The Indian Monsoon Forecast from PIK-Scientist Elena Surovyatkina differs fundamentally from forecasts of numerical weather and climate models. Its special feature is that it takes into account the entire transition period from pre-monsoon to the monsoon. "In some years, I observed that a dry spell commonly occurs after monsoon onset, forcing farmers to re-sow crops. However, once losing their investment in crops, poor farmers have no money to rebuy them. Hence, an unexpected dry spell leads to financial catastrophe for billion farmers", explains Surovyatkina, group leader for monsoon research within the B-EPICC project, which is part of the International Climate Initiative (IKI). Due to its great importance for farmers, her new forecast aims to account for the appearance of a dry spell period.
Read the full article on the PIK News Page.
More information on PIK's Indian Monsoon Forecast:
For further information please contact:
B-EPICC Project Management
E-Mail: epicc@pik-potsdam.de
https://www.pik-potsdam.de/epicc
