • "Consensus priorities on allocating forecast-based funding of humanitarian and disaster aid for climate change adaptation: A Delphi study" (Juha-Pekka Jäpölä)
  • "The impacts of coastal flooding and sea level rise on critical infrastructure: a novel storyline approach" (Elco Koks)
  • "Is the UNFCCC ready to handle the reality of cross-border climate risks?" (Richard Klein)
  • "A just transition for climate change adaptation: how do we build just resilience in an interconnected world" (Frida Lager)
  • “Debate: Does the EU need a DG RESILIENCE?” (Magnus Benzie and Ruth Townend)
• Session 4.1: Modelling complex dynamics in social/ economic systems
  • "Cascading climate tipping events and how they may be prevented by society" (Nico Wunderling)
  • "Multi-hazard risk assessment of critical infrastructure at the global scale" (Sadhana Nirandjan)
  • “Lessons from COVID-19 for managing transboundary climate risks and building resilience” (Ilona Otto/ Andrew Ringsmuth)
  • "Towards a better understanding of the economic cost of compound events" (Lin Ma, virtual)
  • "Tessellated border-independent exposure analysis for operational climate and disaster risk preparedness applications" (Piero Campalani)
• Session 4.2: Modelling complex dynamics in social/ economic systems
  • "Modelling uncertain economic impacts of climate change under a multi-regional and multi-sectoral bottom-up perspective" (Paola López-Muñoz)
  • "Understanding the dynamics of recurrent floods in the Philippines" (Inga Sauer)
  • "Archetypes of cascading climate change impacts" (Cornelia Auer)
  • "The resource (in)sufficiency of the Caribbean: Analyzing Socio-metabolic Risks (SMR) of Water, Energy, and Food" (Francisco Xavier Felix Martin del Campo, virtual)

Theme 2: Cross-border climate impacts and adaptation responses

• Session 5.1: Trade, supply and value chains
• "Food-system consequences and responses associated with future trade-lined cross-border climate-border impacts: Insights from quantitative and qualitative research methodologies" (Chris West)
• "Impacts of compound natural hazards on supply chains" (Zélie Stalhandske)
• "Cross-border impacts of worldwide climate effects on effective labour for Finland" (Johanna Pohjola, virtual)
• “Uncertainty in land-use adaptation persists despite crop model projections showing lower impacts under high warming” (Edna Molina Bacca)
• Session 5.2: Trade, supply and value chains
  • "Estimating the Impact of Physical Climate Risks on Firm Defaults: A Supply-Chain Perspective" (Ruben Kerkhofs)
  • "Stressed economies respond more strongly to climate extremes" (Robin Middelanis)
  • "Risks to global food security triggered by the Russian invasion of Ukraine" (Kilian Kuhla)
  • "Representation of Indirect and Interregional Effects in Modelling Approaches in the MYRIAD-EU Project" (Benjamin Blanz)
• Session 5.3: Trade, supply and value chains
  • "Stakeholder perspectives on cross-border climate risks in the Brazil-Europe soy supply chain" (Emilie Stokeld)
  • "A novel methodology to assess crop-specific climate risks: A cross-border case study of agri-food trade between Turkey and the EU" (Tijmen Schults)
  • "Cascading impacts in the Russia- Ukraine war" (Cornelia Auer)
  • "Climate storyline approach for cross-border climate change risks in agri-food trade: case study of cacao" (Ertug Ercin)
  • "Impacts of climate change on global food trade networks" (Johanna Hedlund, virtual)
• Session 6: Climate-development-security nexus
• "Sustainable development, climate change and Mediterranean area: a nexus approach" (Philippe Drobinski, virtual)
• "The effects of droughts on food (in)security in the context of climate change: a multifaceted relationship" (Domenico Bovienzo)
• "Average annual cost of internal displacement risk" (Mario Salgado-Gálvez)
• "Supporting Early Action with a flood Impact-based Forecasting: a case study of Tropical Cyclone Idai" (Margherita Sarcinella)
• “The impact of disasters on EU humanitarian aid allocations: a storyline approach to Tropical Cyclone Idai” (Letizia Monteleone)
• Session 7.1: Climate physical risks and the financial system
• "An integrated ABM approach to understanding the impact of pandemics and fiscal stimuli on the economy and climate" (Paola D'Orazio)
• "Multilateral adaptation finance for systemic resilience: Addressing cross-border climate risks" (Katherine Browne)
• “Sensitivity analysis of the indirect cost model ARIO based on the 2021 July flood in Germany” (Samuel Juhel)
• "Asset-level climate physical risk assessment is key for adaptation finance" (Giacomo Bressan)
• "Climate transition spillovers and sovereign risk: evidence from Indonesia" (Régis Gourdel)
• Session 7.2: Climate physical risks and the financial system
  • "Increasing countries’ financial resilience through global catastrophe risk pooling" (Alessio Ciullo, virtual)
  • "Differential Fiscal Performances of Plausible Disaster Events: A storyline approach for the Central American and Caribbean Governments under CCRIF" (Stefan Hochrainer-Stigler)
  • "Smart-Support Governments in Global South to Address Physical and Financial Risks of Infrastructure induced by Climate Change" (Qinhan Zhu)
  • "Exploring the efficient frontier in physical risk reporting" (David N. Bresch)
  • “How vulnerable is Europe to severe climate-related disasters abroad? Integrating CGE and natural disaster models” (Jan Brusselaers)
• Session 8: Coherence of policy responses to systemic risks
  • "An assessment of the suitability of EU food and trade policy in the context of cross-border climate risks and geopolitical instability" (Joe Simpson)
  • "Spanish responses to cross-border climate security risks in the agricultural sector" (Hector Morales Munoz, virtual)
  • "Evaluation of EU policy responses to cross-border impacts originating in the Arctic, towards advancing adaptation to climate change." (Claire Mosoni, virtual)
  • "Analysing coherence and integration in policies for adapting to cross-border impacts of climate change" (Paula Kivimaa and Mikael Hilden)
  • "Integration and coherence of climate change adaptation policy with EU finance and trade policies" (Samuli Pitzén and Mikael Hilden)
  • "Coherence of climate change policy" (Sayouba Ouedraogo)

Theme 3: Participatory / stakeholder-driven research to understand and communicate cross-border risks

• Session 9: Participatory approaches towards cross-border risks
  • "Policy simulations to co-create resilient futures in the context of cross-borders climate impacts" Demonstration session (Piotr Magnuszewski)
  • "Mapping the stakeholders to enhance co-creative approaches on climate change adaptation in two delta cities in the Greater Rotterdam Living Lab" (Theresa Audrey Oller Esteban)
  • "Visualizing RECEIPT climate impact storylines in a web browser" (Gijs van den Oord, virtual)
  • "The 2023 Global Transboundary Climate Risk Report" (Richard Klein)
  • "How to nurture cooperative behavior in ways that are useful for managing Transboundary Climate Risks in agriculture supply-chains" (Adis Dzebo)
• Open Session: “In receipt of cascades: Recommendations for European Resilience”
  • With contributions on CASCADES and RECEIPT policy recommendations by Ruth Townend and Jaroslav Mysiak
• Poster and multimedia sessions
  • Alternating display of “Storyline visualizer” and “The Cascades Game” (Christophe Thévignaut, Piotr Magnuszewski) – Telepresence Room
  • “Culture, climate change, and water conservation: Water ecosystems and culture-based adaptation practice in Developing Countries” (Shahid Mallick)
  • “Women’s lived experiences of the slow water crisis in Cape Town (South Africa)” (Ariadna Romans i Torrent)
  • “The role of youth-based organizations in addressing cross-border and cascading climate impacts and risks” (Amara Kamara)
  • “Uncovering the Nexus between Fossil-Based Energy Security, Financial Policies, and Climate and Energy Transition Risks: Insights from a German Economic Case Study” (Franziska M. Hoffart)
  • “Flammable Futures - Storylines of Indonesia's wildfires and palm oil industry in a changing climate.” (Shelby Corning)
  • “Rebuild better for a sustainable future” (Ilona M. Otto)
  • “Framework of climate risks in the context of business activities” (Monika Sadkowska)
  • “Destination Earth Digital Twins as tools for adapting to climate change” (Jörn Hoffmann)
  • “The representation of climate change social impacts in Integrated Assessment Models: a systematic literature review” (Paola López-Muñoz)
  • “Transnational adaptation governance: A global lens for coherent approaches to formal and informal adaptation“ (Adis Dzebo)
  • “Do you know what I know?: Understanding risk through collective introspection” (Theresa Audrey Esteban)