Klose, Ann Kristin, Wunderling, Nico, Winkelmann, Ricarda, Donges, Jonathan Friedemann (2021):
What do we mean, 'tipping cascade'?
- Environmental Research Letters
Talento, Stefanie, Ganopolski, Andrey (2021):
Reduced-complexity model for the impact of anthropogenic CO2 emissions on future glacial cycles
- Earth System Dynamics
Ludescher, Josef, Martin, Maria A., Boers, Niklas, Bunde, Armin, Ciemer, Catrin, Fan, Jingfang, Havlin, Shlomo, Kretschmer, Marlene, Kurths, Jürgen, Runge, Jakob, Stolbova, Veronica, Surovyatkina, Elena, Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim (2021):
Network-based Forecasting of Climate Phenomena
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS)
Brunel, Marie, Rammig, Anja, Furquim, Fernando, Overbeck, Gerhard, Barbosa, Henrique M.J., Thonicke, Kirsten, Rolinski, Susanne (2021):
When do Farmers Burn Pasture in Brazil: A Model-Based Approach to Determine Burning Date
- Rangeland Ecology & Management
Donges, Jonathan Friedemann, Lucht, Wolfgang, Cornell, Sarah E., Heitzig, Jobst, Barfuss, Wolfram, Lade, Steven J., Schlüter, Maja (2021):
Taxonomies for structuring models for World–Earth systems analysis of the Anthropocene: subsystems, their interactions and social–ecological feedback loops
- Earth System Dynamics
Rahmstorf, Stefan (2021):
Warum der unaufhaltsame Anstieg der Emissionen ein Ende hat
- Spiegel Online : Wissenschaft
Di Capua, Giorgia, Sparrow, S., Kornhuber, Kai, Rousi, Eftychia, Osprey, S., Wallom, D., van den Hurk, B., Coumou, Dim (2021):
Drivers behind the summer 2010 wave train leading to Russian heatwave and Pakistan flooding
- npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
Nicholson, Emily, Watermeyer, Kate E., Rowland, Jessica A., Sato, Chloe F., Stevenson, Simone L., Andrade, Angela, Brooks, Thomas M., Burgess, Neil D., Cheng, Su-Ting, Grantham, Hedley S., Hill, Samantha L., Keith, David A., Maron, Martine, Metzke, Daniel, Murray, Nicholas J., Nelson, Cara R., Obura, David, Plumptre, Andy, Skowno, Andrew L., Watson, James E. M. (2021):
Scientific foundations for an ecosystem goal, milestones and indicators for the post-2020 global biodiversity framework
- Nature Ecology & Evolution
Martin, Maria A., Alcaraz Sendra, Olga, Bastos, Ana, Bauer, Nicolas, Bertram, Christoph, Blenckner, Thorsten, Bowen, Kathryn, Brando, Paulo M., Brodie Rudolph, Tanya, Büchs, Milena, Bustamante, Mercedes, Chen, Deliang, Cleugh, Helen, Dasgupta, Purnamita, Denton, Fatima, Donges, Jonathan Friedemann, Donkor, Felix Kwabena, Duan, Hongbo, Duarte, Carlos M., Ebi, Kristie L., Edwards, Clea M., Engel, Anja, Fisher, Eleanor, Fuss, Sabine, Gärtner, Juliana, Gettelman, Andrew, Girardin, Cécile A.J., Golledge, Nicholas R., Green, Jessica F., Grose, Michael R., Hashizume, Masahiro, Hebden, Sophie, Hepach, Helmke, Hirota, Marina, Hsu, Huang-Hsiung, Kojima, Satoshi, Lele, Sharachchandra, Lorek, Sylvia, Lotze, Heike K., Matthews, H. Damon, McCauley, Darren, Mebratu, Desta, Mengis, Nadine, Nolan, Rachael H., Pihl, Erik, Rahmstorf, Stefan, Redman, Aaron, Reid, Colleen E., Rockström, Johan, Rogelj, Joeri, Saunois, Marielle, Sayer, Lizzie, Schlosser, Peter, Sioen, Giles B., Spangenberg, Joachim H., Stammer, Detlef, Sterner, Thomas N.S., Stevens, Nicola, Thonicke, Kirsten, Tian, Hanqin, Winkelmann, Ricarda, Woodcock, James (2021):
Ten new insights in climate science 2021: a horizon scan
- Global Sustainability
Sietz, Diana, Conradt, Tobias, Krysanova, Valentina, Hattermann, Fred Fokko, Wechsung, Frank (2021):
The Crop Generator: Implementing crop rotations to effectively advance eco-hydrological modelling
- Agricultural Systems
Robinson, Alexander, Lehmann, Jascha, Barriopedro, David, Rahmstorf, Stefan, Coumou, Dim (2021):
Increasing heat and rainfall extremes now far outside the historical climate
- npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
Boulange, Julien, Hanasaki, Naota, Satoh, Yusuke, Yokohata, Tokuta, Shiogama, Hideo, Burek, Peter, Thiery, Wim, Gerten, Dieter, Müller Schmied, Hannes, Wada, Yoshihide, Gosling, Simon N., Pokhrel, Yadu N., Wanders, Niko (2021):
Validity of estimating flood and drought characteristics under equilibrium climates from transient simulations
- Environmental Research Letters
Drüke, Markus, von Bloh, Werner, Sakschewski, Boris, Wunderling, Nico, Petri, Stefan, Cardoso, Manoel, Barbosa, Henrique M. J., Thonicke, Kirsten (2021):
Climate-induced hysteresis of the tropical forest in a fire-enabled Earth system model
- European Physical Journal - Special Topics
Wunderling, Nico, Krönke, Jonathan, Wohlfarth, Valentin, Kohler, Jan, Heitzig, Jobst, Staal, Arie, Willner, Sven, Winkelmann, Ricarda, Donges, Jonathan Friedemann (2021):
Modelling nonlinear dynamics of interacting tipping elements on complex networks: the PyCascades package
- European Physical Journal - Special Topics
Wolf, Frederik, Donner, Reik V. (2021):
Spatial organization of connectivity in functional climate networks describing event synchrony of heavy precipitation
- European Physical Journal - Special Topics
Ciemer, Catrin, Winkelmann, Ricarda, Kurths, Jürgen, Boers, Niklas (2021):
Impact of an AMOC weakening on the stability of the southern Amazon rainforest
- European Physical Journal - Special Topics
Ai, Zhipin, Hanasaki, Naota, Heck, Vera, Hasegawa, Tomoko, Fujimori, Shinichiro (2021):
Global bioenergy with carbon capture and storage
potential largely constrained by sustainable
irrigation
- Nature Sustainability
Cano-Crespo, Ana, Traxl, Dominik, Thonicke, Kirsten (2021):
Spatio-temporal patterns of extreme fires in Amazonian forests
- European Physical Journal - Special Topics
Kohler, Jan, Wunderling, Nico, Donges, Jonathan Friedemann, Vollmer, Jürgen (2021):
Complex networks of interacting stochastic tipping elements: Cooperativity of phase separation in the large-system limit
- Physical Review E
Donges, Jonathan Friedemann, Lochner, Jakob, Kitzmann, Niklas, Heitzig, Jobst, Lehmann, Sune, Wiedermann, Marc, Vollmer, Jürgen (2021):
Dose-response functions and surrogate models for exploring social contagion in the Copenhagen Networks Study
- European Physical Journal - Special Topics
Born, Andreas, Robinson, Alexander (2021):
Modeling the Greenland englacial stratigraphy
- The Cryosphere
Huiskamp, Willem Nicholas, McGregor, Shayne (2021):
Quantifying Southern Annular Mode paleo-reconstruction skill in a model framework
- Climate of the Past
Gerten, Dieter, Kummu, Matti (2021):
Feeding the world in a narrowing safe operating space [Comment]
- One Earth
Rahmstorf, Stefan (2021):
Entscheidende Klimawahl, bizarrer Wahlkampf
- Spiegel Online : Wissenschaft
Payne, Antony J., Nowicki, Sophie, Abe‐Ouchi, Ayako, Agosta, Cécile, Alexander, Patrick, Albrecht, Torsten, Asay‐Davis, Xylar, Aschwanden, Andy, Barthel, Alice, Bracegirdle, Thomas J., Calov, Reinhard, Chambers, Christopher, Choi, Youngmin, Cullather, Richard, Cuzzone, Joshua, Dumas, Christophe, Edwards, Tamsin L., Felikson, Denis, Fettweis, Xavier, Galton‐Fenzi, Benjamin K., Goelzer, Heiko, Gladstone, Rupert, Golledge, Nicholas R., Gregory, Jonathan M., Greve, Ralf, Hattermann, Tore, Hoffman, Matthew J., Humbert, Angelika, Huybrechts, Philippe, Jourdain, Nicolas C., Kleiner, Thomas, Munneke, Peter Kuipers, Larour, Eric, Le clec'h, Sebastien, Lee, Victoria, Leguy, Gunter, Lipscomb, William H., Little, Christopher M., Lowry, Daniel P., Morlighem, Mathieu, Nias, Isabel, Pattyn, Frank, Pelle, Tyler, Price, Stephen F., Quiquet, Aurélien, Reese, Ronja, Rückamp, Martin, Schlegel, Nicole‐Jeanne, Seroussi, Hélène, Shepherd, Andrew, Simon, Erika, Slater, Donald, Smith, Robin S., Straneo, Fiammetta, Sun, Sainan, Tarasov, Lev, Trusel, Luke D., Van Breedam, Jonas, Wal, Roderik van de, Broeke, Michiel van den, Winkelmann, Ricarda, Zhao, Chen, Zhang, Tong, Zwinger, Thomas (2021):
Future Sea Level Change Under Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 and Phase 6 Scenarios From the Greenland and Antarctic Ice Sheets
- Geophysical Research Letters
Rahmstorf, Stefan (2021):
Sea level in the IPCC 6th assessment report (AR6)
- RealClimate Blog
Sörgel, Björn, Kriegler, Elmar, Weindl, Isabelle, Rauner, Sebastian, Dirnaichner, Alois, Ruhe, Constantin, Hofmann, Matthias, Bauer, Nicolas, Bertram, Christoph, Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon, Leimbach, Marian, Leininger, Julia, Levesque, Antoine, Luderer, Gunnar, Pehl, Michaja, Wingens, Christopher, Baumstark, Lavinia, Beier, Felicitas, Dietrich, Jan Philipp, Humpenöder, Florian, von Jeetze, Patrick José, Klein, David, Koch, Johannes, Pietzcker, Robert C., Strefler, Jessica, Lotze-Campen, Hermann, Popp, Alexander (2021):
A sustainable development pathway for climate action
within the UN 2030 Agenda
- Nature Climate Change
Rahmstorf, Stefan (2021):
Was der neue Bericht des Weltklimarats für uns bedeutet
- Spiegel Online : Wissenschaft
Alberti, Tommaso, Donner, Reik V., Vannitsem, Stéphane (2021):
Multiscale fractal dimension analysis of a reduced order model of coupled ocean–atmosphere dynamics
- Earth System Dynamics
Brovkin, V., Brook, Edward, Williams, John W., Bathiany, Sebastian , Lenton, Timothy M., Barton, Michael, DeConto, Robert M., Donges, Jonathan Friedemann, Ganopolski, Andrey, McManus, Jerry, Praetorius, Summer, de Vernal, Anne, Abe-Ouchi, Ayako, Cheng, Hai, Claussen, Martin, Crucifix, Michel, Gallopin, Gilberto, Iglesias, Virginia, Kaufman, Darrell S., Kleinen, Thomas, Lambert, Fabrice, van der Leeuw, Sander, Liddy, Hannah, Loutre, Marie-France, McGee, David, Rehfeld, Kira, Rhodes, Rachael, Seddon, Alistair W. R., Trauth, Martin H., Vanderveken, Lilian, Yu, Zicheng (2021):
Past abrupt changes, tipping points and cascading impacts in the Earth system
- Nature Geoscience
