“This is an important finding in view of the trend towards urbanisation in many parts of the world – even in the case of larger megacities, the heat island effect is expected to be limited,” says Diego Rybski from the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research. The individual measurements of cities however disperse around this typical value. Temperature differences of up to 4-6 degrees are not unusual during summers in large cities. This effect however almost disappears in winter.
The detailed analysis of individual cities also shows that cities in warm climate zones can have a reverse, thus cooling, effect. It still needs to be investigated precisely why this is the case. On this basis, planning strategies could then be developed.
“The heat island effects is most relevant when it is already warm as for instance during a constantly hot summer,” says co-author and head to the research group, Jürgen Kropp. The cities are even warmer then, which can have health consequences especially for older people. An increased occurrence in heat waves is to be feared in view of climate change. “In combination with an aging society, health problems are expected to increase,” says Kropp. “Knowledge about the urban heat island effect can thus help to take prevention measures.”
Article: Zhou, B., Rybski, D., Kropp, J. (2013): On the statistics of urban heat island intensity. Geophysical Research Letters (Early View, online) DOI: 10.1002/2013GL057320
Weblink to the article: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013GL057320/abstract