Publication list (EST)

This page provides references and links to the most recent peer-reviewed publications from the PIK RD 1 Working Group "Ecosystems in Transition". If you are interested in obtaining pre-prints of the papers in press, please contact the authors directly.

Papers published in 2021

  • Gädeke, A., Langer, M., Boike, J., Burke, E. J., Chang, J., Head, M., Reyer, C. P. O., Schaphoff, S., Thiery, W., and Thonicke, K. (2021) Climate change reduces winter overland travel across the Pan-Arctic even under low-end global warming scenarios, Environmental Research Letters, 10.1088/1748-9326/abdcf2.
  • Shukla, R., Gleixner, S., Yalew, A. W., Schauberger, B., Sietz, D., & Gornott, C. (2021). Dynamic vulnerability of smallholder agricultural systems in the face of climate change for Ethiopia. Environmental Research Letters. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/abdb5c

Papers published in 2020

  • Gädeke, A., Krysanova, V., Aryal, A., Chang, J., Grillakis, M., Hanasaki, N., Koutroulis, A., Pokhrel, Y., Satoh, Y., Schaphoff, S., Müller Schmied, H., Stacke, T., Tang, Q., Wada, Y., and Thonicke, K. (2020) Performance evaluation of global hydrological models in six large Pan-Arctic watersheds, Climatic Change, 163, 1329-1351, 10.1007/s10584-020-02892-2.
  • Liersch, S., Drews, M., Pilz, T., Salack, S., Sietz, D., Aich, V., A D Larsen, M., Gädeke, A., Halsnæ s, K., Thiery, W., Huang, S., Lobanova, A., Koch, H., and Hattermann, F. F. (2020) One simulation, different conclusions—the baseline period makes the difference!, Environmental Research Letters, 15, 104014, 10.1088/1748-9326/aba3d7.
  • Pugh, T. A., T. Rademacher, S. L. Shafer, J. Steinkamp, J. Barichivich, B. Beckage, V. Haverd, A. Harper, J. Heinke, K. Nishina, A. Rammig, H. Sato, A. Arneth, S. Hantson, T. Hickler, M. Kautz, B. Quesada, B. Smith and K. Thonicke (2020). "Understanding the uncertainty in global forest carbon turnover." Biogeosciences 17(15): 3961-3989, 10.5194/bg-17-3961-2020.
  • Thonicke, K., M. Billing, W. von Bloh, B. Sakschewski, Ü. Niinemets, J. Peñuelas, H. Cornelissen, Y. Onoda, P. van Bodegom, M. Schaepman, F. Schneider and A. Walz (2020). "Simulating functional diversity of European natural forests along climatic gradients." Journal of Biogeography 47(5): 1069-1085, 10.1111/jbi.13809.
  • Thonicke, K., M. Bahn, S. Lavorel, R. Bardgett, K. Erb, M. Giamberini, M. Reichstein, B. Vollan and A. Rammig (2020). "Advancing the understanding of adaptive capacity of social-ecological systems to absorb climate extremes." Earth's Future 8: e2019EF001221, 10.1029/2019EF001221.
  • Rammig, A., M. Bahn, C. Vera, T. Knoke, C. Paul, B. Vollan, K. Erb, R. D. Bardgett, S. Lavorel and K. Thonicke (2020). Chapter 14 - Adaptive capacity of coupled social-ecological systems to absorb climate extremes. Climate Extremes and Their Implications for Impact and Risk Assessment. J. Sillmann, S. Sippel and S. Russo, Elsevier: 257-278, 10.1016/B978-0-12-814895-2.00014-8.
  • van den Elsen, E., Stringer, L. C., De Ita, C., Hessel, R., Kéfi, S., Schneider, F. D., Bautista, S., Mayor, A. G., Baudena, M., Rietkerk, M., Valdecantos, A., Vallejo, V. R., Geeson, N., Brandt, C. J., Fleskens, L., Hemerik, L., Panagos, P., Valente, S., Keizer, J. J., Schwilch, G., Jucker Riva, M., Sietz, D., Christoforou, M., Hadjimitsis, D. G., Papoutsa, C., Quaranta, G., Salvia, R., Tsanis, I. K., Daliakopoulos, I., Claringbould, H., & de Ruiter, P. C. (2020). Advances in understanding and managing catastrophic ecosystem shifts in mediterranean ecosystems. Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution, 8: 561101. doi:10.3389/fevo.2020.561101.
  • Vidal Merino, M., Sietz, D., Jost, F., & Berger, U. (2020). The Andean Farmers of Peru: Farm-Household System Vulnerability to Climate-Related Hazards. In W. Leal Filho, G. J. Nagy, M. Borga, P. D. Chávez Muñoz, & A. Magnuszewski (Eds.), Climate Change, Hazards and Adaptation Options: Climate Change Management (pp. 1029-1044). Cham: Springer International Publishing. doi:10.1007/978-3-030-37425-9_53.
  • Sterzel, T., Lüdeke, M. K. B., Walther, C., Kok, M. T., Sietz, D., & Lucas, P. L. (2020). Typology of coastal urban vulnerability under rapid urbanization. PloS ONE, 15(1): e0220936. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0220936

Papers published in 2019

  • Forkel, M., Drüke, M., Thurner, M., Dorigo, W., Schaphoff, S., Thonicke, K., von Bloh, W., and Carvalhais, N.: Constraining modelled global vegetation dynamics and carbon turnover using multiple satellite observations, Scientific Reports, 9, 18757, 10.1038/s41598-019-55187-7.
  • Müller-Hansen, F., Heitzig, J., Donges, J. F., Cardoso, M. F., Dalla-Nora, E. L., Andrade, P., Kurths, J., and Thonicke, K. (2019) Can Intensification of Cattle Ranching Reduce Deforestation in the Amazon? Insights From an Agent-based Social-Ecological Model, Ecological economics, 159, 198-211, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2018.12.025.
  • Ciemer, C., Boers, N., Hirota, M., Kurths, J., Müller-Hansen, F., Oliveira, R. S., and Winkelmann, R. (2019) Higher resilience to climatic disturbances in tropical vegetation exposed to more variable rainfall, Nature Geoscience, 12, 174-179, 10.1038/s41561-019-0312-z, 2019.
  • Forkel M, Wouter D, Lasslop G, Chuvieco E, Hantson S, Heil A, Teubner I, Thonicke K, Harrison S (2019) Recent global and regional trends in burned area and their compensating environmental controls. Environmental Research Communications, published online: https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/2515-7620/ab25d2/meta
  • Drüke M, Forkel M, von Bloh W, Sakeschewski B, Cardoso M, Bustamante M, Kurths J, Thonicke K (2019) Improving the LPJmL4-SPITFIRE vegetation-fire model for South America using satellite data. Geoscientific Model Development, published online https://www.geosci-model-dev-discuss.net/gmd-2019-92/
  • Radchuk V, Reed T, Teplitsky C, van de Pol M, Charmantier A, Hassall C, Adamík P, Adriaensen F, Ahola M P, Arcese P, Avilés J M, Balbontin J, Berg K S, Borras A, Burthe S, Clobert J, Dehnhard N, de Lope F, Dhondt A A, Dingemanse N J, Doi H, Eeva T, Fickel J, Filella I, Fossøy F, Goodenough A E, Hall S J G, Hansson B, Harris M, Hasselquist D, Hickler T, Joshi J, Kharouba H, Martínez J G, Mihoub J B, Mills J A, Molina-Morales M, Moksnes A, Ozgul A, Parejo D, Pilard P, Poisbleau M, Rousset F, Rödel M O, Scott D, Senar J C, Stefanescu C, Stokke B G, Tamotsu K, Tarka M, Tarwater C E, Thonicke K, Thorley J, Wilting A, Tryjanowski P, Merilä J, Sheldon B, Møller A P, Matthysen E, Janzen F, Dobson S, Visser M E, Beissinger S R, Courtiol A,  Kramer-Schadt S (2019) Adaptive responses of animals to climate change are most likely insufficient. Nature Communications, 10(1), 10.1038/s41467-019-10924-4
  • Radchuk, V., Laender, F., Cabral, J. S., Boulangeat, I., Crawford, M., Bohn, F., Raedt, J., Scherer, C., Svenning, J. C., Thonicke, K., Schurr, F. M., Grimm, V., and Kramer-Schadt, S. (2019) The dimensionality of stability depends on disturbance type, Ecol Lett, 22, 674-684, 10.1111/ele.13226.
  • Lutz, F., Herzfeld, T., Heinke, J., Rolinski, S., Schaphoff, S., von Bloh, W., Stoorvogel, J. J., & Müller, C. (2019). Simulating the effect of tillage practices with the global ecosystem model LPJmL (version 5.0-tillage). Geoscientific Model Development, 12(6), 2419-2440. doi:10.5194/gmd-12-2419-2019.
  • Biemans, H., Siderius, C., Lutz, A. F., Nepal, S., Ahmad, B., Hassan, T., von Bloh, W., Wijngaard, R. R., Wester, P., Shrestha, A. B., & Immerzeel, W. W. (2019). Importance of snow and glacier meltwater for agriculture on the Indo-Gangetic Plain. Nature Sustainability, 2(7), 594-601. doi:10.1038/s41893-019-0305-3.
  • Eisenack K, Villamayor-Tomas S, Epstein G, Kimmich C, magliocca N, Manuel-Navarrete D, Oberlack C, Roggero M, Sietz D (2019) Design and quality criteria for archetype analysis. Accepted for Ecology and Society.
  • Oberlack C, Sietz D, Bonanomi E B, de Bremond A, Dell'Angelo J, Eisenack K, Ellis E, Epstein G, Giger M, Heinimann A, Kimmich C, Kok M, Manuel-Navarrete D, Messerli P, Meyfroidt P, Vaclavik T, Villamayor-Tomas S (2019) Archetype analysis in sustainability research: meanings, motivations, and evidence-based policy making. Accepted for Ecology and Society.

Papers published in 2018

  • Müller-Hansen F, Heitzig J, Donges J F, Cardoso M F, Dalla-Nora E L, Andrade P, Kurths J, Thonicke K (2018) Can intensification of cattle ranching reduce deforestation in the Amazon? Insights from an agent-based social-ecological model. Ecological Economics, published online, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2018.12.025
  • Radchuk V, De Laender F, Sarmento Cabral J, Boulangeat I, Crawford M, Bohn F, De Raedt J, Scherer C, Svenning J-C, Thonicke K, Schurr F, Grimm V, Kramer-Schadt S (2018) The dimensionality of stability depends on disturbance type. Ecology Letters, published online https://doi.org/10.1111/ele.13226
  • Rammig A, Heinke J, Hofhansl F, Verbeeck H, Baker T R, Christoffersen B, Ciais P, De Deurwaerder H, Fleischer K, Galbraith D, Guimberteau M, Huth A, Johnson M, Krujit B, Langerwisch F, Meir P, Papastefanou P, Sampaio G, Thonicke K, von Randow C, Zang C, Röding E (2018) A generic pixel-to-point comparison for simulated large-scale ecosystem properties and ground-based observations: an example from the Amazon region. Geoscientific Model Development, published online, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-5203-2018
  • Petoukhov V, Petri S, Kornhuber K, Thonicke K, Coumou D, Schellnhuber H J (2018) Alberta wildfire 2016: Apt contribution from anomalous planetary wave dynamics. Scientific Reports, published online, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-30812-z
  • von Bloh W, Schaphoff S, Müller C, Rolinski S, Waha K, Zaehle S (2018) Implementing the nitrogen cycle into the dynamic global vegetation, hydrology, and crop growth model LPJmL (version 5.0). Geoscientific Model Development, published online, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-2789-2018
  • Marengo J A, Souza C A, Thonicke K, Burton C, Halladay K, Betts R, Alves L M, Soares W R (2018) Changes in climate and land use over the Amazon Region: current and future variability and trends. Frontiers in Earth Sciences, section Interdisciplinary Climate Studies, published online, https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2018.00228
  • Quijas S, Boit A, Thonicke K, Murray-Tortarolo G, Mwampamba T, Skutsch M, Simoes M, Ascarrunz N, Pena-Claros M, Jones L, Arets E, Jaramillo V J, Lazos E, Toledo M, Martorano L G, Ferraz R, Balvanera P (2018) Modelling carbon stock and carbon sequestration ecosystem services for policy design: a comprehensive approach using a dynamic vegetation model. Ecosystems and People 15, 1, published online, 10.1080/26395908.2018.1542413
  • Cholo T C, Fleskens L, Sietz D, Peerlings J (2018) Is land fragmentation facilitating or obstructing adoption of climate adaptation measures in Ethiopia? Sustainability,10,2120, published online, 10.3390/su10072120
  • Sippel S, El-Madany T S, Migliavacca M, Mahecha M D, Carrara A, Flach M, Kaminski T, Otto F E L, Thonicke K, Vossbeck M, Reichstein M (2018) Warm winter, wet spring, and an extreme response in ecosystem functioning on the Iberian Peninsula. Bulletin of the American meteorologicla Society, 99, 1, published online, 10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0135.1
  • Rolinski S, Müller C, Heinke J, Weindl I, Biewald A, Bodirsky B L, Bondeau A, Boons-Prins E R, Bouwman A F, Leffelaar P A, te Roller J A, Schaphoff S, Thonicke K (2018) Modeling vegetation and carbon dynamics of managed grasslands at the global scale with LPJmL 3.6 Geoscientific Model Development, 11, 1, published online, 10.5194/gmd-11-429-2018
  • Weng W, Luedeke M K B, Zemp D C, Lakes T, Kropp J P (2018) Aerial and surface rivers: downwind impacts on water availability from land use changes in Amazonia. Hydrology nad Earth System Sciences, 22,1, published online, 10.5194/hess-22-911-2018
  • Ciemer C, Boers N, Barbosa H M J, Kurths J, Rammig A (2018) Temporal evolution of the spatial covariability of rainfall in South America. Climate Dynamics, published online, 10.1007/s00382-017-3929-x
  • Rödig E, Cuntz M, Rammig A, Fischer R, Taubert F, Huth A (2018) The importance of forest structure for carbon fluxes of the Amazon rainforest. Environmental Research Letters, 13, 054013, published online, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aabc61
  • Schaphoff S, Forkel M, Müller C, Knauer J, Bloh W von, Gerten D, Jägermeyr J, Lucht W, Rammig A, Thonicke K, Waha K (2018) LPJmL4 - a dynamic global vegetation model with managed land - Part 2: Model evaluation. Geoscientific Model Development, published online, 10.5194/gmd-11-1377-2018
  • Schaphoff S, Bloh W von, Rammig A, Thonicke K, Biemans H, Forkel M, Gerten D, Heinke J, Jägermeyr J, Knauer J, Langerwisch F, Lucht W, Müller C, Rolinski S, Waha K (2018) LPJmL4 - a dynamic global vegetation model with managed land - Part 1: Model description. Geoscientific Model Development, published online, 10.5194/gmd-11-1343-2018
  • Spangenberg JH, Beaurepaire A, Bergmeier E, Burkhard B, Chien HV, Cuong LQ, Görg C, Grescho V, Hai LH, Heong KL, Horgan FG, Hotes S, Klotzbücher A, Klotzbücher T, Kühn I, Langerwisch F, Marion G, Moritz RFA, Nguyen QA, Ott J, Sann C, Sattler C, Schädler M, Schmidt A, Tekken V, Thanh TD, Thonicke K, Türke M, Václavík T, Vetterlein D, Westphal C, Wiemers M, Settele J (2018) The LEGATO cross‑disciplinary integrated ecosystem service research framework: an example of integrating research results from the analysis of global change impacts and the social, cultural and economic system dynamics of irrigated rice production. Paddy and Water Environment, open access, doi:10.1007/s10333-017-0628-5
  • Settele J, Heong K L, Kuhn I, Klotz S, Spangenberg J H, Arida G, Beaurepaire A, Beck S, Bergmeier E, Burkhard B, Brandl R, Bustamante J V, Butler A, Cabbigat J, Le X C, Catindig J L A, Ho V C, Le Q C, Dang K B, Escalada M, Dominik C, Franzen M, Fried O, Gorg C, Grescho V, Grossmann S, Gurr G M, Hadi B A R, Le H H, Harpke A, Hass A L, Hirneisen N, Horgan F G, Hotes S, Isoda Y, Jahn R, Kettle H, Klotzbucher A, Klotzbucher T, Langerwisch F, Loke W H, Lin Y P, Lu Z X, Lum K Y, Magcale-Macandog D B, Marion G, Marquez L, Muller F, Nguyen M, Nguyen Q A, Nguyen V S, Ott J, Penev L, Pham H T, Radermacher N, Rodriguez-Labajos B, Sann C, Sattler C, Schadler M, Scheu S, Schmidt A, Schrader J, Schweiger O, Seppelt R, Soitong K, Stoev P, Stoll-Kleemann S,Tekken V, Thonicke K, Tilliger B, Tobias K, Trisyono Y A, Dao T T, Tscharntke T, Le Q T, Turke M, Vaclavik T, Vetterlein D, Villareal S, Vu K C, Vu Q, Weisser W W, Westphal C, Zhu Z R, Wiemers M (2018) Rice ecosystem services in South-east Asia. Paddy and Water Environment, published online, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10333-018-0656-9

Papers published in 2017

  • Reyer C P O, Adams S, Albrecht T, Baarsch F, Boit A, Trujillo N C, Cartsburg M, Coumou D, Eden A, Fernandes E, Langerwisch F, Marcus R, Mengel M, Mira-Salama D, Perette M, Pereznieto P, Rammig A, Reinhardt J, Robinson A, Rocha M, Sakschewski B, Schaeffer M, Schleussner C-F, Serdeczny O, Thonicke K (2017) Climate change impacts in Latin America and the Caribbean and their implications for development. Regional Environmental Change,17,6,frist online 2015, published online 10.1007/s10113-015-0854-6
  • Langerwisch F, Vaclavik T, Bloh W von, Vetter T, Thonicke K (2017) Combined effects of climate and land-use change on the provision of ecosystem services in rice agro-ecosystems. Environmental Research Letters, 13, 015003, published online, 10.1088/1748-9326/aa954d 
  • Glade T, Hoffmann P, Thonicke K (2017) Dürre, Waldbrände, gravitative Massenbewegungen und andere klimarelevante Naturgefahren. Klimawandel in Deutschland, published online, 10.1007/978-3-662-50397-3_12
  • Donges J F, Lucht W, Müller-Hansen F, Steffen W (2017) The technosphere in Earth System analysis: A coevolutionary perspective. The Anthropocene Review,4,1, published online, 10.1177/2053019616676608
  • Müller-Hansen F, Schlüter M, Mäs M, Donges J F, Kolb J J, Thonicke K, Heitzig J (2017) Towards representing human behavior and decision making in Earth system models - an overview of techniques and approaches. Earth System Dynamics,8,4, published online, 10.5194/esd-8-977-2017
  • Sande M T, van der Poorter L, Balvanera P, Kooistra L, Thonicke K, Boit A, Dutrieux L P, Equihua J, Gerard F, Herold M, Kolb M, Simões M, Peña-Claros M (2017) The integration of empirical, remote sensing and modelling approaches enhances insight in the role of biodiversity in climate change mitigation by tropical forests. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, 26-27, published online, 10.1016/j.cosust.2017.01.016
  • Frieler K, Lange S, Piontek F, Reyer C P O, Schewe J, Warszawski L, Zhao F, Chini L, Denvil S, Emanuel K, Geiger T, Halladay K, Hurtt G, Mengel M, Murakami D, Ostberg S, Popp A, Riva R, Stevanovic M, Suzuki T, Volkholz J, Burke E, Ciais P, Ebi K, Eddy T D, Elliott J, Galbraith E, Gosling S N, Hattermann F, Hickler T, Hinkel J, Hof C, Huber V, Jägermeyr J, Krysanova V, Marcé R, Müller Schmied H, Mouratiadou I, Pierson D, Tittensor D P, Vautard R, Vliet M, van Biber M F, Betts R A, Bodirsky B L, Deryng D, Frolking S, Jones C D, Lotze H K, Lotze-Campen H, Sahajpal R, Thonicke K, Tian H, Yamagata Y (2017) Assessing the impacts of 1.5 °C global warming - simulation protocol of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP2b) Geoscientific Model Development, 10, 12, published online, 10.5194/gmd-10-4321-2017
  • Müller-Hansen F, Cardoso M F, Dalla-Nora E L, Donges J F, Heitzig J, Kurths J, Thonicke K (2017) A matrix clustering method to explore patterns of land-cover transitions in satellite-derived maps of the Brazilian Amazon. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 24, 1, published online, 10.5194/npg-24-113-2017
  • Rödig E, Cuntz M, Heinke J, Rammig A, Huth A (2017) Spatial heterogeneity of biomass and forest structure of the Amazon rain forest: Linking remote sensing, forest modelling and field inventory. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 26, 11, published online, 10.1111/geb.12639
  • Sippel S, Forkel M, Rammig A, Thonicke K, Flach M, Heimann M, Otto F E L, Reichstein M, Mahecha M D (2018) Contrasting and interacting changes in simulated spring and summer carbon cycle extremes in European ecosystems. Environmental Research Letters,12,075006, published online, 10.1088/1748-9326/aa7398
  • Mahecha M D, Gans F, Sippel S, Donges J F, Kaminski T, Metzger S, Migliavacca M, Papale D, Rammig A, Zscheischler J (2017) Detecting impacts of extreme events with ecological in-situ monitoring networks Biogeosciences, 14, 18, published online, 10.5194/bg-14-4255-2017
  • Guimberteau M, Ciais P, Ducharne A, Boisier J P, Dutra Aguiar A P, Biemans H, De Deurwaerder H, Galbraith D, Kruijt B, Langerwisch F, Poveda G, Rammig A, Rodriguez D A, Tejada G, Thonicke K, Von Randow C, Von Randow R C S, Zhang K, Verbeeck H (2017) Impacts of future deforestation and climate change on the hydrology of the Amazon Basin: a multi-model analysis with a new set of land-cover change scenarios. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 21, 3, published online, 10.5194/hess-21-1455-2017
  • Van der Sande, MT, Poorter L, Kooistra L,  Balvanera P, Thonicke K, Thompson J, Arets EJMM, Alaniz NG, Jones L, Mora F, Mwampamba TH, Parr T, Pen-Claros M (2017), Biodiversity in species, traits, and structure determines carbon stocks and uptake in tropical forests. Biotropica, published online, doi:10.1111/btp.12453
  • Zemp DC, Schleussner C-F, Barbosa HMJ, Rammig A (2017), Deforestation effects on Amazon forest resilience. Geophysical Research Letters, published online, doi:10.1002/2017GL072955
  • Zemp DC, Schleussner C-F, Barbosa HMJ, Hirota M, Sampaio G, Staal A, Wang-Erlandsson L, Rammig A (2017), Self-amplified Amazon forest loss due to vegetation-atmosphere feedbacks. Nature Communications, pubished online, doi:10.1038/NCOMMS14681
  • Forkel M, Dorigo W, Lasslop G, Teubner I, Chuvieco E and Thonicke K (2017), A data-driven approach to identify controls on global fire activity from satellite and climate observations (SOFIA V1). Geosci. Model Dev., 10, 4443-4476, doi:10.5194/gmd-10-4443-2017

Papers published in 2016

  • Fader M, Shi S, Bloh W von, Bondeau A, Cramer W (2016) Mediterranean irrigation under climate change: more efficient irrigation needed to compensate for increases in irrigation water requirements. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 20, 2, published online, 10.5194/hess-20-953-2016
  • Müller C, Stehfest E, Minnen J G, van Strengers B, Bloh W von, Beusen A, Schaphoff S, Kram T, Lucht W (2016) Drivers and patterns of land biosphere carbon balance reversal. Environmental Research Letters, 11, 044002, published online, 10.1088/1748-9326/11/4/044002
  • Boit A, Sakschewski B, Boysen L, Cano-Crespo A, Clement J, Alaniz NG, Kok K, Kolb M, Langerwisch F, Rammig A, Sachse R, van Eupen M, von Bloh W, Zemp D and Thonicke K (2016), Large-scale impact of climate change versus land-use change on future biome shifts in Latin America. Glob Change Biol., available online and as pre-print. doi:10.1111/gcb.13355
  • Johnson M, Galbraith D, Gloor M, De Deurwaerder H, Guimberteau M, Rammig A, Thonicke K, Verbeeck H, von Randow C, Monteagudo A, Phillips O, Brienen R, Feldpausch T, Lopez-Gonzalez G, Quesada C, Christoffersen B, Ciais P, Sampaio G, Kruijt B, Meir P, Moorcroft P, Zhang K, Alvarez E, Alves de Oliveira A, Amaral I, Segalin A, Aragão L, Araujo-Murukami A, Arets E, Arroyo L, Aymard G, Baraloto C,Barroso J, Bonal D, Boot R,Camargo JL, Chave J, Cogollo A, Cornejo F, Lola da Costa A, DiFiore A, Higuchi N, Honorio E, Killeen T, Laurance W, Laurance S, Licona JC, Lovejoy T, Malhi Y, Marimon B, Marimon BH, Mendoza C, Neill D, Pardo G, Pena Claros M, Pitman N, Poorter L, Prieto A, Ramirez-Angulo H, Roopsind A, Rudas A, Salamao R, Silveira M, Stropp J, ter Steege H, Terbourgh J, Thomas R, Toledo M, Torres Lezama A, van der Heijden G, Vasquez R, Vieira IC, Vilanova E, Vos V, Baker T 2016 Variation in stem mortality rates determines patterns of aboveground biomass in Amazonian forests: implications for dynamic global vegetation models, Global Change Biology, available online and as pre-print, doi: 10.1111/gcb.13315
  • Sakschewski B, von Bloh W, Boit A, Poorter L,Peña-Claros M, Heinke J, Joshi J, Thonicke K (2016), Resilience of Amazon forests emerges from plant trait diversity, Nature Climate Change, available online, doi:10.1038/nclimate3109
  • Langerwisch F, Walz A, Rammig A, Tietjen B, Thonicke K, and Cramer W 2016 Deforestation in Amazonia impacts riverine carbon dynamics, Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 953-968, doi:10.5194/esd-7-953-2016
  • Stone D, Hansen G 2016 Rapid systematic assessment of the detection and attribution of regional anthropogenic climate change. Climate Dynamics 47(5), doi: 10.1007/s00382-015-2909-2.
  • Sippel S, Otto FEL, Forkel M, Allen MR, Guillod BP, Heimann M, Reichstein M, Seneviratne SI, Thonicke K, Mahecha MD 2016 A novel bias correction methodology for climate impact simulations, Earth System Dynamics, 7 (1):71-88, doi:10.5194/esd-7-71-2016
  • Kuparinen A, Boit A, Valdovinos FS, Lassaux H, Martinez ND 2016 Fishing-induced life-history changes degrade and destabilize harvested ecosystems, Scientific Reports 6, 22245, doi:10.1038/srep22245
  • Norby R J, De Kauwe MG, Domingues TF, Duursma RA, Ellsworth DS, Goll DS, Lapola DM, Luus KA, Mackenzie AR, Medlyn BE, Pavlick R, Rammig A, Smith B, Thomas R, Thonicke K, Walker AP, Yang X, Zaehle S 2016 Model-data synthesis for the next generation of forest FACE experiments, New Phytologist, doi: 10.1111/nph.13593
  • Lehsten V, Arneth A, Spessa A, Thonicke K, Moustakas A 2016 The effect of fire on tree-grass coexistence in savannas: a simulation study, International Journal of Wildland Fire, published online, doi:10.1071/WF14205
  • Forkel M, Carvalhais N, Rödenbeck C, Keeling R, Heimann M, Thonicke K, Zaehle S, Reichstein M 2016 Enhanced seasonal CO2 exchange caused by amplification of plant productivity in the northern biosphere, Science, doi:10.1126/science.aac4971
  • Hansen G, Stone D 2016 Assessing the observed impact of anthropogenic climate change, Nature Climate Change, published online, doi:10.1038/nclimate2896
  • Hansen G, Stone D, Auffhammer M, Huggel C, Cramer W 2016 Linking local impacts to changes in climate: a guide to attribution, Regional Environmental Change, Volume 16, Issue 2, pp 527-541, doi:10.1007/s10113-015-0760-y
  • Langerwisch F, Walz A, Rammig A, Tietjen B, Thonicke K, Cramer W (2016), Climate change increases riverine carbon outgassing, while export to the ocean remains uncertain, Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 559-582, doi:10.5194/esd-7-559-2016, available online.
  • Václavík T, Langerwisch F, Cotter M, Fick J, Häuser I, Hotes S, Kamp J, Settele J, Spangenberg JH, Seppelt R (2016) Investigating potential transferability of place-based research in land system science. Environmental Research Letters, 11, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/11/9/095002.

2015: Nature Interview with Anja Rammig

  • Turning Point: Anja Rammig. How an ecosystem modeller adjusted to a tenure track through research, teaching and outreach (2015) Nature, 525, 149 (03 September 2015), doi:10.1038/nj7567-149a, published online 02 September 2015

Papers published in 2015

  • Wu M, Knorr W, Thonicke K, Schurgers G, Camia A, Arneth A 2015 Sensitivity of burned area in Europe to climate change, atmospheric CO2 levels, and demography: A comparison of two fire-vegetation models. JGR-Biogeosciences 2015, doi: 10.1002/2015JG003036
  • Cano-Crespo A, Oliveira PJC, Boit A, Cardoso M, Thonicke K 2015 Forest edge burning in the Brazilian Amazon promoted by escaping fires from managed pastures, JGR-Biogeosciences, 120:2095-2107, doi:10.1002/2015JG002914
  • Pachzelt A, Forrest M, Rammig A, Higgins S I, Hickler T 2015 Potential Impact of large ungulate grazers on African vegetation, carbon storage and fire regimes, Global Ecology and Biogeography,  doi:10.1111/geb.12313
  • Evangeliou N, Balkanski Y, Cozic A, Hao WM, Mouillot F, Thonicke K, Paugam R, Zibtsev S, Mousseau TA, Wang R, Poulter B, Petkov A, Yue C, Cadule P, Koffi B, Kaiser JW, P. Møller A 2015 Fire evolution in the radioactive forests of Ukraine and Belarus: Future risks for the population and the environment, Ecological Monographs, 85(1):49–72, doi:10.1890/14-1227.1
  • Frank D, Reichstein M, Bahn M, Thonicke K, Frank D, Mahecha M, Smith P,Van der Velde M, Vicca S, Babst F, Beer C, Buchmann N, Canadell J, Ciais P, Cramer W, Ibrom A, Miglietta F, Poulter B, Rammig A, Seneviratne S, Walz A, Wattenbach M, Zavala M, Zscheischler J 2015 Effects of climate extremes on the terrestrial carbon cycle: concepts, observations and global implications, Global Change Biology, 21:2861-2880, doi:10.1111/gcb.12916 - Paper is one of 2015’s 15 most-downloaded, according to Web of Science !
  • Forkel M, Migliavacca M, Thonicke K, Reichstein M, Schaphoff S, Weber U, Carvalhais N 2015 Codominant water control on global interannual variability and trends in land surface phenology and greenness, Global Change Biology, 21, 3414–3435, doi:10.1111/gcb.12950
  • Hansen G, Cramer W 2015 Global distribution of observed climate change impacts, Nature Climate Change, Commentary, 5:182-185, doi:10.1038/nclimate2529
  • Karp DS, Tallis H, Sachse R, Halpern B, Thonicke K, Cramer W, Mooney H, Polasky S, Tietjen B, Waha K, Walz A, Wolny S 2015 National indicators for observing ecosystem service change, Global Environmental Change, 35:12-21, doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.07.014
  • Poorter L, van der Sande MGT, Thompson J, Arets EJMM, Alarcón A, Álvarez-Sánchez J, Ascarrunz N, Balvanera P, Barajas-Guzmán G, Boit A, Bongers F, Carvalho FA, Casanoves F, Cornejo-Tenorio G, Costa FRC, de Castilho CV, Duivenvoorden JF, Dutrieux LP, Enquist BJ, Fernández-Méndez F, Finegan B, Gormley LHL, Healey JR, Hoosbeek MR, Ibarra-Manriquez G, Junqueira AB, Levis C, Licona JC, Lisboa LS, Magnusson WE, Martinez-Ramos M, Martinez-Yrizar A, Martorano LG, Maskell LC, Mazzer L, Meave JA, Mora F, Muños R, Nytch C, Pansonato MP, Parr TW, Paz H, Simoes Penello M, Pérez-Garcia EA, Renteria LY, Rodriguez-Velazquez J, Rozendaal DMA, Ruschel AR, Sakschewski B, Salgado Negret B, Schietti J, Sinclair FL, Souza PF, Souza FC, Stropp J, Steege H, Swenson NG, Thonicke K, Toledo M, Uriarte M, van der Hout P, Walker P, Zamora N, Peña-Claros M 2015 Diversity enhances carbon storage in tropical forests, Global Ecology and Biogeography, 24(11), 1314–1328, doi: 10.1111/geb.12364.
  • Rammig A, Wiedermann M, Donges J, Babst F, von Bloh W, Frank D, Thonicke K, Mahecha M 2015 Coincidences of climate extremes and anomalous vegetation responses: comparing tree ring patterns to simulated productivity Biogeosciences, 12:373-385, doi:10.5194/bg-12-373-2015
  • Reyer CPO, Brouwers N, Rammig A, Brook BW, Epila J, Grant RF, Holmgren M, Langerwisch F, Leuzinger S, Lucht W, Medlyn B, Pfeifer M, Steinkamp J, Vanderwel MC, Verbeeck H, Villela DM 2015 Forest resilience and tipping points at different spatio-temporal scales: approaches and challenges, Journal of Ecology, 103(1):5-15, doi:10.1111/1365-2745.12337
  • Reyer CPO, Rammig A, Brouwers N, Langerwisch F, 2015 Forest resilience, tipping points and global change processes, Journal of Ecology, 103(1):1-4, doi:10.1111/1365-2745.12342
  • Rolinski S, Rammig A, Walz A, von Bloh W, van Oijen M, Thonicke K 2015 A probabilistic risk assessment for the vulnerability of the European carbon cycle to weather extremes: the ecosystem perspective, Biogeosciences, 12: 1813-1831, doi:10.5194/bg-12-1813-2015
  • Sakschewski B, von Bloh W, Boit A, Rammig A, Kattge J, Poorter L, Peñuelas J, Thonicke K 2015 Leaf and stem economics spectra drive diversity of functional plant traits in a dynamic global vegetation model, Global Change Biology, 21:2711-2725, doi: 10.1111/gcb.12870
  • Yue C, Ciais P, Cadule P, Thonicke K, van Leeuven TT 2015 Modelling the role of fires in the terrestrial carbon balance by incorporating SPITFIRE into the global vegetation model ORCHIDEE – Part 2: Carbon emissions and the role of fires in the global carbon balance, Geosci. Model Dev., 8:1321-1338, doi:10.5194/gmd-8-1321-2015

Peer-reviewed, non-ISI-Paper in 2015

Selected Highlight of the Year 2014 by EPL

Papers published in 2014

  • Cady LP, Brack A, Bueno Pinto JE, Cockell C, Horneck G, Kasting JF, Lineweaver CH, Raulin F, Schopf JW, Sleep N, von Bloh W, Westall F, Deamer D, Lehman N, Perez-Mercader J 2014 Where Do We Go from Here? Astrobiology Editorial Board Opinions. Astrobiology, 14:629-644, doi 10.1089/ast.2014.1405
  • Forkel M, Carvalhais N, Schaphoff S, v. Bloh W , Migliavacca M, Thurner M, Thonicke K 2014 Identifying environmental controls on vegetation greenness phenology through model–data integration, Biogeosciences, 11:7025-7050, doi:10.5194/bg-11-7025-2014
  • Kuemmerle T, Baskin L, Leitão PJ, Prishchepov AV, Thonicke K 2014 Potential impacts of oil and gas development and climate change on migratory reindeer calving grounds across the Russian Arctic. Diversity and Distributions, 20:416-429, doi 10.1111/ddi.12167
  • Lasslop G, Thonicke K, Kloster S 2014 SPITFIRE within the MPI Earth system model: Model development and evaluation, Journal of Advances in Modelling Earth Systems, 6:740-755, doi:10.1002/2013MS000284, open access.
  • Van Oijen M, Balkovič J, Beer C, Cameron D, Ciais P, Cramer W, Kato T, Kuhnert M, Martin R, Myneni R, Rammig A, Rolinski S, Soussana JF, Thonicke K, Van der Velde M, Xu L. 2014 Impact of droughts on the C-cycle in European vegetation: A probabilistic risk analysis using six vegetation models. Biogeosciences, 11: 6357-6375, doi:10.5194/bg-11-6357-2014, 2014
  • Sakschewski, B, von Bloh W, Huber V, Müller C, Bondeau A 2014 Feeding 10 billion people under climate change: How large is the production gap of current agricultural systems?. Ecol. Model., 288:103-111, doi:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2014.05.019
  • Yue C, Ciais P, Cadule P, Thonicke K, Archibald S, Poulter B, Hao WM, Hantson S, Mouillot F, Friedlingstein P, Maignan F, Viovy N. 2014 Modelling fires in the terrestrial carbon balance by incorporating SPITFIRE into the global vegetation model ORCHIDEE: Part 1. Simulating historical global burned area and fire regime. Geosci. Model Dev., 7: 2747-2767, doi:10.5194/gmd-7-2747-2014
  • Zemp DC, Schleussner C-F, Barbosa HMJ, Van der Ent RJ, Donges JF, Heinke J, Sampaio G, Rammig A 2014 On the importance of cascading moisture recycling in South America, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 14:13337-13359, doi:10.5194/acp-14-13337-2014
  • Zscheischler J, Reichstein M, Harmeling S, Rammig A, Tomelleri E, Mahecha M,  2014 Extreme events in gross primary production: a characterization across continents, Biogeosciences, 11:2909-2924, doi:10.5194/bg-11-2909-2014
  • Zscheischler J, Mahecha M, von Buttlar J, Harmeling S, Jung M, Rammig A, Randerson J, Schölkopf B, Seneviratne S, Tomelleri E, Zaehle S, Reichstein M 2014 A few extreme events dominate global interannual variability in gross primary production. Environmental Research Letters, 9: 035001, doi 10.1088/1748-9326/9/3/035001

Special Report published in 2014

    • World Bank Report: Turn Down the Heat. Confronting the New Climate Normal 2014. With contributions from Boit A, Sakschewski B, Thonicke K: Chapter 3.4.4 Climate Change Impacts on Biodiversity, 70p; Langerwisch F, Rammig A, Thonicke K: Chapter 3.4.5 Amazon Rainforest Dieback and Tipping Point, 72p, Washington, DC, 275p
    • Pompe S, Hansbach J, Badeck F-W, Klotz S, Bruelheide H, Kühn I 2014 Using ecological and life-history characteristics for projecting species' responses to climate change. Frontiers of Biogeography, 6:119-131
    • Walpole M, Balvanera P with contributions from Butchard S, Halpern B, Ingwall-King L, Karp D, van Kolck J, Quijas S, Reyers B, Romanelli C, Sachse R, Thonicke K, Tierney M, Tietjen B, Walz A 2014 Target 14: Ecosystems that provide essential services. PROGRESS TOWARDS THE AICHI BIODIVERSITY TARGETS - An assessment of biodiversity trends, policy scenarios and key actions, Montreal, Canada: Secretariat of the Convention on Biological Diversity, 327-360

Papers published in 2013

    • Pachzelt A, Rammig A, Higgins S, Hickler T 2013 Coupling a Physiological Grazer Population Model with a Generalized Model for Vegetation Dynamics. Ecological Modelling, 263:92-102, doi 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2013.04.025
    • Dáithí S, Auffhammer M, Carey M, Hansen G, Huggel C, Cramer W, Lobell D, Molau U, Solow A, Tibig L, Yohe G 2013 The challenge to detect and attribute effects of climate change on human and natural systems. Climatic Change, 121:381-395, doi 10.1007/s10584-013-0873-6
    • Huggel C, Stone D, Auffhammer M, Hansen G 2013 Loss and damage attribution. Nature Climate Change, 3:694–696, doi 10.1038/nclimate1961
    • Reichstein M, Bahn M, Ciais P, Frank D, Mahecha MD, Seneviratne SI, Zscheischler J, Beer C, Buchmann N, Frank DC, Papale D, Rammig A, Smith P, Thonicke K, van der Velde M, Vicca S, Walz A, Wattenbach M 2013 Climate extremes and the carbon cycle. Nature, 500:287–295, doi 10.1038/nature12350
    • Langerwisch F, Rost S, Gerten D, Poulter B2, Rammig A, Cramer W1 2013 Potential effects of climate change on inundation patterns in the Amazon basin. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Science, 17:2247-2262, doi:10.5194/hess-17-2247-2013
    • Joos F, Roth R, Fuglestvedt JS, Peters GP, Enting IG, von Bloh W, Brovkin V, Burke EJ, Eby M, Edwards NR, Friedrich T, Frölicher TL, Halloran PR, Holden PB, Jones C, Kleinen T, Mackenzie FT, Matsumoto K, Meinshausen M, Plattner G-K, Reisinger A., Segschneider J., Shaffer G., Steinacher M, Strassmann K, Tanaka K., Timmermann A, Weaver AJ 2013 Carbon dioxide and climate impulse response functions for the computation of greenhouse gas metrics: a multi-model analysis. Atmos. Chem. Phys., doi:10.5194/acp-13-2793-2013
    • Meyn A, Schmidtlein S, Taylor SW, Girardin MP, Thonicke K, Cramer C 2013 Precipitation-driven decrease in wildfires in British Columbia. Reg. Environ. Change, doi:10.1007/s10113-012-0319-0
    • van Oijen M, Beer C, Cramer W, Rammig A, Reichstein M, Rolinski S & Soussana J-F 2013 A novel probabilistic risk analysis to determine the vulnerability of ecosystems to extreme climatic events. Environmental Research Letters 8:015032, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/015032

Book Chapters published in 2013

          • Spessa A, van der Werf G, Thonicke K, Gomez Dans J, Lehsten V, Fisher R, Forrest M, 2013 Modeling Vegetation Fires and Fire Emissions. In: Goldammer JG. Eds. Vegetation Fires and Global Change – Challenges for Concerted International Action. A White Paper directed to the United Nations and International Organizations, pp. 181-207, A publication of the Global Fire Monitoring Center (GFMC) © Kessel Publishing House, ISBN 978-3-941300-78-1
          • Haas W,  Singh SJ, Reiter K, Erschbamer B, Walz A 2013 Integrated Monitoring and Sustainability Assessment in the Tyrolean Alps: Experiences in Transdisciplinarity. In: Singh, S.J., Haberl, H., Chertow, M., Mirtl, M., and M. Schmid. Eds. Long-term Socio-ecological Research: Studies in Society: Nature Interactions Across Spatial and Temporal Scales, 588 pp. Online Book Access

Papers published in 2012

          • Esther A, Groeneveld J, Enright NJ, Miller BP, Lamont BB, Perry GLW, Tietjen B, Jeltsch F 2012 Low-dimensional trade-offs fail to explain richness and structure in species-rich plant communities. Theoretical Ecology 4:495–511, doi:10.1007/s12080-010-0092-y
          • Alix-Garcia J, Kuemmerle T, Radeloff VC 2012 Prices, land tenure institutions, and geography: A matching analysis of farmland abandonment in post-Socialist Eastern Europe. Land Economics 88(3):425-443, doi:10.1353/lde.2012.0041
          • Gavier-Pizarro GI, Kuemmerle T, Hoyos LE, Stewart SI, Huebner CD, Keuler NS, Radeloff VC 2012 Monitoring the invasion of an exotic tree (Ligustrum lucidum) from 1983 to 2006 with Landsat satellite data and a support vector machine in Córdoba, Argentina. Remote Sensing of Environment 122:134–145, doi:10.1016/j.rse.2011.09.023
          • Reyer C, Leuzinger S, Rammig A, Wolf A et al. 2012 A plant’s perspective of extremes: Terrestrial plant responses to changing climatic variability. Global Change Biology 19:75–89, doi: 10.1111/gcb.12023
          • Tallis H, Mooney M, Andelman S, Balvanera P, Cramer W, Karp D, Polasky S, Reyers B, Ricketts T, Running S, Thonicke K, Tietjen B & Walz A 2012 A Global System for Monitoring Ecosystem Service Change. BioScience 62:977-986, doi:10.1525/bio.2012.62.11.7
          • Forkel M, Thonicke K, Beer C, Cramer W, Bartalev S & Schmullius C 2012 Extreme fire events are related to previous-year surface moisture conditions in permafrost-underlain larch forests of Siberia. Environmental Research Letters 7:044021, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/7/4/044021
          • Ziółkowska E, Ostapowicz K, Kuemmerle T, Perzanowski K, Radeloff VC & Kozak J 2012 Potential habitat connectivity of European bison (Bison bonasus) in the Carpathians. Biological Conservation 146:188-196
          • Rounsevell MDA, Pedroli B, Erb K-H, Gramberger M, Gravsholt Busck A, Haberl H, Kristensen S, Kuemmerle T, Lavorel S, Lindner M, Lotze-Campen H, Metzger MJ, Murray-Rust D, Popp A, Pérez-Soba M, Reenberg A, Vadineanu A, Verburg P, & Wolfslehner B 2012 Challenges for land system science: a European perspective. Land use Policy 29:899-910
          • Estes A, Kuemmerle T, Kushnir H, Radeloff VC & Shugart HH 2012 Land-cover change and human population trends in the Serengeti ecosystem, Tanzania from 1984-2003. Biological Conservation 147:255-263
          • Brandt J, Kuemmerle T, Haomin L, Guopeng R, Jianguo Z & Radeloff VC 2012 Using Landsat imagery to map forest change in southwest China in response to the national logging ban and ecotourism development. Remote Sensing of Environment 121:358-369
          • Griffiths P, Kuemmerle T, Kennedy RE, Abrudan IV, Knorn J, & Hostert P 2012 Using dense time-series of Landsat images to assess the effects of forest restitution in post-socialist Romania. Remote Sensing of Environment 118:199-214
          • von Wehrden H, Fischer J, Brandt P, Wagner K, Kümmerer K, Kuemmerle T, Nagel A, Olsson O & Hostert P 2012 The ecological consequences of nuclear accidents for biodiversity and ecosystem services. Conservation Letters, 5:81-89
          • Knorn J, Kuemmerle T, Szabo A, Mindrescu M, Keeton WS, Radeloff VC, Abrudan I, Griffiths P, Gancz V & Hostert P 2012 Forest restitution and the protected area effectiveness in post-socialist Romania. Biological Conservation, 146:204-212, doi:.10.1016/j.biocon.2011.12.020

Reports published in 2011

Papers published in 2011

Book chapters published in 2010

          • Jeltsch F, Blaum N, Classen N, Eschenbach A, Grohmann C, Gröngröft A, Joubert DF, Horn A, Lohmann D, Linsenmair KE, Lück-Vogel M, Medinski TV, Meyfarth S, Mills A, Petersen A, Popp A, Poschlod P, Reisch C, Rossmanith E, Rubilar H, Schütze S, Seymour C, Simmons R, Smit GN, Strohbach M, Tews J, Tietjen B, Wesuls D, Wichmann M, Wieczorek M & Zimmermann I 2010 Impacts of landuse and climate change on the dynamics and biodiversity in the Thornbush Savanna Biome. In: Hoffman MT, Schmiedel U and Jürgens N (eds) Biodiversity in southern Africa. Volume 3: Implications for landuse and management, pp. 33–74, Klaus Hess Publishers, Göttingen & Windhoek.
          • Jeltsch F, Blaum N, Lohmann D, Meyfarth S, Rossmanith E., Schütze S, Tews J, Tietjen B, Wichmann M & Wieczorek M 2010 Modelling vegetation change in arid and semi-arid savannas. In: Schmiedel U and Jürgens N (eds) Biodiversity in southern Africa. Volume 2: Patterns and processes at regional scale, pp. 274–282, Klaus Hess Publishers, Göttingen & Windhoek.
          • Jeltsch F, Tietjen B, Blaum N & Rossmanith E 2010 Population and ecosystem modeling of land use and climate change impacts on savanna dynamics. In: Hill MJ and Hanan NP   (eds) Ecosystem Function in Savannas, CRC Press. ISBN: 9781439804704, ISBN 10: 1439804702
          • Arneth A, Lehsten V, Thonicke K & Spessa A 2010 Climate–Fire Interactions and Savanna Ecosystems: A Dynamic Vegetation Modeling Study for the African Continent. In: Hill MJ and Hanan NP (eds) Ecosystem Function in Savannas: Measurement and Modeling at Landscape to Global Scales, pp. 463-478. CRC Press Taylor & Francis Group.
          • Freudenberger L, Schluck M, Hobson P, Sommer H, Cramer W, Barthlott & Ibisch PL 2010 A view on global patterns and interlinkages of biodiversity and human development. Empirical Background Paper B.1.1 in Ibisch PL, A Vega E & Hermann TM (eds.) 2010 Interdependence of biodiversity and global change. Technical Series No. 54, Secretariat of the Convention on Biological Diversity, Montreal, Canada, pp. 37-56 and 197-224
          • Schaber J, Badeck F-W1, Doktor D & von Bloh W 2010 Combining messy phenological time series. In: Hudson IL & Keatley MR (eds) Phenological Research: Methods for Environmental and Climate Change Analysis, pp. 147-158. Springer publishers. doi: 0.1007/978-90-481-3335-2_7
          • Vohland K1, Hickler T, Feehan J, Gumpenberger M, Araújo MB & Cramer W 2010 Priority Setting for Nature Conservation. In: Settele J et al. (Eds) Atlas of Biodiversity Risk, Pensoft publishers, 280 pp.
          • Hickler T, Vohland K1, Costa L, Cramer W, Miller PA, Smith B, Feehan J, Kühn I & Sykes MT 2010 Vegetation on the Move – Where do conservation strategies have to be redefined? In: Settele J et al. (Eds) Atlas of Biodiversity Risk, Pensoft publishers, 280 pp.
          • Vohland K1, Klotz S & Balzer S 2010 Ecological Networks as One Answer to Climate Change In: Settele J et al. (Eds) Atlas of Biodiversity Risk, Pensoft publishers, 280 pp.
          • Nagy L, Badeck FW1, Pompe S, Gottfried M, Pauli H & Grabherr G 2010 Is Atmospheric Nitrogen Deposition a Cause for Concern in Alpine Ecosystems? In: Settele J et al. (Eds) Atlas of Biodiversity Risk, Pensoft publishers, 280 pp.
          • Badeck FW1 & Sterzel T 2010 Nitrogen Deposition – a Major Risk for Biodiversity. In: Settele J et al. (Eds) Atlas of Biodiversity Risk, Pensoft publishers, 280 pp.

Papers published in 2010

Papers published in 2009

          • Badeck F-W1, Fontaine J-L, Dumas F & Ghashghaie J 2009 Consistent patterns in leaf lamina and leaf vein carbon isotope composition across ten herbs and tree species. Rapid Communications in Mass Spectrometry 23:2455-2460, doi: 10.1002/rcm.4054
          • Blaum N, Tietjen B & Rossmanith E 2009 Impact of livestock husbandry on small- and medium-sized carnivores in Kalahari savannah rangelands. Journal of Wildlife Management 73:60-67, doi: 10.2193/2008-034
          • Doktor D, Bondeau A, Koslowski D & Badeck F-W1 2009 Influence of heterogeneous landscapes on computed green-up dates based on daily AVHRR NDVI observations. Remote Sensing of Environment 113(12):2618-2632, doi: 10.1016/j.rse.2009.07.020
          • Holsten A, Vetter T, Vohland K & Krysanova V 2009 Impact of climate change on soil moisture dynamics in Brandenburg and consequences for nature conservation areas. Ecological Modelling (online), doi: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2009.04.038
          • Kuhlbrodt T, Rahmstorf S, Zickfeld K, Vikebø F, Sundby S, Hofmann M, Link PM, Bondeau A, Cramer W & Jaeger C 2009 An integrated assessment of changes in the thermohaline circulation. Climatic Change onlinefirst, doi: 10.1007/s10584-009-9561-y
          • Lehsten V, Tansey K, Balzter H, Thonicke K, Spessa A, Weber U, Smith B & Arneth A 2009 Estimating carbon emissions from African wildfires. Biogeosciences 6:349-360, www.biogeosciences.net/6/349/2009/
          • Poulter B, Aragao L, Heyder U, Gumpenberger M, Heinke J, Langerwisch F, Rammig A, Thonicke K, Cramer W 2009 Net biome production of the Amazon Basin in the 21st century. Global Change Biology 16:2062–2075, doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.02064.x
          • Poulter B2 & Cramer W 2009 Satellite remote sensing of tropical forest canopy dynamics. International Journal of Remote Sensing 30(24):6575-6590, doi: 10.1080/01431160903242005
          • Poulter B2, Feldman RL, Brinson MM, Horton BP, Orbach MK, Pearsall SH, Reyes E, Riggs SR & Whitehead JC 2009 Sea-level rise research and dialogue in North Carolina: Creating windows for policy change. Ocean & Coastal Management 52:147-153, doi: 10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2008.09.010
          • Poulter B2, Heyder U & Cramer W 2009 Modelling the sensitivity of the seasonal cycle of GPP to dynamic LAI and soil depths in tropical rainforests. Ecosystems 12:517-533, doi: 10.1007/s10021-009-9238-4
          • Poulter B2, Qian SS & Christensen NL 2009 Determinants of coastal treeline and the role of abiotic and biotic interactions. Plant Ecology 202:55-66, doi: 10.1007/s11258-008-9465-3
          • Rammig A & Fahse L 2009 Simulating forest succession after blowdown events: The crucial role of space for a realistic management. Ecological Modelling 220(24):3555-3564, doi: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2009.06.040
          • Tagesson T, Smith B, Löfgren A, Rammig A, Eklundh L & Lindroth A 2009 Estimating net primary production of Swedish forest landscapes by combining mechanistic modelling and remote sensing. Ambio 38:316-324
          • Tietjen B, Zehe E & Jeltsch F 2009 Simulating plant water availability in dry lands under climate change: A generic model of two soil layers. Water Resources Research 45, W01418, doi: 10.1029/2007WR006589
          • Vohland K & Barry B 2009 A review of in situ rainwater harvesting (RWH) practices modifying landscape functions in African drylands. Agriculture Ecosystems and & Environment 131:119-127, doi: 10.1016/j.agee.2009.01.010
          • Walther GR, Roques A, Hulme PE, Sykes MT, Pyšek P, Kühn I, Zobel M and members of the ALARM Climate Change – Biological Invasions Working Group (Bacher S, Botta-Dukát Z, Bugmann H, Czúcz B, Dauber J, Hickler T, Jarošík V, Kenis M, Klotz S, Minchin D, Moora M, Nentwig W, Ott J, Panov VE, Reineking B, Robinet C, Semenchenko V, Solarz W, Thuiller W, Vilà M, Vohland K, Settele J) 2009 Alien species in a warmer world - risks and opportunities. Trends in Ecology & Evolution 24(12):686-693, doi: 10.1016/j.tree.2009.06.008

 

1guest scientist in the Biodiversity Project

2previous member of the Biodiversity Project

Mahecha, M. D.; Gans, F.; Sippel, S.; Donges, J. F.; Kaminski, T.; Metzger, S.; Migliavacca, M.; Papale, D.; Rammig, A.; Zscheischler, J.

Detecting impacts of extreme events with ecological in-situ monitoring networks

Langerwisch, F. Vaclavik, T. Bloh, W. von Vetter, T. Thonicke, K.

Combined effects of climate and land-use change on the provision of ecosystem services in rice agro-ecosystems

In: Environmental Research Letters, 13 , 015003

10.1088/1748-9326/aa954d

Müller-Hansen, F. Cardoso, M. F. Dalla-Nora, E. L. Donges, J. F. Heitzig, J. Kurths, J. Thonicke, K.
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