Monsoon forecasting for improved climate resilience in Sri Lanka
19.02.2019 - PIK-News: Monsoon prediction specialist Prof. Dr. Surovyatkina from the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) recently visited Sri Lanka on Government invitation for talks with representatives of the Ministry of Irrigation and Water Resources, the Ministry of Disaster Management, the Meteorological Department and the General Sir John Kotelawala Defence University. Sri Lanka is a tropical insular state east of the southern tip of the Indian subcontinent. In a warming world, floods or droughts during monsoon period could become more frequent, potentially affecting millions of people. Long-term monsoon forecasts could help make Sri Lanka more climate resilient.
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Network theory and climate change
04.02.2019 - PNAS Science Sessions Podcast: Dr. Jingfang Fan spoke about the network approach, which he together his colleagues use to develop the model of global climate system. The goal is to study how climate changed in the past decades and how it might change in the future under different climate scenarios.
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Forecast of withdrawal of Indian Summer Monsoon proves once more successful
24.10.2018: The Indian Summer Monsoon has withdrawn from the Central part of India last week as predicted by PIK scientist Elena Surovyatkina and her team 80 days in advance. It is the earliest forecast of the withdrawal date ever made and currently the only one available in India. Since 2016, all PIK predictions of the monsoon onset and withdrawal have been successful, that´s six correct forecasts in three years in a row.
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Kerala floods: Damaging rains match climate change forecasts
25.08.2018 - Times Now: The article features the once-a-century weather event that happened in August in the Indian state of Kerala. The Monsson rains displaced 1.3 million people and had been predicted by the scientists prior to the catastrophe. Dr. Kira Vinke, scientist at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) and EPICC project lead, warns about the future risks in a scenario, where current level of emissions release remains. Prof. Dr. Surovyatkina, member of Monsoon forecasting working group at EPICC, attributes the intensification of monsoon rains to climate change and consequent overheating of landmass.
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Early Summer Monsoon forecast for India
05.07.2018 - PIK-News: The Indian Summer Monsoon will likely reach Central India between 11 and 19 June, according to the new forecast method developed at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK). The unique forecast had been developed specially for the central part of India where, before, early forecasting has never been made. The novel approach based on an analysis of observational data allows predicting the monsoon onset date 40 days in advance. Prof. Dr. Surovyatkina leads the forecasts that showed to be successful already two years in a row. The monsoon onset date is of crucial importance for hundreds of millions of people in India. Climate change affects monsoon variability and hence makes accurate forecasting even more important.
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‘Climate change increased rains’ - Monsoon Prediction on Central India under Climate Change
20.06.2018 - THE HINDU: Prof. Dr. Surovyatkina, scientist at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) and member of Monsoon forecasting working group at EPICC, gave a presentation at ‘Monsoon Prediction on Central India under Climate Change’ workshop. She spoke about the effects of the climate change on the monsoon rains and the impact of industrialization and urbanization on the phenomenon.
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Joint research will improve monsoon prediction: MLA Ramesh
19.06.2018 - Telangana Today: The workshop on 'Monsoon Prediction in Central India under Climate Change' organised at Water Technology Centre of Prof Jayashankar Telangana State Agricultural University (PJTSAU) in Rajendranagar took place on the 19th of June. Prof. Dr. Surovyatkina, scientist at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) and member of Monsoon forecasting working group at EPICC, delivered keynote address at the event and presented findings of the Monsoon research using new method called "tipping elements approach".
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Monsoon may hit Central lndia between 11 & 19 June, says PIK
15.05.2018 - Sakal Times: Lives of hundreds of millions of people in India are influenced by the Southwest Monsoon. Its variability is largely affected by climate change, which makes monsoon forecasting ever more crucial. Researchers of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) announced the prediction of the monsoon onset date according to the new method developed at the institute. They estimate that this year the Southwest Monsoon will reach Central India between 11th and 19th of June.
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Monsoon in Pune from June 11, but heat to continue
15.05.2018 - Hindustantimes: Prof. Dr. Surovyatkina, scientist at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) and member of Monsoon forecasting working group at EPICC, presents the forecast of the Indian summer monsoon (the Southwest monsoon) for central part of India and the Eastern Ghats region.
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Tele-connecting geographical areas can help predict monsoon dates, says expert
13.01.2018 - Hindustantimes: Last week Prof. Dr. Surovyatkina from Monsoon forecasting working group at EPICC presented an approach to estimating the time of onset and withdrawal of the Indian Summer Monsoon at a workshop organized by Indian Meteorological Society, (IMD), Pune Chapter and the Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology (IITM), Pune.
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Prediction of Monsoon possible with data of India, Pak: Expert
13.01.2018 - Sakal Times: Last week Prof. Dr. Surovyatkina from Monsoon forecasting working group at EPICC presented an approach to estimating the time of onset and withdrawal of the Indian Summer Monsoon at a workshop organized by Indian Meteorological Society, (IMD), Pune Chapter and the Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology (IITM), Pune.
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