In this working group we explore how climate change impacts agricultural productivity and how improved agricultural management can help to make land-use systems more resilient against climate change. Management of pastureland and cropland strongly affects agricultural productivity, environmental impacts, and resource-use efficiencies. Agronomic aspects need to be better understood and represented in simulation models and future scenarios to allow for assessing climate change impacts and for exploring a range of adaptation options, e.g. crop variety choice or multiple cropping systems. To this end, we continuously develop the models LPJmL and MAgPIE and apply them in scientific research. We also develop modelling capacities to better address future challenges in human nutrition, with a focus on food diversity.
Working Group Leader:
Models
LPJmL - Lund-Potsdam-Jena managed Land Dynamic Global Vegetation, Agriculture and Water Balance Model
MAgPIE - Model of Agricultural Production and its Impact on the Environment
Publications
Joint activities:
The working group Land Use and Resilience addresses large-scale biogeochemical as well as socio-economic processes. We provide long-term global scenarios with a high spatial resolution on socio-economic development, climate impact assessments and adaptation strategies, to be used as inputs by regional and sectoral modeling groups. Our global-scale assessments can guide selection of regional hot-spots for detailed impacts studies. Interaction and cooperation with the international scientific community is a central aspect in our work, e.g. through the leadership role in AgMIP's Global Gridded Crop Model Intercomparison team and in AgMIP's Global Economics team.
Completed projects
