The intersection of climate change and policy significantly impacts global economic growth, financial flows, trade, international relations, security priorities, and geopolitical dynamics. While emissions reductions and advancing technologies offer hope, they carry risks and must be paired with adaptation strategies to address unavoidable climate impacts and manage loss and damage. These challenges underscore the need for equitable cost/benefit sharing, as articulated in the "just transition" framework, which supports fairness in transitioning to a green economy.
Germany’s National Security Strategy and Climate Foreign Policy Strategy highlight the importance of aligning national and international priorities for climate action. By fostering dialogue based on shared values and interests, Germany emphasizes strategic cooperation to achieve mutual benefits in addressing climate change.
This project, implemented in cooperation with the Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ), will produce and support research, as well as knowledge exchange and dissemination activities in select countries to assess:
- The interplay between geopolitical priorities and pathways for climate resilience and low-emission transformation, including risks and opportunities (PIK)
WP1: Mitigation and energy transition risks – modelling & non-modelling
WP2: Adaptation and physical risks
WP3: Geopolitical risks of transitions and climate damage
WP4: Geopolitical risks of climate-linked migration and conflict - Policy integration strategies for these insights (GIZ)
WP5: Knowledge exchange & results dissemination
Project partners are the Institute for Essential Services Reform (IESR), Indonesia, the Centre for Social and Economic Progress (CSEP), India, and the German Council on Foreign Relations (DGAP), Germany.
The project is funded by the International Climate Initiative (IKI) on behalf of the German Federal Foreign Office as part of the Climate Diplomacy Action Programme (CDAP), implemented by the Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ) GmbH.
The GeoClimRisk project is integrated at the FutureLab Security, Ethnic Conflicts & Migration at the Research Department Transformation Pathways.
Supported by:
