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Publications in Nature & Science Journals
& PNAS
Guimaraes, S. O., M. E. Mann, S. Rahmstorf, S. Petri, B. A. Steinman, D. J. Brouillette, S. Christiansen and X. Li (2024).
Increased projected changes in quasi-resonant amplification and persistent summer weather extremes in the latest multimodel climate projections.
Scientific Reports. doi:10.1038/s41598-024-72787-0
Li, X., M. E. Mann, M. F. Wehner, S. Rahmstorf, S. Petri, S. Christiansen and J. Carrillo (2024).
Role of atmospheric resonance and land-atmosphere feedbacks as a precursor to the June 2021 Pacific Northwest Heat Dome event.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the USA. doi:10.1073/pnas.2315330121.
Richardson, K. et al. (2023). Earth beyond six of nine planetary boundaries.
Science Advances. doi:10.1126/sciadv.adh2458.
Supran, G., S. Rahmstorf and N. Oreskes (2023). Assessing ExxonMobil's global warming projections. Science. doi:10.1126/science.abk0063.
Caesar, L., G. D. McCarthy, D. J. R. Thornalley, N. Cahill and S. Rahmstorf (2022).
Reply to: Atlantic circulation change still uncertain. Nature Geoscience doi: 10.1038/s41561-022-00897-3.
Caesar, L., McCarthy, G. D., Thornalley, D. J. R., Cahill, N. & Rahmstorf, S. (2021). Current Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation weakest in last millennium. Nature Geoscience. doi:10.1038/s41561-021-00699-z
Turney,
C. S. M. et al. (2020). Early Last Interglacial ocean warming drove substantial
ice mass loss from Antarctica. Proceedings of the National Academy
of Sciences of the USA. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1902469117.
Lenton, T. M. et al. (2019). Climate tipping
points — too risky to bet against. Nature 575: 592-595.
Hagedorn,
G. et al (2019). Concerns of young protesters are justified. Science
364: 139-140.
Mann, M. E., S. Rahmstorf,
K. Kornhuber, B. A. Steinman, S. K. Miller, S. Petri and D. Coumou (2018).
Projected changes in persistent extreme summer weather events: The role
of quasi-resonant amplification. Sci Adv 4(10): eaat3272.
Caesar, L., S. Rahmstorf,
A. Robinson, G. Feulner and V. Saba (2018). Observed fingerprint of a
weakening Atlantic Ocean overturning circulation. Nature 556: 191–196.
Blog
article.
Rahmstorf, S. (2017). Rising hazard of storm-surge flooding. PNAS 114: 11806-11808.
Figueres,
C., H. J. Schellnhuber, G. Whiteman, J. Rockström, A. Hobley and
S. Rahmstorf (2017). Three years to safeguard our climate. Nature
546: 593-595.
Mann,
M. E., S. Rahmstorf, K. Kornhuber, B. A. Steinman, S. K. Miller and D.
Coumou (2017). Influence of Anthropogenic Climate Change on Planetary
Wave Resonance and Extreme Weather Events. Sci Rep 7: 45242.
Schellnhuber, H.J., S. Rahmstorf and R. Winkelmann, 2016: Why the right
climate target was agreed in Paris. Nature Climate Change. doi:10.1038/nclimate3013.
Petoukhov,
V., S. Petri, S. Rahmstorf, D. Coumou, K. Kornhuber, and H. J. Schellnhuber,
2016: Role of quasiresonant planetary wave dynamics in recent boreal spring-to-autumn
extreme events , Proc Natl Acad Sci, 113(25), 6862-6867, doi:10.1073/pnas.1606300113.
Kopp,
R. E., A. C. Kemp, K. Bittermann, B. P. Horton, J. P. Donnelly, W. R.
Gehrels, C. C. Hay, J. X. Mitrovica, E. D. Morrow, and S. Rahmstorf, 2016:
Temperature-driven global sea-level variability in the Common Era ,
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A, 113(11), E1434-1441, doi:10.1073/pnas.1517056113.
Stadtherr,
L., D. Coumou, V. Petoukhov, S. Petri, S. Rahmstorf, 2016: Record Balkan
floods of 2014 linked to planetary wave resonance. Science Advances
[doi:10.1126/sciadv.1501428].
Mann,
M.E., S. Rahmstorf, B. A. Steinman, M. Tingley, S. K. Miller, 2016: The
Likelihood of Recent Record Warmth . Scientific Reports 6, doi:
10.1038/srep19831.
Dutton,
A., A. E. Carlson, A. J. Long, G. A. Milne, P. U. Clark, R. DeConto, B.
P. Horton, S. Rahmstorf, M. E. Raymo, 2015: Sea-level rise due to polar
ice-sheet mass loss during past warm periods . Science, 349, DOI: 10.1126/science.aaa4019.
Rahmstorf,
S., J.E. Box, G. Feulner, M.E. Mann, A. Robinson, S. Rutherford, and E.J.
Schaffernicht, 2015: Exceptional twentieth-century slowdown in Atlantic
Ocean overturning circulation. Nature Climate Change, 5, 475–480,
DOI:10.1038/nclimate2554. Data
download page .
Coumou, D., Petoukhov,
V., S. Rahmstorf, S. Petri, and H. J. Schellnhuber, 2014: Quasi-resonant
circulation regimes and hemispheric synchronization of extreme weather
in boreal summer . Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
of the United States of America, 111(34), 12331-12336, DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1412797111.
Petoukhov,
V., S. Rahmstorf, S. Petri and H.J. Schellnhuber, 2013: Reply to Screen
and Simmonds: From means to mechanisms. Proceedings of the National
Academy of Science of the USA, 110, doi: 10.1073/pnas.1305595110.
Petoukhov, V., S. Rahmstorf, S. Petri and H.J. Schellnhuber, 2013: Quasiresonant
amplification of planetary waves and recent Northern Hemisphere weather
extremes. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the USA,
110, 5336–5341, doi:10.1073/pnas.1222000110 .
Schaeffer,
M., W. Hare, S. Rahmstorf, and M. Vermeer, 2012: Long-term sea-level rise
implied by 1.5°C and 2°C warming levels. Nature Climate Change,
doi: 10.1038/nclimate1584.
Coumou, D.
and S. Rahmstorf, 2012: A decade of weather extremes. Nature Climate
Change, doi: 10.1038/nclimate1452.
Rahmstorf, S.
and D. Coumou, 2011: Increase of extreme events in a warming world.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Science of the USA, 5pp. doi:10.1073/pnas.1101766108.
Kemp, A. et al., 2011:
Reply to Grinsted et al.: Estimating land subsidence in North Carolina.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Science of the USA 108, E783.
Kemp, A. et al., 2011: Climate related sea-level variations over the past
two millennia. Proceedings of the National Academy of Science of the
USA, doi:10.1073/pnas.1015619108.
Vermeer,
M. and S. Rahmstorf, 2010: Reply to Taboada and Anadon: Critique of sea-level
rise study invalid. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
of the United States of America 107, E118-E118.
Vermeer,
M. and S. Rahmstorf, 2009: Global sea level linked to global temperature.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Science of the USA, 106, 21527-21532.
Hofmann,
M. and S. Rahmstorf, 2009: On the stability of the Atlantic meridional
overturning circulation. Proceedings of the National Academy of Science
of the USA
Lenton, T.,
H. Held, E. Kriegler, J. Hall, W. Lucht, S. Rahmstorf, and H. J. Schellnhuber,
2008: Tipping elements in the Earth's climate system. Proceedings
of the National Academy of Sciences, 105, 1786-1793.
Rahmstorf,
S., 2007: Response to Comments on "A semi-empirical approach to projecting
future sea-level rise". Science, 317, 1866d.
Rahmstorf,
S., et al. 2007: Recent Climate Observations Compared to Projections.
Science, 316, 709.
-Powerpoint slides
-Updated graphs
Rahmstorf,
S., 2007: A semi-empirical approach to projecting future sea-level rise.
Science, 315, 368-370.
Rahmstorf, S., 2006: Testing climate reconstructions . Science, 312,
1872.
-Some comments on the Response by von Storch et al.
Braun, H.,
M. Christl, S. Rahmstorf, A. Ganopolski, A. Mangini, C. Kubatzki, K. Roth,
and B. Kromer, 2005: Solar forcing of abrupt glacial climate change in
a coupled climate system model. Nature, 438, 208-211.
Rahmstorf,
S., 2003: Thermohaline circulation: The current climate. Nature 421,
699.
Peterson
B. J. et al., 2002: Increasing river discharge to the Arctic Ocean. Science
298, 2171-2173.
-News item by Erik Stokstad
for this paper
Rahmstorf, S., 2002:
Ocean circulation and climate during the past 120,000 years. Nature
419, 207-214.
Ganopolski, A.
and S. Rahmstorf, 2001: Simulation of rapid glacial climate changes in
a coupled climate model. Nature, 409, 153-158.
-News & Views by Didier Paillard for this paper
-Supplementary movie
Rahmstorf, S.,
1999: Shifting seas in the greenhouse? Nature, 399, 523-524.
Ganopolski,
A., S. Rahmstorf, V. Petoukhov and M. Claussen, 1998: Simulation of modern
and glacial climates with a coupled global climate model. Nature,
391, 351-356.
Rahmstorf,
S., 1997: Risk of sea-change in the Atlantic. Nature, 388, 825-826.
Rahmstorf, S.,
1995: Bifurcations of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation in response
to changes in the hydrological cycle. Nature, 378, 145-149.
Rahmstorf, S.,
1994: Rapid climate transitions in a coupled ocean-atmosphere model.
Nature, 372, 82-85.
Other Refereed Journals
Rahmstorf, S. (2024).
Is the Atlantic Overturning Circulation Approaching a Tipping Point? Oceanography doi:10.5670/oceanog.2024.501.
Willeit, M., A. Ganopolski, N. R. Edwards and S. Rahmstorf (2024).
Surface buoyancy control of millennial-scale variations in the Atlantic meridional ocean circulation. Climate of the Past 20(12): 2719-2739 doi:10.5194/cp-20-2719-2024
Capua, G. D. and S. Rahmstorf (2023).
Extreme weather in a changing climate. Environmental Research Letters 18(10) doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/acfb23.
Rousi, E., F. Selten, S. Rahmstorf and D. Coumou (2021).
Changes in North Atlantic Atmospheric Circulation in a Warmer Climate Favor Winter Flooding and Summer Drought over Europe.
Journal of Climate 34(6): 2277-2295 doi: 10.1175/jcli-d-20-0311.1.
Robinson, A., Lehmann, J., Barriopedro, D., Rahmstorf, S. & Coumou, D. (2021). Increasing heat and rainfall extremes now far outside the historical climate. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science. doi:10.1038/s41612-021-00202-w
Caesar, L., Rahmstorf, S. & Feulner, G. (2021). Reply to Comment on ‘On the relationship between Atlantic meridional overturning circulation slowdown and global surface warming’. Environmental Research Letters 16. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/abc776
Horton, B. P. et al. Estimating global mean sea-level rise and its uncertainties by 2100 and 2300 from an expert survey. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science 3 (2020). doi:10.1038/s41612-020-0121-5.
Caesar,
L., S. Rahmstorf and G. Feulner (2020). On the relationship between Atlantic
meridional overturning circulation slowdown and global surface warming.
Environmental Research Letters 15(2): 024003.
Kornhuber,
K., S. Osprey, D. Coumou, S. Petri, V. Petoukhov, S. Rahmstorf and L.
Gray (2019). Extreme weather events in early summer 2018 connected by
a recurrent hemispheric wave-7 pattern. Environmental Research Letters
14(5).
Lewandowsky,
S., K. Cowtan, J. S. Risbey, M. E. Mann, B. A. Steinman, N. Oreskes and
S. Rahmstorf (2018). The ‘pause’ in global warming in historical
context: (II). Comparing models to observations. Environmental Research
Letters 13(12): 123007.
Risbey,
J. S., S. Lewandowsky, K. Cowtan, N. Oreskes, S. Rahmstorf, A. Jokimäki
and G. Foster (2018). A fluctuation in surface temperature in historical
context: reassessment and retrospective on the evidence. Environmental
Research Letters 13(12): 123008.
Mann, M. E., S. K.
Miller, S. Rahmstorf, B. A. Steinman and M. Tingley (2017). Record temperature
streak bears anthropogenic fingerprint. Geophysical Research Letters
44: 7936–7944.
Bittermann,
K., S. Rahmstorf, R. E. Kopp and A. C. Kemp (2017). Global mean sea-level
rise in a world agreed upon in Paris. Environmental Research Letters
12(12).
Rahmstorf,
S., G. Foster and N. Cahill (2017). Global temperature evolution: recent
trends and some pitfalls. Environmental Research Letters 12(5): 054001.
Kornhuber,
K., V. Petoukhov, S. Petri, S. Rahmstorf and D. Coumou (2016). Evidence
for wave resonance as a key mechanism for generating high-amplitude quasi-stationary
waves in boreal summer. Climate Dynamics.
Cahill,
N., S. Rahmstorf, A. C. Parnell, 2015: Change points of global temperature.
Environmental Research Letters 10, 6, DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/10/8/084002.
Horton,
B. P., S. Rahmstorf, S. E. Engelhart, and A. C. Kemp, 2014: Reply to comment
received from JM Gregory et al. regarding "Expert assessment of future
sea-level rise by 2100 and 2300 AD" . Quaternary Science Reviews
84, 1-6. Quatern. Sci. Rev., 97, 195-196, DOI:10.1016/j.quascirev.2014.05.025
Horton,
B.P., S. Rahmstorf, S.E. Engelhart, A.C. Kemp, 2014: Expert assessment
of sea-level rise by AD 2100 and AD 2300 . Quaternary Science Reviews,
84, DOI: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2013.11.002.
Bittermann,
K., S. Rahmstorf, M. Perrette and M. Vermeer, 2013: Predictability of
twentieth century sea-level rise from past data . Environmental
Research Letters, 8, 014013, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/014013.
Becker,
A.H., M. Acciaro, R. Asariotis, E. Cabrera, L. Cretegny, P. Crist, M.
Esteban, A. Mather, S. Messner, S. Naruse, A.K.Y. Ng, S. Rahmstorf, M.
Savonis, D.-W. Song, V. Stenek and A.F. Velegrakis, 2013: A note on climate
change adaptation for seaports: a challenge for global ports, a challenge
for global society . Climatic Change, 120, 683-695, doi:10.1007/s10584-012-0668-1.
Feulner,
G., S. Rahmstorf, A. Levermann, and S. Volkwardt, 2013: On the origin
of the surface air temperature difference between the hemispheres in Earth's
present-day climate. Journal of Climate 26, 7136-7150.
Coumou,
D., A. Robinson and S. Rahmstorf, 2013: Global increase in record-breaking
monthly-mean temperatures . Climatic Change, doi:10.1007/s10584-012-0668-1.
Rahmstorf, S., G. Foster and A. Cazenave, 2012: Comparing climate projections
to observations up to 2011 Environmental Research Letters 7, 044035,
doi:10.1088/1748-9326/7/4/044035.
Rahmstorf, S. 2012: Is journalism failing on climate? Environmental
Research Letters 7, 041003, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/7/4/041003.
Rahmstorf,
S. 2012: Sea-level rise: towards understanding local vulnerability.
Environmental Research Letters 7, 021001, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/7/2/021001.
Kienert,
H., S. Rahmstorf, 2012: On the relation between Meridional Overturning
Circulation and sea-level gradients in the Atlantic . Earth Syst Dynam
3, 109-120, doi:10.5194/esd-3-109-2012.
Foster,
G. and S. Rahmstorf, 2011: Global temperature evolution 1979–2010 .
Environmental Research Letters 6, 044022.
Rahmstorf,
S., M. Perrette, and M. Vermeer, 2011: Testing the Robustness of Semi-Empirical
Sea Level Projections. Climate Dynamics. doi:10.1007/s00382-011-1226-7.
Hofmann, M., B.
Worm, S. Rahmstorf, and H.J. Schellnhuber, 2011: Declining ocean chlorophyll
under unabated anthropogenic CO2 emissions. Environmental Research
Letters 6, 034035.
Rahmstorf,
S. and M. Vermeer, 2011: Discussion of: Houston, J.R. and Dean, R.G.,
2011: Sea-Level Acceleration Based on U.S. Tide Gauges and Extensions
of Previous Global-Gauge Analyses. Journal of Coastal Research 27,
784–787.
Messner, D., H.
J. Schellnhuber, S. Rahmstorf, and D. Klingenfeld, 2010: The budget approach:
A framework for a global transformation toward a low-carbon economy.
Journal of Renewable and Sustainable Energy, 2, 031003.
Feulner,
G. and S. Rahmstorf, 2010: On the effect of a new grand minimum of solar
activity on the future climate on Earth. Geophysical Research Letters,
37 (L05707): 5 pp.
Kuhlbrodt, T.
et al, 2009: An Integrated Assessment of Changes in the Thermohaline Circulation.
Climatic Change, 96, 489-537.
Goelzer, H., A. Levermann, and S. Rahmstorf, 2009: Two-way
coupling of an ENSO model to the global climate model CLIMBER-3 alpha.
Ocean Modelling, 29, 94-101.
Brovkin,
V., A. Ganopolski, D. Archer, and S. Rahmstorf, 2007: Lowering of glacial
atmospheric CO2 in response to changes in oceanic circulation and marine
biogeochemistry. Paleoceanography, 22.
Levermann,
A., J. Mignot, S. Nawrath, and S. Rahmstorf, 2007: The role of Northern
sea ice cover for the weakening of the thermohaline circulation under
global warming. Journal Of Climate, 20, 4160-4171.
Zickfeld, K.,
A. Levermann, M. G. Morgan, T. Kuhlbrodt, S. Rahmstorf, and D. W. Keith,
2007: Expert judgements on the response of the Atlantic meridional overturning
circulation to climate change. Climatic Change, 82, 235-265.
Kuhlbrodt,
T., A. Griesel, M. Montoya, A. Levermann, M. Hofmann, and S. Rahmstorf
(2007), On the driving processes of the Atlantic meridional overturning
circulation , Rev. Geophys., 45, RG2001, doi:10.1029/2004RG000166.
Goelzer,
H., J. Mignot, A. Levermann, and S. Rahmstorf, 2006: Tropical versus high
latitude freshwater influence on the Atlantic circulation. Climate
Dynamics, 27, 715-725.
Schneider
von Deimling, T., A. Ganopolski, H. Held, and S. Rahmstorf, 2006: How
cold was the Last Glacial Maximum? Geophysical Research Letters, 33,
doi:10.1029/2006GL026484.
Schneider
von Deimling, T., H. Held, A. Ganopolski, and S. Rahmstorf, 2006: Climate
sensitivity estimated from ensemble simulations of glacial climate ,
Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-006-0126-8.
Rahmstorf,
S., M. Crucifix, A. Ganopolski, H. Goosse, I. V. Kamenkovich, R. Knutti,
G. Lohmann, R. Marsh, L. A. Mysak, Z. Wang, and A. J. Weaver, 2005: Thermohaline
circulation hysteresis: a model intercomparison. Geophysical Research
Letters, 32, L23605, doi:10.1029/2005GL023655.
Montoya,
M., A. Griesel, A. Levermann, J. Mignot, M. Hofmann, A. Ganopolski, and
S. Rahmstorf, 2005: The Earth System Model of Intermediate Complexity
CLIMBER-3a. Part I: description and performance for present day conditions.
Climate Dynamics.
Levermann,
A., A. Griesel, M. Hofmann, M. Montoya, and S. Rahmstorf, 2005: Dynamic
sea level changes following changes in the thermohaline circulation.
Climate Dynamics, 24, 347-354.
Rahmstorf,
S. and K. Zickfeld, 2005: Thermohaline circulation changes: a question
of risk assessment. Climatic Change, 68, 241-247.
Archer,
D., P. Martin, B. Buffett, V. Brovkin, S. Rahmstorf, and A. Ganopolski,
2004: The importance of ocean temperature to global biogeochemistry.
Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 222, 333-348.
Rahmstorf,
S., et al., 2004: Cosmic rays, carbon dioxide and climate. Eos, 85(4),
38, 41.
Rahmstorf,
S., et al., 2004: Reply. Eos, 85(48), 511.
Zickfeld,
K., T. Slawig, and S. Rahmstorf, 2004. A low-order model for the response
of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation to climate change. Ocean
Dynamics, 54, 8-26.
Rahmstorf,
S., 2003: Timing of abrupt climate change: a precise clock. Geophys.
Res. Let., 30, 1510.
Rahmstorf, S.,
and R.B. Alley, 2002: Stochastic resonance in glacial climate, Eos,
83 Nr. 12, 129-135.
Ganopolski,
A. and S. Rahmstorf, 2002: Abrupt glacial climate changes due to stochastic
resonance. Phys. Rev. Let. 88(3), 038501.
Mogensen I.A., Johnsen
S.J., Ganopolski A., and S. Rahmstorf, 2002: An investigation of rapid
warm transitions during MIS2 and MIS3 using Greenland ice-core data and
the CLIMBER-2 model . Annals of Glaciology 35, 398-402.
Titz, S., T. Kuhlbrodt,
S. Rahmstorf, and U. Feudel, 2002: On freshwater-dependent bifurcations
in box models of the interhemispheric thermohaline circulation . Tellus,
54A, 89-98.
Morales
Maqueda, M. A. and S. Rahmstorf, 2001: Did Antarctic sea ice expansion
cause glacial CO2 decline? Geophys. Res. Let., 29, 111-113.
Rahmstorf, S.,
2001: A simple model of seasonal open-ocean convection. Part I: Theory.
Ocean Dyn., 52, 26-35.
Kuhlbrodt, T., S. Titz, U.
Feudel and S. Rahmstorf, 2001: A simple model of seasonal open ocean convection.
Part II: Labrador Sea stability and stochastic forcing . Ocean Dyn.,
52, 36-49.
Ganopolski, A., V. Petoukhov,
S. Rahmstorf, V. Brovkin, M. Claussen and C. Kubatzki, 2001: CLIMBER-2:
A climate system model of intermediate complexity. Part II: Model sensitivity.
Clim. Dyn., 17, 735-751
Rahmstorf, S., 2000: The thermohaline
ocean circulation - a system with dangerous thresholds? Climatic Change,
46, 247-256.
Kubatzki, C., M. Montoya, S. Rahmstorf,
A. Ganopolski and M. Claussen, 2000: Comparison of a coupled global model
of intermediate complexity and AOGCM for the last interglacial. Clim.
Dyn., 16, 799-814.
Petoukhov,
V., A. Ganopolski, V. Brovkin, M. Claussen, A. Eliseev, C. Kubatzki and
S. Rahmstorf, 2000: CLIMBER-2: A climate system model of intermediate
complexity. Clim. Dyn. 16, 1-17.
England, M.
H. E. and S. Rahmstorf, 1999: Sensitivity of ocean model ventilation time-scales
to subgrid-scale mixing in ocean models. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 29, 2802-2827.
Claussen, M.,
V. Brovkin, A. Ganopolski, C. Kubatzki, V. Petoukhov and S. Rahmstorf,
1999: A new model for climate system analysis: Outline of the model and
application to paleoclimate simulations. Environm. Modeling a. Assessm.,
4, 209-216.
Rahmstorf, S.
and A. Ganopolski, 1999: Long-term global warming scenarios computed with
an efficient coupled climate model. Climatic Change, 43, 353-367.
Rahmstorf,
S. and A. Ganopolski, 1999: Simple theoretical model may explain apparent
climate instability. J. Clim., 12, 1349-1352.
Rahmstorf, S., 1998: Influence
of Mediterranean outflow on climate. Eos 79 (24), 281-282.
Rahmstorf,
S. and M. H. England, 1997: The influence of southern hemisphere winds
on North Atlantic deep water flow. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 27, 2040-2054.
Rahmstorf, S.,
1996: On the freshwater forcing and transport of the Atlantic thermohaline
circulation. Clim. Dyn., 12, 799-811.
Rahmstorf, S., 1996:
Comment on "Instability of the thermohaline circulation with respect to
mixed boundary conditions". J. Phys. Oceanogr., 26, 1099-1105.
Rahmstorf,
S. and J. Willebrand, 1995: The role of temperature feedback in stabilizing
the thermohaline circulation. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 25, 787-805.
Rahmstorf, S.,
1995: Climate drift in an OGCM coupled to a simple, perfectly matched
atmosphere. Clim. Dyn., 11, 447-458.
Rahmstorf, S.,
1995: Multiple convection patterns and thermohaline flow in an idealised
OGCM. J. Clim., 8, 3028-3039.
Rahmstorf, S., 1992:
Modelling ocean temperatures and mixed-layer depths in the Tasman Sea
off the South Island, New Zealand. N. Z. J. Mar. and Freshwater Res.,
26, 37-51.
Rahmstorf,
S. 1991: A zonal-averaged model of the ocean's response to climatic change.
J. Geophys. Res., 96 (C4), 6951-6963.
Rahmstorf, S., 1989: Improving the accuracy of wind speed
observations from ships. Deep Sea Research, 36, 1267-1276.
Rose, B., S. Rahmstorf, H. Dehnen, 1988: Propagation of
self-gravitating density waves in the deDonder gauge on a gravitational
background field. Gen. Relativity Grav., 20, 1193-1201.
Book chapters (incomplete list)
Rahmstorf, S., 2022: Klima und Wetter bei 3 Grad mehr (pdf)
Rahmstorf, S., 2013: Der Klimawandel und seine
Folgen für das Erdsystem, in Rolle der Wissenschaft im globalen
Wandel, edited by D. Drenckhahn and J. Hacker, pp. 71-83, Leopoldina,
Halle.
Rahmstorf,
S. and G. Feulner, 2013: Paleoclimatic Ocean Circulation and Sea-Level
Changes In: Ocean Circulation and Climate, Editors: Siedler,
G., S.M. Griffies, J. Gould, J.A. Church: Oxford : Academic Press.
p. 31-56.
Rahmstorf, S., 2012: Climate Change: State of the
Science. In: Maritime Transport and the Climate Change Challenge.
Earthscan: Oxon, U.K. p. 3-11.
Rahmstorf, S., 2012: Herausforderung Klimaschutz:
Die naturwissenschaftliche Basis. In: 20 Jahre Recht der Erneuerbaren
Energien. Nomos Verlagsgesellschaft: Baden-Baden. p. 27-33.
Rahmstorf, S., et al., 2010: Scientific understanding
of climate change and consequences for a global deal. In Global
Sustainability - A Nobel Cause, H.J. Schellnhuber, et al., Editors.
Cambridge University Press: Cambridge. p. 67-80.
Messner, D. and S. Rahmstorf, 2010: Tipping points in the earth
system and their implications for world politics and economy.
In Global Trends 2010, T. Debiel, Editor. S. Fischer Verlag: Frankfurt
am Main. p. 63-80.
Messner, D. and S. Rahmstorf, 2010: Kipp-Punkte
im Erdsystem und ihre Auswirkungen auf Weltpolitik und Wirtschaft.
In Globale Trends 2010, T. Debiel, Editor. S. Fischer Verlag:
Frankfurt am Main. p. 261-280.
Rahmstorf, S., 2009: Die globale Erwärmung.
In: Jahrhundertproblem Klimawandel, S. Böhler, Editor. Wochenschau
Verlag: Schwalbach. p. 17-42.
Rahmstorf,
S., 2008: Anthropogenic Climate Change: Revisiting the Facts.
In: Global Warming: Looking Beyond Kyoto., E. Zedillo, Ed., Brookings
Institution Press, Washington, pp. 34-53.
Rahmstorf,
S., 2007: Der Anstieg des Meeresspiegels. In Der UN-Weltklimareport,
M. Müller, U. Fuentes, and H. Kohl, Editors. Kiepenheuer
und Witsch: Köln. p. 190-194.
Rahmstorf,
S., 2006: Thermohaline Ocean Circulation. In: Encyclopedia of
Quaternary Sciences, Edited by S. A. Elias. Elsevier, Amsterdam.
Rahmstorf, S., 2006: Global climate change: What
can we learn from the past? in Multilevel Governance of Global
Environmental Change, edited by G. Winter, pp. 67-76, Cambridge
University Press, Cambridge.
Rahmstorf,
S. and F. Sirocko, 2004:Modes of Oceanic and Atmospheric Circulation
During the Quaternary, in Earth System Analysis for Sustainability.
Berlin. p. 129-142.
Rahmstorf,
S. and T.F. Stocker, 2004: Thermohaline Circulation: Past Changes
and Future Surprises? In: A Planet Under Pressure - Global
Change and the Earth System, W. Steffen, Editor. Springer: Berlin.
p. 240-241.
Rahmstorf,
S., 2004: Abrupt climate change. In Weather catastrophes and
climate change - Is there still hope for us? , Munich Re, Editor.
pg-verlag: Munich. p. 70-75.
Rahmstorf,
S., 2004: Abrupte Klimawechsel. In Wetterkatastrophen und
Klimawandel - Sind wir noch zu retten?, Münchner Rückversicherung,
Editor. pg-verlag: München. p. 70-75.
Rahmstorf,
S., 2004: The climate skeptics. In Weather catastrophes and
climate change - Is there still hope for us? , Munich Re, Editor.
pg-verlag: Munich. p. 76-83.
Rahmstorf,
S., 2004: Die Klimaskeptiker. In Wetterkatastrophen und Klimawandel
- Sind wir noch zu retten?, Münchner Rückversicherung,
Editor. pg-verlag: München. p. 76-83.
Rahmstorf, S., 2003: Thermohaline circulation changes.
In McGraw Hill Yearbook of Science and Technology, edited by E.
Geller, McGraw Hill, New York, pp. 425-427.
Rahmstorf, S., 2001: Abrupt Climate
Change. In Encyclopedia of Ocean Sciences, edited by J. Steele,
S. Thorpe, and K. Turekian, Academic Press, London, pp.
1-6.
Ganopolski, A. and S. Rahmstorf,
2001: Stability and variability of the thermohaline circulation
in the past and future: a study with a coupled model of intermediate
complexity. In The Oceans and Rapid Climate Change: Past,
Present and Future, edited by D. Seidov, M. Maslin and B. J. Haupt,
AGU, Washington, pp. 261-275.
Rahmstorf, S., 2000: Ocean
currents and climate change. In Climate Impact Research: Why,
How and When?, edited by B. Parthier and D. Simon, Akademie Verlag,
Berlin, pp. 37-45.
Rahmstorf, S., 2000: Anthropogenic
climate change: the risk of unpleasant surprises. In Flexible
mechanisms for an efficient climate policy, edited by K. L. Brockmann
and M. Stronzik, Physica-Verlag, Heidelberg, pp. 7-11.
Rahmstorf, S., 1999: Rapid transitions
of the thermohaline ocean circulation - a modelling perspective.
In Reconstructing ocean history: A window into the future, edited
by F. Abrantes and A.C. Mix, Kluwer Academic / Plenum Publishers,
pp. 139-149.
Rahmstorf, S., 1999:
Decadal variability of the thermohaline circulation. In Beyond
El Niño: Decadal and interdecadal climate variability,
edited by A. Navarra, Springer, pp. 309-332.
Rahmstorf, S., 1998: The ocean in the climate system.
In From urban air pollution to extra-solar planets, ERCA Vol.
3, edited by C. Boutron, Les Editions de Physique, Les Ulis.
Rahmstorf, S., J. Marotzke and J. Willebrand, 1996:
Stability of the thermohaline circulation. In The warm water sphere
of the North Atlantic ocean, edited by W. Krauss, Borntraeger,
Stuttgart, pp. 129-158.
Books
Rahmstorf, S. 2012: Wolken, Wind & Wetter.
Alles, was man über Wetter und Klima wissen muss. DVA Sachbuch, 224 Seiten.Aktualisierte Neuausgabe 2023: Impian Verlag.
Archer,
D. and S. Rahmstorf, 2010: The Climate Crisis. Cambridge:
Cambridge University Press. 249 pages.
Rahmstorf,
S. and K. Richardson, 2009: Our Threatened Oceans. London:
Haus Publishing. 240 pages.
Rahmstorf,
S. and K. Richardson, 2007: Wie bedroht sind die Ozeane? Frankfurt
am Main: S. Fischer. 280 pages.
Rahmstorf,
S. and H.J. Schellnhuber, 2006: Der Klimawandel. Munich: Beck
Verlag. 144 pages.
Reports
WBGU
- Wissenschaftlicher Beirat Globale Umweltveränderungen,
2013: Welt im Wandel: Menschheitserbe Meer.
Berlin: WBGU. 385 pages.
WBGU
- German Advisory Council on Global Change, 2013: World in Transition: Governing the Marine Heritage.
Berlin: WBGU. 362 pages.
WBGU
- Wissenschaftlicher Beirat Globale Umweltveränderungen,
2011: Welt im Wandel: Gesellschaftsvertrag für eine Große Transformation.
Berlin: WBGU. 420 pages.
WBGU
- German Advisory Council on Global Change, 2011: World in Transition – A Social Contract for Sustainability.
Berlin: WBGU. 400 pages.
Allison,
I. et al, 2009: The Copenhagen Diagnosis: Updating the World on
the Latest Climate Science. Sydney: University of New South
Wales. 60 pages.
WBGU
- Wissenschaftlicher Beirat Globale Umweltveränderungen,
2009: Kassensturz für den Weltklimavertrag - Der Budgetansatz.
Berlin: WBGU. 58 pages.
WBGU
- German Advisory Council on Global Change, 2009: Solving the climate dilemma: The budget approach.
Berlin: WBGU. 58 pages.
WBGU
- Wissenschaftlicher Beirat Globale Umweltveränderungen, 2008: Zukunftsfähige
Bioenergie und nachhaltige Landnutzung. Berlin: WBGU. 388 pages.
WBGU
- German Advisory Council on Global Change, 2008: World in Transition: Future Bioenergy
and Sustainable Land Use. Berlin: WBGU. 388 pages.
WBGU
- Wissenschaftlicher Beirat Globale Umweltveränderungen, 2007: Welt im Wandel:
Sicherheitsrisiko Klimawandel. Berlin: WBGU. 268 pages.
WBGU
- German Advisory Council on Global Change, 2007: World in Transition: Climate Change
as a Security Risk. Berlin: WBGU. 248 pages.
WBGU
- Wissenschaftlicher Beirat Globale Umweltveränderungen, 2006: Die Zukunft der Meere – zu warm,
zu hoch, zu sauer. Berlin: WBGU. 114 pages.
WBGU
- German Advisory Council on Global Change, 2006: The Future Oceans
- Warming Up, Rising High, Turning Sour. Berlin: WBGU. 110
pages.
Popular Science (incomplete list)
[Blog articles are not listed - see links to weblogs
on right]
Rahmstorf,
S. 2016: Climate Science. Alliance Magazine, Issue June 2016.
Rahmstorf,
S. 2015: The Wild Ocean. LA+ Design Journal, Issue 1.
Rahmstorf, S., 2015: Gefährliche Ignoranz. ZEO2 (3/2015).
Rahmstorf, S., 2015: Erst die Dürre, dann der Krieg. ZEO2 (2/2015).
Rahmstorf, S., 2015: In Rekordlaune. ZEO2 (1/2015).
Rahmstorf, S., 2014: Eisschild im freien Fall. ZEO2 (4/2014).
Rahmstorf, S., 2014: So billig wäre der Klimaschutz. ZEO2 (3/2014).
Rahmstorf, S., 2014: Rückfall ins klimapolitische Mittelalter. ZEO2 (2/2014).
Rahmstorf, S., 2014: Bild des Wandels. ZEO2 (1/2014).
Wergen,
G., et al. 2014: Klimarekorde. Spektrum (2/2014).
Rahmstorf, S., 2013: Verharmloste Umdeutung. ZEO2 (4/2013).
Rahmstorf,
S., 2013: The known knowns of climate change. Project Syndicate,
18.9.2013.
Rahmstorf, S., 2013: Eine Chance für die Meere. ZEO2 (2/2013).
Rahmstorf, S., 2013: Zwei Grad sind möglich! ZEO2 (1/2013).
Rahmstorf, S., 2012: Das Eis und Du. ZEO2 (4/2012).
Rahmstorf, S., 2012: Immer mehr schwarze Schwäne.
ZEO2 (3/2012).
Rahmstorf, S., 2012: Eispanzer könnte bald
Geschichte sein. ZEO2 (2/2012).
Rahmstorf,
S., 2012: Klimawandel: Die Ausgewogenheitsfalle und andere Probleme.
In: Recherche Reloaded, Was Journalisten von anderen Rechercheberufen
lernen können. nr-Werkstatt Nr. 21, Netzwerk Recherche, März 2012.
Rahmstorf, S., 2012: Welche
Rolle spielt die Sonne? Spektrum.de, 08.02.2012.
Rahmstorf, S., 2012: Durban und die große Transformation.
ZEO2 (1/2012).
Rahmstorf,
S., 2012: Melting on Top of the World. Project Syndicate,
10.09.2012.
Rahmstorf,
S., 2012: If 2013 breaks heat record, how will deniers respond?
New Scientist, 03.09.2012.
Rahmstorf,
S., 2012: Der Trend geht klar nach oben. Spektrum.de, 12.09.2012.
Rahmstorf, S., 2011: Der
kälteste Juli des Jahrtausends. ZEO2 (4/2011).
Rahmstorf, S., 2011: Mit
diesem Risiko ist etwas faul. ZEO2 (3/2011).
Rahmstorf, S., 2011: Ökostrom,
EU und Du. ZEO2 (2/2011).
Rahmstorf, S., 2011: Vergesst
Amerika! ZEO2 (1/2011).
Rahmstorf,
S., 2011: Aus dem Physiklabor auf die international Agenda. SENCKENBERG
natur, forschung, museum, 141 (1/2 2011).
Rahmstorf, S., 2011: The
Vanishing Arctic. Project Syndicate, 17.10.2011.
Rahmstorf, S., 2011: Our
Summer of Extremes. Project Syndicate, 16.08.2010.
Rahmstorf, S., 2010: The
Heat Age. Project Syndicate. 15.06.2010
Rahmstorf, S., 2010: Das
Jahrzehnt der Wetterextreme. ZEO2 (4/2010).
Rahmstorf, S., 2010: Neue
Qualität des Surrealen. ZEO2 (2/2010).
Rahmstorf, S., 2010: Die Kopenhagen-Diagnose. ZEO2
(1/2010).
Rahmstorf,
S., 2010: Es gibt keinen IPCC-Skandal. The European, 28.02.2010.
Rahmstorf,
S., et al., 2010: IPCC errors: facts and spin. The Guardian,
15.02.2010.
Rahmstorf, S., 2010: Will
this summer of extremes be a wake-up call? The Guardian, 16.08.2010.
Rahmstorf, S., 2009: Climate
sceptics confuse the public by focusing on short-term fluctuations.
The Guardian, 09.03.2009.
Rahmstorf, S., 2009: We
must shake off this inertia to keep sea level rises to a minimum.
The Guardian, 03.03.2009.
Rahmstorf, S., 2009: Last
Exit Copenhagen. Spektrum der Wissenschaft, Dez. 2009.
Rahmstorf, S., 2009: Wie
wäre es mit Sachargumenten? Spektrum.de, 11.12.2009.
Rahmstorf, S., 2009: The
Scientific Road to Copenhagen. Project Syndicate. 01.12.2009.
Schneider von Deimling, T. and S. Rahmstorf, 2009:
Die Wetter-Zurücksage. forschung(4/2009).
Rahmstorf, S., 2009: The
BBC should report climate change facts rather than political spin.
Guardian online, 19 Oct 2009.
Rahmstorf, S., 2007: Klimawandel - einige Fakten.
Aus Politik und Zeitgeschichte, 47, pp. 7-13.
Rahmstorf, S., 2007: Die Vorboten ernst nehmen.
Politische Ökologie, 106-107, pp. 16-20.
Rahmstorf, S., 2007: Der Anstieg des Meeresspiegels.
In: Der UN-Weltklimareport, M. Müller, U. Fuentes, and H.
Kohl, Eds., Kiepenheuer und Witsch, 190-194.
Rahmstorf,
S., 2007: Alles nur Klimahysterie? Universitas 9/2007, pp.
895-913.
Rahmstorf, S., 2007: Six degrees: Our future on
a hotter planet. Nature, 448, pp. 136-136.
Rahmstorf, S., 2007: Die Wahrheit zum Klima. Frankfurter
Allgemeine Zeitung, 10.4.2007.
Rahmstorf, S., 2007: Al Gore's "Unbequeme
Wahrheit": Fachlich korrekt? Tagesspiegel, 21.3.2007.
Rahmstorf, S., 2007: The IPCC sea level numbers.
RealClimate.org, 27.3.2007.
Rahmstorf,
S., 2005: Kampf um zwei Grad Celsius. tageszeitung, 18.11.2005.
Rahmstorf,
S. Bahnfahrt nach Dresden , in: Im Klimawandel angekommen.
Was nun? (ed. D. Lehmann), pp. 15-18 (Projekte-Verlag, Halle,
2005).
Rahmstorf,
S. and U. Neu, 2004: Klimawandel und CO2: haben die "Skeptiker"
recht?
Scott,
E. C., .... [S. Rahmstorf] et al. 2004. The Morphology of Steve.
Annals of Improbable Research, July/August. pp. 24-29.
Solanki,
S., A. Ohmura, J. Beer, C. Fröhlich, M. Latif, S. Rahmstorf,
C. Schönwiese, U. Neu, 2003: Sonne spielt nur eine untergeordnete
Rolle. Chemische Rundschau, Juli 2003.
Rahmstorf, S., 2003: Golfstrom. In: Öko Lexikon,
edited by U.E. Simonis, Verlag C.H. Beck, pp. 94-95.
Rahmstorf,
S., 2003: Flutkatastrophe - befinden wir uns im Klimawandel?
In: Brockhaus Jahrbuch 2002, Brockhaus Verlag, pp. 140-143.
Rahmstorf,
S., 2003: Rote Karte für die Leugner , Bild der Wissenschaft
1/2003, pp. 56-61.
Rahmstorf, S., 2002: Klimawandel - ein Fall für
Physiker, Portal (1-2), 26.
Rahmstorf, S., 2002: Flotte Kurven, dünne Daten , DIE ZEIT, 37/2002.
Rahmstorf, S., 2002: Warum das Eiszeitklima Kapriolen
schlug, Spektrum der Wissenschaft (Dossier 1/2002), 48-49.
Rahmstorf, S., 2001: Ozeane und marine Zirkulationssysteme.
In: Brockhaus Weltatlas, edited by J. Radtke, Brockhaus Verlag,
Leipzig, pp. 18-19.
Rahmstorf, S., 2001: Der globale Klimawandel und
die Rolle des Menschen. In: Brockhaus Weltatlas, edited by J.
Radtke, Brockhaus Verlag, Leipzig, pp. 24-25.
Rahmstorf,
S., 2001: Warum das Eiszeitklima Kapriolen schlug , Spektrum
der Wissenschaft (September), 12-13.
Rahmstorf, S., 2001: Treibhauseffekt und Klimawandel.
Schriftenreihe der Ernst-Abbe-Stiftung, Heft 22. Ernst-Abbe-Stiftung,
Jena, 16 pp.
Rahmstorf, S., 1999:
Die Welt fährt Achterbahn. Süddeutsche Zeitung,
3. Juli.
Rahmstorf, S. and M. Claussen, 1998: Eiszeitsimulation
im Computer . Spektrum der Wissenschaft (Mai 1998), 16-22.
Rahmstorf, S., 1997: An Atlantic Conveyor - Refinement
of a Good Idea. Ocean Challenge, 7 (3), 26-27.
Rahmstorf, S., 1997: Ice-cold in
Paris. New Scientist (8 February), 26-30.
Rahmstorf, S., 1993: Science and politics in the
greenhouse. New Scientist, 46-47.
Newsletters
Schneider
von Deimling, T., H. Held, A. Ganopolski and S. Rahmstorf, 2008:
Are paleo-proxy data helpful for constraining future climate change?
PAGES News, 16(2), 20-21.
Montoya,
M, V. Brovkin, S. Rahmstorf and M. Claussen, 2002: Paleoperspectives
on global sustainability. Global Change Newsletter 52, 16-19.
Rahmstorf,
S., 1994: An energy-balance boundary condition for ocean climate
models. Ocean Modelling, 102, 9-11.
Rahmstorf,
S., 1994: Multiple equilibria of an OGCM caused by different convection
patterns. Ocean Modelling, 103, 2-3.
Rahmstorf,
S., 1993: A fast and complete convection scheme for ocean models .
Ocean Modelling, 101, 9-11.